Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 80%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Sep 14, 8:02 PM.
3,722 total supply: already fairly common, limiting the scarcity premium.
Only 1.3% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~10.9 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.
Trading within 5% of its lowest recorded price.
RSI 24: beaten down and due for a potential bounce.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Down 53% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.
Trading 62% under our supply/rarity model's estimate; looks cheap versus comparable skins.
Supply is fixed; every new owner must buy on the market.
Real buy support at $0.89: cumulative standing bids you could sell a few copies into without the price collapsing.
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
Lumberjack Shirt is trading 61.8% below its modelled fair value. Its $0.93 lowest ask sits under both the $1.16 median sale and the $1.50 original store price, near the bottom of its 90-day range (5th percentile). Supply is fixed after delisting, and a best bid of $0.89 with a 4.4% spread points to a reasonably firm floor. The oversold RSI and deep drawdown frame this more as a potential recovery setup than a breakdown. Still, the 7d move of -2.1% (5.9% behind the market median), elevated supply, concentrated ownership among 341 holders and market-wide fear temper that read. The gap to fair value might justify watching for stabilization.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 5h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | -17.0% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | -17.0% | 37 | 34 |
| Return (14d) | -20.5% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | -46.2% | 13 | 15 |
| Return (60d) | -34.0% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | -53.3% | 63 | 63 |
| Return (all) | -48.6% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | -18.6% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | -18.6% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | -23.0% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | -62.1% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | -41.6% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | -76.1% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -66.6% | — | — |
| High (24h) | $0.93 | — | — |
| High (3d) | $1.12 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $1.12 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $1.17 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $1.73 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $1.98 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $1.99 | — | — |
| High (all) | $4.85 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | $0.93 | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $0.93 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $0.93 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $0.93 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $0.93 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $0.93 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $0.93 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $0.93 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | $0.93 | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $1.03 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $1.08 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $1.06 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $1.27 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $1.52 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $1.53 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $1.74 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | $0.93 | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $1.03 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $1.12 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $1.03 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $1.15 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $1.59 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $1.50 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $1.66 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +20.4% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +20.4% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +25.8% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +86.0% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +112.9% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +114.0% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +421.5% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 0 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 0 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 0 | 5 | 5 |
| Position in range (all) | 0 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | -17.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | -17.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -20.5% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -46.2% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -53.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -53.3% | 73 | 69 |
| Distance from high (all) | -80.8% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | -9.3% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | -14.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | -12.6% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | -26.9% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | -39.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | -39.3% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | -46.7% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 2 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 4 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 8 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 14 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 28 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 1 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 1 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 3 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 10 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 28 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 41 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 61 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 40 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 29 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 22 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 25 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 31 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | -0.2% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | -2.7% | 10 | 10 |
| Trend slope (60d) | -0.9% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | -0.4% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -0.4% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.01× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.72× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.39× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.16× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.16× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +9.3% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +7.7% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +7.6% | 28 | 26 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +7.9% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +6.9% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +10.1% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +7.1% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +5.3% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +5.1% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +46.2% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +53.0% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +53.3% | 15 | 16 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +80.8% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +53.3% | 26 | 30 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +80.8% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 89d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 104d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | -0.34× | 12 | 14 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | -0.14× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | -0.75 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 2.8 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 0.86 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 20.04 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | — | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +8.7% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +11.4% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +45.2% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +45.2% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +17.0% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +17.0% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +18.9% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +18.9% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +18.9% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +1.3% | 37 | 37 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 12 | 37 | 37 |
| Listings on book | 47 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +4.4% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | 0.99× | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | -35.2% | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | -5.3% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +0.0% | 5 | 5 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d) | -0.3% | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d) | -0.3% | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d) | +0.0% | 50 | 42 |
| Owner growth (60d) | +0.3% | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d) | +0.3% | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | — | — | — |
| Copies per owner | 10.91× | 46 | 46 |
| Top-1 holder share | +5.4% | 71 | 75 |
| Top-10 holder share | +18.1% | 72 | 76 |
| HHI (top-10) | 50.35 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5) | 10 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d) | +0.0% | 63 | 65 |
| Absorption (60d) | +0.3% | — | — |
| Absorption (90d) | +0.3% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 138d | — | — |
| Days since fixation | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | 0.62× | 48 | 47 |
| Store-price ratio | 0.62× | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | -61.8% | 19 | 16 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.04× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +4.3% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $0.89 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 38 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | -5.9% | 37 | 34 |
| Momentum pillar | 54 | 46 | 43 |
| Scarcity pillar | 26 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 35 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 89 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 57 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 58 | 79 | 75 |
| Data completeness | +80.4% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | 0.64× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | 0.54× | 69 | 72 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | 0.02× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | 0.36× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | 0.30× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | 0.02× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | -30.8% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | -51.9% | 13 | 15 |
| Return vs market (90d) | -18.6% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 0 | 5 | 5 |
| Spike days (60d) | 1 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 1 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 2 | 63 | 63 |
| Dump days (60d) | 2 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 2 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | — | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | -2 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | -1 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | -1 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.