Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 258 values across 7 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 91%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Jul 9, 10:02 PM.
10,662 total supply: a common item, minimal scarcity premium.
Scarcity score 15/100: abundant and liquid.
Only 1.0% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
No sales in the last 24h; it may be hard to buy or sell at the quoted price.
~11.3 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.
Average price down 28% over the past week versus the prior week.
The Lucky Bastard Helmet's 7-day slide of -28.3%, well beyond the market's median move, has pushed it into a contrarian setup rather than a confirmed downtrend. In this single-regime market such sharp drops have tended to recover, and the model backs that read, pegging fair value 43.1% above the current $1.01 ask. Supply is fixed following its delisting from the store, and with only 1 executed sale in the last 24 hours against 105 active listings, liquidity is thin (30/100) and the 19.6% bid-ask spread is wide, with the best standing bid at just $0.83. Ownership is concentrated across 947 holders for 10,662 units, and the median sale of $0.77 sits below the current ask, underscoring how little volume is confirming any direction here.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 6h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | -1.9% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | -5.6% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | -42.0% | 10 | 10 |
| Return (14d) |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.
RSI 27: beaten down and due for a potential bounce.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Down 89% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.
35pts behind the median skin this week, underperforming its peers.
Trading 43% under our supply/rarity model's estimate; looks cheap versus comparable skins.
Supply is fixed; every new owner must buy on the market.
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
| -22.9% |
| — |
| — |
| Return (30d) | -61.2% | 24 | 21 |
| Return (60d) | -75.1% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | -89.0% | 18 | 19 |
| Return (all) | -92.9% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | -2.0% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | -5.8% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | -54.4% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | -26.0% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | -94.6% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | -138.9% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | -221.1% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -264.7% | — | — |
| High (24h) | $1.01 | — | — |
| High (3d) | $1.07 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $1.74 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $1.95 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $2.61 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $4.63 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $9.58 | — | — |
| High (all) | $14.25 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | $1.01 | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $1.01 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $1.01 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $1.01 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $1.01 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $1.01 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $1.01 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $1.01 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | $1.01 | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $1.03 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $1.23 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $1.47 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $1.93 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $2.64 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $4.30 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $4.63 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | $1.01 | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $1.01 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $1.12 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $1.41 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $1.93 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $2.57 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $3.29 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $3.37 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +5.9% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +72.3% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +93.1% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +158.4% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +357.9% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +848.5% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +1311.1% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 0 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 0 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 0 | 5 | 5 |
| Position in range (all) | 0 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | -5.6% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | -42.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -48.2% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -61.3% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -78.2% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -89.5% | 29 | 28 |
| Distance from high (all) | -92.9% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | -1.9% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | -17.9% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | -31.4% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | -47.5% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | -61.7% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | -76.5% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | -78.2% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 6 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 17 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 29 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 29 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 1 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 5 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 10 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 20 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 39 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 57 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 61 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 9 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 23 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 30 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 34 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 32 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | $1.23 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | -17.9% | — | — |
| SMA (14) | $1.47 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | -31.4% | — | — |
| SMA (21) | $1.67 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | -39.7% | — | — |
| SMA (30) | $1.93 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | -47.5% | 14 | 7 |
| SMA (50) | $2.36 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | -57.2% | — | — |
| SMA (90) | $4.30 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | -76.5% | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | $1.23 | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | -17.9% | — | — |
| EMA (14) | $1.47 | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | -31.4% | — | — |
| EMA (30) | $1.93 | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | -47.5% | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | -3.8% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | -2.9% | 43 | 29 |
| Trend slope (60d) | -1.8% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | -2.2% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -2.2% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.40× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.79× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.85× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.86× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.84× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | -36.1% | 18 | 7 |
| Days since trend flip | 5.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +9.5% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +14.7% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +12.8% | 55 | 59 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +11.8% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +10.8% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +11.0% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +8.3% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +7.4% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +7.4% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +61.3% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +78.2% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +89.5% | 63 | 70 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +92.9% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +89.5% | 71 | 75 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +92.9% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 88d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 93d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | -0.29× | 42 | 39 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | -0.25× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 1.88 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 0.94 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 8.09 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 6.43 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | — | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +50.0% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +50.0% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +50.0% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +50.0% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +22.7% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +22.7% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +25.1% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +29.8% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +31.4% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | +0.0% | 5 | 5 |
| On-market % | +1.0% | 25 | 28 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | 104.68 | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 23 | 38 | 40 |
| Listings on book | 104 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots) | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots) | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots) | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots) | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots) | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots) | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | +11.7% | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | +20.7% | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | -2.8% | 32 | 46 |
| Listings trend (60d) | -13.2% | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +16.6% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | 0.50× | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | -23.2% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | -0.0% | 15 | 22 |
| Supply growth (60d) | -0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +96.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d) | -0.1% | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d) | -0.1% | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d) | -0.2% | 19 | 25 |
| Owner growth (60d) | +12.9% | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d) | +169.8% | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | -0.17 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | — | — | — |
| Copies per owner | 11.26× | 49 | 50 |
| Top-1 holder share | +1.0% | 18 | 13 |
| Top-10 holder share | +7.3% | 32 | 23 |
| HHI (top-10) | 5.71 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5) | 10 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d) | -0.2% | 35 | 44 |
| Absorption (60d) | +12.9% | — | — |
| Absorption (90d) | +73.8% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 102d | — | — |
| Days since fixation | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | 0.13× | 5 | 5 |
| Store-price ratio | 0.13× | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | -43.1% | 31 | 35 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.07× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +17.8% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $0.76 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 19 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | -34.8% | 9 | 10 |
| Momentum pillar | 65 | 95 | 94 |
| Scarcity pillar | 15 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 30 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 83 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 51 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 52 | 75 | 75 |
| Data completeness | +90.6% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 2 | 75 | 50 |
| Spike days (60d) | 5 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 5 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 5 | 82 | 85 |
| Dump days (60d) | 6 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 8 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | -2.0% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | +2.4% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | +2.4% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | 2 | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | 2 | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | 3 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | -3 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | -1 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | -3 | — | — |