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The dedicated S&box cosmetics market tracker. Live prices, drops and supply for every sbox skin on the Steam Community Market.

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Back to Luchador

Luchadorfull analytics

Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 74%.

Overall rating

?Fixed supply
Insight Engine v2
43/ 100
C
Momentum51
Scarcity65
Liquidity14
Value33
Risk43

Recomputed each sync: last updated Oct 9, 1:02 AM.

Signal narrative

Bullish
Holders are holding !!

Only 1.1% of supply listed: low sell pressure.

Concentrated ownership

~10.4 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.

Delisted from store !!

No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.

High volatility

Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.

Above modelled fair value !!

Trading 45% over our supply/rarity model's estimate; richly priced versus comparable skins.

Holder base widening

Unique owners up 9% this week; new holders are arriving.

Fixed supply

Supply is fixed (delisted Aug 31, 2026); every new owner must buy on the market.

Market-wide fear

The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.

Signals are informational only: not financial advice.

Signal Analysis

Insight Engine

Luchador is trading 43.5% above the model's fair value at an $8.34 ask, and that premium is the dominant fact here. The supporting structure is genuinely tight: supply fixed at 761 units after delisting, 30d supply growth and dump days both in the 5th percentile, and absorption in the 95th percentile of its cohort. But the order book is thin, with 6 active listings, a 31.5% bid/ask spread and a best bid of $6.07, which scores liquidity at 12/100. Ownership is concentrated across 73 holders despite a widening base. With a +4.3% week already banked against that premium, patience near the $6.02 bid floor looks better rewarded than paying up.

AI-generated from live market data Β· updated 1d ago Β· Not financial advice β€” automated analysis for informational purposes only.

Price action

99/113 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Return (24h)-1.1%β€”β€”
Return (3d)-1.1%β€”β€”
Return (7d)-1.1%
67
65
Return (14d)-2.6%β€”β€”
Return (30d)+31.2%
91
90
Return (60d)-20.4%β€”β€”
Return (90d)β€”β€”β€”
Return (all)-20.4%β€”β€”
Log return (24h)-1.1%β€”β€”
Log return (3d)-1.1%β€”β€”
Log return (7d)-1.1%β€”β€”
Log return (14d)-2.6%β€”β€”
Log return (30d)+27.1%β€”β€”
Log return (60d)-22.8%β€”β€”
Log return (90d)β€”β€”β€”
Log return (all)-22.8%β€”β€”
High (24h)β€”β€”β€”
High (3d)$8.34β€”β€”
High (7d)$8.34β€”β€”
High (14d)$8.47β€”β€”
High (30d)$8.60β€”β€”
High (60d)$10.36β€”β€”
High (90d)$10.36β€”β€”
High (all)$10.36β€”β€”
Low (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Low (3d)$8.25β€”β€”
Low (7d)$8.25β€”β€”
Low (14d)$8.25β€”β€”
Low (30d)$5.08β€”β€”
Low (60d)$5.08β€”β€”
Low (90d)$5.08β€”β€”
Low (all)$5.08β€”β€”
Mean price (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Mean price (3d)$8.30β€”β€”
Mean price (7d)$8.32β€”β€”
Mean price (14d)$8.37β€”β€”
Mean price (30d)$7.35β€”β€”
Mean price (60d)$7.41β€”β€”
Mean price (90d)$7.41β€”β€”
Mean price (all)$7.41β€”β€”
Median price (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Median price (3d)$8.30β€”β€”
Median price (7d)$8.34β€”β€”
Median price (14d)$8.34β€”β€”
Median price (30d)$8.31β€”β€”
Median price (60d)$8.04β€”β€”
Median price (90d)$8.04β€”β€”
Median price (all)$8.04β€”β€”
Range % (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Range % (3d)+1.1%β€”β€”
Range % (7d)+1.1%β€”β€”
Range % (14d)+2.7%β€”β€”
Range % (30d)+69.3%β€”β€”
Range % (60d)+103.9%β€”β€”
Range % (90d)+103.9%β€”β€”
Range % (all)+103.9%β€”β€”
Position in range (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Position in range (3d)β€”β€”β€”
Position in range (7d)β€”β€”β€”
Position in range (14d)0β€”β€”
Position in range (30d)90β€”β€”
Position in range (60d)60β€”β€”
Position in range (90d)60
91
89
Position in range (all)60β€”β€”
Distance from high (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Distance from high (3d)-1.1%β€”β€”
Distance from high (7d)-1.1%β€”β€”
Distance from high (14d)-2.6%β€”β€”
Distance from high (30d)-4.1%β€”β€”
Distance from high (60d)-20.4%β€”β€”
Distance from high (90d)-20.4%
92
89
Distance from high (all)-20.4%β€”β€”
Distance from low (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Distance from low (3d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Distance from low (7d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Distance from low (14d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Distance from low (30d)+62.4%β€”β€”
Distance from low (60d)+62.4%β€”β€”
Distance from low (90d)+62.4%β€”β€”
Distance from low (all)+62.4%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs mean (3d)-0.5%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (7d)-0.8%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (14d)-1.5%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (30d)+12.2%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (60d)+11.4%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (90d)+11.4%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (all)+11.4%β€”β€”
Up days (24h)0β€”β€”
Up days (3d)0β€”β€”
Up days (7d)1β€”β€”
Up days (14d)1β€”β€”
Up days (30d)8β€”β€”
Up days (60d)9β€”β€”
Up days (90d)9β€”β€”
Up days (all)9β€”β€”
Down days (24h)0β€”β€”
Down days (3d)1β€”β€”
Down days (7d)2β€”β€”
Down days (14d)5β€”β€”
Down days (30d)11β€”β€”
Down days (60d)17β€”β€”
Down days (90d)17β€”β€”
Down days (all)17β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (3d)0β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (7d)33β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (14d)17β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (30d)42β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (60d)35β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (90d)35β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (all)35β€”β€”
Up-day streak0.0dβ€”β€”

Trend

11/38 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
SMA (7)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (7)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (14)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (14)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (21)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (21)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (30)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (30)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (50)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (50)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (90)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (90)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (100)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (100)β€”β€”β€”
EMA (7)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs EMA (7)β€”β€”β€”
EMA (14)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs EMA (14)β€”β€”β€”
EMA (30)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs EMA (30)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (7)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (14)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (21)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (30)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (50)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (100)β€”β€”β€”
Trend slope (14d)-0.3%β€”β€”
Trend slope (30d)+2.1%
91
90
Trend slope (60d)+0.6%β€”β€”
Trend slope (90d)+0.6%β€”β€”
Trend slope (all)+0.6%β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (14d)0.87Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (30d)0.63Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (60d)0.10Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (90d)0.10Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (all)0.10Γ—β€”β€”
SMA 7/30 crossβ€”β€”β€”
Days since trend flip8.0dβ€”β€”

Volatility & risk

33/33 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Return stdev (7d)+0.5%β€”β€”
Return stdev (14d)+0.5%β€”β€”
Return stdev (30d)+6.8%
18
20
Return stdev (60d)+7.4%β€”β€”
Return stdev (90d)+7.4%β€”β€”
Return stdev (all)+7.4%β€”β€”
Downside deviation (30d)+2.6%β€”β€”
Downside deviation (60d)+4.7%β€”β€”
Downside deviation (90d)+4.7%β€”β€”
Max drawdown (30d)+20.5%β€”β€”
Max drawdown (60d)+51.0%β€”β€”
Max drawdown (90d)+51.0%
20
25
Max drawdown (all)+51.0%β€”β€”
Current drawdown (90d)+20.4%
8
11
Current drawdown (all)+20.4%β€”β€”
Drawdown duration (90d)38dβ€”β€”
Drawdown duration (all)38dβ€”β€”
Sortino ratio (30d)0.56Γ—
94
94
Sortino ratio (90d)-0.10Γ—β€”β€”
Return skew (30d)2.02β€”β€”
Return skew (90d)1.28β€”β€”
Excess kurtosis (30d)4.24β€”β€”
Excess kurtosis (90d)3.75β€”β€”
Largest up day (7d)+0.4%β€”β€”
Largest up day (14d)+0.4%β€”β€”
Largest up day (30d)+22.1%β€”β€”
Largest up day (60d)+22.1%β€”β€”
Largest up day (90d)+22.1%β€”β€”
Largest down day (7d)+1.1%β€”β€”
Largest down day (14d)+1.1%β€”β€”
Largest down day (30d)+8.1%β€”β€”
Largest down day (60d)+15.2%β€”β€”
Largest down day (90d)+15.2%β€”β€”

Liquidity

5/20 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Turnover %β€”β€”β€”
On-market %+1.1%
29
29
Days to clear listingsβ€”β€”β€”
Lifetime sales / dayneeds provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime salesβ€”β€”
Liquidity score10
29
29
Listings on book8β€”β€”
Amihud illiquidity (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Amihud illiquidity (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Amihud illiquidity (90d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Zero-sale-day share (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Zero-sale-day share (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Zero-sale-day share (90d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (7d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (14d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Bid-ask spread %+30.7%β€”β€”
Near-mid bid imbalanceβ€”β€”β€”
Bid-depth trend (7d)β€”β€”β€”
Bid-floor migration (7d)+31.3%β€”β€”

Supply & ownership

14/21 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Supply growth (7d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Supply growth (14d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Supply growth (30d)+0.0%
5
5
Supply growth (60d)β€”β€”β€”
Supply growth (90d)β€”β€”β€”
Owner growth (7d)+9.0%β€”β€”
Owner growth (14d)+14.1%β€”β€”
Owner growth (30d)+15.9%
81
83
Owner growth (60d)β€”β€”β€”
Owner growth (90d)β€”β€”β€”
Mint rate (7d)0β€”β€”
Mint rate (30d)0β€”β€”
Supply doubling timeβ€”β€”β€”
Copies per owner10.42Γ—
43
42
Top-1 holder share+8.3%
86
91
Top-10 holder share+26.0%
89
94
HHI (top-10)124.6β€”β€”
Whale count (β‰₯5)10β€”β€”
Absorption (30d)+15.9%
95
95
Absorption (60d)β€”β€”β€”
Absorption (90d)β€”β€”β€”

Lifecycle & value

17/18 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Age51dβ€”β€”
Days since fixation38dβ€”β€”
Days until leaving storen/s-38dβ€”β€”
Release-price multipleβ€”β€”β€”
Store-price ratio1.65Γ—β€”β€”
Fair-value residual+44.7%
60
65
Price per scarcity point0.13Γ—β€”β€”
Instant-sell discount+26.8%β€”β€”
Bid-floor backing$6.00β€”β€”
Accumulation score58β€”β€”
Market-relative 7d return+2.5%
67
65
Momentum pillar51
48
51
Scarcity pillar65β€”β€”
Liquidity pillar14β€”β€”
Value pillar33β€”β€”
Risk pillar43β€”β€”
Overall rating46
49
47
Data completeness+74.3%β€”β€”

Relative to market

8/9 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Beta vs market (14d)-0.04Γ—β€”β€”
Beta vs market (30d)0.18Γ—
45
46
Beta vs market (90d)-0.12Γ—β€”β€”
Market correlation (14d)-0.33Γ—β€”β€”
Market correlation (30d)0.10Γ—β€”β€”
Market correlation (90d)-0.07Γ—β€”β€”
Return vs market (14d)+1.2%β€”β€”
Return vs market (30d)+46.8%
92
90
Return vs market (90d)β€”β€”β€”

Events

12/15 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Spike days (30d)2
75
75
Spike days (60d)2β€”β€”
Spike days (90d)2β€”β€”
Dump days (30d)0
5
5
Dump days (60d)1β€”β€”
Dump days (90d)1β€”β€”
Post-spike reversion (30d)+4.2%β€”β€”
Post-spike reversion (60d)+4.2%β€”β€”
Post-spike reversion (90d)+4.2%β€”β€”
Listing shocks (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listing shocks (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listing shocks (90d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Net spike bias (30d)2β€”β€”
Net spike bias (60d)1β€”β€”
Net spike bias (90d)1β€”β€”

Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. β€œn/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.