Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 80%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Oct 9, 2:02 PM.
Price up 9.5% in 24h: a mild upward trend.
10,922 total supply: a common item, minimal scarcity premium.
Scarcity score 12/100: abundant and liquid.
Only 2.2% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~17.8 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
Trading at a 77% discount to the store price.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Trading 118% over our supply/rarity model's estimate; richly priced versus comparable skins.
Permanently in the store at $1.00 — anyone can mint another at that price forever, so there's no scarcity premium and limited upside above the store price.
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The most telling number here is the +109.3% premium to modelled fair value on a permanent store item whose supply is uncapped, and that premium sits on a thin book: 239 active sell listings against 10,922 units held by just 614 owners (95th percentile for copies per owner). The ask of $0.21 is also well clear of the $0.16 median sale, with a 33.3% bid/ask spread and the best standing bid at $0.15, so realised prices are closer to the bid than the headline. Price fell 8.7% over 24h and is flat on 6h and 7d, trailing the market median by 5.1%. Scarcity scores 12/100 and liquidity 19/100, and the $1.00 store price caps upside. Bids accumulating is the one constructive note.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 23h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | +9.5% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | +0.0% | 75 | 75 |
| Return (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | -4.2% | 72 | 65 |
| Return (60d) | +64.3% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | +27.8% | 91 | 86 |
| Return (all) | -89.6% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | +9.1% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | -4.3% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | +49.6% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | +24.5% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -226.3% | — | — |
| High (24h) | $0.23 | — | — |
| High (3d) | $0.23 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $0.23 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $0.23 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $0.24 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $0.26 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $0.26 | — | — |
| High (all) | $2.21 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | $0.23 | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $0.21 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $0.21 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $0.18 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $0.16 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $0.14 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $0.14 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $0.14 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | $0.23 | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $0.22 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $0.23 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $0.22 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $0.22 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $0.20 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $0.20 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $0.44 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | $0.23 | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $0.23 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $0.23 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $0.23 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $0.23 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $0.20 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $0.21 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $0.25 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +9.5% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +9.5% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +27.8% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +50.0% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +85.7% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +85.7% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +1478.6% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 100 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 88 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 75 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 75 | 95 | 94 |
| Position in range (all) | 4 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -4.2% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -11.5% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -11.5% | 95 | 95 |
| Distance from high (all) | -89.6% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +9.5% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +9.5% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +27.8% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +43.8% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +64.3% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +64.3% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +64.3% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | +3.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | +1.5% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | +5.4% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | +6.3% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | +14.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | +12.6% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | -47.7% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 3 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 6 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 12 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 20 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 52 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 1 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 1 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 3 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 8 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 15 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 25 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 73 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | 50 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 50 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 50 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 43 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 44 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 44 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 42 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 1.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | +0.8% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | +0.3% | 75 | 73 |
| Trend slope (60d) | +0.6% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | +0.1% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -1.4% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.11× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.03× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.27× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.01× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.59× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 5.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +6.4% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +9.5% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +16.4% | 64 | 64 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +14.6% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +13.8% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +12.4% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +10.2% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +8.3% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +8.1% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +33.3% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +38.5% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +41.7% | 5 | 8 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +93.7% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +11.5% | 5 | 5 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +89.6% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 36d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 184d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | 0.11× | 73 | 67 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | 0.16× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 0.88 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 1.02 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 2.81 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 2.59 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | +9.5% | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +16.7% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +50.0% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +50.0% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +50.0% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +8.7% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +14.3% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +33.3% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +33.3% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +33.3% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +2.2% | 65 | 63 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 20 | 65 | 63 |
| Listings on book | 238 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +42.1% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +0.1% | 50 | 50 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +0.2% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +0.5% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d)n/s | -0.2% | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d)n/s | -0.3% | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d)n/s | -0.6% | 6 | 8 |
| Owner growth (60d)n/s | -0.5% | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d)n/s | -0.3% | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 0.24 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | 32435d | — | — |
| Copies per ownern/s | 17.82× | 95 | 95 |
| Top-1 holder sharen/s | +1.6% | 27 | 33 |
| Top-10 holder sharen/s | +6.4% | 24 | 25 |
| HHI (top-10)n/s | 5.49 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5)n/s | 10 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d)n/s | -0.7% | 24 | 30 |
| Absorption (60d)n/s | -0.6% | — | — |
| Absorption (90d)n/s | -0.8% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 513d | — | — |
| Days since fixationn/s | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | 0.23× | 26 | 15 |
| Store-price ratio | 0.23× | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | +118.2% | 76 | 81 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.02× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +34.8% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $0.15 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 50 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | +5.4% | 75 | 75 |
| Momentum pillar | 39 | 8 | 16 |
| Scarcity pillar | 12 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 14 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 10 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 36 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 19 | 5 | 5 |
| Data completeness | +80.1% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | 1.07× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | 0.83× | 74 | 74 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | -0.31× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | 0.35× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | 0.18× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | -0.13× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | +3.8% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | +11.5% | 73 | 68 |
| Return vs market (90d) | +24.2% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 4 | 95 | 95 |
| Spike days (60d) | 8 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 10 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 2 | 50 | 50 |
| Dump days (60d) | 3 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 6 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | +6.2% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | +5.3% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | +4.2% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | 2 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | 5 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | 4 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.