Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 77%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Oct 9, 1:02 AM.
Down 13.0% in the last 6 hours: near-term weakness.
Scarcity score 12/100: abundant and liquid.
Only 2.8% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~7.3 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
Trading at a 91% discount to the store price.
Average price down 20% over the past week versus the prior week.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Down 74% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.
Trading 35% under our supply/rarity model's estimate; looks cheap versus comparable skins.
Permanently in the store at $2.00 — anyone can mint another at that price forever, so there's no scarcity premium and limited upside above the store price.
The listed price sits 225% above the best standing bid of $0.12; you could not actually sell there right now.
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The most notable number here is the gap between the $0.18 lowest ask and the $0.39 median sale price, with the model putting the item 34.7% below modelled fair value and the value pillar at 76/100. That discount follows a 20.1% weekly slide and a 13.0% six-hour dip, which in this single-regime market has historically read as a recovery setup rather than a trend to extrapolate. The caveat is the order book: a 40.0% spread, a best standing bid of just $0.12, and a listed price floating 225% above that bid, alongside liquidity of 17/100 and 47 active listings against 1,645 units and only 224 owners. Supply is uncapped and permanent.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 10h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | +0.0% | 75 | 75 |
| Return (14d) | -41.9% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | -33.3% | 31 | 30 |
| Return (60d) | -57.1% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | -73.9% | 16 | 15 |
| Return (all) | -94.9% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | -54.4% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | -40.5% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | -84.7% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | -134.4% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -297.9% | — | — |
| High (24h) | — | — | — |
| High (3d) | $0.18 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $0.19 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $0.31 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $0.31 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $0.42 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $0.70 | — | — |
| High (all) | $3.54 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $0.18 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $0.18 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $0.18 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $0.18 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $0.11 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $0.11 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $0.11 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $0.18 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $0.18 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $0.21 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $0.22 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $0.28 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $0.41 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $0.89 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $0.18 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $0.18 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $0.18 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $0.20 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $0.28 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $0.40 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $0.69 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +5.6% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +72.2% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +72.2% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +281.8% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +536.4% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +3118.2% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 0 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 23 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 12 | 49 | 51 |
| Position in range (all) | 2 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | -5.3% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -41.9% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -41.9% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -57.1% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -74.3% | 26 | 23 |
| Distance from high (all) | -94.9% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +63.6% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +63.6% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +63.6% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | — | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | -0.9% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | -13.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | -16.5% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | -36.8% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | -56.3% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | -79.8% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 2 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 6 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 7 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 22 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 1 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 2 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 7 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 17 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 30 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 73 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 50 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 33 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 22 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 26 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 19 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 23 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | -5.9% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | -1.6% | 32 | 27 |
| Trend slope (60d) | -1.9% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | -1.9% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -1.4% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.47× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.28× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.73× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.92× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.70× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 1.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +3.8% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +18.3% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +16.8% | 65 | 63 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +26.7% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +21.1% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +14.9% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +13.7% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +17.7% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +14.3% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +41.9% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +73.8% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +84.3% | 78 | 79 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +96.9% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +74.3% | 74 | 77 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +94.9% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 85d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 183d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | -0.04× | 47 | 47 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | 0.05× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 1.95 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 5.94 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 10.77 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 46.41 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | +5.6% | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +5.6% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +63.2% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +213.6% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +213.6% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +5.3% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +41.9% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +41.9% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +66.2% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +66.2% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +2.8% | 76 | 77 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 24 | 77 | 77 |
| Listings on book | 46 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +88.4% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +0.1% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +0.2% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +0.3% | 51 | 53 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +0.5% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +1.4% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d)n/s | +0.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d)n/s | +0.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d)n/s | -0.4% | 10 | 10 |
| Owner growth (60d)n/s | +0.9% | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d)n/s | +2.8% | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 0.17 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 0.17 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | 6831d | — | — |
| Copies per ownern/s | 7.34× | 18 | 18 |
| Top-1 holder sharen/s | +5.3% | 71 | 66 |
| Top-10 holder sharen/s | +15.7% | 62 | 52 |
| HHI (top-10)n/s | 48.41 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5)n/s | 10 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d)n/s | -0.7% | 24 | 24 |
| Absorption (60d)n/s | +0.4% | — | — |
| Absorption (90d)n/s | +1.4% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 368d | — | — |
| Days since fixationn/s | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | 0.09× | 5 | 5 |
| Store-price ratio | 0.09× | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | -34.8% | 31 | 34 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.01× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +33.3% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $0.12 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 50 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | +3.6% | 75 | 75 |
| Momentum pillar | 45 | 27 | 26 |
| Scarcity pillar | 12 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 17 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 76 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 26 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 41 | 24 | 21 |
| Data completeness | +76.9% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | 1.89× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | 0.69× | 67 | 68 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | -0.14× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | 0.53× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | 0.18× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | -0.03× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | -38.1% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | -17.7% | 33 | 32 |
| Return vs market (90d) | -59.2% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 1 | 25 | 25 |
| Spike days (60d) | 3 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 3 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 1 | 25 | 25 |
| Dump days (60d) | 4 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 5 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | -10.1% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | -10.1% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | -1 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | -2 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.