Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 75%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Oct 8, 1:02 PM.
Price up 4.6% in 24h: a mild upward trend.
440 total supply: a relatively rare item.
Only 2.7% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~7.6 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.
Average price down 65% over the past week versus the prior week.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Down 83% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.
Up 14pts more than the median skin this week: real relative strength.
Trading 31% over our supply/rarity model's estimate; richly priced versus comparable skins.
Unique owners up 9% this week; new holders are arriving.
Supply is fixed (delisted Sep 21, 2026); every new owner must buy on the market.
The listed price sits 127% above the best standing bid of $4.38; you could not actually sell there right now.
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The order book is the headline here: the $9.52 ask sits 117% above the best standing bid of $4.38, with a 78.2% bid/ask spread and a cumulative bid floor of $4.34, so the quoted price is largely unsupported by real demand. The model reads the item 22.3% rich, and liquidity scores 17/100 across just 12 live listings. Against that, supply is genuinely fixed at 440 units since delisting, 58 owners represent a widening but concentrated holder base, and the 7d return runs 8.7% above the market median. Offsetting that, 30d return and trend slope both sit in the 5th percentile with volatility in the 95th. A C grade (51/100) fits that split, and anyone pricing off the ask rather than the bid may be anchoring high.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 22h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | +4.6% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | +4.6% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | +10.8% | 88 | 90 |
| Return (14d) | -6.7% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | -82.7% | 5 | 5 |
| Return (60d) | — | — | — |
| Return (90d) | — | — | — |
| Return (all) | -82.7% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | +4.5% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | +4.5% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | +10.2% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | -6.9% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | -175.6% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | — | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | — | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -175.6% | — | — |
| High (24h) | $9.96 | — | — |
| High (3d) | $9.96 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $10.00 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $10.67 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $57.64 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $57.64 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $57.64 | — | — |
| High (all) | $57.64 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | $9.96 | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $9.52 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $7.98 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $7.60 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $7.60 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $7.60 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $7.60 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $7.60 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | $9.96 | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $9.74 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $9.29 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $9.34 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $15.00 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $15.00 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $15.00 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $15.00 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | $9.96 | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $9.74 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $9.52 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $9.52 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $9.96 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $9.96 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $9.96 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $9.96 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +4.6% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +25.3% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +40.4% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +658.4% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +658.4% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +658.4% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +658.4% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 5 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 5 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 5 | 33 | 31 |
| Position in range (all) | 5 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | -0.4% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -6.7% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -82.7% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -82.7% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -82.7% | 20 | 15 |
| Distance from high (all) | -82.7% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +4.6% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +24.8% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +31.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +31.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +31.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +31.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +31.1% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | +2.3% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | +7.2% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | +6.7% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | -33.6% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | -33.6% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | -33.6% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | -33.6% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 2 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 3 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 3 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 3 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 3 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 3 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 2 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 5 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 7 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 7 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 7 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 7 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | 100 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 50 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 38 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 30 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 30 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 30 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 30 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 1.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | -0.5% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | -18.2% | 5 | 5 |
| Trend slope (60d) | -18.2% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | -18.2% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -18.2% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.02× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.38× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.38× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.38× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.38× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 2.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +14.9% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +14.4% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +37.5% | 95 | 95 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +37.5% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +37.5% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +37.5% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +23.5% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +23.5% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +23.5% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +86.8% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +86.8% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +86.8% | 80 | 82 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +86.8% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +82.7% | 80 | 85 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +82.7% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 17d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 17d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | -0.48× | 6 | 5 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | -0.48× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | -0.75 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | -0.75 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 0.08 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 0.08 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | +25.3% | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +25.3% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +25.3% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +25.3% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +25.3% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +11.2% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +16.5% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +59.5% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +59.5% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +59.5% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +2.7% | 76 | 77 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 24 | 76 | 78 |
| Listings on book | 12 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +77.8% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | +3.1% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | — | — | — |
| Supply growth (60d) | — | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d) | +9.4% | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d) | +13.7% | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d) | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (60d) | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d) | — | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 15.17 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | — | — | — |
| Copies per owner | 7.59× | 20 | 20 |
| Top-1 holder share | +6.8% | 80 | 77 |
| Top-10 holder share | +28.6% | 93 | 88 |
| HHI (top-10) | 124.59 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5) | 10 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d) | — | — | — |
| Absorption (60d) | — | — | — |
| Absorption (90d) | — | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 50d | — | — |
| Days since fixation | 17d | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | -17d | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | — | — | — |
| Store-price ratio | 2.85× | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | +30.6% | 57 | 58 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.15× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +56.0% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $4.32 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 55 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | +14.4% | 88 | 90 |
| Momentum pillar | 57 | 71 | 66 |
| Scarcity pillar | 68 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 17 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 59 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 30 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 53 | 77 | 77 |
| Data completeness | +74.7% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | 1.59× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | 2.36× | 95 | 95 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | 2.36× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | 0.45× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | 0.35× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | 0.35× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | -6.3% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | -78.7% | 5 | 5 |
| Return vs market (90d) | — | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 2 | 75 | 75 |
| Spike days (60d) | 2 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 2 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 3 | 75 | 75 |
| Dump days (60d) | 3 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 3 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | -8.0% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | -8.0% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | -8.0% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | -1 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | -1 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | -1 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.