Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 82%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Oct 31, 8:02 AM.
Price up 3.1% in 24h: a mild upward trend.
5,302 total supply: already fairly common, limiting the scarcity premium.
Only 0.5% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~11.9 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.
Average price up 24% over the past week versus the prior week.
RSI 90: stretched to the upside and prone to a pullback.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Up 87pts more than the median skin this week: real relative strength.
Trading 35% over our supply/rarity model's estimate; richly priced versus comparable skins.
Supply is fixed; every new owner must buy on the market.
The median sale price sits 220% above the best standing bid of $1.30; you could not actually sell there right now.
Buy-side depth dropped sharply in the last 48h while the price held; the floor is being pulled before price has caught down to it.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
A 90% move in 24 hours is the headline here, and it is the kind of spike that in this single regime market has tended to fade rather than extend. The $4.16 ask sits 33.3% above the fair value model, in the 95th percentile of its 90 day range, and carries an overbought RSI reading. The structural problem is behind the quote: the best standing bid is $1.30, leaving the median sale 220% above it on a 104.8% spread, with liquidity scored 5 out of 100 on 10 sales and 27 listings observed. Fixed supply at 5302 units and a delisted store are genuine supports, but at an overall grade of D (27/100) the phantom price deserves more weight than the jump.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 17h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | +3.1% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | +89.8% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | +86.5% | 89 | 83 |
| Return (14d) | +86.5% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | +210.9% | 87 | 83 |
| Return (60d) | +217.8% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | +120.6% | 77 | 76 |
| Return (all) | +57.7% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | +3.1% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | +64.1% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | +62.3% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | +62.3% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | +113.4% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | +115.6% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | +79.1% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | +45.6% | — | — |
| High (24h) | $4.29 | — | — |
| High (3d) | $4.29 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $4.29 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $4.29 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $4.29 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $4.29 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $4.29 | — | — |
| High (all) | $8.63 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | $4.29 | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $2.26 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $2.24 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $2.23 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $1.12 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $1.12 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $1.12 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $1.12 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | $4.29 | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $3.57 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $2.82 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $2.55 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $2.08 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $1.71 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $1.71 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $2.43 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | $4.29 | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $4.16 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $2.26 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $2.26 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $2.24 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $1.44 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $1.54 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $2.19 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +89.8% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +91.5% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +92.4% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +283.0% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +283.0% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +283.0% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +670.5% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 100 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 100 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 100 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 100 | 95 | 95 |
| Position in range (all) | 42 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | +0.0% | 95 | 95 |
| Distance from high (all) | -50.3% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +89.8% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +91.5% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +92.4% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +283.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +283.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +283.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +283.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | +20.2% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | +52.1% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | +68.6% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | +106.3% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | +150.2% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | +150.9% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | +76.9% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 2 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 4 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 6 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 12 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 23 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 26 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 51 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 1 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 5 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 9 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 19 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 29 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 75 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | 100 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 80 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 55 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 57 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 55 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 47 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 40 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 4.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | $2.82 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | +52.1% | — | — |
| SMA (14) | $2.55 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | +68.6% | — | — |
| SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | $2.82 | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | +52.1% | — | — |
| EMA (14) | $2.55 | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | +68.6% | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | +4.1% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | +4.0% | 77 | 68 |
| Trend slope (60d) | +1.9% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | +0.5% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -0.6% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.37× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.67× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.54× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.14× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.33× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 1.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +24.9% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +17.1% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +15.5% | 42 | 40 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +12.2% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +10.3% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +11.9% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +5.9% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +4.9% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +4.4% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +18.8% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +25.6% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +42.4% | 15 | 16 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +87.0% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +0.0% | 5 | 5 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +50.3% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 0.0d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 149d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | 1.03× | 78 | 79 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | 0.37× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 2.97 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 4.36 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 10.45 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 25.99 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | +84.1% | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +84.1% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +84.1% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +84.1% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +84.1% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +2.6% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +3.4% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +15.8% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +15.8% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +15.8% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | +0.1% | 47 | 39 |
| On-market % | +0.5% | 14 | 13 |
| Days to clear listings | 8.7d | 32 | 34 |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 4 | 10 | 10 |
| Listings on book | 26 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +107.0% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | -100.0% | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | +2.4% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +0.0% | 5 | 5 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d) | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d) | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d) | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (60d) | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d) | — | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | — | — | — |
| Copies per owner | 11.86× | 59 | 59 |
| Top-1 holder share | +1.1% | 11 | 12 |
| Top-10 holder share | +6.7% | 23 | 27 |
| HHI (top-10) | 5.01 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5) | 10 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d) | — | — | — |
| Absorption (60d) | — | — | — |
| Absorption (90d) | — | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 184d | — | — |
| Days since fixation | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | 1.72× | 66 | 66 |
| Store-price ratio | 1.72× | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | +35.4% | 60 | 60 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.12× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +69.7% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $1.29 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 34 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | +87.4% | 89 | 83 |
| Momentum pillar | 26 | 6 | 10 |
| Scarcity pillar | 36 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 3 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 19 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 28 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 26 | 6 | 9 |
| Data completeness | +81.5% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | 0.61× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | 0.54× | 45 | 52 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | 0.54× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | 0.09× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | 0.22× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | 0.27× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | +59.8% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | +30.7% | 87 | 80 |
| Return vs market (90d) | -24.8% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 4 | 80 | 75 |
| Spike days (60d) | 5 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 5 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 1 | 25 | 25 |
| Dump days (60d) | 2 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 2 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | +1.2% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | +1.1% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | +1.1% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | 3 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | 3 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | 3 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.