Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 82%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Sep 19, 1:02 PM.
Down 30.1% in the last 6 hours: near-term weakness.
2,290 total supply: already fairly common, limiting the scarcity premium.
Only 0.7% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~13.1 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
A random in-game drop (16 dropped). It was never sold in the store, so supply is capped by the drop rate.
Average price down 25% over the past week versus the prior week.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Down 76% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.
17pts behind the median skin this week, underperforming its peers.
Trading 282% over our supply/rarity model's estimate; richly priced versus comparable skins.
Supply is fixed; every new owner must buy on the market.
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The standout number is the fair-value residual: Kimono trades 258.3% above the model's estimate, which puts it in the 95th percentile of its cohort on that measure. The tape around it is contradictory. A 14.7% gain over 24 hours sits against a 30.1% drop in the last six hours and a 22.2% weekly decline, 12.9% worse than the market median, and in this single-regime market sharp spikes have tended to fade rather than extend. Liquidity is the weak point at 17 out of 100, with 17 listings, a 23.8% spread, and the best bid at $1.78 against a $2.27 ask. Overall grade: C, 45 out of 100.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 22h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | -0.4% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | -22.6% | 23 | 17 |
| Return (14d) | -33.9% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | -28.9% | 34 | 34 |
| Return (60d) | -42.2% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | -75.6% | 30 | 34 |
| Return (all) | -75.6% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | -0.4% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | -25.6% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | -41.4% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | -34.2% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | -54.8% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | -141.0% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -141.0% | — | — |
| High (24h) | $2.26 | — | — |
| High (3d) | $2.27 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $2.92 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $3.42 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $4.95 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $4.95 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $9.26 | — | — |
| High (all) | $9.26 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | $2.26 | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $2.26 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $1.98 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $1.98 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $1.98 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $1.98 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $1.98 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $1.98 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | $2.26 | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $2.26 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $2.39 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $2.75 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $3.57 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $3.45 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $3.79 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $3.79 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | $2.26 | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $2.26 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $2.26 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $2.92 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $3.33 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $3.25 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $3.53 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $3.53 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +0.4% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +47.5% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +72.7% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +150.0% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +150.0% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +367.7% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +367.7% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 19 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 9 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 9 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 4 | 43 | 38 |
| Position in range (all) | 4 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | -0.4% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | -22.6% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -33.9% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -54.3% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -54.3% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -75.6% | 36 | 35 |
| Distance from high (all) | -75.6% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +14.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +14.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +14.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +14.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +14.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +14.1% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | -0.1% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | -5.4% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | -17.8% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | -36.8% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | -34.6% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | -40.4% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | -40.4% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 2 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 6 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 14 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 21 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 21 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 1 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 4 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 8 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 12 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 20 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 39 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 39 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 20 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 20 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 33 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 41 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 35 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 35 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | $2.39 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | -5.4% | — | — |
| SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | $2.39 | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | -5.4% | — | — |
| EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | -4.3% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | -3.3% | 9 | 6 |
| Trend slope (60d) | -0.3% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | -0.6% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -0.6% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.87× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.74× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.03× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.21× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.21× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 17d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +12.0% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +8.7% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +13.5% | 56 | 56 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +10.0% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +11.8% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +11.8% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +9.2% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +8.1% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +8.0% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +60.0% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +60.0% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +78.6% | 61 | 60 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +78.6% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +75.6% | 64 | 65 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +75.6% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 88d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 88d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | -0.05× | 45 | 45 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | -0.13× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 2.1 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 2.59 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 9.81 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 13.48 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | +14.6% | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +14.6% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +55.7% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +55.7% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +66.3% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +19.4% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +19.4% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +31.1% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +31.1% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +31.1% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +0.7% | 9 | 9 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 7 | 9 | 9 |
| Listings on book | 16 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +22.1% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | -100.0% | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | -42.5% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +0.0% | 5 | 5 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +13.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d) | -2.8% | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d) | -2.2% | 5 | 5 |
| Owner growth (60d) | -1.7% | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d) | +34.6% | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | — | — | — |
| Copies per owner | 13.09× | 72 | 70 |
| Top-1 holder share | +2.2% | 37 | 38 |
| Top-10 holder share | +10.8% | 45 | 46 |
| HHI (top-10) | 14.53 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5) | 10 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d) | -2.2% | 24 | 25 |
| Absorption (60d) | -1.7% | — | — |
| Absorption (90d) | +21.6% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 95d | — | — |
| Days since fixation | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | 0.65× | 53 | 50 |
| Store-price ratio | 0.65× | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | +282.3% | 93 | 95 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.05× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +19.9% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $1.42 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 18 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | -16.6% | 23 | 17 |
| Momentum pillar | 65 | 76 | 83 |
| Scarcity pillar | 50 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 18 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 39 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 48 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 42 | 25 | 25 |
| Data completeness | +82.3% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | 0.95× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | 1.30× | 86 | 91 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | 0.42× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | 0.60× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | 0.40× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | 0.23× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | -39.0% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | -36.4% | 33 | 33 |
| Return vs market (90d) | -34.1% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 1 | 25 | 50 |
| Spike days (60d) | 1 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 4 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 2 | 63 | 63 |
| Dump days (60d) | 3 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 6 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | -7.7% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | -1 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | -2 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | -2 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.