Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 81%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Nov 4, 7:02 AM.
Price up 4.2% in 24h: a mild upward trend.
2,290 total supply: already fairly common, limiting the scarcity premium.
Only 0.7% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~12.9 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
A random in-game drop (16 dropped). It was never sold in the store, so supply is capped by the drop rate.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Trading 300% over our supply/rarity model's estimate; richly priced versus comparable skins.
Supply is fixed; every new owner must buy on the market.
Order-book support has been building (accumulation score 74/100), with bid depth, value and floor all rising over the past week.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The headline number is the valuation gap: at a $5.00 lowest ask, Kimono trades 290.9% above the model's fair value, a 95th percentile fair-value residual within its cohort, while the median sale price sits at $3.02, below the $3.50 original store price. The order book explains much of that distance, with the best standing bid at $3.02 and a 49.4% bid/ask spread against a liquidity score of just 5/100. Momentum is negative on both windows (-5.8% over 24h, -6.2% over 7d, trailing the market median by 6.1%), so the current ask looks more like a thin-book artifact than a repriced floor. Supply is fixed at 2290 units with ownership concentrated across 695 lifetime buyers, and overall grading is weak at 36/100 (D).
AI-generated from live market data · updated 1d ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | +4.2% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | +4.2% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | -2.6% | 50 | 47 |
| Return (14d) | -4.6% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | +48.4% | 42 | 33 |
| Return (60d) | +52.3% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | +45.5% | 59 | 55 |
| Return (all) | -43.7% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | +4.1% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | +4.1% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | -2.7% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | -4.7% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | +39.5% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | +42.1% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | +37.5% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -57.5% | — | — |
| High (24h) | $5.21 | — | — |
| High (3d) | $5.21 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $5.35 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $5.46 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $6.69 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $6.69 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $6.69 | — | — |
| High (all) | $9.26 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | $5.21 | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $5.00 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $5.00 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $5.00 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $2.30 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $1.98 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $1.98 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $1.98 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | $5.21 | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $5.07 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $5.22 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $5.31 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $4.49 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $3.85 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $3.83 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $3.93 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | $5.21 | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $5.00 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $5.31 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $5.35 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $5.11 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $3.58 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $3.55 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $3.57 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +4.2% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +7.0% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +9.2% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +190.9% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +237.9% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +237.9% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +367.7% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 46 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 66 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 69 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 69 | 68 | 61 |
| Position in range (all) | 44 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | -2.6% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -4.6% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -22.1% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -22.1% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -22.1% | 65 | 59 |
| Distance from high (all) | -43.7% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +4.2% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +4.2% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +4.2% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +126.5% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +163.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +163.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +163.1% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | +2.8% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | -0.2% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | -1.8% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | +16.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | +35.2% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | +36.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | +32.6% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 3 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 9 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 15 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 23 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 34 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 4 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 8 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 13 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 26 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 35 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 57 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | 100 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 20 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 27 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 41 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 37 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 40 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 37 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 1.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | $5.22 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | -0.2% | — | — |
| SMA (14) | $5.31 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | -1.8% | — | — |
| SMA (21) | $4.99 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | +4.4% | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | $5.22 | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | -0.2% | — | — |
| EMA (14) | $5.31 | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | -1.8% | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | -0.5% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | +2.4% | 68 | 54 |
| Trend slope (60d) | +1.5% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | +0.5% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.65× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.56× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.58× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.20× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.00× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 9.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +3.2% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +2.2% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +17.0% | 51 | 51 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +15.2% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +14.1% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +13.6% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +9.8% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +8.0% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +8.4% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +34.7% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +42.1% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +60.0% | 50 | 49 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +78.6% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +22.1% | 36 | 41 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +43.7% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 15d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 134d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | 0.31× | 33 | 26 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | 0.19× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 2.66 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 3.06 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 9.3 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 12.24 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | +4.2% | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +4.2% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +79.8% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +79.8% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +79.8% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +5.8% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +5.8% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +34.7% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +34.7% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +34.7% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +0.7% | 26 | 24 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 6 | 29 | 30 |
| Listings on book | 15 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +49.9% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | +5.7% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +0.0% | 5 | 5 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d) | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d) | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d) | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (60d) | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d) | — | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | — | — | — |
| Copies per owner | 12.87× | 72 | 72 |
| Top-1 holder share | +2.2% | 36 | 41 |
| Top-10 holder share | +11.4% | 48 | 49 |
| HHI (top-10) | 15.39 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5) | 10 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d) | — | — | — |
| Absorption (60d) | — | — | — |
| Absorption (90d) | — | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 141d | — | — |
| Days since fixation | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | 1.49× | 63 | 58 |
| Store-price ratio | 1.49× | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | +300.0% | 95 | 95 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.10× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +39.9% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $3.13 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 74 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | +0.0% | 50 | 47 |
| Momentum pillar | 53 | 48 | 47 |
| Scarcity pillar | 50 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 4 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 13 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 39 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 37 | 25 | 29 |
| Data completeness | +81.1% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | -0.12× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | 1.12× | 71 | 78 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | 1.07× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | -0.15× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | 0.45× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | 0.39× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | -0.3% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | -84.4% | 41 | 33 |
| Return vs market (90d) | -72.1% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 2 | 50 | 38 |
| Spike days (60d) | 3 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 4 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 2 | 75 | 75 |
| Dump days (60d) | 3 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 4 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | -8.2% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | -5.4% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | -4.1% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | 0 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | 0 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.