Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 80%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Nov 7, 10:02 PM.
Only 2.4% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~10.8 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Trading 39% over our supply/rarity model's estimate; richly priced versus comparable skins.
Supply is fixed (delisted Oct 5, 2026); every new owner must buy on the market.
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
Katana's most notable feature is its 41% premium to the fair-value model, and that sits awkwardly against a 7.7% decline over the past week (1.5% behind the market median). The supply case is genuine: delisted from the store with 846 units fixed, a 5th-percentile reading on 30d supply growth, and dump days also in the 5th percentile, which points to holders sitting still. Liquidity is the weak link at 21/100, with a 27.2% bid/ask spread between the $14.23 ask and the $10.86 best bid. Beta in the 95th percentile means the recent slide can extend. With that premium intact, patience near the $10.85 bid floor may be worth weighing.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 1d ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | -0.4% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | -2.0% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | -9.8% | 38 | 34 |
| Return (14d) | -15.3% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | +152.1% | 77 | 71 |
| Return (60d) | +37.2% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | — | — | — |
| Return (all) | +37.2% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | -0.4% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | -2.0% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | -10.3% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | -16.6% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | +92.5% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | +31.7% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | — | — | — |
| Log return (all) | +31.7% | — | — |
| High (24h) | $14.09 | — | — |
| High (3d) | $14.32 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $15.56 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $16.58 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $16.99 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $16.99 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $16.99 | — | — |
| High (all) | $16.99 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | $14.09 | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $14.09 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $14.09 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $14.09 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $5.37 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $5.37 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $5.37 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $5.37 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | $14.09 | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $14.23 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $14.75 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $15.30 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $14.15 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $13.58 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $13.58 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $13.58 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | $14.09 | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $14.28 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $14.96 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $15.02 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $15.01 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $14.92 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $14.92 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $14.92 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +1.6% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +10.4% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +17.7% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +216.4% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +216.4% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +216.4% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +216.4% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 0 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 75 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 75 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 75 | 78 | 75 |
| Position in range (all) | 75 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | -0.4% | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | -2.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | -9.8% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -15.3% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -17.4% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -17.4% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -17.4% | 77 | 72 |
| Distance from high (all) | -17.4% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | -0.4% | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | -0.4% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | -0.4% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | -0.4% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +161.5% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +161.5% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +161.5% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +161.5% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | -0.4% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | -1.3% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | -4.8% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | -8.2% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | -0.8% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | +3.4% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | +3.4% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | +3.4% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 2 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 7 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 7 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 7 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 7 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 2 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 5 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 10 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 18 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 21 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 21 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 21 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 17 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 17 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 28 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 25 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 25 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 25 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | $14.75 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | -4.8% | — | — |
| SMA (14) | $15.30 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | -8.2% | — | — |
| SMA (21) | $15.28 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | -8.1% | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | $14.75 | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | -4.8% | — | — |
| EMA (14) | $15.30 | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | -8.2% | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | -1.2% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | +1.4% | 60 | 50 |
| Trend slope (60d) | +1.8% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | +1.8% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | +1.8% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.87× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.22× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.34× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.34× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.34× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 10d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +1.9% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +2.5% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +22.4% | 72 | 71 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +22.5% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +22.5% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +22.5% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +3.5% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +6.9% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +6.9% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +17.1% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +47.5% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +47.5% | 23 | 25 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +47.5% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +17.1% | 24 | 29 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +17.1% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 24d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 24d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | 2.04× | 90 | 83 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | 0.67× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 5.18 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 5.28 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 27.16 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 28.85 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | +0.1% | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +4.6% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +216.4% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +216.4% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +216.4% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +4.3% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +4.7% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +14.7% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +25.8% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +25.8% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | +0.2% | 69 | 67 |
| On-market % | +2.4% | 80 | 83 |
| Days to clear listings | 10d | 36 | 29 |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 15 | 65 | 74 |
| Listings on book | 20 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +33.1% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | +0.3% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +0.0% | 5 | 5 |
| Supply growth (60d) | — | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d) | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d) | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d) | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (60d) | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d) | — | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | — | — | — |
| Copies per owner | 10.85× | 46 | 46 |
| Top-1 holder share | +5.3% | 71 | 76 |
| Top-10 holder share | +16.4% | 65 | 71 |
| HHI (top-10) | 42.88 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5) | 10 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d) | — | — | — |
| Absorption (60d) | — | — | — |
| Absorption (90d) | — | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 48d | — | — |
| Days since fixation | 33d | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | -33d | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | — | — | — |
| Store-price ratio | 3.51× | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | +39.0% | 61 | 62 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.25× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +28.1% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $7.22 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 48 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | -5.6% | 38 | 34 |
| Momentum pillar | 55 | 54 | 57 |
| Scarcity pillar | 57 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 16 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 28 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 43 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 44 | 53 | 58 |
| Data completeness | +80.0% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | -0.31× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | 3.16× | 95 | 95 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | 3.12× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | -0.40× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | 0.59× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | 0.60× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | -11.1% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | -7.3% | 77 | 70 |
| Return vs market (90d) | — | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 2 | 50 | 50 |
| Spike days (60d) | 2 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 2 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 0 | 5 | 5 |
| Dump days (60d) | 2 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 2 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | -0.4% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | -0.4% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | -0.4% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | 2 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | 0 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | 0 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.