Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 75%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Oct 8, 11:02 AM.
Only 0.7% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~12.6 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.
Trading within 5% of its highest recorded price: historically stretched, with limited room to run.
Average price up 52% over the past week versus the prior week.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Trading 211% over our supply/rarity model's estimate; richly priced versus comparable skins.
Unique owners up 8% this week; new holders are arriving.
Supply is fixed (delisted Sep 21, 2026); every new owner must buy on the market.
The listed price sits 105% above the best standing bid of $8.22; you could not actually sell there right now.
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The headline number is the gap between the $17.06 ask and the $8.19 best standing bid, a 70.3% spread that leaves the listed price 108% above any real bid. That phantom structure sits alongside a 7d move of +44.8% and a position in the 95th percentile of the market's 90d range, which in this single-regime market reads as fade-risk rather than continuation. The model puts the ask 208% above fair value, and liquidity scores 4/100 against just 5 active listings. Supply is genuinely fixed at 833 units with 66 owners (concentrated, though the holder base is widening), but the overall grade of D (32/100) reflects price running well ahead of that scarcity.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 20h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | -1.2% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | -0.7% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | -1.2% | 66 | 68 |
| Return (14d) | +57.0% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | +45.9% | 95 | 95 |
| Return (60d) | — | — | — |
| Return (90d) | — | — | — |
| Return (all) | +45.9% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | -1.2% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | -0.7% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | -1.2% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | +45.1% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | +37.8% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | — | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | — | — | — |
| Log return (all) | +37.8% | — | — |
| High (24h) | $16.86 | — | — |
| High (3d) | $17.06 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $17.07 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $17.07 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $17.07 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $17.07 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $17.07 | — | — |
| High (all) | $17.07 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | $16.86 | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $16.86 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $16.86 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $10.30 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $8.07 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $8.07 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $8.07 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $8.07 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | $16.86 | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $16.97 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $17.01 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $13.74 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $12.70 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $12.70 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $12.70 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $12.70 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | $16.86 | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $16.98 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $17.06 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $13.80 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $10.74 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $10.74 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $10.74 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $10.74 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +1.2% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +1.2% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +65.7% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +111.5% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +111.5% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +111.5% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +111.5% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 97 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 98 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 98 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 98 | 95 | 95 |
| Position in range (all) | 98 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | -1.2% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | -1.2% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -1.2% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -1.2% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -1.2% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -1.2% | 95 | 95 |
| Distance from high (all) | -1.2% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +63.7% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +108.9% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +108.9% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +108.9% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +108.9% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | -0.6% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | -0.9% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | +22.7% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | +32.7% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | +32.7% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | +32.7% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | +32.7% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 2 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 3 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 3 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 3 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 3 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 1 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 3 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 7 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 8 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 8 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 8 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 8 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | 50 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 25 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 22 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 27 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 27 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 27 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 27 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | +7.1% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | +6.2% | 95 | 95 |
| Trend slope (60d) | +6.2% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | +6.2% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | +6.2% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.73× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.71× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.71× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.71× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.71× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | — | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +0.7% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +17.1% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +20.3% | 77 | 74 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +20.3% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +20.3% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +20.3% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +10.4% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +10.4% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +10.4% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +30.2% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +30.2% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +30.2% | 5 | 5 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +30.2% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +1.2% | 5 | 5 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +1.2% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 5.0d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 5.0d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | 0.51× | 93 | 93 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | 0.51× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 1.68 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 1.68 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 4.2 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 4.2 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | +0.5% | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +65.7% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +65.7% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +65.7% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +65.7% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +1.2% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +1.9% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +30.2% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +30.2% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +30.2% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +0.7% | 13 | 15 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 7 | 13 | 15 |
| Listings on book | 6 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +68.9% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | +6.4% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | — | — | — |
| Supply growth (60d) | — | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d) | +8.2% | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d) | +17.9% | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d) | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (60d) | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d) | — | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 28.72 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | — | — | — |
| Copies per owner | 12.62× | 71 | 69 |
| Top-1 holder share | +1.8% | 31 | 25 |
| Top-10 holder share | +10.7% | 43 | 33 |
| HHI (top-10) | 13.07 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5) | 10 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d) | — | — | — |
| Absorption (60d) | — | — | — |
| Absorption (90d) | — | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 50d | — | — |
| Days since fixation | 16d | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | -16d | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | — | — | — |
| Store-price ratio | 2.59× | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | +211.0% | 84 | 84 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.26× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +51.2% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $8.14 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 50 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | +2.2% | 66 | 68 |
| Momentum pillar | 61 | 80 | 77 |
| Scarcity pillar | 65 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 5 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 1 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 28 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 38 | 15 | 10 |
| Data completeness | +74.7% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | 1.97× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | 0.76× | 70 | 74 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | 0.76× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | 0.40× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | 0.13× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | 0.13× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | +57.3% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | +49.9% | 93 | 95 |
| Return vs market (90d) | — | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 2 | 75 | 75 |
| Spike days (60d) | 2 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 2 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 1 | 25 | 25 |
| Dump days (60d) | 1 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 1 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | -1.0% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | -1.0% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | -1.0% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | 1 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | 1 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | 1 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.