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The dedicated S&box cosmetics market tracker. Live prices, drops and supply for every sbox skin on the Steam Community Market.

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Back to Hoodie And Jacket

Hoodie And Jacketfull analytics

Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 79%.

Overall rating

?
Insight Engine v2
56/ 100
B
Momentum48
Scarcity62
Liquidity49
Value83
Risk40

Recomputed each sync: last updated Sep 20, 7:02 PM.

Signal narrative

Slightly bearish
Sharp decline !!!

Price down 27.7% in 24h: significant selling pressure.

Extremely scarce !!!

Only 59 total in existence. Scarcity drives value.

Concentrated ownership

~8.4 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.

Legendary rarity !!

Graded legendary: top-tier rarity that collectors seek.

Weekly downtrend !!

Average price down 60% over the past week versus the prior week.

High volatility

Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.

Deep drawdown

Down 97% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.

Lagging the market !!

21pts behind the median skin this week, underperforming its peers.

Below modelled fair value !!

Trading 44% under our supply/rarity model's estimate; looks cheap versus comparable skins.

Phantom price !!

The listed price sits 53% above the best standing bid of $5.58; you could not actually sell there right now.

Market-wide fear

The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.

Signals are informational only: not financial advice.

Signal Analysis

Insight Engine

Hoodie And Jacket has given back 60.3% over seven days and 27.7% in the last 24 hours alone, leaving the ask at $8.55 and the 30d trend slope in the 5th percentile of the market. The model reads that as 44.2% below fair value, and in this single-regime market sharp drawdowns have historically tended to recover, which frames the decline as a possible recovery setup rather than a trend to extrapolate. The caveat is the order book: a 42.0% bid/ask spread with the best standing bid at $5.58 means the listed price floats 53% above real demand, and with 59 units held by 7 owners across 7 listings, a single seller can reset the print. Return stdev sits in the 95th percentile.

AI-generated from live market data Β· updated 4h ago Β· Not financial advice β€” automated analysis for informational purposes only.

Price action

108/113 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Return (24h)-27.7%β€”β€”
Return (3d)-27.7%β€”β€”
Return (7d)-27.2%
17
18
Return (14d)-66.6%β€”β€”
Return (30d)-53.3%
5
6
Return (60d)-86.3%β€”β€”
Return (90d)-86.3%
19
17
Return (all)-86.3%β€”β€”
Log return (24h)-32.4%β€”β€”
Log return (3d)-32.4%β€”β€”
Log return (7d)-31.8%β€”β€”
Log return (14d)-109.6%β€”β€”
Log return (30d)-76.1%β€”β€”
Log return (60d)-198.6%β€”β€”
Log return (90d)-198.6%β€”β€”
Log return (all)-198.6%β€”β€”
High (24h)$8.55β€”β€”
High (3d)$11.82β€”β€”
High (7d)$11.86β€”β€”
High (14d)$25.60β€”β€”
High (30d)$295.81β€”β€”
High (60d)$295.81β€”β€”
High (90d)$295.81β€”β€”
High (all)$295.81β€”β€”
Low (24h)$8.55β€”β€”
Low (3d)$8.55β€”β€”
Low (7d)$7.78β€”β€”
Low (14d)$7.78β€”β€”
Low (30d)$7.78β€”β€”
Low (60d)$7.78β€”β€”
Low (90d)$7.78β€”β€”
Low (all)$7.78β€”β€”
Mean price (24h)$8.55β€”β€”
Mean price (3d)$10.19β€”β€”
Mean price (7d)$10.60β€”β€”
Mean price (14d)$13.50β€”β€”
Mean price (30d)$48.78β€”β€”
Mean price (60d)$37.35β€”β€”
Mean price (90d)$37.35β€”β€”
Mean price (all)$37.35β€”β€”
Median price (24h)$8.55β€”β€”
Median price (3d)$10.19β€”β€”
Median price (7d)$11.79β€”β€”
Median price (14d)$11.84β€”β€”
Median price (30d)$18.49β€”β€”
Median price (60d)$22.22β€”β€”
Median price (90d)$22.22β€”β€”
Median price (all)$22.22β€”β€”
Range % (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Range % (3d)+38.2%β€”β€”
Range % (7d)+52.4%β€”β€”
Range % (14d)+229.0%β€”β€”
Range % (30d)+3702.2%β€”β€”
Range % (60d)+3702.2%β€”β€”
Range % (90d)+3702.2%β€”β€”
Range % (all)+3702.2%β€”β€”
Position in range (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Position in range (3d)β€”β€”β€”
Position in range (7d)β€”β€”β€”
Position in range (14d)4β€”β€”
Position in range (30d)0β€”β€”
Position in range (60d)0β€”β€”
Position in range (90d)0
25
26
Position in range (all)0β€”β€”
Distance from high (24h)+0.0%β€”β€”
Distance from high (3d)-27.7%β€”β€”
Distance from high (7d)-27.9%β€”β€”
Distance from high (14d)-66.6%β€”β€”
Distance from high (30d)-97.1%β€”β€”
Distance from high (60d)-97.1%β€”β€”
Distance from high (90d)-97.1%
11
9
Distance from high (all)-97.1%β€”β€”
Distance from low (24h)+0.0%β€”β€”
Distance from low (3d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Distance from low (7d)+9.9%β€”β€”
Distance from low (14d)+9.9%β€”β€”
Distance from low (30d)+9.9%β€”β€”
Distance from low (60d)+9.9%β€”β€”
Distance from low (90d)+9.9%β€”β€”
Distance from low (all)+9.9%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (24h)+0.0%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (3d)-16.1%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (7d)-19.3%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (14d)-36.6%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (30d)-82.5%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (60d)-77.1%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (90d)-77.1%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (all)-77.1%β€”β€”
Up days (24h)0β€”β€”
Up days (3d)0β€”β€”
Up days (7d)2β€”β€”
Up days (14d)2β€”β€”
Up days (30d)6β€”β€”
Up days (60d)13β€”β€”
Up days (90d)13β€”β€”
Up days (all)13β€”β€”
Down days (24h)0β€”β€”
Down days (3d)1β€”β€”
Down days (7d)3β€”β€”
Down days (14d)7β€”β€”
Down days (30d)12β€”β€”
Down days (60d)21β€”β€”
Down days (90d)21β€”β€”
Down days (all)21β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (3d)0β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (7d)40β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (14d)22β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (30d)33β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (60d)38β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (90d)38β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (all)38β€”β€”
Up-day streak0.0dβ€”β€”

Trend

11/38 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
SMA (7)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (7)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (14)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (14)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (21)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (21)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (30)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (30)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (50)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (50)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (90)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (90)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (100)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (100)β€”β€”β€”
EMA (7)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs EMA (7)β€”β€”β€”
EMA (14)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs EMA (14)β€”β€”β€”
EMA (30)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs EMA (30)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (7)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (14)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (21)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (30)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (50)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (100)β€”β€”β€”
Trend slope (14d)-9.9%β€”β€”
Trend slope (30d)-7.5%
5
5
Trend slope (60d)+0.4%β€”β€”
Trend slope (90d)+0.4%β€”β€”
Trend slope (all)+0.4%β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (14d)0.60Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (30d)0.10Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (60d)0.00Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (90d)0.00Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (all)0.00Γ—β€”β€”
SMA 7/30 crossβ€”β€”β€”
Days since trend flip17dβ€”β€”

Volatility & risk

33/33 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Return stdev (7d)+32.8%β€”β€”
Return stdev (14d)+27.2%β€”β€”
Return stdev (30d)+69.4%
95
95
Return stdev (60d)+51.8%β€”β€”
Return stdev (90d)+51.8%β€”β€”
Return stdev (all)+51.8%β€”β€”
Downside deviation (30d)+25.7%β€”β€”
Downside deviation (60d)+22.5%β€”β€”
Downside deviation (90d)+22.5%β€”β€”
Max drawdown (30d)+97.4%β€”β€”
Max drawdown (60d)+97.4%β€”β€”
Max drawdown (90d)+97.4%
89
91
Max drawdown (all)+97.4%β€”β€”
Current drawdown (90d)+97.1%
89
91
Current drawdown (all)+97.1%β€”β€”
Drawdown duration (90d)21dβ€”β€”
Drawdown duration (all)21dβ€”β€”
Sortino ratio (30d)1.10Γ—
95
95
Sortino ratio (90d)0.58Γ—β€”β€”
Return skew (30d)4.49β€”β€”
Return skew (90d)6.18β€”β€”
Excess kurtosis (30d)20.97β€”β€”
Excess kurtosis (90d)40.45β€”β€”
Largest up day (7d)+51.9%β€”β€”
Largest up day (14d)+51.9%β€”β€”
Largest up day (30d)+749.9%β€”β€”
Largest up day (60d)+749.9%β€”β€”
Largest up day (90d)+749.9%β€”β€”
Largest down day (7d)+33.8%β€”β€”
Largest down day (14d)+33.8%β€”β€”
Largest down day (30d)+89.0%β€”β€”
Largest down day (60d)+89.0%β€”β€”
Largest down day (90d)+89.0%β€”β€”

Liquidity

5/20 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Turnover %β€”β€”β€”
On-market %+11.9%
95
95
Days to clear listingsβ€”β€”β€”
Lifetime sales / dayneeds provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime salesβ€”β€”
Liquidity score69
95
95
Listings on book7β€”β€”
Amihud illiquidity (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Amihud illiquidity (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Amihud illiquidity (90d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Zero-sale-day share (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Zero-sale-day share (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Zero-sale-day share (90d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (7d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (14d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Bid-ask spread %+42.0%β€”β€”
Near-mid bid imbalanceβ€”β€”β€”
Bid-depth trend (7d)β€”β€”β€”
Bid-floor migration (7d)-45.9%β€”β€”

Supply & ownership

17/21 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Supply growth (7d)+5.4%β€”β€”
Supply growth (14d)+18.0%β€”β€”
Supply growth (30d)+90.3%
95
95
Supply growth (60d)+742.9%β€”β€”
Supply growth (90d)+1866.7%β€”β€”
Owner growth (7d)n/s+16.7%β€”β€”
Owner growth (14d)n/s+16.7%β€”β€”
Owner growth (30d)n/s+40.0%
93
94
Owner growth (60d)n/sβ€”β€”β€”
Owner growth (90d)n/sβ€”β€”β€”
Mint rate (7d)0.5β€”β€”
Mint rate (30d)0.97β€”β€”
Supply doubling time32dβ€”β€”
Copies per ownern/s8.43Γ—
23
22
Top-1 holder sharen/s+5.1%
70
66
Top-10 holder sharen/s+15.3%
62
52
HHI (top-10)n/s43.09β€”β€”
Whale count (β‰₯5)n/s0β€”β€”
Absorption (30d)n/s-50.3%
5
5
Absorption (60d)n/sβ€”β€”β€”
Absorption (90d)n/sβ€”β€”β€”

Lifecycle & value

14/18 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Age63dβ€”β€”
Days since fixationn/sβ€”β€”β€”
Days until leaving storen/sβ€”β€”β€”
Release-price multipleβ€”β€”β€”
Store-price ratioβ€”β€”β€”
Fair-value residual-44.3%
29
31
Price per scarcity point0.14Γ—β€”β€”
Instant-sell discount+34.7%β€”β€”
Bid-floor backing$4.23β€”β€”
Accumulation score60β€”β€”
Market-relative 7d return-20.8%
17
18
Momentum pillar48
27
21
Scarcity pillar62β€”β€”
Liquidity pillar49β€”β€”
Value pillar83β€”β€”
Risk pillar40β€”β€”
Overall rating56
77
76
Data completeness+79.3%β€”β€”

Relative to market

9/9 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Beta vs market (14d)-1.07Γ—β€”β€”
Beta vs market (30d)-2.71Γ—
5
5
Beta vs market (90d)-1.53Γ—β€”β€”
Market correlation (14d)-0.20Γ—β€”β€”
Market correlation (30d)-0.07Γ—β€”β€”
Market correlation (90d)-0.08Γ—β€”β€”
Return vs market (14d)-62.3%β€”β€”
Return vs market (30d)-53.1%
5
7
Return vs market (90d)-90.6%β€”β€”

Events

12/15 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Spike days (30d)3
90
90
Spike days (60d)6β€”β€”
Spike days (90d)6β€”β€”
Dump days (30d)6
95
95
Dump days (60d)11β€”β€”
Dump days (90d)11β€”β€”
Post-spike reversion (30d)+29.5%β€”β€”
Post-spike reversion (60d)+18.6%β€”β€”
Post-spike reversion (90d)+18.6%β€”β€”
Listing shocks (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listing shocks (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listing shocks (90d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Net spike bias (30d)-3β€”β€”
Net spike bias (60d)-5β€”β€”
Net spike bias (90d)-5β€”β€”

Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. β€œn/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.