Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 83%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Nov 14, 6:02 AM.
Only 3.1% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~7.4 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Down 66% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.
10pts behind the median skin this week, underperforming its peers.
Trading 99% over our supply/rarity model's estimate; richly priced versus comparable skins.
Supply is fixed (delisted Aug 17, 2026); every new owner must buy on the market.
Order-book support has been building (accumulation score 66/100), with bid depth, value and floor all rising over the past week.
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The most notable figure here is the gap between the $27.08 lowest ask and the $10.32 median sale price, with the ask sitting 95.7% above the model's fair value and a bid/ask spread of 112.8% against a best standing bid of $7.55. Fixed supply supports the floor (516 units in existence after delisting, 214 lifetime store buyers, up from a $3.00 store price), but liquidity scores 19/100 and the 7d move is -6.8%, trailing the market median by 10.8%. The 90d return still ranks in the 95th percentile, so the contrarian read is that this is spike aftermath rather than momentum. With the overall grade at C (45/100), patience around the bid side looks more defensible than chasing the ask.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 1d ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | +0.7% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | +0.9% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | -12.2% | 18 | 17 |
| Return (14d) | -12.5% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | +168.7% | 95 | 95 |
| Return (60d) | +168.9% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | +674.2% | 95 | 95 |
| Return (all) | +674.2% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | +0.7% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | +0.9% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | -13.0% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | -13.4% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | +98.9% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | +98.9% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | +204.7% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | +204.7% | — | — |
| High (24h) | $27.33 | — | — |
| High (3d) | $27.33 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $31.11 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $31.25 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $33.00 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $33.00 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $81.49 | — | — |
| High (all) | $81.49 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | $27.33 | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $27.08 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $27.08 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $27.08 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $10.12 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $7.53 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $2.77 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $2.77 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | $27.33 | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $27.19 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $28.22 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $29.69 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $23.09 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $17.01 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $14.92 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $14.92 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | $27.33 | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $27.15 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $27.15 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $31.10 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $27.12 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $10.62 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $10.39 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $10.39 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +0.9% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +14.9% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +15.4% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +226.1% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +338.2% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +2841.9% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +2841.9% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 6 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 75 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 78 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 31 | 31 | 36 |
| Position in range (all) | 31 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | -12.2% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -12.5% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -17.2% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -17.2% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -66.5% | 14 | 17 |
| Distance from high (all) | -66.5% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +0.9% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +0.9% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +0.9% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +170.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +262.9% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +886.6% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +886.6% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | +0.5% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | -3.1% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | -8.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | +18.4% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | +60.7% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | +83.2% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | +83.2% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 2 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 2 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 4 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 12 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 18 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 25 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 25 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 3 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 5 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 12 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 24 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 39 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 39 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | 100 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 40 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 44 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 50 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 43 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 39 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 39 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 2.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | $28.22 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | -3.1% | — | — |
| SMA (14) | $29.69 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | -8.0% | — | — |
| SMA (21) | $27.82 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | -1.7% | — | — |
| SMA (30) | $23.09 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | +18.4% | 90 | 93 |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | $28.22 | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | -3.1% | — | — |
| EMA (14) | $29.69 | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | -8.0% | — | — |
| EMA (30) | $23.09 | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | +18.4% | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | -1.3% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | +3.5% | 95 | 95 |
| Trend slope (60d) | +2.9% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | +1.9% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | +1.9% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.72× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.61× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.67× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.30× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.30× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | +22.2% | 92 | 95 |
| Days since trend flip | 11d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +5.1% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +3.5% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +18.6% | 72 | 74 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +15.1% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +44.5% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +44.5% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +4.2% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +5.6% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +15.2% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +17.9% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +29.1% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +90.8% | 94 | 95 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +90.8% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +66.5% | 86 | 83 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +66.5% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 75d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 75d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | 1.38× | 92 | 94 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | 1.48× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 4.97 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 8.48 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 25.7 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 73.6 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | +0.7% | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +0.7% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +157.4% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +157.4% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +1528.2% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +11.7% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +11.7% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +11.7% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +18.4% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +89.4% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +3.1% | 86 | 86 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 27 | 87 | 86 |
| Listings on book | 16 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +110.4% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | +11.7% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +0.0% | 5 | 5 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +20.6% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d) | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d) | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d) | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (60d) | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d) | — | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | — | — | — |
| Copies per owner | 7.37× | 17 | 16 |
| Top-1 holder share | +18.8% | 95 | 95 |
| Top-10 holder share | +35.1% | 95 | 95 |
| HHI (top-10) | 386.43 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5) | 10 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d) | — | — | — |
| Absorption (60d) | — | — | — |
| Absorption (90d) | — | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 97d | — | — |
| Days since fixation | 88d | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | -88d | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | — | — | — |
| Store-price ratio | 9.11× | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | +99.0% | 76 | 79 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.43× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +71.8% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $7.45 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 66 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | -10.2% | 18 | 17 |
| Momentum pillar | 57 | 78 | 78 |
| Scarcity pillar | 64 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 19 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 28 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 39 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 44 | 54 | 52 |
| Data completeness | +83.0% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | -0.08× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | 0.00× | 44 | 34 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | 1.48× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | -0.08× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | 0.00× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | 0.05× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | -8.6% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | +127.0% | 95 | 95 |
| Return vs market (90d) | +542.3% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 2 | 75 | 75 |
| Spike days (60d) | 4 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 8 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 0 | 5 | 5 |
| Dump days (60d) | 2 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 4 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | -1.0% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | +0.1% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | -15.2% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | 2 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | 2 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | 4 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.