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Back to Hard Hat

Hard Hatfull analytics

Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 10%.

Overall rating

?Collector grade
Insight Engine v2
63/ 100
B
Momentum62
Scarcity84
Liquidityβ€”
Value0
Risk79

Recomputed each sync: last updated Oct 31, 5:02 AM.

Signal narrative

Bullish
Extremely scarce !!!

Only 35 total in existence. Scarcity drives value.

High scarcity score !!!

Scarcity score 84/100: distribution, liquidity, and supply all point scarce.

Delisted from store !!

No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.

Above modelled fair value !!

Trading 300% over our supply/rarity model's estimate; richly priced versus comparable skins.

Fixed supply

Supply is fixed; every new owner must buy on the market.

Strong bid floor !!

Real buy support at $1893.31: cumulative standing bids you could sell a few copies into without the price collapsing.

Signals are informational only: not financial advice.

Signal Analysis

Insight Engine

Only 35 units of Hard Hat exist, and with the item delisted from the store that supply is fixed, which is what drives the 84/100 scarcity score and a 5th-percentile reading on 30-day supply growth. The order book is the standout detail: the best standing bid of $2000.00 and a cumulative bid floor of $1888.07 both sit above the $1649.22 lowest ask, an unusual configuration for an item whose price has not moved in 24h. Against that, the model reads the price at 300% above fair value, hence the 0/100 value score. Holder concentration is extreme (95th percentile on both top-1 and top-10 share), so the 79/100 safety grade rests on scarcity rather than breadth, with just 34 lifetime buyers behind it.

AI-generated from live market data Β· updated 1d ago Β· Not financial advice β€” automated analysis for informational purposes only.

Price action

2/113 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Return (24h)+0.0%β€”β€”
Return (3d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Return (7d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Return (14d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Return (30d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Return (60d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Return (90d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Return (all)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Log return (24h)+0.0%β€”β€”
Log return (3d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Log return (7d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Log return (14d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Log return (30d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Log return (60d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Log return (90d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Log return (all)needs price historyβ€”β€”
High (24h)needs price historyβ€”β€”
High (3d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
High (7d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
High (14d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
High (30d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
High (60d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
High (90d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
High (all)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Low (24h)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Low (3d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Low (7d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Low (14d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Low (30d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Low (60d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Low (90d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Low (all)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Mean price (24h)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Mean price (3d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Mean price (7d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Mean price (14d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Mean price (30d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Mean price (60d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Mean price (90d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Mean price (all)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Median price (24h)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Median price (3d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Median price (7d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Median price (14d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Median price (30d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Median price (60d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Median price (90d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Median price (all)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Range % (24h)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Range % (3d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Range % (7d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Range % (14d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Range % (30d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Range % (60d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Range % (90d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Range % (all)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Position in range (24h)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Position in range (3d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Position in range (7d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Position in range (14d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Position in range (30d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Position in range (60d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Position in range (90d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Position in range (all)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Distance from high (24h)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Distance from high (3d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Distance from high (7d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Distance from high (14d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Distance from high (30d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Distance from high (60d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Distance from high (90d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Distance from high (all)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Distance from low (24h)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Distance from low (3d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Distance from low (7d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Distance from low (14d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Distance from low (30d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Distance from low (60d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Distance from low (90d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Distance from low (all)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Price vs mean (24h)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Price vs mean (3d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Price vs mean (7d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Price vs mean (14d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Price vs mean (30d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Price vs mean (60d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Price vs mean (90d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Price vs mean (all)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Up days (24h)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Up days (3d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Up days (7d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Up days (14d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Up days (30d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Up days (60d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Up days (90d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Up days (all)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Down days (24h)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Down days (3d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Down days (7d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Down days (14d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Down days (30d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Down days (60d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Down days (90d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Down days (all)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Up-day ratio (24h)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Up-day ratio (3d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Up-day ratio (7d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Up-day ratio (14d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Up-day ratio (30d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Up-day ratio (60d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Up-day ratio (90d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Up-day ratio (all)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Up-day streakneeds price historyβ€”β€”

Trend

0/38 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
SMA (7)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Price vs SMA (7)needs price historyβ€”β€”
SMA (14)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Price vs SMA (14)needs price historyβ€”β€”
SMA (21)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Price vs SMA (21)needs price historyβ€”β€”
SMA (30)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Price vs SMA (30)needs price historyβ€”β€”
SMA (50)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Price vs SMA (50)needs price historyβ€”β€”
SMA (90)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Price vs SMA (90)needs price historyβ€”β€”
SMA (100)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Price vs SMA (100)needs price historyβ€”β€”
EMA (7)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Price vs EMA (7)needs price historyβ€”β€”
EMA (14)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Price vs EMA (14)needs price historyβ€”β€”
EMA (30)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Price vs EMA (30)needs price historyβ€”β€”
RSI (7)needs price historyβ€”β€”
RSI (14)needs price historyβ€”β€”
RSI (21)needs price historyβ€”β€”
RSI (30)needs price historyβ€”β€”
RSI (50)needs price historyβ€”β€”
RSI (100)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Trend slope (14d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Trend slope (30d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Trend slope (60d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Trend slope (90d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Trend slope (all)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (14d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (30d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (60d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (90d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (all)needs price historyβ€”β€”
SMA 7/30 crossneeds price historyβ€”β€”
Days since trend flipneeds price historyβ€”β€”

Volatility & risk

0/33 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Return stdev (7d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Return stdev (14d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Return stdev (30d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Return stdev (60d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Return stdev (90d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Return stdev (all)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Downside deviation (30d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Downside deviation (60d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Downside deviation (90d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Max drawdown (30d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Max drawdown (60d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Max drawdown (90d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Max drawdown (all)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Current drawdown (90d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Current drawdown (all)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Drawdown duration (90d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Drawdown duration (all)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Sortino ratio (30d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Sortino ratio (90d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Return skew (30d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Return skew (90d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Excess kurtosis (30d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Excess kurtosis (90d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Largest up day (7d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Largest up day (14d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Largest up day (30d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Largest up day (60d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Largest up day (90d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Largest down day (7d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Largest down day (14d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Largest down day (30d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Largest down day (60d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Largest down day (90d)needs price historyβ€”β€”

Liquidity

1/20 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Turnover %β€”β€”β€”
On-market %β€”β€”β€”
Days to clear listingsβ€”β€”β€”
Lifetime sales / dayneeds provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime salesβ€”β€”
Liquidity scoreβ€”β€”β€”
Listings on bookβ€”β€”β€”
Amihud illiquidity (30d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Amihud illiquidity (60d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Amihud illiquidity (90d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Zero-sale-day share (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Zero-sale-day share (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Zero-sale-day share (90d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (7d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (14d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Bid-ask spread %β€”β€”β€”
Near-mid bid imbalanceβ€”β€”β€”
Bid-depth trend (7d)β€”β€”β€”
Bid-floor migration (7d)-0.3%β€”β€”

Supply & ownership

12/21 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Supply growth (7d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Supply growth (14d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Supply growth (30d)+0.0%
5
5
Supply growth (60d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Supply growth (90d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Owner growth (7d)β€”β€”β€”
Owner growth (14d)β€”β€”β€”
Owner growth (30d)β€”β€”β€”
Owner growth (60d)β€”β€”β€”
Owner growth (90d)β€”β€”β€”
Mint rate (7d)0β€”β€”
Mint rate (30d)0β€”β€”
Supply doubling timeβ€”β€”β€”
Copies per owner1.67Γ—
5
5
Top-1 holder share+14.3%
95
95
Top-10 holder share+51.4%
95
95
HHI (top-10)391.84β€”β€”
Whale count (β‰₯5)1β€”β€”
Absorption (30d)β€”β€”β€”
Absorption (60d)β€”β€”β€”
Absorption (90d)β€”β€”β€”

Lifecycle & value

12/18 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Age719dβ€”β€”
Days since fixationβ€”β€”β€”
Days until leaving storen/sβ€”β€”β€”
Release-price multipleβ€”β€”β€”
Store-price ratioβ€”β€”β€”
Fair-value residual+300.0%
95
95
Price per scarcity point19.63Γ—β€”β€”
Instant-sell discount-21.3%β€”β€”
Bid-floor backing$1,893.31β€”β€”
Accumulation score50β€”β€”
Market-relative 7d returnneeds the market-relative returnβ€”β€”
Momentum pillar62
90
84
Scarcity pillar84β€”β€”
Liquidity pillarβ€”β€”β€”
Value pillar0β€”β€”
Risk pillar79β€”β€”
Overall rating79
95
95
Data completeness+9.8%β€”β€”

Relative to market

0/9 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Beta vs market (14d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Beta vs market (30d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Beta vs market (90d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Market correlation (14d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Market correlation (30d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Market correlation (90d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Return vs market (14d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Return vs market (30d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Return vs market (90d)needs price historyβ€”β€”

Events

0/15 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Spike days (30d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Spike days (60d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Spike days (90d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Dump days (30d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Dump days (60d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Dump days (90d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Post-spike reversion (30d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Post-spike reversion (60d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Post-spike reversion (90d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Listing shocks (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listing shocks (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listing shocks (90d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Net spike bias (30d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Net spike bias (60d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Net spike bias (90d)needs price historyβ€”β€”

Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. β€œn/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.