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The dedicated S&box cosmetics market tracker. Live prices, drops and supply for every sbox skin on the Steam Community Market.

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Not affiliated with Facepunch Studios or Valve Corporation. S&box is a trademark of Facepunch Studios. Market data may be delayed.

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Back to Hard Hat

Hard Hatfull analytics

Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 13%.

Overall rating

?Collector grade
Insight Engine v2
63/ 100
B
Momentum62
Scarcity84
Liquidityβ€”
Value0
Risk79

Recomputed each sync: last updated Sep 15, 5:02 AM.

Signal narrative

Bullish
Extremely scarce !!!

Only 35 total in existence. Scarcity drives value.

High scarcity score !!!

Scarcity score 84/100: distribution, liquidity, and supply all point scarce.

Delisted from store !!

No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.

Above modelled fair value !!

Trading 300% over our supply/rarity model's estimate; richly priced versus comparable skins.

Fixed supply

Supply is fixed; every new owner must buy on the market.

Strong bid floor !!

Real buy support at $1956.41: cumulative standing bids you could sell a few copies into without the price collapsing.

Market-wide fear

The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.

Signals are informational only: not financial advice.

Signal Analysis

Insight Engine

Hard Hat's order book is the standout detail, with the best standing bid of $2000.00 and a cumulative bid floor of $1967.94 both sitting above the $1649.22 lowest ask. That depth supports a price already 300.0% above the fair-value model, with a value score of 0/100. Supply is fixed at 35 units after the store delisting, held by 21 owners, and the scarcity score reads 84. Concentration is a caveat, as top-1 and top-10 holder shares both rank at the 95th percentile, leaving this thin market exposed to a single large holder. With market-wide fear also flagged, the steep premium might argue for patience, though the bid floor offers some cushion.

AI-generated from live market data Β· updated 14h ago Β· Not financial advice β€” automated analysis for informational purposes only.

Price action

2/113 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Return (24h)+0.0%β€”β€”
Return (3d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Return (7d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Return (14d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Return (30d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Return (60d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Return (90d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Return (all)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Log return (24h)+0.0%β€”β€”
Log return (3d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Log return (7d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Log return (14d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Log return (30d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Log return (60d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Log return (90d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Log return (all)needs price historyβ€”β€”
High (24h)needs price historyβ€”β€”
High (3d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
High (7d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
High (14d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
High (30d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
High (60d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
High (90d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
High (all)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Low (24h)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Low (3d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Low (7d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Low (14d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Low (30d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Low (60d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Low (90d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Low (all)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Mean price (24h)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Mean price (3d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Mean price (7d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Mean price (14d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Mean price (30d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Mean price (60d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Mean price (90d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Mean price (all)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Median price (24h)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Median price (3d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Median price (7d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Median price (14d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Median price (30d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Median price (60d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Median price (90d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Median price (all)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Range % (24h)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Range % (3d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Range % (7d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Range % (14d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Range % (30d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Range % (60d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Range % (90d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Range % (all)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Position in range (24h)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Position in range (3d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Position in range (7d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Position in range (14d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Position in range (30d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Position in range (60d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Position in range (90d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Position in range (all)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Distance from high (24h)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Distance from high (3d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Distance from high (7d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Distance from high (14d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Distance from high (30d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Distance from high (60d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Distance from high (90d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Distance from high (all)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Distance from low (24h)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Distance from low (3d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Distance from low (7d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Distance from low (14d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Distance from low (30d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Distance from low (60d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Distance from low (90d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Distance from low (all)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Price vs mean (24h)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Price vs mean (3d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Price vs mean (7d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Price vs mean (14d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Price vs mean (30d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Price vs mean (60d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Price vs mean (90d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Price vs mean (all)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Up days (24h)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Up days (3d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Up days (7d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Up days (14d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Up days (30d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Up days (60d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Up days (90d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Up days (all)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Down days (24h)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Down days (3d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Down days (7d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Down days (14d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Down days (30d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Down days (60d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Down days (90d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Down days (all)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Up-day ratio (24h)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Up-day ratio (3d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Up-day ratio (7d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Up-day ratio (14d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Up-day ratio (30d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Up-day ratio (60d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Up-day ratio (90d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Up-day ratio (all)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Up-day streakneeds price historyβ€”β€”

Trend

0/38 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
SMA (7)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Price vs SMA (7)needs price historyβ€”β€”
SMA (14)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Price vs SMA (14)needs price historyβ€”β€”
SMA (21)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Price vs SMA (21)needs price historyβ€”β€”
SMA (30)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Price vs SMA (30)needs price historyβ€”β€”
SMA (50)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Price vs SMA (50)needs price historyβ€”β€”
SMA (90)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Price vs SMA (90)needs price historyβ€”β€”
SMA (100)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Price vs SMA (100)needs price historyβ€”β€”
EMA (7)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Price vs EMA (7)needs price historyβ€”β€”
EMA (14)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Price vs EMA (14)needs price historyβ€”β€”
EMA (30)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Price vs EMA (30)needs price historyβ€”β€”
RSI (7)needs price historyβ€”β€”
RSI (14)needs price historyβ€”β€”
RSI (21)needs price historyβ€”β€”
RSI (30)needs price historyβ€”β€”
RSI (50)needs price historyβ€”β€”
RSI (100)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Trend slope (14d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Trend slope (30d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Trend slope (60d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Trend slope (90d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Trend slope (all)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (14d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (30d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (60d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (90d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (all)needs price historyβ€”β€”
SMA 7/30 crossneeds price historyβ€”β€”
Days since trend flipneeds price historyβ€”β€”

Volatility & risk

0/33 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Return stdev (7d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Return stdev (14d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Return stdev (30d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Return stdev (60d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Return stdev (90d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Return stdev (all)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Downside deviation (30d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Downside deviation (60d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Downside deviation (90d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Max drawdown (30d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Max drawdown (60d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Max drawdown (90d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Max drawdown (all)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Current drawdown (90d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Current drawdown (all)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Drawdown duration (90d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Drawdown duration (all)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Sortino ratio (30d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Sortino ratio (90d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Return skew (30d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Return skew (90d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Excess kurtosis (30d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Excess kurtosis (90d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Largest up day (7d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Largest up day (14d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Largest up day (30d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Largest up day (60d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Largest up day (90d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Largest down day (7d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Largest down day (14d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Largest down day (30d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Largest down day (60d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Largest down day (90d)needs price historyβ€”β€”

Liquidity

1/20 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Turnover %β€”β€”β€”
On-market %β€”β€”β€”
Days to clear listingsβ€”β€”β€”
Lifetime sales / dayneeds provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime salesβ€”β€”
Liquidity scoreβ€”β€”β€”
Listings on bookβ€”β€”β€”
Amihud illiquidity (30d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Amihud illiquidity (60d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Amihud illiquidity (90d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Zero-sale-day share (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Zero-sale-day share (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Zero-sale-day share (90d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (7d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (14d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Bid-ask spread %β€”β€”β€”
Near-mid bid imbalanceβ€”β€”β€”
Bid-depth trend (7d)β€”β€”β€”
Bid-floor migration (7d)-0.7%β€”β€”

Supply & ownership

20/21 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Supply growth (7d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Supply growth (14d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Supply growth (30d)+0.0%
5
5
Supply growth (60d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Supply growth (90d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Owner growth (7d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Owner growth (14d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Owner growth (30d)+0.0%
50
50
Owner growth (60d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Owner growth (90d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Mint rate (7d)0β€”β€”
Mint rate (30d)0β€”β€”
Supply doubling timeβ€”β€”β€”
Copies per owner1.67Γ—
5
5
Top-1 holder share+14.3%
95
95
Top-10 holder share+51.4%
95
95
HHI (top-10)391.84β€”β€”
Whale count (β‰₯5)1β€”β€”
Absorption (30d)+0.0%
63
63
Absorption (60d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Absorption (90d)+0.0%β€”β€”

Lifecycle & value

12/18 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Age673dβ€”β€”
Days since fixationβ€”β€”β€”
Days until leaving storen/sβ€”β€”β€”
Release-price multipleβ€”β€”β€”
Store-price ratioβ€”β€”β€”
Fair-value residual+300.0%
95
95
Price per scarcity point19.63Γ—β€”β€”
Instant-sell discount-21.3%β€”β€”
Bid-floor backing$1,956.41β€”β€”
Accumulation score50β€”β€”
Market-relative 7d returnneeds the market-relative returnβ€”β€”
Momentum pillar62
77
78
Scarcity pillar84β€”β€”
Liquidity pillarβ€”β€”β€”
Value pillar0β€”β€”
Risk pillar79β€”β€”
Overall rating79
95
95
Data completeness+12.8%β€”β€”

Relative to market

0/9 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Beta vs market (14d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Beta vs market (30d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Beta vs market (90d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Market correlation (14d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Market correlation (30d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Market correlation (90d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Return vs market (14d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Return vs market (30d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Return vs market (90d)needs price historyβ€”β€”

Events

0/15 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Spike days (30d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Spike days (60d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Spike days (90d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Dump days (30d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Dump days (60d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Dump days (90d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Post-spike reversion (30d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Post-spike reversion (60d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Post-spike reversion (90d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Listing shocks (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listing shocks (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listing shocks (90d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Net spike bias (30d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Net spike bias (60d)needs price historyβ€”β€”
Net spike bias (90d)needs price historyβ€”β€”

Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. β€œn/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.