Halloween Jeans 2025full analytics

Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 258 values across 7 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 90%.

Overall rating

?Fixed supply

Insight Engine v2

43/ 100

Momentum50

Scarcity29

Liquidity30

Value50

Risk50

Recomputed each sync: last updated Jul 9, 10:02 PM.

Signal narrative

Bullish

Strong upward momentum !!!

Price up 21.8% in 24h: significant bullish movement.

Elevated supply

8,117 total supply: already fairly common, limiting the scarcity premium.

Holders are holding !!

Only 0.4% of supply listed: low sell pressure.

Illiquid

No sales in the last 24h; it may be hard to buy or sell at the quoted price.

Concentrated ownership

~15.4 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.

Delisted from store !!

No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.

Oversold (RSI) !!

RSI 27: beaten down and due for a potential bounce.

Signal Analysis

Insight Engine

Halloween Jeans 2025 shows a sharp 21.8% jump in the last 24 hours, but this reads as fade-risk rather than continuation, in line with the contrarian momentum flag and a 7d change still down 12.0% overall. The ask of $3.75 sits 67.7% above the fair-value model, a wide gap flagged as trading above modelled fair value, while the order book shows a 19.6% bid/ask spread and a best bid of just $3.08, matching the median sale price. Liquidity is thin, with only 1 unit traded in 24h against 32 active listings, and ownership is concentrated across 528 holders for 8117 units. With supply fixed following the store delisting, the setup pairs a real scarcity story against a price that has already run well ahead of model value.

AI-generated from live market data · updated 6h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.

Price action

108/113 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Return (24h)	+21.8%	—	—
Return (3d)	-1.1%	—	—
Return (7d)	-1.8%	58	62
Return (14d)

Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.

Trend

30/38 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
SMA (7)	$3.80	—	—
Price vs SMA (7)	-1.2%	—	—
SMA (14)	$4.06	—	—
Price vs SMA (14)	-7.6%	—	—
SMA (21)	$4.71	—	—
Price vs SMA (21)	-20.4%	—	—
SMA (30)	$4.92	—	—
Price vs SMA (30)	-23.8%	46	50
SMA (50)	$6.32	—	—
Price vs SMA (50)	-40.7%	—	—
SMA (90)	$10.69	—	—
Price vs SMA (90)	-64.9%	—	—
SMA (100)	—	—	—
Price vs SMA (100)	—	—	—
EMA (7)	$3.80	—	—
Price vs EMA (7)	-1.2%	—	—
EMA (14)	$4.06	—	—
Price vs EMA (14)	-7.6%	—	—
EMA (30)	$4.92	—	—
Price vs EMA (30)	-23.8%	—	—
RSI (7)	—	—	—
RSI (14)	—	—	—
RSI (21)	—	—	—
RSI (30)	—	—	—
RSI (50)	—	—	—
RSI (100)	—	—	—
Trend slope (14d)	-2.0%	—	—
Trend slope (30d)	-1.8%	53	56
Trend slope (60d)	-1.8%	—	—
Trend slope (90d)	-2.0%	—	—
Trend slope (all)	-1.9%	—	—
Trend fit R² (14d)	0.72×	—	—
Trend fit R² (30d)	0.60×	—	—
Trend fit R² (60d)	0.85×	—	—
Trend fit R² (90d)	0.89×	—	—
Trend fit R² (all)	0.90×	—	—
SMA 7/30 cross	-22.8%	40	44
Days since trend flip	15d	—	—

Volatility & risk

31/33 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Return stdev (7d)	+0.4%	—	—
Return stdev (14d)	+3.8%	—	—
Return stdev (30d)	+8.6%	25	22
Return stdev (60d)	+9.0%	—	—
Return stdev (90d)	+10.0%	—	—
Return stdev (all)	+9.9%	—	—
Downside deviation (30d)	+5.3%	—	—
Downside deviation (60d)	+5.9%	—	—
Downside deviation (90d)	+6.9%	—	—
Max drawdown (30d)	+45.4%	—	—
Max drawdown (60d)	+65.8%	—	—
Max drawdown (90d)	+85.7%	46	43
Max drawdown (all)	+85.7%	—	—
Current drawdown (90d)	+85.7%	54	51
Current drawdown (all)	+85.7%	—	—
Drawdown duration (90d)	88d	—	—
Drawdown duration (all)	88d	—	—
Sortino ratio (30d)	-0.32×	39	39
Sortino ratio (90d)	-0.20×	—	—
Return skew (30d)	2.83	—	—
Return skew (90d)	1.03	—	—
Excess kurtosis (30d)	14.03	—	—
Excess kurtosis (90d)	5.1	—	—
Largest up day (7d)	—	—	—
Largest up day (14d)	—	—	—
Largest up day (30d)	+38.9%	—	—
Largest up day (60d)	+38.9%	—	—
Largest up day (90d)	+38.9%	—	—
Largest down day (7d)	+0.8%	—	—
Largest down day (14d)	+11.9%	—	—
Largest down day (30d)	+17.6%	—	—
Largest down day (60d)	+25.3%	—	—
Largest down day (90d)	+30.2%	—	—

Liquidity

12/20 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Turnover %	+0.0%	5	5
On-market %	+0.4%	5	5
Days to clear listings	—	—	—
Lifetime sales / day	30.19	—	—
Liquidity score	21	23	23
Listings on book	30	—	—
Amihud illiquidity (30d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Amihud illiquidity (60d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Amihud illiquidity (90d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Zero-sale-day share (30d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Zero-sale-day share (60d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Zero-sale-day share (90d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Listings trend (7d)	-8.6%	—	—
Listings trend (14d)	-13.5%	—	—
Listings trend (30d)	-28.1%	5	5
Listings trend (60d)	-66.8%	—	—
Bid-ask spread %	+18.6%	—	—
Near-mid bid imbalance	0.33×	—	—
Bid-depth trend (7d)	—	—	—
Bid-floor migration (7d)	+1.3%	—	—

Supply & ownership

20/21 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Supply growth (7d)	+0.0%	—	—
Supply growth (14d)	+0.0%	—	—
Supply growth (30d)	+0.0%	25	25
Supply growth (60d)	+0.0%	—	—
Supply growth (90d)	+0.0%	—	—
Owner growth (7d)	-0.6%	—	—
Owner growth (14d)	-0.6%	—	—
Owner growth (30d)	+0.6%	35	23
Owner growth (60d)	+23.9%	—	—
Owner growth (90d)	+111.2%	—	—
Mint rate (7d)	0	—	—
Mint rate (30d)	0	—	—
Supply doubling time	—	—	—
Copies per owner	15.37×	81	91
Top-1 holder share	+8.0%	82	83
Top-10 holder share	+16.1%	67	69
HHI (top-10)	72.29	—	—
Whale count (≥5)	10	—	—
Absorption (30d)	+0.6%	48	40
Absorption (60d)	+23.9%	—	—
Absorption (90d)	+111.2%	—	—

Lifecycle & value

16/18 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Age	269d	—	—
Days since fixation	—	—	—
Days until leaving storen/s	—	—	—
Release-price multiple	1.25×	63	63
Store-price ratio	1.25×	—	—
Fair-value residual	+67.7%	67	70
Price per scarcity point	0.13×	—	—
Instant-sell discount	+16.5%	—	—
Bid-floor backing	$3.07	—	—
Accumulation score	41	—	—
Market-relative 7d return	+6.2%	59	63
Momentum pillar	50	59	56
Scarcity pillar	29	—	—
Liquidity pillar	30	—	—
Value pillar	50	—	—
Risk pillar	50	—	—
Overall rating	44	39	37
Data completeness	+90.2%	—	—

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Spike days (30d)	1	25	25
Spike days (60d)	3	—	—
Spike days (90d)	5	—	—
Dump days (30d)	2	50	50
Dump days (60d)	4	—	—
Dump days (90d)	6	—	—
Post-spike reversion (30d)	-2.2%	—	—
Post-spike reversion (60d)	+1.3%	—	—
Post-spike reversion (90d)	+0.2%	—	—
Listing shocks (30d)	0	—	—
Listing shocks (60d)	1	—	—
Listing shocks (90d)	2	—	—
Net spike bias (30d)	-1	—	—
Net spike bias (60d)	-1	—	—
Net spike bias (90d)	-1	—	—