Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 78%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Oct 8, 4:02 PM.
8,117 total supply: already fairly common, limiting the scarcity premium.
Only 0.4% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~15.3 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.
Average price up 39% over the past week versus the prior week.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Down 64% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.
Trading 26% over our supply/rarity model's estimate; richly priced versus comparable skins.
Supply is fixed; every new owner must buy on the market.
The listed price sits 168% above the best standing bid of $1.15; you could not actually sell there right now.
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The +39.1% week stands out, but the fact pack reads it as fade-risk rather than continuation, and the order book supports that caution: the $2.03 ask sits 168% above the best standing bid of $1.15, with a 19.6% bid/ask spread and a cumulative bid floor of $1.07. The model puts price 26.2% above fair value even though the ask is below both the $3.08 median sale and the $3.00 store price. Supply is fixed at 8,117 units post-delisting, but it is spread across only 531 owners, and liquidity scores 18/100 (5th percentile) on 35 active listings. With a C grade at 42/100, waiting for bids to rise toward the listed price may be the more patient read.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 1h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | +5.7% | 82 | 81 |
| Return (14d) | +39.0% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | +2.8% | 78 | 70 |
| Return (60d) | -26.4% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | -46.0% | 40 | 36 |
| Return (all) | -89.7% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | +5.6% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | +33.0% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | +2.7% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | -30.7% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | -61.6% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -227.3% | — | — |
| High (24h) | — | — | — |
| High (3d) | $2.03 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $2.72 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $2.72 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $2.72 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $2.90 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $5.60 | — | — |
| High (all) | $26.31 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $2.03 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $1.88 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $1.45 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $1.45 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $1.45 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $1.45 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $1.45 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $2.03 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $2.12 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $1.86 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $1.77 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $2.11 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $2.89 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $7.31 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $2.03 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $2.03 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $1.87 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $1.83 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $2.00 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $2.54 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $5.00 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +44.7% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +87.6% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +87.6% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +100.0% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +286.2% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +1714.1% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 46 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 46 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 40 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 14 | 52 | 51 |
| Position in range (all) | 2 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | -25.4% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -25.4% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -25.4% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -30.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -63.8% | 40 | 44 |
| Distance from high (all) | -92.3% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +8.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +40.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +40.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +40.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +40.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +40.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | — | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | -4.1% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | +9.1% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | +14.6% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | -3.6% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | -29.7% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | -72.2% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 2 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 4 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 7 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 15 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 21 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 45 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 1 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 3 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 10 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 21 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 36 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 94 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 67 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 57 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 41 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 42 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 37 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 32 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | +4.5% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | +0.3% | 77 | 74 |
| Trend slope (60d) | -1.2% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | -1.5% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -1.5% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.46× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.02× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.60× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.68× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.79× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 7.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +29.6% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +20.0% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +13.1% | 53 | 51 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +9.7% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +10.0% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +9.8% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +9.6% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +8.0% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +7.4% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +30.9% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +50.0% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +74.1% | 63 | 60 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +94.5% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +63.8% | 60 | 56 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +92.3% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 76d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 177d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | 0.10× | 73 | 65 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | -0.04× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 1.04 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 2.31 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 4.62 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 13.12 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | +41.7% | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +41.7% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +41.7% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +41.7% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +55.6% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +30.9% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +30.9% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +30.9% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +30.9% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +30.9% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +0.4% | 5 | 5 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 4 | 5 | 5 |
| Listings on book | 35 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +19.6% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | 0.33× | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | +2.9% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +0.0% | 5 | 5 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d) | +0.6% | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d) | +0.8% | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d) | +0.4% | 29 | 27 |
| Owner growth (60d) | +0.6% | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d) | +0.6% | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | — | — | — |
| Copies per owner | 15.29× | 90 | 95 |
| Top-1 holder share | +8.0% | 85 | 90 |
| Top-10 holder share | +16.4% | 64 | 71 |
| HHI (top-10) | 72.83 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5) | 10 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d) | +0.4% | 51 | 51 |
| Absorption (60d) | +0.6% | — | — |
| Absorption (90d) | +0.6% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 359d | — | — |
| Days since fixation | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | 0.68× | 53 | 50 |
| Store-price ratio | 0.68× | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | +26.2% | 56 | 58 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.08× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +43.3% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $1.07 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 55 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | +9.3% | 82 | 81 |
| Momentum pillar | 45 | 26 | 25 |
| Scarcity pillar | 26 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 18 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 57 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 36 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 42 | 32 | 32 |
| Data completeness | +77.7% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | -0.16× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | 0.30× | 49 | 50 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | -0.05× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | -0.03× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | 0.08× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | -0.03× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | +39.4% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | +17.7% | 78 | 74 |
| Return vs market (90d) | -34.4% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 2 | 75 | 75 |
| Spike days (60d) | 2 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 3 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 1 | 25 | 25 |
| Dump days (60d) | 2 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 3 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | -17.1% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | -17.1% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | -11.5% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | 1 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | 0 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | 0 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.