Halloween Hoodie 2025full analytics

Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 258 values across 7 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 91%.

Overall rating

?Fixed supply

Insight Engine v2

35/ 100

Momentum40

Scarcity32

Liquidity16

Value39

Risk42

Recomputed each sync: last updated Jul 9, 10:02 PM.

Signal narrative

Bullish

Elevated supply

4,161 total supply: already fairly common, limiting the scarcity premium.

Holders are holding !!

Only 0.9% of supply listed: low sell pressure.

Illiquid

No sales in the last 24h; it may be hard to buy or sell at the quoted price.

Concentrated ownership

~8.5 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.

Delisted from store !!

No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.

High volatility

Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.

Deep drawdown

Down 85% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.

Signal Analysis

Insight Engine

Trading at $12.73 against a fair-value model reading of +218.2%, the Halloween Hoodie 2025 sits deep into overbought territory even after a 7d slide of -5.9%. That drop still lands in the 90th percentile for both cohort return and market-relative return, and the item is outperforming the broader market by 27.5% over the same window, so the pullback reads more as a fade from an extreme than a trend reversal. Liquidity is thin: only 2 executed sales in 24h, 0 units traded in the last 24h, and just 36 listings against 492 unique owners across 4161 fixed-supply units. The 36.5% bid/ask spread, with the best bid at $8.80 against a $12.73 ask, underscores how wide pricing remains between buyers and sellers here.

AI-generated from live market data · updated 6h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.

Price action

108/113 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Return (24h)	+0.2%	—	—
Return (3d)	-0.1%	—	—
Return (7d)	+20.9%	85	90
Return (14d)

Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.

Trend

30/38 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
SMA (7)	$11.25	—	—
Price vs SMA (7)	+13.2%	—	—
SMA (14)	$11.60	—	—
Price vs SMA (14)	+9.7%	—	—
SMA (21)	$13.75	—	—
Price vs SMA (21)	-7.4%	—	—
SMA (30)	$14.40	—	—
Price vs SMA (30)	-11.6%	77	78
SMA (50)	$17.27	—	—
Price vs SMA (50)	-26.3%	—	—
SMA (90)	$32.61	—	—
Price vs SMA (90)	-61.0%	—	—
SMA (100)	—	—	—
Price vs SMA (100)	—	—	—
EMA (7)	$11.25	—	—
Price vs EMA (7)	+13.2%	—	—
EMA (14)	$11.60	—	—
Price vs EMA (14)	+9.7%	—	—
EMA (30)	$14.40	—	—
Price vs EMA (30)	-11.6%	—	—
RSI (7)	—	—	—
RSI (14)	—	—	—
RSI (21)	—	—	—
RSI (30)	—	—	—
RSI (50)	—	—	—
RSI (100)	—	—	—
Trend slope (14d)	-0.5%	—	—
Trend slope (30d)	-1.7%	58	48
Trend slope (60d)	-1.7%	—	—
Trend slope (90d)	-2.3%	—	—
Trend slope (all)	-2.1%	—	—
Trend fit R² (14d)	0.05×	—	—
Trend fit R² (30d)	0.18×	—	—
Trend fit R² (60d)	0.62×	—	—
Trend fit R² (90d)	0.81×	—	—
Trend fit R² (all)	0.79×	—	—
SMA 7/30 cross	-21.9%	43	40
Days since trend flip	2.0d	—	—

Volatility & risk

33/33 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Return stdev (7d)	+10.7%	—	—
Return stdev (14d)	+8.1%	—	—
Return stdev (30d)	+16.0%	64	68
Return stdev (60d)	+13.4%	—	—
Return stdev (90d)	+14.3%	—	—
Return stdev (all)	+14.3%	—	—
Downside deviation (30d)	+7.4%	—	—
Downside deviation (60d)	+6.2%	—	—
Downside deviation (90d)	+7.8%	—	—
Max drawdown (30d)	+66.8%	—	—
Max drawdown (60d)	+73.0%	—	—
Max drawdown (90d)	+88.0%	55	62
Max drawdown (all)	+88.0%	—	—
Current drawdown (90d)	+84.6%	49	55
Current drawdown (all)	+84.6%	—	—
Drawdown duration (90d)	88d	—	—
Drawdown duration (all)	88d	—	—
Sortino ratio (30d)	0.08×	90	86
Sortino ratio (90d)	-0.09×	—	—
Return skew (30d)	3.3	—	—
Return skew (90d)	2.29	—	—
Excess kurtosis (30d)	14.09	—	—
Excess kurtosis (90d)	11.08	—	—
Largest up day (7d)	+28.0%	—	—
Largest up day (14d)	+28.0%	—	—
Largest up day (30d)	+86.9%	—	—
Largest up day (60d)	+86.9%	—	—
Largest up day (90d)	+86.9%	—	—
Largest down day (7d)	+3.5%	—	—
Largest down day (14d)	+10.9%	—	—
Largest down day (30d)	+22.0%	—	—
Largest down day (60d)	+22.0%	—	—
Largest down day (90d)	+39.4%	—	—

Liquidity

11/20 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Turnover %	+0.0%	5	5
On-market %	+0.8%	18	23
Days to clear listings	—	—	—
Lifetime sales / day	15.47	—	—
Liquidity score	22	27	26
Listings on book	35	—	—
Amihud illiquidity (30d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Amihud illiquidity (60d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Amihud illiquidity (90d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Zero-sale-day share (30d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Zero-sale-day share (60d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Zero-sale-day share (90d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Listings trend (7d)	-11.6%	—	—
Listings trend (14d)	+0.0%	—	—
Listings trend (30d)	-11.6%	20	25
Listings trend (60d)	-32.1%	—	—
Bid-ask spread %	+36.3%	—	—
Near-mid bid imbalance	—	—	—
Bid-depth trend (7d)	—	—	—
Bid-floor migration (7d)	+28.3%	—	—

Supply & ownership

20/21 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Supply growth (7d)	+0.0%	—	—
Supply growth (14d)	+0.0%	—	—
Supply growth (30d)	+0.0%	25	50
Supply growth (60d)	+0.0%	—	—
Supply growth (90d)	+0.0%	—	—
Owner growth (7d)	+0.6%	—	—
Owner growth (14d)	+0.6%	—	—
Owner growth (30d)	+1.7%	50	59
Owner growth (60d)	+23.9%	—	—
Owner growth (90d)	+118.7%	—	—
Mint rate (7d)	0	—	—
Mint rate (30d)	0	—	—
Supply doubling time	—	—	—
Copies per owner	8.46×	25	24
Top-1 holder share	+5.8%	71	71
Top-10 holder share	+14.4%	61	49
HHI (top-10)	48.24	—	—
Whale count (≥5)	10	—	—
Absorption (30d)	+1.7%	55	75
Absorption (60d)	+23.9%	—	—
Absorption (90d)	+118.7%	—	—

Lifecycle & value

16/18 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Age	269d	—	—
Days since fixation	—	—	—
Days until leaving storen/s	—	—	—
Release-price multiple	2.55×	83	85
Store-price ratio	2.55×	—	—
Fair-value residual	+218.2%	84	75
Price per scarcity point	0.40×	—	—
Instant-sell discount	+30.6%	—	—
Bid-floor backing	$8.79	—	—
Accumulation score	64	—	—
Market-relative 7d return	+27.5%	84	90
Momentum pillar	40	31	35
Scarcity pillar	32	—	—
Liquidity pillar	16	—	—
Value pillar	39	—	—
Risk pillar	42	—	—
Overall rating	39	20	23
Data completeness	+90.6%	—	—

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Spike days (30d)	3	90	75
Spike days (60d)	6	—	—
Spike days (90d)	9	—	—
Dump days (30d)	4	75	80
Dump days (60d)	4	—	—
Dump days (90d)	8	—	—
Post-spike reversion (30d)	+0.0%	—	—
Post-spike reversion (60d)	-0.2%	—	—
Post-spike reversion (90d)	+1.3%	—	—
Listing shocks (30d)	0	—	—
Listing shocks (60d)	0	—	—
Listing shocks (90d)	2	—	—
Net spike bias (30d)	-1	—	—
Net spike bias (60d)	2	—	—
Net spike bias (90d)	1	—	—