Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 82%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Nov 14, 7:02 PM.
454 total supply: a relatively rare item.
Only 3.1% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~6.7 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.
Trading 52% under our supply/rarity model's estimate; looks cheap versus comparable skins.
Supply is fixed (delisted Aug 17, 2026); every new owner must buy on the market.
The median sale price sits 74% above the best standing bid of $4.42; you could not actually sell there right now.
Order-book support has been building (accumulation score 67/100), with bid depth, value and floor all rising over the past week.
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The headline number is a 52.1% discount to modelled fair value, but the order book argues for caution before treating that as a clean entry. The $7.15 ask and $7.67 median sit against a best standing bid of $4.42, a 47.2% spread, with the median running 74% above that bid, which is the phantom price signal in plain terms. Liquidity scores 19/100. Supporting the structural case: the item is delisted with supply fixed at 454 units across 198 lifetime buyers, up from a $2.00 store price, and 30d return stdev, supply growth, and spike days all sit in the 5th percentile. Price action is quiet at -3.2% over 7d and -2.5% versus the market median.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 3h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | -0.3% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | -1.4% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | -4.7% | 41 | 41 |
| Return (14d) | -6.4% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | -4.0% | 46 | 38 |
| Return (60d) | +15.4% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | +100.3% | 77 | 73 |
| Return (all) | +100.3% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | -0.3% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | -1.4% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | -4.8% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | -6.6% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | -4.1% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | +14.3% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | +69.5% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | +69.5% | — | — |
| High (24h) | $7.15 | — | — |
| High (3d) | $7.25 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $7.50 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $7.64 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $7.82 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $8.47 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $8.47 | — | — |
| High (all) | $8.47 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | $7.15 | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $7.15 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $7.15 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $7.15 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $7.15 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $5.94 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $3.57 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $3.57 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | $7.15 | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $7.19 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $7.32 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $7.44 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $7.53 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $7.26 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $6.43 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $6.43 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | $7.15 | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $7.17 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $7.25 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $7.50 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $7.53 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $7.49 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $7.21 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $7.21 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +1.4% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +4.9% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +6.9% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +9.4% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +42.6% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +137.3% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +137.3% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 0 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 48 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 73 | 79 | 77 |
| Position in range (all) | 73 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | -1.4% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | -4.7% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -6.4% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -8.6% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -15.6% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -15.6% | 81 | 81 |
| Distance from high (all) | -15.6% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +20.4% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +100.3% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +100.3% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | -0.6% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | -2.3% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | -3.9% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | -5.1% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | -1.5% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | +11.2% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | +11.2% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 9 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 12 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 21 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 21 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 2 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 5 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 9 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 14 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 25 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 37 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 37 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 10 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 39 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 32 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 36 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 36 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | $7.32 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | -2.3% | — | — |
| SMA (14) | $7.44 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | -3.9% | — | — |
| SMA (21) | $7.52 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | -4.9% | — | — |
| SMA (30) | $7.53 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | -5.1% | 53 | 44 |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | $7.32 | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | -2.3% | — | — |
| EMA (14) | $7.44 | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | -3.9% | — | — |
| EMA (30) | $7.53 | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | -5.1% | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | -0.5% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | -0.1% | 55 | 44 |
| Trend slope (60d) | +0.3% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | +0.8% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | +0.8% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.90× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.26× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.20× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.61× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.61× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | -2.8% | 57 | 47 |
| Days since trend flip | 17d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +0.8% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +0.7% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +0.8% | 5 | 5 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +6.9% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +12.5% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +12.5% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +0.6% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +3.9% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +6.1% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +8.6% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +29.9% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +42.4% | 15 | 18 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +42.4% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +15.6% | 18 | 20 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +15.6% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 48d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 48d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | -0.24× | 15 | 9 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | 0.30× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | -0.05 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 5.16 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 1.18 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 34.4 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | — | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +0.3% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +1.9% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +40.9% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +118.2% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +2.3% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +2.3% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +2.3% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +18.1% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +25.2% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +3.1% | 88 | 86 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 27 | 88 | 88 |
| Listings on book | 14 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +47.2% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | +48.8% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +0.0% | 5 | 5 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +14.4% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d) | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d) | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d) | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (60d) | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d) | — | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | — | — | — |
| Copies per owner | 6.68× | 12 | 13 |
| Top-1 holder share | +2.6% | 43 | 49 |
| Top-10 holder share | +17.8% | 69 | 76 |
| HHI (top-10) | 35.85 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5) | 9 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d) | — | — | — |
| Absorption (60d) | — | — | — |
| Absorption (90d) | — | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 97d | — | — |
| Days since fixation | 89d | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | -89d | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | — | — | — |
| Store-price ratio | 3.58× | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | -52.1% | 22 | 16 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.11× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +38.2% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $4.39 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 67 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | -2.6% | 41 | 41 |
| Momentum pillar | 56 | 68 | 71 |
| Scarcity pillar | 66 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 19 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 56 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 46 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 55 | 90 | 90 |
| Data completeness | +82.3% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | 0.04× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | 0.05× | 49 | 53 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | 0.64× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | 0.23× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | 0.27× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | 0.23× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | -2.7% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | -46.2% | 45 | 33 |
| Return vs market (90d) | -32.3% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 0 | 5 | 5 |
| Spike days (60d) | 2 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 5 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 0 | 5 | 5 |
| Dump days (60d) | 1 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 4 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | — | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | -5.1% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | -4.6% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | 1 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | 1 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.