Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 78%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Oct 9, 12:02 AM.
Price down 5.0% in 24h: a mild downward trend.
7,387 total supply: already fairly common, limiting the scarcity premium.
Scarcity score 18/100: abundant and liquid.
Only 2.0% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~9.3 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.
Trading within 5% of its lowest recorded price.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Down 55% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.
22pts behind the median skin this week, underperforming its peers.
Supply is fixed; every new owner must buy on the market.
The listed price sits 57% above the best standing bid of $1.10; you could not actually sell there right now.
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
Gumball Machine sits in the 5th percentile of its 90-day range, which is the central fact here: at $1.34 the lowest ask is well under the $4.50 store price and 20.8% below the fair-value model, supporting a value score of 76 against an overall C grade (47/100). Supply is fixed at 7,387 units post-delisting, but 153 active listings and a liquidity score of 32 explain the 14.4% spread, and the listed price floats 49% above the best standing bid of $1.16. Momentum remains negative (-11.5% over 7d, -22.4% versus the market median), and with 7,387 units across 794 owners plus a top-1 holder share in the 91st percentile, any recovery would depend on that concentration staying put rather than on near-term flow.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 9h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | -5.0% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | -5.0% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | -26.0% | 13 | 17 |
| Return (14d) | -34.3% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | -32.3% | 32 | 32 |
| Return (60d) | -37.4% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | -41.4% | 45 | 51 |
| Return (all) | -90.5% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | -5.1% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | -5.1% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | -30.1% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | -42.0% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | -39.0% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | -46.8% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | -53.4% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -235.8% | — | — |
| High (24h) | — | — | — |
| High (3d) | $1.41 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $1.85 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $2.04 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $2.04 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $2.14 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $2.99 | — | — |
| High (all) | $16.83 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $1.34 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $1.34 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $1.34 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $1.34 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $1.34 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $1.34 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $1.34 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $1.38 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $1.67 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $1.75 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $1.81 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $1.79 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $1.98 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $4.45 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $1.38 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $1.79 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $1.83 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $1.88 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $1.79 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $1.98 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $2.64 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +5.2% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +38.1% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +52.2% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +52.2% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +59.7% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +123.1% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +1155.6% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 0 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 0 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 0 | 5 | 5 |
| Position in range (all) | 0 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | -5.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | -27.6% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -34.3% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -34.3% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -37.4% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -55.2% | 51 | 50 |
| Distance from high (all) | -92.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | — | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | -2.5% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | -19.8% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | -23.3% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | -25.9% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | -25.2% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | -32.4% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | -69.9% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 2 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 9 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 15 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 21 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 54 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 1 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 3 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 6 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 8 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 21 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 34 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 93 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 25 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 25 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 53 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 42 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 38 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 37 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | -3.2% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | -0.5% | 56 | 59 |
| Trend slope (60d) | -0.1% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | -0.5% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -1.4% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.48× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.09× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.03× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.42× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.65× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 10d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +9.6% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +15.0% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +12.7% | 51 | 51 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +10.4% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +10.1% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +10.1% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +11.0% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +8.5% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +8.1% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +34.3% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +37.4% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +55.2% | 28 | 25 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +92.0% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +55.2% | 49 | 50 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +92.0% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 62d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 180d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | -0.09× | 40 | 40 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | -0.02× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | -0.23 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 0.56 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 1.92 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 3.69 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | +2.2% | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +26.7% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +26.7% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +26.7% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +34.7% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +19.9% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +25.4% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +28.3% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +28.3% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +28.3% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +2.0% | 60 | 61 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 18 | 61 | 61 |
| Listings on book | 148 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +35.8% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | -21.4% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +0.0% | 5 | 5 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d) | +0.6% | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d) | +0.6% | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d) | +0.4% | 29 | 32 |
| Owner growth (60d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d) | +0.1% | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | — | — | — |
| Copies per owner | 9.30× | 32 | 33 |
| Top-1 holder share | +10.3% | 91 | 90 |
| Top-10 holder share | +22.5% | 82 | 78 |
| HHI (top-10) | 143.13 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5) | 10 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d) | +0.4% | 51 | 52 |
| Absorption (60d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Absorption (90d) | +0.1% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 222d | — | — |
| Days since fixation | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | 0.30× | 31 | 33 |
| Store-price ratio | 0.30× | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | -20.8% | 38 | 41 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.07× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +17.9% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $1.10 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 36 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | -22.4% | 13 | 17 |
| Momentum pillar | 52 | 51 | 50 |
| Scarcity pillar | 18 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 16 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 76 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 30 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 42 | 31 | 28 |
| Data completeness | +77.7% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | 0.04× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | 0.97× | 77 | 78 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | 0.02× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | 0.01× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | 0.32× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | 0.01× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | -30.5% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | -16.7% | 34 | 34 |
| Return vs market (90d) | -26.3% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 2 | 75 | 75 |
| Spike days (60d) | 4 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 6 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 3 | 83 | 75 |
| Dump days (60d) | 5 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 7 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | -2.4% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | -1.2% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | +3.9% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | -1 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | -1 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | -1 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.