Grand Ball Gownfull analytics

Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 258 values across 7 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 90%.

Overall rating

?Store · permanent

Insight Engine v2

50/ 100

Momentum50

Scarcity35

Liquidity22

Value69

Risk49

Recomputed each sync: last updated Jul 9, 10:02 PM.

Signal narrative

Bullish

Holders are holding !!

Only 3.1% of supply listed: low sell pressure.

Illiquid

No sales in the last 24h; it may be hard to buy or sell at the quoted price.

Concentrated ownership

~5.4 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.

Item drop !!

A random in-game drop (9 dropped). It was never sold in the store, so supply is capped by the drop rate.

Weekly downtrend !!

Average price down 21% over the past week versus the prior week.

Oversold (RSI) !!

RSI 27: beaten down and due for a potential bounce.

Deep drawdown

Down 89% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.

Signal Analysis

Insight Engine

Grand Ball Gown is down 21.1% over seven days even as it holds a slight +2.5% edge over the market median, and with only one executed Steam Market sale in the last 24h against 40 active listings, this reads more like a stalled market than a trend. The drop pushes it into oversold territory, sitting at the 5th percentile for 90-day range position, and the model still marks it as trading 4.7% above fair value despite the pullback. Ownership is concentrated across just 236 owners for 1270 units, and the 17.1% bid-ask spread (best bid $0.48 versus ask $0.57) underscores how thin this book is. Given the deep drawdown and oversold signal, some may view current levels as a potential recovery setup rather than a continuation of the weekly downtrend, though liquidity remains a real constraint.

AI-generated from live market data · updated 6h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.

Price action

107/113 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Return (24h)	-1.7%	—	—
Return (3d)	+0.0%	—	—
Return (7d)	-3.4%	56	58
Return (14d)

Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.

Trend

30/38 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
SMA (7)	$0.58	—	—
Price vs SMA (7)	-2.0%	—	—
SMA (14)	$0.66	—	—
Price vs SMA (14)	-13.5%	—	—
SMA (21)	$0.73	—	—
Price vs SMA (21)	-22.0%	—	—
SMA (30)	$0.75	—	—
Price vs SMA (30)	-24.4%	45	48
SMA (50)	$0.83	—	—
Price vs SMA (50)	-31.4%	—	—
SMA (90)	$1.98	—	—
Price vs SMA (90)	-71.2%	—	—
SMA (100)	—	—	—
Price vs SMA (100)	—	—	—
EMA (7)	$0.58	—	—
Price vs EMA (7)	-2.0%	—	—
EMA (14)	$0.66	—	—
Price vs EMA (14)	-13.5%	—	—
EMA (30)	$0.75	—	—
Price vs EMA (30)	-24.4%	—	—
RSI (7)	—	—	—
RSI (14)	—	—	—
RSI (21)	—	—	—
RSI (30)	—	—	—
RSI (50)	—	—	—
RSI (100)	—	—	—
Trend slope (14d)	-3.5%	—	—
Trend slope (30d)	-1.4%	68	72
Trend slope (60d)	-1.8%	—	—
Trend slope (90d)	-2.7%	—	—
Trend slope (all)	-2.6%	—	—
Trend fit R² (14d)	0.78×	—	—
Trend fit R² (30d)	0.58×	—	—
Trend fit R² (60d)	0.57×	—	—
Trend fit R² (90d)	0.79×	—	—
Trend fit R² (all)	0.81×	—	—
SMA 7/30 cross	-22.9%	40	44
Days since trend flip	14d	—	—

Volatility & risk

32/33 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Return stdev (7d)	+1.4%	—	—
Return stdev (14d)	+5.8%	—	—
Return stdev (30d)	+5.3%	6	5
Return stdev (60d)	+16.1%	—	—
Return stdev (90d)	+13.9%	—	—
Return stdev (all)	+13.7%	—	—
Downside deviation (30d)	+5.0%	—	—
Downside deviation (60d)	+12.3%	—	—
Downside deviation (90d)	+10.1%	—	—
Max drawdown (30d)	+38.7%	—	—
Max drawdown (60d)	+75.6%	—	—
Max drawdown (90d)	+88.9%	60	56
Max drawdown (all)	+88.9%	—	—
Current drawdown (90d)	+88.9%	68	67
Current drawdown (all)	+88.9%	—	—
Drawdown duration (90d)	86d	—	—
Drawdown duration (all)	86d	—	—
Sortino ratio (30d)	-0.22×	50	54
Sortino ratio (90d)	-0.12×	—	—
Return skew (30d)	-0.71	—	—
Return skew (90d)	1.79	—	—
Excess kurtosis (30d)	3.41	—	—
Excess kurtosis (90d)	12.9	—	—
Largest up day (7d)	—	—	—
Largest up day (14d)	+1.7%	—	—
Largest up day (30d)	+10.7%	—	—
Largest up day (60d)	+77.8%	—	—
Largest up day (90d)	+77.8%	—	—
Largest down day (7d)	+3.4%	—	—
Largest down day (14d)	+16.9%	—	—
Largest down day (30d)	+16.9%	—	—
Largest down day (60d)	+46.5%	—	—
Largest down day (90d)	+46.5%	—	—

Liquidity

11/20 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Turnover %	+0.0%	5	5
On-market %	+3.1%	73	63
Days to clear listings	—	—	—
Lifetime sales / day	2.34	—	—
Liquidity score	17	10	6
Listings on book	40	—	—
Amihud illiquidity (30d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Amihud illiquidity (60d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Amihud illiquidity (90d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Zero-sale-day share (30d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Zero-sale-day share (60d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Zero-sale-day share (90d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Listings trend (7d)	+0.0%	—	—
Listings trend (14d)	+2.6%	—	—
Listings trend (30d)	-7.0%	25	22
Listings trend (60d)	-72.0%	—	—
Bid-ask spread %	+35.1%	—	—
Near-mid bid imbalance	—	—	—
Bid-depth trend (7d)	—	—	—
Bid-floor migration (7d)	+0.0%	—	—

Supply & ownership

21/21 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Supply growth (7d)	+0.2%	—	—
Supply growth (14d)	+0.6%	—	—
Supply growth (30d)	+1.6%	51	50
Supply growth (60d)	+3.2%	—	—
Supply growth (90d)	+52.1%	—	—
Owner growth (7d)n/s	-0.4%	—	—
Owner growth (14d)n/s	+0.0%	—	—
Owner growth (30d)n/s	+0.9%	41	28
Owner growth (60d)n/s	+21.0%	—	—
Owner growth (90d)n/s	+108.8%	—	—
Mint rate (7d)	0.5	—	—
Mint rate (30d)	0.69	—	—
Supply doubling time	1310d	—	—
Copies per ownern/s	5.38×	7	7
Top-1 holder sharen/s	+5.0%	65	64
Top-10 holder sharen/s	+22.5%	86	86
HHI (top-10)n/s	68.47	—	—
Whale count (≥5)n/s	10	—	—
Absorption (30d)n/s	-0.7%	24	24
Absorption (60d)n/s	+17.9%	—	—
Absorption (90d)n/s	+56.8%	—	—

Lifecycle & value

16/18 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Age	539d	—	—
Days since fixationn/s	—	—	—
Days until leaving storen/s	—	—	—
Release-price multiple	0.16×	6	5
Store-price ratio	0.16×	—	—
Fair-value residual	+4.7%	54	54
Price per scarcity point	0.02×	—	—
Instant-sell discount	+29.8%	—	—
Bid-floor backing	$0.40	—	—
Accumulation score	79	—	—
Market-relative 7d return	+2.5%	54	55
Momentum pillar	50	60	58
Scarcity pillar	35	—	—
Liquidity pillar	22	—	—
Value pillar	69	—	—
Risk pillar	49	—	—
Overall rating	53	77	77
Data completeness	+89.7%	—	—

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Spike days (30d)	0	5	5
Spike days (60d)	4	—	—
Spike days (90d)	5	—	—
Dump days (30d)	1	25	5
Dump days (60d)	7	—	—
Dump days (90d)	7	—	—
Post-spike reversion (30d)	—	—	—
Post-spike reversion (60d)	-9.5%	—	—
Post-spike reversion (90d)	-6.6%	—	—
Listing shocks (30d)	0	—	—
Listing shocks (60d)	1	—	—
Listing shocks (90d)	4	—	—
Net spike bias (30d)	-1	—	—
Net spike bias (60d)	-3	—	—
Net spike bias (90d)	-2	—	—