Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 76%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Oct 8, 6:02 PM.
Scarcity score 12/100: abundant and liquid.
Only 2.5% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~5.4 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
Trading at a 80% discount to the store price.
Trading 126% over our supply/rarity model's estimate; richly priced versus comparable skins.
Permanently in the store at $3.50 — anyone can mint another at that price forever, so there's no scarcity premium and limited upside above the store price.
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The most striking number here is the 125.8% premium to modelled fair value, and it sits alongside a 53.6% bid/ask spread: the ask is $0.71 while the best standing bid is only $0.41 and the median sale has cleared at $0.48. That gap matters more than the flat tape (0.0% over both 6h and 24h, -2.6% on the week, a 5th-percentile 30d return stdev). Supply offers no support either, with 1285 units against 239 owners, a scarcity score of 12 and uncapped permanent store availability. Trading at the 95th percentile of its 90d range on a D grade (24/100), this looks closer to fade risk than a base, and patience near the bid may be better rewarded than the current ask.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 3h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | -2.7% | 56 | 51 |
| Return (14d) | -4.1% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | +16.4% | 87 | 80 |
| Return (60d) | +18.3% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | +29.1% | 91 | 88 |
| Return (all) | -82.9% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | -2.8% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | -4.1% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | +15.2% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | +16.8% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | +25.5% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -176.6% | — | — |
| High (24h) | — | — | — |
| High (3d) | $0.71 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $0.73 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $0.74 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $0.75 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $0.75 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $0.77 | — | — |
| High (all) | $5.14 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $0.71 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $0.71 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $0.71 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $0.61 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $0.42 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $0.42 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $0.42 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $0.71 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $0.72 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $0.73 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $0.71 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $0.63 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $0.65 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $1.43 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $0.71 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $0.73 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $0.73 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $0.73 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $0.63 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $0.64 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $0.76 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +2.8% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +4.2% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +23.0% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +78.6% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +83.3% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +1123.8% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 0 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 71 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 88 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 83 | 95 | 95 |
| Position in range (all) | 6 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | -2.7% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -4.1% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -5.3% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -5.3% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -7.8% | 95 | 95 |
| Distance from high (all) | -86.2% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +16.4% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +69.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +69.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +69.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | — | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | -1.7% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | -2.5% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | +0.6% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | +11.8% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | +9.7% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | -50.4% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 2 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 7 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 11 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 30 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 1 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 3 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 4 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 14 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 21 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 70 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 25 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 33 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 33 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 34 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 30 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | -0.4% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | +0.7% | 81 | 78 |
| Trend slope (60d) | +0.7% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | +0.2% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -1.5% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.74× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.38× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.51× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.06× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.57× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 16d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +1.4% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +1.0% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +4.4% | 5 | 6 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +9.0% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +8.2% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +12.7% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +0.9% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +8.0% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +6.8% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +5.3% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +30.0% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +45.5% | 12 | 16 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +91.8% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +7.8% | 5 | 5 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +86.2% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 78d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 175d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | 0.88× | 95 | 95 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | 0.10× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 4.63 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 1.98 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 21.95 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 10.02 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | — | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +0.7% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +23.0% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +35.4% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +35.4% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +2.7% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +2.7% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +2.7% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +30.0% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +30.0% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +2.5% | 74 | 72 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 22 | 74 | 72 |
| Listings on book | 32 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +46.7% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +0.0% | 5 | 5 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +0.2% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +1.2% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d)n/s | +0.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d)n/s | +0.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d)n/s | -0.4% | 11 | 12 |
| Owner growth (60d)n/s | +0.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d)n/s | +1.3% | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | — | — | — |
| Copies per ownern/s | 5.38× | 8 | 6 |
| Top-1 holder sharen/s | +5.0% | 68 | 76 |
| Top-10 holder sharen/s | +23.5% | 84 | 90 |
| HHI (top-10)n/s | 71.34 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5)n/s | 10 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d)n/s | -0.4% | 29 | 30 |
| Absorption (60d)n/s | -0.2% | — | — |
| Absorption (90d)n/s | +0.1% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 629d | — | — |
| Days since fixationn/s | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | 0.20× | 23 | 10 |
| Store-price ratio | 0.20× | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | +125.8% | 77 | 82 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.06× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +35.2% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $0.41 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 50 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | +0.8% | 56 | 51 |
| Momentum pillar | 48 | 38 | 40 |
| Scarcity pillar | 12 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 15 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 7 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 43 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 24 | 5 | 5 |
| Data completeness | +76.1% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | -0.10× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | -0.45× | 17 | 19 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | 0.05× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | -0.38× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | -0.36× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | 0.03× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | -3.7% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | +31.3% | 86 | 81 |
| Return vs market (90d) | +40.7% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 1 | 25 | 25 |
| Spike days (60d) | 3 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 4 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 0 | 5 | 5 |
| Dump days (60d) | 1 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 1 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | -0.5% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | -0.4% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | 1 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | 2 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | 3 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.