Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 81%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Nov 3, 5:02 PM.
2,280 total supply: already fairly common, limiting the scarcity premium.
Only 0.3% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~12.0 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.
Average price down 21% over the past week versus the prior week.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Down 50% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.
Trading 37% under our supply/rarity model's estimate; looks cheap versus comparable skins.
Supply is fixed; every new owner must buy on the market.
Order-book support has been building (accumulation score 68/100), with bid depth, value and floor all rising over the past week.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The headline here is a 72.2% bid/ask spread: the lowest ask sits at $3.30 while the best standing bid is $1.55 and the cumulative bid floor $1.52, close to the $1.53 median sale price. That gap, alongside a liquidity score of 2/100 and seven active listings in the current observation, means the quoted price carries limited weight. Supply is fixed at 2,280 units post-delisting, with on-market stock in the 5th percentile, but top-1 holder share sits in the 95th percentile, a concentration warning. Price is 37.8% below modelled fair value after a 20.7% weekly decline that still outperformed the market median by 6.5%, which the model reads as a possible recovery setup rather than a breakdown. Overall grade: C, 50/100.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 1h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | -0.9% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | -0.9% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | +5.4% | 76 | 75 |
| Return (14d) | -50.2% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | +127.6% | 72 | 79 |
| Return (60d) | +65.8% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | +27.2% | 53 | 54 |
| Return (all) | -47.1% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | -0.9% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | -0.9% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | +5.3% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | -69.6% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | +82.2% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | +50.6% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | +24.0% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -63.6% | — | — |
| High (24h) | $3.30 | — | — |
| High (3d) | $3.33 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $3.34 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $6.62 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $6.62 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $6.62 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $6.62 | — | — |
| High (all) | $6.62 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | $3.30 | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $3.30 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $3.13 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $3.13 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $1.45 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $1.43 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $1.43 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $1.43 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | $3.30 | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $3.32 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $3.30 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $3.73 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $3.05 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $2.65 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $2.61 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $2.63 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | $3.30 | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $3.33 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $3.33 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $3.33 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $3.14 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $2.62 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $2.57 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $2.53 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +0.9% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +6.7% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +111.5% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +356.6% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +362.9% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +362.9% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +362.9% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 5 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 36 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 36 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 36 | 29 | 39 |
| Position in range (all) | 36 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | -0.9% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | -1.2% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -50.2% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -50.2% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -50.2% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -50.2% | 26 | 32 |
| Distance from high (all) | -50.2% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +5.4% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +5.4% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +127.6% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +130.8% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +130.8% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +130.8% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | -0.6% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | -11.6% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | +8.4% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | +24.5% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | +26.5% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | +25.7% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 2 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 9 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 14 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 20 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 32 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 1 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 2 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 7 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 11 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 24 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 37 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 53 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 33 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 22 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 45 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 37 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 35 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 38 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | $3.30 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | +0.0% | — | — |
| SMA (14) | $3.73 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | -11.6% | — | — |
| SMA (21) | $3.47 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | -4.9% | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | $3.30 | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | +0.0% | — | — |
| EMA (14) | $3.73 | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | -11.6% | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | -4.4% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | +2.1% | 55 | 62 |
| Trend slope (60d) | +1.2% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | +0.4% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | +0.1% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.34× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.25× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.23× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.09× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.01× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 4.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +2.8% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +18.1% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +22.6% | 70 | 72 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +19.4% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +17.9% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +15.2% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +13.8% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +11.0% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +10.5% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +52.7% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +52.7% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +59.1% | 48 | 44 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +77.1% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +50.2% | 75 | 68 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +50.2% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 13d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 13d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | 0.42× | 45 | 50 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | 0.20× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 3.23 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 3.29 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 14.42 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 18.66 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | +6.7% | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +7.0% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +133.1% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +133.1% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +133.1% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +0.9% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +47.3% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +47.3% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +47.3% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +47.3% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +0.3% | 5 | 5 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 3 | 7 | 8 |
| Listings on book | 7 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +72.2% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | +0.7% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +0.0% | 5 | 5 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d) | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d) | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d) | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (60d) | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d) | — | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | — | — | — |
| Copies per owner | 12.00× | 60 | 61 |
| Top-1 holder share | +12.8% | 95 | 93 |
| Top-10 holder share | +29.9% | 95 | 92 |
| HHI (top-10) | 204.32 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5) | 10 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d) | — | — | — |
| Absorption (60d) | — | — | — |
| Absorption (90d) | — | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 140d | — | — |
| Days since fixation | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | 1.66× | 65 | 65 |
| Store-price ratio | 1.65× | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | -37.4% | 31 | 38 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.06× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +53.0% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $1.52 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 68 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | +6.8% | 76 | 75 |
| Momentum pillar | 53 | 54 | 54 |
| Scarcity pillar | 55 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 2 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 67 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 36 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 50 | 79 | 77 |
| Data completeness | +81.1% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | 1.26× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | 0.91× | 63 | 57 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | 0.52× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | 0.25× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | 0.25× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | 0.15× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | -49.5% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | -24.2% | 72 | 78 |
| Return vs market (90d) | -97.4% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 3 | 75 | 75 |
| Spike days (60d) | 6 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 9 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 1 | 25 | 25 |
| Dump days (60d) | 4 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 7 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | -1.6% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | -5.6% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | -5.4% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | 2 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | 2 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | 2 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.