Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 76%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Oct 8, 11:02 PM.
Price up 24.1% in 24h: significant bullish movement.
437 total supply: a relatively rare item.
Only 1.4% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~8.6 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.
Average price up 90% over the past week versus the prior week.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
27pts behind the median skin this week, underperforming its peers.
Trading 159% over our supply/rarity model's estimate; richly priced versus comparable skins.
Unique owners up 9% this week; new holders are arriving.
Supply is fixed (delisted Sep 14, 2026); every new owner must buy on the market.
The listed price sits 119% above the best standing bid of $9.05; you could not actually sell there right now.
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The 89.6% weekly gain and 24.1% daily pop are happening on an order book that does not support them: the lowest ask of $19.86 sits 119% above the best standing bid of $9.05, with a 74.8% bid/ask spread and a cumulative bid floor of $8.14, essentially the $8.50 original store price. Liquidity scores 9/100 against six active listings, so the print is thin by construction. The model reads the item 159.5% above fair value, and in this single-regime market sharp spikes have tended to fade rather than extend. Supply is genuinely fixed at 437 units post-delisting with 51 owners, but at a C grade (45/100) and a 29/100 safety score, the phantom price is the dominant fact here.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 8h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | +24.1% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | -4.1% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | -30.6% | 9 | 10 |
| Return (14d) | +40.7% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | +38.1% | 93 | 95 |
| Return (60d) | — | — | — |
| Return (90d) | — | — | — |
| Return (all) | +38.1% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | +21.6% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | -4.1% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | -36.5% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | +34.1% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | +32.3% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | — | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | — | — | — |
| Log return (all) | +32.3% | — | — |
| High (24h) | $19.86 | — | — |
| High (3d) | $20.70 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $28.60 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $28.60 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $28.60 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $28.60 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $28.60 | — | — |
| High (all) | $28.60 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | $19.86 | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $16.00 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $16.00 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $14.09 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $10.00 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $10.00 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $10.00 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $10.00 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | $19.86 | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $18.85 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $22.94 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $20.00 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $15.69 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $15.69 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $15.69 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $15.69 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | $19.86 | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $19.86 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $22.31 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $19.86 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $14.10 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $14.10 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $14.10 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $14.10 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +29.4% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +78.8% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +103.0% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +186.0% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +186.0% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +186.0% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +186.0% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 53 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 53 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 53 | 88 | 91 |
| Position in range (all) | 53 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | -4.1% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | -30.6% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -30.6% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -30.6% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -30.6% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -30.6% | 85 | 87 |
| Distance from high (all) | -30.6% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +24.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +24.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +41.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +98.6% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +98.6% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +98.6% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +98.6% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | +5.3% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | -13.4% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | -0.7% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | +26.6% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | +26.6% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | +26.6% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | +26.6% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 2 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 5 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 5 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 5 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 5 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 1 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 4 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 6 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 13 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 13 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 13 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 13 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | 50 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 20 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 25 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 28 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 28 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 28 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 28 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 1.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | +3.1% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | +4.0% | 95 | 95 |
| Trend slope (60d) | +4.0% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | +4.0% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | +4.0% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.08× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.36× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.36× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.36× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.36× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +18.6% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +30.5% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +21.9% | 80 | 78 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +21.9% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +21.9% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +21.9% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +7.7% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +7.7% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +7.7% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +44.1% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +44.1% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +44.1% | 10 | 5 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +44.1% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +30.6% | 15 | 13 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +30.6% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 5.0d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 5.0d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | 0.59× | 95 | 95 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | 0.59× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 2.76 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 2.76 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 8.71 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 8.71 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | +24.1% | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +103.0% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +103.0% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +103.0% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +103.0% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +22.7% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +22.7% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +22.7% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +22.7% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +22.7% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +1.4% | 41 | 42 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 13 | 41 | 42 |
| Listings on book | 6 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +74.9% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | +1.8% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +562.1% | 95 | 95 |
| Supply growth (60d) | — | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d) | +8.5% | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d) | +13.3% | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d) | +292.3% | 95 | 95 |
| Owner growth (60d) | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d) | — | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 12.79 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | 11d | — | — |
| Copies per owner | 8.57× | 26 | 25 |
| Top-1 holder share | +2.3% | 38 | 32 |
| Top-10 holder share | +11.7% | 47 | 37 |
| HHI (top-10) | 15.87 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5) | 6 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d) | -269.8% | 5 | 5 |
| Absorption (60d) | — | — | — |
| Absorption (90d) | — | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 50d | — | — |
| Days since fixation | 24d | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | -24d | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | — | — | — |
| Store-price ratio | 2.34× | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | +159.3% | 80 | 80 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.28× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +54.4% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $8.14 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 47 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | -27.0% | 9 | 10 |
| Momentum pillar | 61 | 79 | 77 |
| Scarcity pillar | 71 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 9 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 19 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 29 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 45 | 47 | 46 |
| Data completeness | +76.2% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | 3.36× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | 0.92× | 77 | 77 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | 0.92× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | 0.36× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | 0.13× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | 0.13× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | +44.5% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | +52.9% | 93 | 95 |
| Return vs market (90d) | — | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 3 | 95 | 95 |
| Spike days (60d) | 3 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 3 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 3 | 75 | 75 |
| Dump days (60d) | 3 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 3 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | -0.1% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | -0.1% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | -0.1% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | 0 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | 0 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.