Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 77%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Oct 8, 8:02 AM.
Up 406.4% in the last 6 hours and accelerating.
6,068 total supply: already fairly common, limiting the scarcity premium.
Scarcity score 12/100: abundant and liquid.
Only 1.2% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~16.3 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
Trading at a 86% discount to the store price.
Trading within 5% of its lowest recorded price.
Average price down 19% over the past week versus the prior week.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Down 57% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.
Trading 65% under our supply/rarity model's estimate; looks cheap versus comparable skins.
Permanently in the store at $1.50 — anyone can mint another at that price forever, so there's no scarcity premium and limited upside above the store price.
The listed price sits 153% above the best standing bid of $0.19; you could not actually sell there right now.
Real buy support at $0.19: cumulative standing bids you could sell a few copies into without the price collapsing.
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The +406.4% six-hour move is the loudest number here, but it sits on a listed price of $0.21 that floats 153% above the best standing bid of $0.19, so the spike reads as thin-book noise rather than a trend worth chasing. Underneath it, the 7d print is -19.4% and price is 64.9% below the model's fair value, well under both the $0.48 median sale and the $1.50 store price, which is why the value score reaches 88/100. Supply is the counterweight: 6,044 primary units sold, 6,068 in existence against 372 owners (92nd percentile copies per owner) and 100 live listings, with scarcity at 12/100 and liquidity 33/100.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 17h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | +5.0% | 82 | 85 |
| Return (14d) | -19.2% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | -27.6% | 38 | 37 |
| Return (60d) | -38.2% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | -57.1% | 25 | 31 |
| Return (all) | -96.3% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | +4.9% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | -21.4% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | -32.3% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | -48.2% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | -84.7% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -330.8% | — | — |
| High (24h) | — | — | — |
| High (3d) | $0.21 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $0.23 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $0.26 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $0.29 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $0.40 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $0.49 | — | — |
| High (all) | $7.25 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $0.21 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $0.20 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $0.20 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $0.20 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $0.20 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $0.20 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $0.20 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $0.21 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $0.21 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $0.23 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $0.25 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $0.29 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $0.35 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $0.77 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $0.21 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $0.21 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $0.22 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $0.26 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $0.29 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $0.34 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $0.48 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +15.0% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +30.0% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +45.0% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +100.0% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +145.0% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +3522.5% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 17 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 11 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 5 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 3 | 31 | 32 |
| Position in range (all) | 0 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | -8.7% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -19.2% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -27.6% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -47.5% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -57.1% | 51 | 51 |
| Distance from high (all) | -97.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +5.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +5.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +5.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +5.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +5.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +5.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | — | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | -0.9% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | -7.9% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | -16.2% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | -27.7% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | -40.1% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | -72.7% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 4 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 8 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 11 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 40 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 1 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 4 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 8 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 14 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 26 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 72 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 50 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 20 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 33 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 36 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 30 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 36 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | -2.8% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | -1.5% | 36 | 30 |
| Trend slope (60d) | -1.1% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | -1.1% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -1.5% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.66× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.51× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.71× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.89× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.29× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 16d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +9.5% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +7.8% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +13.7% | 55 | 54 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +10.1% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +8.4% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +14.6% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +9.1% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +7.6% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +6.4% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +31.0% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +50.0% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +59.2% | 36 | 37 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +97.2% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +57.1% | 49 | 49 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +97.1% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 88d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 179d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | -0.08× | 41 | 39 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | -0.12× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 1.38 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 1.51 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 5.98 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 12.12 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | +15.0% | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +15.0% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +45.0% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +45.0% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +45.0% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +8.7% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +11.5% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +31.0% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +31.0% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +31.0% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +1.2% | 34 | 35 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 11 | 34 | 35 |
| Listings on book | 71 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +27.3% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | -100.0% | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +0.0% | 50 | 50 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +0.1% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +1.4% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d)n/s | -0.3% | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d)n/s | +0.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d)n/s | -0.8% | 5 | 5 |
| Owner growth (60d)n/s | -0.3% | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d)n/s | -0.5% | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 0.07 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | 63080d | — | — |
| Copies per ownern/s | 16.31× | 92 | 90 |
| Top-1 holder sharen/s | +4.1% | 60 | 54 |
| Top-10 holder sharen/s | +11.7% | 47 | 37 |
| HHI (top-10)n/s | 25.01 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5)n/s | 10 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d)n/s | -0.8% | 23 | 23 |
| Absorption (60d)n/s | -0.4% | — | — |
| Absorption (90d)n/s | -2.0% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 200d | — | — |
| Days since fixationn/s | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | 0.14× | 11 | 12 |
| Store-price ratio | 0.14× | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | -64.9% | 16 | 19 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.02× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +9.5% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $0.19 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 31 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | +7.6% | 82 | 85 |
| Momentum pillar | 55 | 68 | 71 |
| Scarcity pillar | 12 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 17 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 88 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 30 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 53 | 76 | 76 |
| Data completeness | +77.3% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | 0.02× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | -1.21× | 5 | 5 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | -0.19× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | 0.01× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | -0.33× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | -0.13× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | -18.9% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | -18.0% | 31 | 30 |
| Return vs market (90d) | -44.7% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 1 | 25 | 25 |
| Spike days (60d) | 1 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 1 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 1 | 25 | 25 |
| Dump days (60d) | 2 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 2 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | -3.4% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | -3.4% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | -3.4% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | -1 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | -1 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.