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The dedicated S&box cosmetics market tracker. Live prices, drops and supply for every sbox skin on the Steam Community Market.

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Back to Frog Nappy

Frog Nappyfull analytics

Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 77%.

Overall rating

?Fixed supply
Insight Engine v2
52/ 100
C
Momentum56
Scarcity62
Liquidity15
Value69
Risk45

Recomputed each sync: last updated Sep 14, 1:02 PM.

Signal narrative

Slightly bearish
Sharp decline !!!

Price down 12.7% in 24h: significant selling pressure.

Holders are holding !!

Only 0.9% of supply listed: low sell pressure.

Concentrated ownership

~9.5 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.

Delisted from store !!

No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.

Weekly uptrend !!

Average price up 26% over the past week versus the prior week.

High volatility

Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.

Lagging the market !!

25pts behind the median skin this week, underperforming its peers.

Fixed supply

Supply is fixed (delisted Aug 3, 2026); every new owner must buy on the market.

Bid support withdrawing !!

Buy-side depth dropped sharply in the last 48h while the price held; the floor is being pulled before price has caught down to it.

Market-wide fear

The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.

Signals are informational only: not financial advice.

Signal Analysis

Insight Engine

Frog Nappy's 26.8% slide over the last 24h is the clearest development here, and it fits the contrarian read that its +26.2% weekly spike was more likely to fade than extend. The $4.65 lowest ask still sits 52% above the best standing bid of $3.05, a 41.6% spread with bid support withdrawing and a liquidity score of just 7/100 across 10 active listings. The fair-value model does rate the item 12.6% cheap, and supply is fixed at 976 units after delisting, but those units sit with only 103 owners. With a safety score of 28/100, the thin bid side may matter more than the discount for now.

AI-generated from live market data Β· updated 21h ago Β· Not financial advice β€” automated analysis for informational purposes only.

Price action

106/113 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Return (24h)-12.7%β€”β€”
Return (3d)-12.7%β€”β€”
Return (7d)-36.3%
9
9
Return (14d)+0.2%β€”β€”
Return (30d)-12.7%
54
52
Return (60d)-14.7%β€”β€”
Return (90d)β€”β€”β€”
Return (all)-14.7%β€”β€”
Log return (24h)-13.6%β€”β€”
Log return (3d)-13.6%β€”β€”
Log return (7d)-45.0%β€”β€”
Log return (14d)+0.2%β€”β€”
Log return (30d)-13.6%β€”β€”
Log return (60d)-15.9%β€”β€”
Log return (90d)β€”β€”β€”
Log return (all)-15.9%β€”β€”
High (24h)$4.06β€”β€”
High (3d)$4.65β€”β€”
High (7d)$6.37β€”β€”
High (14d)$6.37β€”β€”
High (30d)$6.37β€”β€”
High (60d)$6.37β€”β€”
High (90d)$6.37β€”β€”
High (all)$6.37β€”β€”
Low (24h)$4.06β€”β€”
Low (3d)$4.06β€”β€”
Low (7d)$4.06β€”β€”
Low (14d)$4.05β€”β€”
Low (30d)$4.04β€”β€”
Low (60d)$3.69β€”β€”
Low (90d)$3.69β€”β€”
Low (all)$3.69β€”β€”
Mean price (24h)$4.06β€”β€”
Mean price (3d)$4.36β€”β€”
Mean price (7d)$5.55β€”β€”
Mean price (14d)$4.81β€”β€”
Mean price (30d)$4.49β€”β€”
Mean price (60d)$4.45β€”β€”
Mean price (90d)$4.45β€”β€”
Mean price (all)$4.45β€”β€”
Median price (24h)$4.06β€”β€”
Median price (3d)$4.36β€”β€”
Median price (7d)$6.34β€”β€”
Median price (14d)$4.07β€”β€”
Median price (30d)$4.08β€”β€”
Median price (60d)$4.08β€”β€”
Median price (90d)$4.08β€”β€”
Median price (all)$4.08β€”β€”
Range % (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Range % (3d)+14.5%β€”β€”
Range % (7d)+56.9%β€”β€”
Range % (14d)+57.3%β€”β€”
Range % (30d)+57.7%β€”β€”
Range % (60d)+72.6%β€”β€”
Range % (90d)+72.6%β€”β€”
Range % (all)+72.6%β€”β€”
Position in range (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Position in range (3d)β€”β€”β€”
Position in range (7d)β€”β€”β€”
Position in range (14d)0β€”β€”
Position in range (30d)1β€”β€”
Position in range (60d)14β€”β€”
Position in range (90d)14
72
75
Position in range (all)14β€”β€”
Distance from high (24h)+0.0%β€”β€”
Distance from high (3d)-12.7%β€”β€”
Distance from high (7d)-36.3%β€”β€”
Distance from high (14d)-36.3%β€”β€”
Distance from high (30d)-36.3%β€”β€”
Distance from high (60d)-36.3%β€”β€”
Distance from high (90d)-36.3%
90
90
Distance from high (all)-36.3%β€”β€”
Distance from low (24h)+0.0%β€”β€”
Distance from low (3d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Distance from low (7d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Distance from low (14d)+0.2%β€”β€”
Distance from low (30d)+0.5%β€”β€”
Distance from low (60d)+10.0%β€”β€”
Distance from low (90d)+10.0%β€”β€”
Distance from low (all)+10.0%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (24h)+0.0%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (3d)-6.8%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (7d)-26.9%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (14d)-15.6%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (30d)-9.5%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (60d)-8.8%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (90d)-8.8%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (all)-8.8%β€”β€”
Up days (24h)0β€”β€”
Up days (3d)0β€”β€”
Up days (7d)1β€”β€”
Up days (14d)4β€”β€”
Up days (30d)6β€”β€”
Up days (60d)10β€”β€”
Up days (90d)10β€”β€”
Up days (all)10β€”β€”
Down days (24h)0β€”β€”
Down days (3d)1β€”β€”
Down days (7d)3β€”β€”
Down days (14d)3β€”β€”
Down days (30d)8β€”β€”
Down days (60d)15β€”β€”
Down days (90d)15β€”β€”
Down days (all)15β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (3d)0β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (7d)25β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (14d)57β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (30d)43β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (60d)40β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (90d)40β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (all)40β€”β€”
Up-day streak0.0dβ€”β€”

Trend

11/38 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
SMA (7)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (7)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (14)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (14)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (21)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (21)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (30)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (30)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (50)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (50)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (90)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (90)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (100)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (100)β€”β€”β€”
EMA (7)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs EMA (7)β€”β€”β€”
EMA (14)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs EMA (14)β€”β€”β€”
EMA (30)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs EMA (30)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (7)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (14)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (21)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (30)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (50)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (100)β€”β€”β€”
Trend slope (14d)+3.1%β€”β€”
Trend slope (30d)+0.9%
76
71
Trend slope (60d)+0.4%β€”β€”
Trend slope (90d)+0.4%β€”β€”
Trend slope (all)+0.4%β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (14d)0.18Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (30d)0.13Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (60d)0.07Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (90d)0.07Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (all)0.07Γ—β€”β€”
SMA 7/30 crossβ€”β€”β€”
Days since trend flip5.0dβ€”β€”

Volatility & risk

33/33 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Return stdev (7d)+14.7%β€”β€”
Return stdev (14d)+19.9%β€”β€”
Return stdev (30d)+12.4%
53
54
Return stdev (60d)+11.0%β€”β€”
Return stdev (90d)+11.0%β€”β€”
Return stdev (all)+11.0%β€”β€”
Downside deviation (30d)+9.1%β€”β€”
Downside deviation (60d)+7.0%β€”β€”
Downside deviation (90d)+7.0%β€”β€”
Max drawdown (30d)+36.3%β€”β€”
Max drawdown (60d)+36.3%β€”β€”
Max drawdown (90d)+36.3%
5
5
Max drawdown (all)+36.3%β€”β€”
Current drawdown (90d)+36.3%
7
10
Current drawdown (all)+36.3%β€”β€”
Drawdown duration (90d)5.0dβ€”β€”
Drawdown duration (all)5.0dβ€”β€”
Sortino ratio (30d)0.02Γ—
53
51
Sortino ratio (90d)0.02Γ—β€”β€”
Return skew (30d)2.93β€”β€”
Return skew (90d)2.87β€”β€”
Excess kurtosis (30d)13.66β€”β€”
Excess kurtosis (90d)13.71β€”β€”
Largest up day (7d)+0.2%β€”β€”
Largest up day (14d)+56.5%β€”β€”
Largest up day (30d)+56.5%β€”β€”
Largest up day (60d)+56.5%β€”β€”
Largest up day (90d)+56.5%β€”β€”
Largest down day (7d)+26.8%β€”β€”
Largest down day (14d)+26.8%β€”β€”
Largest down day (30d)+26.8%β€”β€”
Largest down day (60d)+26.8%β€”β€”
Largest down day (90d)+26.8%β€”β€”

Liquidity

5/20 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Turnover %β€”β€”β€”
On-market %+0.9%
18
17
Days to clear listingsβ€”β€”β€”
Lifetime sales / dayneeds provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime salesβ€”β€”
Liquidity score9
18
17
Listings on book9β€”β€”
Amihud illiquidity (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Amihud illiquidity (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Amihud illiquidity (90d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Zero-sale-day share (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Zero-sale-day share (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Zero-sale-day share (90d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (7d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (14d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Bid-ask spread %+28.4%β€”β€”
Near-mid bid imbalanceβ€”β€”β€”
Bid-depth trend (7d)β€”β€”β€”
Bid-floor migration (7d)+7.8%β€”β€”

Supply & ownership

14/21 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Supply growth (7d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Supply growth (14d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Supply growth (30d)+0.0%
5
5
Supply growth (60d)β€”β€”β€”
Supply growth (90d)β€”β€”β€”
Owner growth (7d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Owner growth (14d)+3.0%β€”β€”
Owner growth (30d)+4.0%
72
64
Owner growth (60d)β€”β€”β€”
Owner growth (90d)β€”β€”β€”
Mint rate (7d)0β€”β€”
Mint rate (30d)0β€”β€”
Supply doubling timeβ€”β€”β€”
Copies per owner9.48Γ—
32
33
Top-1 holder share+2.2%
36
38
Top-10 holder share+11.7%
49
50
HHI (top-10)16.1β€”β€”
Whale count (β‰₯5)10β€”β€”
Absorption (30d)+4.0%
90
90
Absorption (60d)β€”β€”β€”
Absorption (90d)β€”β€”β€”

Lifecycle & value

17/18 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Age50dβ€”β€”
Days since fixation42dβ€”β€”
Days until leaving storen/s-42dβ€”β€”
Release-price multipleβ€”β€”β€”
Store-price ratio1.35Γ—β€”β€”
Fair-value residual-16.1%
42
43
Price per scarcity point0.07Γ—β€”β€”
Instant-sell discount+24.9%β€”β€”
Bid-floor backing$3.05β€”β€”
Accumulation score43β€”β€”
Market-relative 7d return-25.2%
9
9
Momentum pillar56
54
52
Scarcity pillar62β€”β€”
Liquidity pillar15β€”β€”
Value pillar69β€”β€”
Risk pillar45β€”β€”
Overall rating53
62
58
Data completeness+77.0%β€”β€”

Relative to market

8/9 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Beta vs market (14d)1.51Γ—β€”β€”
Beta vs market (30d)0.74Γ—
76
80
Beta vs market (90d)0.66Γ—β€”β€”
Market correlation (14d)0.34Γ—β€”β€”
Market correlation (30d)0.24Γ—β€”β€”
Market correlation (90d)0.24Γ—β€”β€”
Return vs market (14d)-9.7%β€”β€”
Return vs market (30d)-18.0%
54
52
Return vs market (90d)β€”β€”β€”

Events

12/15 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Spike days (30d)1
50
50
Spike days (60d)2β€”β€”
Spike days (90d)2β€”β€”
Dump days (30d)1
50
25
Dump days (60d)1β€”β€”
Dump days (90d)1β€”β€”
Post-spike reversion (30d)-0.5%β€”β€”
Post-spike reversion (60d)-1.3%β€”β€”
Post-spike reversion (90d)-1.3%β€”β€”
Listing shocks (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listing shocks (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listing shocks (90d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Net spike bias (30d)0β€”β€”
Net spike bias (60d)1β€”β€”
Net spike bias (90d)1β€”β€”

Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. β€œn/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.