Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 82%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Sep 16, 9:02 AM.
Price up 5.5% in 24h: a mild upward trend.
4,208 total supply: already fairly common, limiting the scarcity premium.
Only 0.9% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~11.4 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.
Average price down 16% over the past week versus the prior week.
RSI 21: beaten down and due for a potential bounce.
Down 51% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.
Up 11pts more than the median skin this week: real relative strength.
Trading 26% under our supply/rarity model's estimate; looks cheap versus comparable skins.
Supply is fixed; every new owner must buy on the market.
Real buy support at $1.47: cumulative standing bids you could sell a few copies into without the price collapsing.
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
Fresh Mask is trading 29.2% below the fair-value model after a 16.2% weekly decline, and in this single-regime market sharp drops like that have tended to recover, so the pullback reads more as a possible recovery setup than a breakdown. Its seven-day return still came out 9.9% ahead of the market median despite broader market fear. At a $1.62 lowest ask, it sits well under its $2.50 store price and in the 5th percentile of its 90-day range, with supply fixed since delisting. The caveats are thin liquidity (28/100), an 11.0% spread to a $1.46 best bid, and concentrated ownership, with 4,208 units held by 370 owners.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 18h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | +5.5% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | -0.6% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | -0.6% | 77 | 78 |
| Return (14d) | -15.1% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | -24.5% | 40 | 40 |
| Return (60d) | -26.2% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | -47.2% | 74 | 73 |
| Return (all) | -43.2% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | +5.4% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | -0.6% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | -0.6% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | -16.4% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | -28.2% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | -30.4% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | -63.8% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -56.6% | — | — |
| High (24h) | $1.63 | — | — |
| High (3d) | $1.64 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $1.64 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $1.92 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $2.23 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $2.38 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $3.34 | — | — |
| High (all) | $5.22 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | $1.63 | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $1.63 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $1.58 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $1.58 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $1.58 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $1.58 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $1.58 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $1.58 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | $1.63 | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $1.63 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $1.63 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $1.75 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $1.96 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $2.10 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $2.26 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $2.56 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | $1.63 | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $1.63 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $1.64 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $1.64 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $1.95 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $2.18 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $2.22 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $2.34 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +0.9% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +3.8% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +21.5% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +41.1% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +50.6% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +111.4% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +230.4% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 15 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 8 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 6 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 3 | 42 | 40 |
| Position in range (all) | 1 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | -0.6% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | -0.6% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -15.1% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -26.9% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -31.5% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -51.2% | 75 | 76 |
| Distance from high (all) | -68.8% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +0.3% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +3.2% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +3.2% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +3.2% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +3.2% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +3.2% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +3.2% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | -0.1% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | +0.1% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | -6.7% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | -16.8% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | -22.4% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | -27.8% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | -36.4% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 2 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 2 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 4 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 10 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 19 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 36 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 1 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 2 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 4 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 8 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 18 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 31 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 50 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | 50 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 50 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 33 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 33 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 36 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 38 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 42 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 1.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | $1.63 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | +0.1% | — | — |
| SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | $1.63 | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | +0.1% | — | — |
| EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | -2.1% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | -1.5% | 25 | 24 |
| Trend slope (60d) | -0.5% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | -0.5% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -0.5% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.75× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.86× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.60× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.62× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.46× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 18d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +2.4% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +4.9% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +3.7% | 5 | 7 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +3.5% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +5.9% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +7.2% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +4.6% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +3.7% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +5.6% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +29.1% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +33.6% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +52.7% | 16 | 12 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +69.7% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +51.2% | 25 | 23 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +68.8% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 87d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 104d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | -0.24× | 24 | 22 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | -0.11× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | -2.52 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 0.44 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 8.1 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 10.21 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | +3.8% | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +3.8% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +3.8% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +10.4% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +28.5% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +3.7% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +14.1% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +14.1% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +14.1% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +23.6% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +0.9% | 17 | 19 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 8 | 17 | 19 |
| Listings on book | 37 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +10.3% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | 0.97× | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | -2.0% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +0.0% | 5 | 5 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d) | -0.3% | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d) | +0.5% | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d) | +0.5% | 52 | 53 |
| Owner growth (60d) | +1.6% | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d) | +2.5% | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | — | — | — |
| Copies per owner | 11.37× | 51 | 50 |
| Top-1 holder share | +3.6% | 54 | 52 |
| Top-10 holder share | +10.7% | 44 | 38 |
| HHI (top-10) | 22.49 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5) | 10 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d) | +0.5% | 75 | 76 |
| Absorption (60d) | +1.6% | — | — |
| Absorption (90d) | +2.5% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 140d | — | — |
| Days since fixation | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | 0.65× | 51 | 52 |
| Store-price ratio | 0.65× | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | -26.5% | 38 | 41 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.05× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +9.8% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $1.47 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 37 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | +11.1% | 77 | 78 |
| Momentum pillar | 55 | 43 | 43 |
| Scarcity pillar | 31 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 28 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 77 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 61 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 57 | 74 | 75 |
| Data completeness | +81.5% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | -0.45× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | -0.38× | 21 | 20 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | 0.00× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | -0.47× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | -0.46× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | 0.00× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | -13.5% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | -16.5% | 43 | 48 |
| Return vs market (90d) | -7.2% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 0 | 5 | 5 |
| Spike days (60d) | 0 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 1 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 0 | 5 | 5 |
| Dump days (60d) | 0 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 2 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | — | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | — | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | 0 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | -1 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.