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The dedicated S&box cosmetics market tracker. Live prices, drops and supply for every sbox skin on the Steam Community Market.

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Back to Fresh Mask

Fresh Maskfull analytics

Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 80%.

Overall rating

?Fixed supply
Insight Engine v2
25/ 100
D
Momentum32
Scarcity23
Liquidity10
Value25
Risk29

Recomputed each sync: last updated Oct 31, 12:02 AM.

Signal narrative

Bullish
Elevated supply

4,208 total supply: already fairly common, limiting the scarcity premium.

Holders are holding !!

Only 1.5% of supply listed: low sell pressure.

Concentrated ownership

~11.3 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.

Delisted from store !!

No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.

Weekly uptrend !!

Average price up 43% over the past week versus the prior week.

Overbought (RSI) !!

RSI 87: stretched to the upside and prone to a pullback.

High volatility

Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.

Outperforming the market !!

Up 136pts more than the median skin this week: real relative strength.

Fixed supply

Supply is fixed; every new owner must buy on the market.

Phantom price !!

The median sale price sits 58% above the best standing bid of $1.52; you could not actually sell there right now.

Bids accumulating !!

Order-book support has been building (accumulation score 71/100), with bid depth, value and floor all rising over the past week.

Signals are informational only: not financial advice.

Signal Analysis

Insight Engine

A 100.9% single-session gain is the headline here, and in this single-regime market sharp spikes have tended to fade, so the move reads as fade-risk rather than continuation. The supporting structure is weak: the $4.30 ask sits well above the $2.40 median sale, the model puts price 17.2% above fair value, and the order book shows a 95.5% bid/ask spread with the best standing bid at $1.52, leaving the median 58% above real demand. Liquidity scores 8/100 on 9 sales in the last 24h, and RSI reads overbought at the 95th percentile of its 90d range. Fixed supply of 4208 units post-delisting is the durable positive, but at a D grade (27/100) the case for patience over chasing looks stronger.

AI-generated from live market data Β· updated 9h ago Β· Not financial advice β€” automated analysis for informational purposes only.

Price action

108/113 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Return (24h)-0.5%β€”β€”
Return (3d)+100.0%β€”β€”
Return (7d)+135.8%
92
95
Return (14d)+172.6%β€”β€”
Return (30d)+187.2%
83
91
Return (60d)+119.5%β€”β€”
Return (90d)+91.9%
72
76
Return (all)+49.1%β€”β€”
Log return (24h)-0.5%β€”β€”
Log return (3d)+69.3%β€”β€”
Log return (7d)+85.8%β€”β€”
Log return (14d)+100.3%β€”β€”
Log return (30d)+105.5%β€”β€”
Log return (60d)+78.6%β€”β€”
Log return (90d)+65.2%β€”β€”
Log return (all)+40.0%β€”β€”
High (24h)$4.28β€”β€”
High (3d)$4.30β€”β€”
High (7d)$4.30β€”β€”
High (14d)$4.30β€”β€”
High (30d)$4.30β€”β€”
High (60d)$4.30β€”β€”
High (90d)$4.30β€”β€”
High (all)$5.22β€”β€”
Low (24h)$4.28β€”β€”
Low (3d)$2.14β€”β€”
Low (7d)$1.82β€”β€”
Low (14d)$1.55β€”β€”
Low (30d)$1.26β€”β€”
Low (60d)$1.20β€”β€”
Low (90d)$1.20β€”β€”
Low (all)$1.20β€”β€”
Mean price (24h)$4.28β€”β€”
Mean price (3d)$3.57β€”β€”
Mean price (7d)$2.70β€”β€”
Mean price (14d)$2.29β€”β€”
Mean price (30d)$1.85β€”β€”
Mean price (60d)$1.76β€”β€”
Mean price (90d)$1.90β€”β€”
Mean price (all)$2.37β€”β€”
Median price (24h)$4.28β€”β€”
Median price (3d)$4.28β€”β€”
Median price (7d)$2.14β€”β€”
Median price (14d)$2.14β€”β€”
Median price (30d)$1.56β€”β€”
Median price (60d)$1.62β€”β€”
Median price (90d)$1.92β€”β€”
Median price (all)$2.22β€”β€”
Range % (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Range % (3d)+100.9%β€”β€”
Range % (7d)+136.9%β€”β€”
Range % (14d)+177.4%β€”β€”
Range % (30d)+242.6%β€”β€”
Range % (60d)+258.3%β€”β€”
Range % (90d)+258.3%β€”β€”
Range % (all)+335.0%β€”β€”
Position in range (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Position in range (3d)β€”β€”β€”
Position in range (7d)β€”β€”β€”
Position in range (14d)99β€”β€”
Position in range (30d)99β€”β€”
Position in range (60d)99β€”β€”
Position in range (90d)99
94
94
Position in range (all)77β€”β€”
Distance from high (24h)+0.0%β€”β€”
Distance from high (3d)-0.5%β€”β€”
Distance from high (7d)-0.5%β€”β€”
Distance from high (14d)-0.5%β€”β€”
Distance from high (30d)-0.5%β€”β€”
Distance from high (60d)-0.5%β€”β€”
Distance from high (90d)-0.5%
94
94
Distance from high (all)-18.0%β€”β€”
Distance from low (24h)+0.0%β€”β€”
Distance from low (3d)+100.0%β€”β€”
Distance from low (7d)+135.8%β€”β€”
Distance from low (14d)+176.1%β€”β€”
Distance from low (30d)+241.0%β€”β€”
Distance from low (60d)+256.7%β€”β€”
Distance from low (90d)+256.7%β€”β€”
Distance from low (all)+256.7%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (24h)+0.0%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (3d)+19.8%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (7d)+58.6%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (14d)+86.5%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (30d)+131.6%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (60d)+142.8%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (90d)+124.9%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (all)+80.2%β€”β€”
Up days (24h)0β€”β€”
Up days (3d)1β€”β€”
Up days (7d)4β€”β€”
Up days (14d)5β€”β€”
Up days (30d)8β€”β€”
Up days (60d)13β€”β€”
Up days (90d)17β€”β€”
Up days (all)47β€”β€”
Down days (24h)0β€”β€”
Down days (3d)1β€”β€”
Down days (7d)2β€”β€”
Down days (14d)5β€”β€”
Down days (30d)9β€”β€”
Down days (60d)19β€”β€”
Down days (90d)25β€”β€”
Down days (all)64β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (3d)50β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (7d)67β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (14d)50β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (30d)47β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (60d)41β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (90d)40β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (all)42β€”β€”
Up-day streak0.0dβ€”β€”

Trend

19/38 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
SMA (7)$2.70β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (7)+58.6%β€”β€”
SMA (14)$2.29β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (14)+86.5%β€”β€”
SMA (21)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (21)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (30)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (30)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (50)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (50)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (90)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (90)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (100)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (100)β€”β€”β€”
EMA (7)$2.70β€”β€”
Price vs EMA (7)+58.6%β€”β€”
EMA (14)$2.29β€”β€”
Price vs EMA (14)+86.5%β€”β€”
EMA (30)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs EMA (30)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (7)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (14)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (21)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (30)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (50)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (100)β€”β€”β€”
Trend slope (14d)+6.7%β€”β€”
Trend slope (30d)+3.6%
72
79
Trend slope (60d)+0.8%β€”β€”
Trend slope (90d)-0.2%β€”β€”
Trend slope (all)-0.4%β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (14d)0.54Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (30d)0.51Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (60d)0.13Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (90d)0.02Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (all)0.43Γ—β€”β€”
SMA 7/30 crossβ€”β€”β€”
Days since trend flip2.0dβ€”β€”

Volatility & risk

33/33 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Return stdev (7d)+27.7%β€”β€”
Return stdev (14d)+21.6%β€”β€”
Return stdev (30d)+15.8%
43
44
Return stdev (60d)+13.3%β€”β€”
Return stdev (90d)+10.9%β€”β€”
Return stdev (all)+9.6%β€”β€”
Downside deviation (30d)+5.4%β€”β€”
Downside deviation (60d)+7.0%β€”β€”
Downside deviation (90d)+6.2%β€”β€”
Max drawdown (30d)+16.0%β€”β€”
Max drawdown (60d)+38.5%β€”β€”
Max drawdown (90d)+46.2%
22
21
Max drawdown (all)+77.0%β€”β€”
Current drawdown (90d)+0.5%
6
6
Current drawdown (all)+18.0%β€”β€”
Drawdown duration (90d)1.0dβ€”β€”
Drawdown duration (all)149dβ€”β€”
Sortino ratio (30d)1.00Γ—
77
76
Sortino ratio (90d)0.25Γ—β€”β€”
Return skew (30d)3.81β€”β€”
Return skew (90d)5.24β€”β€”
Excess kurtosis (30d)16.36β€”β€”
Excess kurtosis (90d)35.56β€”β€”
Largest up day (7d)+100.9%β€”β€”
Largest up day (14d)+100.9%β€”β€”
Largest up day (30d)+100.9%β€”β€”
Largest up day (60d)+100.9%β€”β€”
Largest up day (90d)+100.9%β€”β€”
Largest down day (7d)+0.5%β€”β€”
Largest down day (14d)+12.7%β€”β€”
Largest down day (30d)+14.1%β€”β€”
Largest down day (60d)+25.9%β€”β€”
Largest down day (90d)+25.9%β€”β€”

Liquidity

5/20 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Turnover %β€”β€”β€”
On-market %+1.5%
61
55
Days to clear listingsβ€”β€”β€”
Lifetime sales / dayneeds provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime salesβ€”β€”
Liquidity score14
63
61
Listings on book63β€”β€”
Amihud illiquidity (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Amihud illiquidity (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Amihud illiquidity (90d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Zero-sale-day share (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Zero-sale-day share (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Zero-sale-day share (90d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (7d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (14d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Bid-ask spread %+95.0%β€”β€”
Near-mid bid imbalanceβ€”β€”β€”
Bid-depth trend (7d)β€”β€”β€”
Bid-floor migration (7d)+25.8%β€”β€”

Supply & ownership

12/21 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Supply growth (7d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Supply growth (14d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Supply growth (30d)+0.0%
5
5
Supply growth (60d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Supply growth (90d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Owner growth (7d)β€”β€”β€”
Owner growth (14d)β€”β€”β€”
Owner growth (30d)β€”β€”β€”
Owner growth (60d)β€”β€”β€”
Owner growth (90d)β€”β€”β€”
Mint rate (7d)0β€”β€”
Mint rate (30d)0β€”β€”
Supply doubling timeβ€”β€”β€”
Copies per owner11.25Γ—
51
52
Top-1 holder share+3.6%
55
50
Top-10 holder share+10.4%
43
36
HHI (top-10)22.21β€”β€”
Whale count (β‰₯5)10β€”β€”
Absorption (30d)β€”β€”β€”
Absorption (60d)β€”β€”β€”
Absorption (90d)β€”β€”β€”

Lifecycle & value

16/18 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Age184dβ€”β€”
Days since fixationβ€”β€”β€”
Days until leaving storen/sβ€”β€”β€”
Release-price multiple1.72Γ—
66
66
Store-price ratio1.71Γ—β€”β€”
Fair-value residual+16.4%
55
60
Price per scarcity point0.19Γ—β€”β€”
Instant-sell discount+64.5%β€”β€”
Bid-floor backing$1.51β€”β€”
Accumulation score71β€”β€”
Market-relative 7d return+136.4%
92
95
Momentum pillar32
10
9
Scarcity pillar23β€”β€”
Liquidity pillar10β€”β€”
Value pillar25β€”β€”
Risk pillar29β€”β€”
Overall rating30
10
7
Data completeness+80.4%β€”β€”

Relative to market

9/9 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Beta vs market (14d)2.40Γ—β€”β€”
Beta vs market (30d)0.22Γ—
27
24
Beta vs market (90d)0.27Γ—β€”β€”
Market correlation (14d)0.27Γ—β€”β€”
Market correlation (30d)0.08Γ—β€”β€”
Market correlation (90d)0.12Γ—β€”β€”
Return vs market (14d)+145.9%β€”β€”
Return vs market (30d)+7.1%
83
91
Return vs market (90d)-53.4%β€”β€”

Events

12/15 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Spike days (30d)3
67
75
Spike days (60d)4β€”β€”
Spike days (90d)4β€”β€”
Dump days (30d)0
5
5
Dump days (60d)1β€”β€”
Dump days (90d)1β€”β€”
Post-spike reversion (30d)+2.4%β€”β€”
Post-spike reversion (60d)-0.1%β€”β€”
Post-spike reversion (90d)-0.1%β€”β€”
Listing shocks (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listing shocks (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listing shocks (90d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Net spike bias (30d)3β€”β€”
Net spike bias (60d)3β€”β€”
Net spike bias (90d)3β€”β€”

Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. β€œn/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.