Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 75%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Sep 24, 12:02 PM.
Up 11.3% in the last 6 hours and accelerating.
Only 4.3% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~14.1 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
A random in-game drop (534 dropped). It was never sold in the store, so supply is capped by the drop rate.
Average price down 24% over the past week versus the prior week.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Down 96% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.
Trading 33% under our supply/rarity model's estimate; looks cheap versus comparable skins.
Supply is still growing from in-game drops; scarcity is unknowable yet.
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
A 24.1% drop over seven days has left Fleece Jacket Purple at the 5th percentile of its 90-day range and 33.3% below the fair-value model, which in this single-regime market reads as a possible recovery setup rather than a broken item. The 6h move of +11.3% against a flat 24h is early and thin evidence, not confirmation. The structural caveats are real: 38 unique owners across 533 units is concentrated, liquidity scores 32/100, and the 30% bid/ask spread between the $0.17 best bid and the $0.23 ask means the quoted price and the $0.17 median sale are telling different stories. Rating sits at 58/100 (B), strong for its cohort at the 90th percentile, but the fresh-drop flag argues for patience on entry timing.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 21h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | -4.2% | 28 | 30 |
| Return (14d) | -32.4% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | -34.3% | 14 | 10 |
| Return (60d) | -61.0% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | -91.0% | 12 | 15 |
| Return (all) | -91.0% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | -4.3% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | -39.1% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | -42.0% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | -94.2% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | -240.6% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -240.6% | — | — |
| High (24h) | — | — | — |
| High (3d) | $0.23 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $0.24 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $0.34 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $0.36 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $5.99 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $5.99 | — | — |
| High (all) | $5.99 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $0.23 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $0.23 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $0.23 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $0.23 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $0.23 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $0.23 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $0.23 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $0.23 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $0.23 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $0.26 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $0.30 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $0.60 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $0.64 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $0.64 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $0.23 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $0.23 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $0.24 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $0.33 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $0.36 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $0.36 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $0.36 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +4.3% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +47.8% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +56.5% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +2504.3% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +2504.3% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +2504.3% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 0 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 0 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 0 | 5 | 5 |
| Position in range (all) | 0 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | -4.2% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -32.4% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -36.1% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -96.2% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -96.2% | 10 | 11 |
| Distance from high (all) | -96.2% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | — | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | -1.4% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | -12.5% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | -23.7% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | -61.8% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | -63.8% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | -63.8% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 4 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 5 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 12 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 12 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 1 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 3 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 8 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 21 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 38 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 38 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 33 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 19 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 24 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 24 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | -4.5% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | -1.9% | 24 | 25 |
| Trend slope (60d) | -3.9% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | -1.7% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -1.7% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.68× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.60× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.14× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.09× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.09× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 7.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +1.9% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +9.9% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +10.7% | 42 | 42 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +49.4% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +43.3% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +43.3% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +9.7% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +17.8% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +14.8% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +36.1% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +96.2% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +96.2% | 89 | 87 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +96.2% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +96.2% | 90 | 89 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +96.2% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 51d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 51d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | -0.13× | 23 | 26 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | 1.53× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | -0.28 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 8.53 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 3.09 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 73.44 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | — | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | — | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +25.0% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +2039.3% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +2039.3% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +4.2% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +27.3% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +27.3% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +53.8% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +53.8% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +4.3% | 81 | 79 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 35 | 81 | 80 |
| Listings on book | 23 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +30.0% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +2.3% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +4.5% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +14.8% | 80 | 77 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +40.5% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +394.4% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d)n/s | +0.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d)n/s | +0.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d)n/s | +5.6% | 76 | 76 |
| Owner growth (60d)n/s | +22.6% | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d)n/s | +1166.7% | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 2 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 2.38 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | 150d | — | — |
| Copies per ownern/s | 14.05× | 79 | 81 |
| Top-1 holder sharen/s | +1.9% | 32 | 38 |
| Top-10 holder sharen/s | +6.6% | 26 | 29 |
| HHI (top-10)n/s | 7.12 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5)n/s | 3 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d)n/s | -9.3% | 13 | 15 |
| Absorption (60d)n/s | -17.9% | — | — |
| Absorption (90d)n/s | +772.2% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | needs a release date | — | — |
| Days since fixationn/s | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | — | — | — |
| Store-price ratio | — | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | -33.1% | 32 | 29 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.00× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +26.1% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $0.16 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 47 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | -4.0% | 28 | 30 |
| Momentum pillar | 51 | 55 | 61 |
| Scarcity pillar | 52 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 32 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 80 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 38 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 58 | 89 | 90 |
| Data completeness | +74.9% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | 1.20× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | 0.26× | 58 | 61 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | 8.16× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | 0.58× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | 0.11× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | 0.24× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | -27.7% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | -42.8% | 14 | 10 |
| Return vs market (90d) | -65.8% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 1 | 25 | 50 |
| Spike days (60d) | 2 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 7 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 2 | 75 | 75 |
| Dump days (60d) | 6 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 16 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | -2.9% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | -27.5% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | +7.7% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | -1 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | -4 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | -9 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.