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The dedicated S&box cosmetics market tracker. Live prices, drops and supply for every sbox skin on the Steam Community Market.

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Back to Fleece Jacket Pink

Fleece Jacket Pinkfull analytics

Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 83%.

Overall rating

?Fresh drop
Insight Engine v2
37/ 100
D†
Momentum53
Scarcity56
Liquidity13
Value51
Risk13

Recomputed each sync: last updated Nov 9, 5:02 PM.

Signal narrative

Slightly bullish
Holders are holding !!

Only 2.0% of supply listed: low sell pressure.

Concentrated ownership

~12.6 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.

Item drop !!

A random in-game drop (743 dropped). It was never sold in the store, so supply is capped by the drop rate.

High volatility

Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.

Deep drawdown

Down 52% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.

Fresh drop

Supply is still growing from in-game drops; scarcity is unknowable yet.

Phantom price !!

The median sale price sits 200% above the best standing bid of $0.16; you could not actually sell there right now.

Market-wide fear

The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.

Signals are informational only: not financial advice.

Signal Analysis

Insight Engine

The headline here is structural, not directional: the $0.48 median sale sits 200% above the best standing bid of $0.16, a 100% bid/ask spread that marks the displayed price as largely phantom. Liquidity scores 13/100 and risk/safety also 13/100, so the quoted level rests on thin support rather than depth. Price is flat over both 6h and 24h, down 5.3% on the week, and only 2.6% above the fair-value model, with 743 units in existence and 15 active listings in the current observation. A 90th-percentile 90d max drawdown alongside 5th-percentile dump days and a 95th-percentile Sortino is a mixed profile, and at a 42/100 overall rating the gap between ask and bid is the number that matters most.

AI-generated from live market data Β· updated 1h ago Β· Not financial advice β€” automated analysis for informational purposes only.

Price action

108/113 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Return (24h)+0.0%β€”β€”
Return (3d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Return (7d)-2.0%
55
50
Return (14d)-4.0%β€”β€”
Return (30d)+152.6%
77
65
Return (60d)-11.1%β€”β€”
Return (90d)+166.7%
83
77
Return (all)-66.7%β€”β€”
Log return (24h)+0.0%β€”β€”
Log return (3d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Log return (7d)-2.1%β€”β€”
Log return (14d)-4.1%β€”β€”
Log return (30d)+92.7%β€”β€”
Log return (60d)-11.8%β€”β€”
Log return (90d)+98.1%β€”β€”
Log return (all)-109.9%β€”β€”
High (24h)$0.48β€”β€”
High (3d)$0.49β€”β€”
High (7d)$0.49β€”β€”
High (14d)$0.53β€”β€”
High (30d)$0.53β€”β€”
High (60d)$0.59β€”β€”
High (90d)$1.00β€”β€”
High (all)$1.44β€”β€”
Low (24h)$0.48β€”β€”
Low (3d)$0.48β€”β€”
Low (7d)$0.48β€”β€”
Low (14d)$0.48β€”β€”
Low (30d)$0.18β€”β€”
Low (60d)$0.14β€”β€”
Low (90d)$0.14β€”β€”
Low (all)$0.14β€”β€”
Mean price (24h)$0.48β€”β€”
Mean price (3d)$0.48β€”β€”
Mean price (7d)$0.48β€”β€”
Mean price (14d)$0.50β€”β€”
Mean price (30d)$0.39β€”β€”
Mean price (60d)$0.38β€”β€”
Mean price (90d)$0.35β€”β€”
Mean price (all)$0.33β€”β€”
Median price (24h)$0.48β€”β€”
Median price (3d)$0.48β€”β€”
Median price (7d)$0.48β€”β€”
Median price (14d)$0.50β€”β€”
Median price (30d)$0.48β€”β€”
Median price (60d)$0.48β€”β€”
Median price (90d)$0.26β€”β€”
Median price (all)$0.24β€”β€”
Range % (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Range % (3d)+2.1%β€”β€”
Range % (7d)+2.1%β€”β€”
Range % (14d)+10.4%β€”β€”
Range % (30d)+194.4%β€”β€”
Range % (60d)+321.4%β€”β€”
Range % (90d)+614.3%β€”β€”
Range % (all)+928.6%β€”β€”
Position in range (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Position in range (3d)β€”β€”β€”
Position in range (7d)β€”β€”β€”
Position in range (14d)0β€”β€”
Position in range (30d)86β€”β€”
Position in range (60d)76β€”β€”
Position in range (90d)40
38
25
Position in range (all)26β€”β€”
Distance from high (24h)+0.0%β€”β€”
Distance from high (3d)-2.0%β€”β€”
Distance from high (7d)-2.0%β€”β€”
Distance from high (14d)-9.4%β€”β€”
Distance from high (30d)-9.4%β€”β€”
Distance from high (60d)-18.6%β€”β€”
Distance from high (90d)-52.0%
24
21
Distance from high (all)-66.7%β€”β€”
Distance from low (24h)+0.0%β€”β€”
Distance from low (3d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Distance from low (7d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Distance from low (14d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Distance from low (30d)+166.7%β€”β€”
Distance from low (60d)+242.9%β€”β€”
Distance from low (90d)+242.9%β€”β€”
Distance from low (all)+242.9%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (24h)+0.0%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (3d)-0.7%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (7d)-0.6%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (14d)-3.3%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (30d)+24.1%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (60d)+27.2%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (90d)+35.3%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (all)+45.7%β€”β€”
Up days (24h)0β€”β€”
Up days (3d)1β€”β€”
Up days (7d)1β€”β€”
Up days (14d)2β€”β€”
Up days (30d)7β€”β€”
Up days (60d)11β€”β€”
Up days (90d)15β€”β€”
Up days (all)23β€”β€”
Down days (24h)0β€”β€”
Down days (3d)1β€”β€”
Down days (7d)2β€”β€”
Down days (14d)4β€”β€”
Down days (30d)6β€”β€”
Down days (60d)12β€”β€”
Down days (90d)23β€”β€”
Down days (all)42β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (3d)50β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (7d)33β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (14d)33β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (30d)54β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (60d)48β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (90d)39β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (all)35β€”β€”
Up-day streak0.0dβ€”β€”

Trend

21/38 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
SMA (7)$0.48β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (7)-0.6%β€”β€”
SMA (14)$0.50β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (14)-3.3%β€”β€”
SMA (21)$0.45β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (21)+6.3%β€”β€”
SMA (30)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (30)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (50)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (50)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (90)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (90)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (100)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (100)β€”β€”β€”
EMA (7)$0.48β€”β€”
Price vs EMA (7)-0.6%β€”β€”
EMA (14)$0.50β€”β€”
Price vs EMA (14)-3.3%β€”β€”
EMA (30)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs EMA (30)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (7)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (14)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (21)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (30)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (50)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (100)β€”β€”β€”
Trend slope (14d)-0.6%β€”β€”
Trend slope (30d)+3.5%
90
78
Trend slope (60d)+0.2%β€”β€”
Trend slope (90d)+0.6%β€”β€”
Trend slope (all)+0.3%β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (14d)0.55Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (30d)0.73Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (60d)0.01Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (90d)0.06Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (all)0.03Γ—β€”β€”
SMA 7/30 crossβ€”β€”β€”
Days since trend flip6.0dβ€”β€”

Volatility & risk

33/33 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Return stdev (7d)+1.6%β€”β€”
Return stdev (14d)+2.5%β€”β€”
Return stdev (30d)+13.1%
37
35
Return stdev (60d)+18.4%β€”β€”
Return stdev (90d)+25.9%β€”β€”
Return stdev (all)+24.2%β€”β€”
Downside deviation (30d)+1.2%β€”β€”
Downside deviation (60d)+17.9%β€”β€”
Downside deviation (90d)+13.2%β€”β€”
Max drawdown (30d)+9.4%β€”β€”
Max drawdown (60d)+76.3%β€”β€”
Max drawdown (90d)+86.0%
90
87
Max drawdown (all)+90.3%β€”β€”
Current drawdown (90d)+52.0%
76
79
Current drawdown (all)+66.7%β€”β€”
Drawdown duration (90d)67dβ€”β€”
Drawdown duration (all)132dβ€”β€”
Sortino ratio (30d)3.54Γ—
95
91
Sortino ratio (90d)0.49Γ—β€”β€”
Return skew (30d)4.64β€”β€”
Return skew (90d)7.45β€”β€”
Excess kurtosis (30d)22.94β€”β€”
Excess kurtosis (90d)60.31β€”β€”
Largest up day (7d)+2.1%β€”β€”
Largest up day (14d)+6.0%β€”β€”
Largest up day (30d)+92.3%β€”β€”
Largest up day (60d)+92.3%β€”β€”
Largest up day (90d)+455.6%β€”β€”
Largest down day (7d)+2.0%β€”β€”
Largest down day (14d)+3.9%β€”β€”
Largest down day (30d)+5.3%β€”β€”
Largest down day (60d)+51.9%β€”β€”
Largest down day (90d)+51.9%β€”β€”

Liquidity

5/20 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Turnover %β€”β€”β€”
On-market %+2.0%
76
78
Days to clear listingsβ€”β€”β€”
Lifetime sales / dayneeds provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime salesβ€”β€”
Liquidity score18
76
79
Listings on book15β€”β€”
Amihud illiquidity (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Amihud illiquidity (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Amihud illiquidity (90d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Zero-sale-day share (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Zero-sale-day share (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Zero-sale-day share (90d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (7d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (14d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Bid-ask spread %+100.0%β€”β€”
Near-mid bid imbalanceβ€”β€”β€”
Bid-depth trend (7d)β€”β€”β€”
Bid-floor migration (7d)+0.0%β€”β€”

Supply & ownership

13/21 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Supply growth (7d)+0.1%β€”β€”
Supply growth (14d)+1.1%β€”β€”
Supply growth (30d)+9.3%
78
75
Supply growth (60d)+25.1%β€”β€”
Supply growth (90d)+42.1%β€”β€”
Owner growth (7d)n/sβ€”β€”β€”
Owner growth (14d)n/sβ€”β€”β€”
Owner growth (30d)n/sβ€”β€”β€”
Owner growth (60d)n/sβ€”β€”β€”
Owner growth (90d)n/sβ€”β€”β€”
Mint rate (7d)0.17β€”β€”
Mint rate (30d)2.17β€”β€”
Supply doubling time235dβ€”β€”
Copies per ownern/s12.59Γ—
66
67
Top-1 holder sharen/s+1.6%
26
29
Top-10 holder sharen/s+4.8%
11
15
HHI (top-10)n/s4.06β€”β€”
Whale count (β‰₯5)n/s3β€”β€”
Absorption (30d)n/sβ€”β€”β€”
Absorption (60d)n/sβ€”β€”β€”
Absorption (90d)n/sβ€”β€”β€”

Lifecycle & value

13/18 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Ageneeds a release dateβ€”β€”
Days since fixationn/sβ€”β€”β€”
Days until leaving storen/sβ€”β€”β€”
Release-price multipleβ€”β€”β€”
Store-price ratioβ€”β€”β€”
Fair-value residual+9.4%
53
50
Price per scarcity point0.01Γ—β€”β€”
Instant-sell discount+66.7%β€”β€”
Bid-floor backing$0.16β€”β€”
Accumulation score58β€”β€”
Market-relative 7d return+0.5%
55
50
Momentum pillar53
49
48
Scarcity pillar56β€”β€”
Liquidity pillar13β€”β€”
Value pillar51β€”β€”
Risk pillar13β€”β€”
Overall rating41
46
51
Data completeness+82.9%β€”β€”

Relative to market

9/9 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Beta vs market (14d)0.03Γ—β€”β€”
Beta vs market (30d)-0.05Γ—
14
20
Beta vs market (90d)-0.37Γ—β€”β€”
Market correlation (14d)0.04Γ—β€”β€”
Market correlation (30d)-0.02Γ—β€”β€”
Market correlation (90d)-0.04Γ—β€”β€”
Return vs market (14d)-3.2%β€”β€”
Return vs market (30d)+15.4%
77
65
Return vs market (90d)+26.5%β€”β€”

Events

12/15 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Spike days (30d)2
50
50
Spike days (60d)3β€”β€”
Spike days (90d)5β€”β€”
Dump days (30d)0
5
5
Dump days (60d)3β€”β€”
Dump days (90d)4β€”β€”
Post-spike reversion (30d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Post-spike reversion (60d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Post-spike reversion (90d)-4.8%β€”β€”
Listing shocks (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listing shocks (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listing shocks (90d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Net spike bias (30d)2β€”β€”
Net spike bias (60d)0β€”β€”
Net spike bias (90d)1β€”β€”

Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. β€œn/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.