Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 74%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Sep 24, 12:02 PM.
Up 42.1% in the last 6 hours and accelerating.
Only 3.2% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~12.7 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
A random in-game drop (621 dropped). It was never sold in the store, so supply is capped by the drop rate.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Down 63% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.
Trading 99% over our supply/rarity model's estimate; richly priced versus comparable skins.
Supply is still growing from in-game drops; scarcity is unknowable yet.
The listed price sits 75% above the best standing bid of $0.12; you could not actually sell there right now.
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The 42.1% move over the last six hours is the headline, and it looks fragile rather than durable: the 24h change is still -1.8% and the 7d is -2.8%, so the surge has not yet propagated into the longer windows. The structural picture argues for caution. At $0.54 the lowest ask sits well above the $0.21 median sale and 99.8% above the model's fair value, while the order book shows a 121.3% bid/ask spread against a best bid of $0.12, listing prices floating 75% above real demand. With liquidity at 15/100, safety at 14/100, and 619 units held by just 49 owners, this reads as a thin, freshly dropped market where a fade is at least as likely as follow-through.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 21h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | -1.8% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | — | — | — |
| Return (7d) | -5.3% | 25 | 25 |
| Return (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | +200.0% | 95 | 95 |
| Return (60d) | +125.0% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | -62.5% | 37 | 40 |
| Return (all) | -62.5% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | -1.8% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | — | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | -5.4% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | +109.9% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | +81.1% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | -98.1% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -98.1% | — | — |
| High (24h) | — | — | — |
| High (3d) | $0.54 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $0.57 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $0.59 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $1.00 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $1.00 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $1.44 | — | — |
| High (all) | $1.44 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $0.54 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $0.54 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $0.54 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $0.16 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $0.15 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $0.15 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $0.15 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $0.54 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $0.55 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $0.56 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $0.48 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $0.33 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $0.33 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $0.33 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $0.54 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $0.55 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $0.55 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $0.55 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $0.20 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $0.24 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $0.24 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | — | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +5.6% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +9.3% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +525.0% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +566.7% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +860.0% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +860.0% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 0 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 45 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 46 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 30 | 81 | 76 |
| Position in range (all) | 30 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | -5.3% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -8.5% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -46.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -46.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -62.5% | 47 | 46 |
| Distance from high (all) | -62.5% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +237.5% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +260.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +260.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +260.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | — | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | -2.3% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | -3.6% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | +12.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | +64.3% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | +63.8% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | +63.8% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 2 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 5 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 10 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 14 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 14 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 2 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 3 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 10 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 20 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 33 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 33 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 40 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 33 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 33 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 30 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 30 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | +3.9% | 95 | 95 |
| Trend slope (60d) | +3.2% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | +0.6% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | +0.6% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.00× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.29× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.47× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.03× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.03× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 3.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +1.8% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +3.2% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +37.9% | 93 | 93 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +26.7% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +26.2% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +26.2% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +5.7% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +5.3% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +12.8% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +46.0% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +46.0% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +89.6% | 81 | 79 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +89.6% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +62.5% | 53 | 54 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +62.5% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 84d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 84d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | 3.22× | 95 | 95 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | 0.29× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 4.65 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 7.81 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 21.75 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 65.41 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | — | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +8.3% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +455.6% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +455.6% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +455.6% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +3.5% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +3.5% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +19.8% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +20.8% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +58.3% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +3.2% | 76 | 75 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 28 | 76 | 75 |
| Listings on book | 20 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +90.9% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | -26.7% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +1.1% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +4.2% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +11.9% | 78 | 75 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +29.8% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +355.1% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d)n/s | +6.5% | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d)n/s | +6.5% | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d)n/s | +8.9% | 79 | 78 |
| Owner growth (60d)n/s | +22.5% | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d)n/s | +880.0% | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 1.17 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 2.28 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | 184d | — | — |
| Copies per ownern/s | 12.67× | 66 | 68 |
| Top-1 holder sharen/s | +1.9% | 32 | 39 |
| Top-10 holder sharen/s | +4.7% | 12 | 15 |
| HHI (top-10)n/s | 4.9 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5)n/s | 2 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d)n/s | -3.0% | 23 | 23 |
| Absorption (60d)n/s | -7.3% | — | — |
| Absorption (90d)n/s | +524.9% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | needs a release date | — | — |
| Days since fixationn/s | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | — | — | — |
| Store-price ratio | — | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | +99.0% | 77 | 80 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.01× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +77.8% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $0.11 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 34 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | -5.1% | 25 | 25 |
| Momentum pillar | 53 | 66 | 68 |
| Scarcity pillar | 53 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 19 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 28 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 16 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 36 | 14 | 18 |
| Data completeness | +74.1% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | -0.37× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | -2.54× | 5 | 5 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | 0.13× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | -0.52× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | -0.12× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | 0.02× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | +4.6% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | +191.4% | 95 | 95 |
| Return vs market (90d) | -37.3% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 1 | 25 | 50 |
| Spike days (60d) | 3 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 5 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 1 | 25 | 25 |
| Dump days (60d) | 2 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 5 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | -14.0% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | -6.7% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | -4.0% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | 1 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | 0 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.