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The dedicated S&box cosmetics market tracker. Live prices, drops and supply for every sbox skin on the Steam Community Market.

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Back to Fleece Jacket Camo

Fleece Jacket Camofull analytics

Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 82%.

Overall rating

?Fresh drop
Insight Engine v2
38/ 100
D†
Momentum60
Scarcity54
Liquidity12
Value47
Risk13

Recomputed each sync: last updated Nov 9, 5:02 PM.

Signal narrative

Bearish
Sharp decline !!!

Price down 33.9% in 24h: significant selling pressure.

6-hour dip !!

Down 31.7% in the last 6 hours: near-term weakness.

Holders are holding !!

Only 2.0% of supply listed: low sell pressure.

Concentrated ownership

~12.9 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.

Item drop !!

A random in-game drop (867 dropped). It was never sold in the store, so supply is capped by the drop rate.

High volatility

Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.

Lagging the market !!

45pts behind the median skin this week, underperforming its peers.

Fresh drop

Supply is still growing from in-game drops; scarcity is unknowable yet.

Phantom price !!

The median sale price sits 467% above the best standing bid of $0.15; you could not actually sell there right now.

Market-wide fear

The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.

Signals are informational only: not financial advice.

Signal Analysis

Insight Engine

The defining feature here is a 120% bid/ask spread: the median sale price of $0.85 sits 467% above the best standing bid of $0.15, with the cumulative bid floor at $0.14, so the displayed price is largely phantom. Against that, the $0.60 ask prices 42% above the model's fair value, and liquidity scores 12/100 with risk/safety at 13/100, which explains the D grade (33/100). Spike days rank in the 95th percentile, so the 95th-percentile 30d return reads as volatility rather than trend, and the item is already down 3.5% over 7d and 20.4% against the market median. With 867 units in existence, a fresh-drop supply overhang remains unresolved.

AI-generated from live market data Β· updated 1h ago Β· Not financial advice β€” automated analysis for informational purposes only.

Price action

108/113 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Return (24h)-33.9%β€”β€”
Return (3d)-34.9%β€”β€”
Return (7d)-47.4%
5
5
Return (14d)+41.4%β€”β€”
Return (30d)+241.7%
88
82
Return (60d)+115.8%β€”β€”
Return (90d)+105.0%
76
67
Return (all)-92.6%β€”β€”
Log return (24h)-41.4%β€”β€”
Log return (3d)-43.0%β€”β€”
Log return (7d)-64.3%β€”β€”
Log return (14d)+34.6%β€”β€”
Log return (30d)+122.9%β€”β€”
Log return (60d)+76.9%β€”β€”
Log return (90d)+71.8%β€”β€”
Log return (all)-260.6%β€”β€”
High (24h)$0.60β€”β€”
High (3d)$0.63β€”β€”
High (7d)$0.78β€”β€”
High (14d)$0.99β€”β€”
High (30d)$0.99β€”β€”
High (60d)$0.99β€”β€”
High (90d)$0.99β€”β€”
High (all)$5.56β€”β€”
Low (24h)$0.60β€”β€”
Low (3d)$0.60β€”β€”
Low (7d)$0.60β€”β€”
Low (14d)$0.29β€”β€”
Low (30d)$0.12β€”β€”
Low (60d)$0.12β€”β€”
Low (90d)$0.12β€”β€”
Low (all)$0.12β€”β€”
Mean price (24h)$0.60β€”β€”
Mean price (3d)$0.62β€”β€”
Mean price (7d)$0.67β€”β€”
Mean price (14d)$0.68β€”β€”
Mean price (30d)$0.46β€”β€”
Mean price (60d)$0.36β€”β€”
Mean price (90d)$0.32β€”β€”
Mean price (all)$0.41β€”β€”
Median price (24h)$0.60β€”β€”
Median price (3d)$0.62β€”β€”
Median price (7d)$0.66β€”β€”
Median price (14d)$0.69β€”β€”
Median price (30d)$0.29β€”β€”
Median price (60d)$0.26β€”β€”
Median price (90d)$0.27β€”β€”
Median price (all)$0.27β€”β€”
Range % (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Range % (3d)+5.0%β€”β€”
Range % (7d)+30.0%β€”β€”
Range % (14d)+241.4%β€”β€”
Range % (30d)+725.0%β€”β€”
Range % (60d)+725.0%β€”β€”
Range % (90d)+725.0%β€”β€”
Range % (all)+4529.2%β€”β€”
Position in range (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Position in range (3d)β€”β€”β€”
Position in range (7d)β€”β€”β€”
Position in range (14d)44β€”β€”
Position in range (30d)55β€”β€”
Position in range (60d)55β€”β€”
Position in range (90d)55
57
50
Position in range (all)9β€”β€”
Distance from high (24h)-31.7%β€”β€”
Distance from high (3d)-34.9%β€”β€”
Distance from high (7d)-47.4%β€”β€”
Distance from high (14d)-58.6%β€”β€”
Distance from high (30d)-58.6%β€”β€”
Distance from high (60d)-58.6%β€”β€”
Distance from high (90d)-58.6%
19
14
Distance from high (all)-92.6%β€”β€”
Distance from low (24h)-31.7%β€”β€”
Distance from low (3d)-31.7%β€”β€”
Distance from low (7d)-31.7%β€”β€”
Distance from low (14d)+41.4%β€”β€”
Distance from low (30d)+241.7%β€”β€”
Distance from low (60d)+241.7%β€”β€”
Distance from low (90d)+241.7%β€”β€”
Distance from low (all)+241.7%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (24h)-31.7%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (3d)-33.5%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (7d)-38.8%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (14d)-39.9%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (30d)-10.2%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (60d)+15.3%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (90d)+27.4%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (all)-0.9%β€”β€”
Up days (24h)0β€”β€”
Up days (3d)0β€”β€”
Up days (7d)0β€”β€”
Up days (14d)3β€”β€”
Up days (30d)7β€”β€”
Up days (60d)11β€”β€”
Up days (90d)16β€”β€”
Up days (all)27β€”β€”
Down days (24h)0β€”β€”
Down days (3d)2β€”β€”
Down days (7d)5β€”β€”
Down days (14d)8β€”β€”
Down days (30d)11β€”β€”
Down days (60d)19β€”β€”
Down days (90d)30β€”β€”
Down days (all)49β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (3d)0β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (7d)0β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (14d)27β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (30d)39β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (60d)37β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (90d)35β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (all)36β€”β€”
Up-day streak0.0dβ€”β€”

Trend

21/38 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
SMA (7)$0.67β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (7)-38.8%β€”β€”
SMA (14)$0.68β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (14)-39.9%β€”β€”
SMA (21)$0.54β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (21)-24.3%β€”β€”
SMA (30)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (30)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (50)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (50)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (90)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (90)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (100)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (100)β€”β€”β€”
EMA (7)$0.67β€”β€”
Price vs EMA (7)-38.8%β€”β€”
EMA (14)$0.68β€”β€”
Price vs EMA (14)-39.9%β€”β€”
EMA (30)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs EMA (30)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (7)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (14)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (21)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (30)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (50)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (100)β€”β€”β€”
Trend slope (14d)+0.6%β€”β€”
Trend slope (30d)+5.2%
94
89
Trend slope (60d)+3.5%β€”β€”
Trend slope (90d)+1.8%β€”β€”
Trend slope (all)-0.8%β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (14d)0.01Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (30d)0.63Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (60d)0.58Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (90d)0.37Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (all)0.04Γ—β€”β€”
SMA 7/30 crossβ€”β€”β€”
Days since trend flip5.0dβ€”β€”

Volatility & risk

32/33 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Return stdev (7d)+4.0%β€”β€”
Return stdev (14d)+28.4%β€”β€”
Return stdev (30d)+23.1%
75
75
Return stdev (60d)+28.5%β€”β€”
Return stdev (90d)+25.4%β€”β€”
Return stdev (all)+25.2%β€”β€”
Downside deviation (30d)+7.3%β€”β€”
Downside deviation (60d)+14.4%β€”β€”
Downside deviation (90d)+12.8%β€”β€”
Max drawdown (30d)+39.4%β€”β€”
Max drawdown (60d)+60.0%β€”β€”
Max drawdown (90d)+62.5%
58
57
Max drawdown (all)+97.8%β€”β€”
Current drawdown (90d)+39.4%
58
63
Current drawdown (all)+89.2%β€”β€”
Drawdown duration (90d)11dβ€”β€”
Drawdown duration (all)132dβ€”β€”
Sortino ratio (30d)1.25Γ—
78
73
Sortino ratio (90d)0.40Γ—β€”β€”
Return skew (30d)2.78β€”β€”
Return skew (90d)2.49β€”β€”
Excess kurtosis (30d)8.18β€”β€”
Excess kurtosis (90d)7.89β€”β€”
Largest up day (7d)β€”β€”β€”
Largest up day (14d)+130.2%β€”β€”
Largest up day (30d)+130.2%β€”β€”
Largest up day (60d)+141.7%β€”β€”
Largest up day (90d)+141.7%β€”β€”
Largest down day (7d)+10.8%β€”β€”
Largest down day (14d)+27.3%β€”β€”
Largest down day (30d)+27.3%β€”β€”
Largest down day (60d)+58.6%β€”β€”
Largest down day (90d)+58.6%β€”β€”

Liquidity

5/20 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Turnover %β€”β€”β€”
On-market %+2.0%
75
77
Days to clear listingsβ€”β€”β€”
Lifetime sales / dayneeds provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime salesβ€”β€”
Liquidity score18
76
78
Listings on book17β€”β€”
Amihud illiquidity (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Amihud illiquidity (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Amihud illiquidity (90d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Zero-sale-day share (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Zero-sale-day share (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Zero-sale-day share (90d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (7d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (14d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Bid-ask spread %+120.0%β€”β€”
Near-mid bid imbalanceβ€”β€”β€”
Bid-depth trend (7d)β€”β€”β€”
Bid-floor migration (7d)+7.7%β€”β€”

Supply & ownership

13/21 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Supply growth (7d)+0.5%β€”β€”
Supply growth (14d)+1.2%β€”β€”
Supply growth (30d)+10.7%
79
76
Supply growth (60d)+25.7%β€”β€”
Supply growth (90d)+42.1%β€”β€”
Owner growth (7d)n/sβ€”β€”β€”
Owner growth (14d)n/sβ€”β€”β€”
Owner growth (30d)n/sβ€”β€”β€”
Owner growth (60d)n/sβ€”β€”β€”
Owner growth (90d)n/sβ€”β€”β€”
Mint rate (7d)0.67β€”β€”
Mint rate (30d)2.9β€”β€”
Supply doubling time204dβ€”β€”
Copies per ownern/s12.94Γ—
70
72
Top-1 holder sharen/s+1.2%
14
16
Top-10 holder sharen/s+4.2%
6
9
HHI (top-10)n/s3.11β€”β€”
Whale count (β‰₯5)n/s2β€”β€”
Absorption (30d)n/sβ€”β€”β€”
Absorption (60d)n/sβ€”β€”β€”
Absorption (90d)n/sβ€”β€”β€”

Lifecycle & value

13/18 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Ageneeds a release dateβ€”β€”
Days since fixationn/sβ€”β€”β€”
Days until leaving storen/sβ€”β€”β€”
Release-price multipleβ€”β€”β€”
Store-price ratioβ€”β€”β€”
Fair-value residual+4.0%
52
47
Price per scarcity point0.01Γ—β€”β€”
Instant-sell discount+63.4%β€”β€”
Bid-floor backing$0.14β€”β€”
Accumulation score62β€”β€”
Market-relative 7d return-44.9%
5
5
Momentum pillar60
84
83
Scarcity pillar54β€”β€”
Liquidity pillar12β€”β€”
Value pillar47β€”β€”
Risk pillar13β€”β€”
Overall rating34
17
22
Data completeness+82.5%β€”β€”

Relative to market

9/9 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Beta vs market (14d)1.72Γ—β€”β€”
Beta vs market (30d)1.61Γ—
77
82
Beta vs market (90d)0.84Γ—β€”β€”
Market correlation (14d)0.16Γ—β€”β€”
Market correlation (30d)0.36Γ—β€”β€”
Market correlation (90d)0.16Γ—β€”β€”
Return vs market (14d)+107.7%β€”β€”
Return vs market (30d)+262.8%
95
94
Return vs market (90d)+59.9%β€”β€”

Events

12/15 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Spike days (30d)6
95
95
Spike days (60d)9β€”β€”
Spike days (90d)11β€”β€”
Dump days (30d)1
50
50
Dump days (60d)6β€”β€”
Dump days (90d)9β€”β€”
Post-spike reversion (30d)+29.4%β€”β€”
Post-spike reversion (60d)+15.3%β€”β€”
Post-spike reversion (90d)+11.1%β€”β€”
Listing shocks (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listing shocks (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listing shocks (90d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Net spike bias (30d)5β€”β€”
Net spike bias (60d)3β€”β€”
Net spike bias (90d)2β€”β€”

Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. β€œn/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.