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The dedicated S&box cosmetics market tracker. Live prices, drops and supply for every sbox skin on the Steam Community Market.

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Back to Fleece Jacket Camo

Fleece Jacket Camofull analytics

Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 77%.

Overall rating

?Fresh drop
Insight Engine v2
36/ 100
D†
Momentum36
Scarcity56
Liquidity12
Value65
Risk13

Recomputed each sync: last updated Sep 25, 1:02 PM.

Signal narrative

Bullish
Sharp decline !!!

Price down 14.8% in 24h: significant selling pressure.

6-hour surge !!

Up 15.0% in the last 6 hours and accelerating.

Holders are holding !!

Only 1.9% of supply listed: low sell pressure.

Concentrated ownership

~14.2 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.

Item drop !!

A random in-game drop (737 dropped). It was never sold in the store, so supply is capped by the drop rate.

High volatility

Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.

Deep drawdown

Down 96% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.

Outperforming the market !!

Up 23pts more than the median skin this week: real relative strength.

Fresh drop

Supply is still growing from in-game drops; scarcity is unknowable yet.

Phantom price !!

The listed price sits 258% above the best standing bid of $0.12; you could not actually sell there right now.

Market-wide fear

The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.

Signals are informational only: not financial advice.

Signal Analysis

Insight Engine

The loudest number here is the order book: the $0.27 ask sits 258% above the best standing bid of $0.12, a 62.9% spread that makes the quoted price largely notional. That context reframes the 24h move of +42.1% and the 6h gain of 15.0%; in this single-regime market sharp spikes have tended to fade, and the 7d change of -17.8% alongside a momentum pillar in the 5th percentile argues against reading the pop as continuation. Liquidity scores 12/100 and safety 13/100 across 733 units held by 51 owners with 14 live listings. With price 8.4% above the fair-value model and the median sale at $0.43, verified fills matter more than the headline tick.

AI-generated from live market data Β· updated 22h ago Β· Not financial advice β€” automated analysis for informational purposes only.

Price action

104/113 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Return (24h)-14.8%β€”β€”
Return (3d)β€”β€”β€”
Return (7d)+21.1%
84
90
Return (14d)+21.1%β€”β€”
Return (30d)+27.8%
77
69
Return (60d)+15.0%β€”β€”
Return (90d)-95.9%
8
12
Return (all)-95.9%β€”β€”
Log return (24h)-16.0%β€”β€”
Log return (3d)β€”β€”β€”
Log return (7d)+19.1%β€”β€”
Log return (14d)+19.1%β€”β€”
Log return (30d)+24.5%β€”β€”
Log return (60d)+14.0%β€”β€”
Log return (90d)-318.4%β€”β€”
Log return (all)-318.4%β€”β€”
High (24h)$0.23β€”β€”
High (3d)$0.23β€”β€”
High (7d)$0.27β€”β€”
High (14d)$0.27β€”β€”
High (30d)$0.32β€”β€”
High (60d)$0.42β€”β€”
High (90d)$5.56β€”β€”
High (all)$5.56β€”β€”
Low (24h)$0.23β€”β€”
Low (3d)$0.23β€”β€”
Low (7d)$0.19β€”β€”
Low (14d)$0.19β€”β€”
Low (30d)$0.18β€”β€”
Low (60d)$0.18β€”β€”
Low (90d)$0.18β€”β€”
Low (all)$0.18β€”β€”
Mean price (24h)$0.23β€”β€”
Mean price (3d)$0.23β€”β€”
Mean price (7d)$0.22β€”β€”
Mean price (14d)$0.20β€”β€”
Mean price (30d)$0.23β€”β€”
Mean price (60d)$0.25β€”β€”
Mean price (90d)$0.42β€”β€”
Mean price (all)$0.42β€”β€”
Median price (24h)$0.23β€”β€”
Median price (3d)$0.23β€”β€”
Median price (7d)$0.21β€”β€”
Median price (14d)$0.19β€”β€”
Median price (30d)$0.23β€”β€”
Median price (60d)$0.26β€”β€”
Median price (90d)$0.25β€”β€”
Median price (all)$0.25β€”β€”
Range % (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Range % (3d)β€”β€”β€”
Range % (7d)+42.1%β€”β€”
Range % (14d)+42.1%β€”β€”
Range % (30d)+77.8%β€”β€”
Range % (60d)+133.3%β€”β€”
Range % (90d)+2986.1%β€”β€”
Range % (all)+2986.1%β€”β€”
Position in range (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Position in range (3d)β€”β€”β€”
Position in range (7d)β€”β€”β€”
Position in range (14d)50β€”β€”
Position in range (30d)36β€”β€”
Position in range (60d)21β€”β€”
Position in range (90d)1
25
25
Position in range (all)1β€”β€”
Distance from high (24h)+0.0%β€”β€”
Distance from high (3d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Distance from high (7d)-14.8%β€”β€”
Distance from high (14d)-14.8%β€”β€”
Distance from high (30d)-28.1%β€”β€”
Distance from high (60d)-45.2%β€”β€”
Distance from high (90d)-95.9%
11
12
Distance from high (all)-95.9%β€”β€”
Distance from low (24h)+0.0%β€”β€”
Distance from low (3d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Distance from low (7d)+21.1%β€”β€”
Distance from low (14d)+21.1%β€”β€”
Distance from low (30d)+27.8%β€”β€”
Distance from low (60d)+27.8%β€”β€”
Distance from low (90d)+27.8%β€”β€”
Distance from low (all)+27.8%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (24h)+0.0%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (3d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (7d)+4.5%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (14d)+13.9%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (30d)-1.1%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (60d)-8.6%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (90d)-45.7%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (all)-45.7%β€”β€”
Up days (24h)0β€”β€”
Up days (3d)0β€”β€”
Up days (7d)1β€”β€”
Up days (14d)1β€”β€”
Up days (30d)4β€”β€”
Up days (60d)10β€”β€”
Up days (90d)17β€”β€”
Up days (all)17β€”β€”
Down days (24h)0β€”β€”
Down days (3d)0β€”β€”
Down days (7d)1β€”β€”
Down days (14d)1β€”β€”
Down days (30d)7β€”β€”
Down days (60d)15β€”β€”
Down days (90d)31β€”β€”
Down days (all)31β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (3d)β€”β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (7d)50β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (14d)50β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (30d)36β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (60d)40β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (90d)35β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (all)35β€”β€”
Up-day streak0.0dβ€”β€”

Trend

11/38 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
SMA (7)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (7)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (14)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (14)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (21)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (21)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (30)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (30)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (50)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (50)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (90)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (90)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (100)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (100)β€”β€”β€”
EMA (7)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs EMA (7)β€”β€”β€”
EMA (14)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs EMA (14)β€”β€”β€”
EMA (30)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs EMA (30)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (7)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (14)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (21)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (30)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (50)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (100)β€”β€”β€”
Trend slope (14d)+2.8%β€”β€”
Trend slope (30d)-0.8%
48
47
Trend slope (60d)-0.6%β€”β€”
Trend slope (90d)-3.1%β€”β€”
Trend slope (all)-3.1%β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (14d)0.39Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (30d)0.08Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (60d)0.13Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (90d)0.18Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (all)0.18Γ—β€”β€”
SMA 7/30 crossβ€”β€”β€”
Days since trend flip6.0dβ€”β€”

Volatility & risk

33/33 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Return stdev (7d)+26.2%β€”β€”
Return stdev (14d)+13.5%β€”β€”
Return stdev (30d)+17.2%
66
64
Return stdev (60d)+18.1%β€”β€”
Return stdev (90d)+21.4%β€”β€”
Return stdev (all)+21.4%β€”β€”
Downside deviation (30d)+9.2%β€”β€”
Downside deviation (60d)+11.3%β€”β€”
Downside deviation (90d)+14.4%β€”β€”
Max drawdown (30d)+40.6%β€”β€”
Max drawdown (60d)+57.1%β€”β€”
Max drawdown (90d)+96.8%
89
88
Max drawdown (all)+96.8%β€”β€”
Current drawdown (90d)+95.9%
89
88
Current drawdown (all)+95.9%β€”β€”
Drawdown duration (90d)87dβ€”β€”
Drawdown duration (all)87dβ€”β€”
Sortino ratio (30d)0.30Γ—
73
71
Sortino ratio (90d)-0.14Γ—β€”β€”
Return skew (30d)2.62β€”β€”
Return skew (90d)0.68β€”β€”
Excess kurtosis (30d)8.58β€”β€”
Excess kurtosis (90d)3.57β€”β€”
Largest up day (7d)+42.1%β€”β€”
Largest up day (14d)+42.1%β€”β€”
Largest up day (30d)+77.8%β€”β€”
Largest up day (60d)+77.8%β€”β€”
Largest up day (90d)+77.8%β€”β€”
Largest down day (7d)+14.8%β€”β€”
Largest down day (14d)+14.8%β€”β€”
Largest down day (30d)+26.9%β€”β€”
Largest down day (60d)+37.5%β€”β€”
Largest down day (90d)+54.1%β€”β€”

Liquidity

5/20 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Turnover %β€”β€”β€”
On-market %+1.9%
51
51
Days to clear listingsβ€”β€”β€”
Lifetime sales / dayneeds provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime salesβ€”β€”
Liquidity score17
51
51
Listings on book14β€”β€”
Amihud illiquidity (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Amihud illiquidity (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Amihud illiquidity (90d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Zero-sale-day share (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Zero-sale-day share (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Zero-sale-day share (90d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (7d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (14d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Bid-ask spread %+62.9%β€”β€”
Near-mid bid imbalanceβ€”β€”β€”
Bid-depth trend (7d)β€”β€”β€”
Bid-floor migration (7d)-8.3%β€”β€”

Supply & ownership

21/21 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Supply growth (7d)+2.9%β€”β€”
Supply growth (14d)+6.0%β€”β€”
Supply growth (30d)+13.4%
79
76
Supply growth (60d)+35.2%β€”β€”
Supply growth (90d)+404.8%β€”β€”
Owner growth (7d)n/s+0.0%β€”β€”
Owner growth (14d)n/s+6.1%β€”β€”
Owner growth (30d)n/s+18.2%
83
81
Owner growth (60d)n/s+62.5%β€”β€”
Owner growth (90d)n/s+2500.0%β€”β€”
Mint rate (7d)3.5β€”β€”
Mint rate (30d)3β€”β€”
Supply doubling time166dβ€”β€”
Copies per ownern/s14.17Γ—
80
82
Top-1 holder sharen/s+1.4%
23
25
Top-10 holder sharen/s+3.1%
5
5
HHI (top-10)n/s2.23β€”β€”
Whale count (β‰₯5)n/s1β€”β€”
Absorption (30d)n/s+4.8%
93
93
Absorption (60d)n/s+27.3%β€”β€”
Absorption (90d)n/s+2095.2%β€”β€”

Lifecycle & value

13/18 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Ageneeds a release dateβ€”β€”
Days since fixationn/sβ€”β€”β€”
Days until leaving storen/sβ€”β€”β€”
Release-price multipleβ€”β€”β€”
Store-price ratioβ€”β€”β€”
Fair-value residual+14.6%
53
54
Price per scarcity point0.00Γ—β€”β€”
Instant-sell discount+47.8%β€”β€”
Bid-floor backing$0.11β€”β€”
Accumulation score44β€”β€”
Market-relative 7d return+22.5%
84
90
Momentum pillar36
14
13
Scarcity pillar56β€”β€”
Liquidity pillar12β€”β€”
Value pillar65β€”β€”
Risk pillar13β€”β€”
Overall rating41
28
28
Data completeness+77.3%β€”β€”

Relative to market

9/9 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Beta vs market (14d)1.20Γ—β€”β€”
Beta vs market (30d)0.10Γ—
51
53
Beta vs market (90d)0.69Γ—β€”β€”
Market correlation (14d)0.35Γ—β€”β€”
Market correlation (30d)0.02Γ—β€”β€”
Market correlation (90d)0.22Γ—β€”β€”
Return vs market (14d)+31.9%β€”β€”
Return vs market (30d)+19.2%
77
69
Return vs market (90d)-70.7%β€”β€”

Events

12/15 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Spike days (30d)2
63
75
Spike days (60d)7β€”β€”
Spike days (90d)10β€”β€”
Dump days (30d)2
70
75
Dump days (60d)6β€”β€”
Dump days (90d)13β€”β€”
Post-spike reversion (30d)-15.2%β€”β€”
Post-spike reversion (60d)-7.9%β€”β€”
Post-spike reversion (90d)-8.0%β€”β€”
Listing shocks (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listing shocks (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listing shocks (90d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Net spike bias (30d)0β€”β€”
Net spike bias (60d)1β€”β€”
Net spike bias (90d)-3β€”β€”

Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. β€œn/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.