Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 84%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Nov 10, 2:02 AM.
Only 1.5% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~14.3 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
A random in-game drop (673 dropped). It was never sold in the store, so supply is capped by the drop rate.
Average price down 17% over the past week versus the prior week.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Trading 60% over our supply/rarity model's estimate; richly priced versus comparable skins.
Supply is still growing from in-game drops; scarcity is unknowable yet.
The median sale price sits 435% above the best standing bid of $0.17; you could not actually sell there right now.
Order-book support has been building (accumulation score 77/100), with bid depth, value and floor all rising over the past week.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The headline number here is structural, not directional: the median sale price of $0.91 sits 435% above the best standing bid of $0.17, with a 126.1% bid/ask spread, so the $0.75 ask reflects very little real depth. That phantom pricing lines up with a liquidity score of 10/100 and a risk/safety score of 12/100, and the model reads the item at 50% above fair value. The 95th percentile standing on 30d and 90d return is better treated as fade risk than momentum, particularly with the 7d change at -13.2% and 24h at -2.6% against a flat 6h. Supply is 672 units with concentrated ownership flagged; the overall 32/100 (D) argues patience over paying the displayed ask.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 9h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | -2.6% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | -2.6% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | -10.7% | 17 | 19 |
| Return (14d) | -24.2% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | +650.0% | 95 | 95 |
| Return (60d) | +275.0% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | +368.7% | 95 | 95 |
| Return (all) | -93.9% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | -2.6% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | -2.6% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | -11.3% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | -27.8% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | +201.5% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | +132.2% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | +154.5% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -279.7% | — | — |
| High (24h) | $0.75 | — | — |
| High (3d) | $0.77 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $0.84 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $1.00 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $1.00 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $1.00 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $1.00 | — | — |
| High (all) | $12.30 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | $0.75 | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $0.75 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $0.75 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $0.75 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $0.10 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $0.10 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $0.10 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $0.10 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | $0.75 | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $0.76 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $0.78 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $0.86 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $0.55 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $0.42 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $0.35 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $0.42 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | $0.75 | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $0.75 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $0.77 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $0.84 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $0.48 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $0.28 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $0.26 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $0.24 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +2.7% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +12.0% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +33.3% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +900.0% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +900.0% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +900.0% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +12195.0% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 0 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 72 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 72 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 72 | 76 | 72 |
| Position in range (all) | 5 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | -2.6% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | -10.7% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -25.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -25.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -25.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -25.0% | 61 | 59 |
| Distance from high (all) | -93.9% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +650.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +650.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +650.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +650.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | -0.9% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | -4.2% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | -13.1% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | +35.6% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | +77.9% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | +115.4% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | +77.5% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 5 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 7 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 12 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 21 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 1 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 4 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 6 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 7 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 12 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 16 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 38 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 14 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 42 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 37 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 43 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 36 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | $0.78 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | -4.2% | — | — |
| SMA (14) | $0.86 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | -13.1% | — | — |
| SMA (21) | $0.68 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | +10.1% | — | — |
| SMA (30) | $0.55 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | +35.6% | 91 | 84 |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | $0.78 | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | -4.2% | — | — |
| EMA (14) | $0.86 | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | -13.1% | — | — |
| EMA (30) | $0.55 | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | +35.6% | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | -2.6% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | +5.2% | 95 | 91 |
| Trend slope (60d) | +3.1% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | +2.3% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -0.5% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.92× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.64× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.59× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.56× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.01× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | +41.6% | 95 | 91 |
| Days since trend flip | 7.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +1.9% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +3.5% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +24.8% | 78 | 78 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +26.0% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +22.1% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +26.9% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +3.4% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +17.5% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +15.2% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +25.0% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +73.7% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +73.7% | 78 | 77 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +99.2% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +25.0% | 39 | 42 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +93.9% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 11d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 133d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | 3.38× | 95 | 91 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | 0.31× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 3.29 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 3.73 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 10.11 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 16.86 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | — | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +1.0% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +157.7% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +157.7% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +157.7% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +4.9% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +11.0% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +11.0% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +64.3% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +64.3% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +1.5% | 61 | 66 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 14 | 63 | 70 |
| Listings on book | 10 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +126.1% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | +41.7% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +0.1% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +1.5% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +8.9% | 77 | 74 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +23.4% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +43.2% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (60d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 0.17 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 1.9 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | 243d | — | — |
| Copies per ownern/s | 14.32× | 82 | 84 |
| Top-1 holder sharen/s | +1.5% | 24 | 27 |
| Top-10 holder sharen/s | +6.2% | 22 | 26 |
| HHI (top-10)n/s | 6.14 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5)n/s | 3 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Absorption (60d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Absorption (90d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | needs a release date | — | — |
| Days since fixationn/s | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | — | — | — |
| Store-price ratio | — | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | +59.9% | 66 | 71 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.01× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +77.3% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $0.17 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 77 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | -9.1% | 17 | 19 |
| Momentum pillar | 59 | 78 | 78 |
| Scarcity pillar | 59 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 10 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 23 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 12 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 30 | 8 | 7 |
| Data completeness | +84.5% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | 0.19× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | -0.29× | 5 | 9 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | -0.38× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | 0.21× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | -0.05× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | -0.08× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | -23.1% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | +513.4% | 95 | 95 |
| Return vs market (90d) | +216.2% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 4 | 83 | 75 |
| Spike days (60d) | 6 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 7 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 0 | 5 | 5 |
| Dump days (60d) | 3 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 4 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | +16.1% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | +10.7% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | +8.7% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | 4 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | 3 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | 3 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.