Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 75%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Sep 24, 5:02 AM.
Down 80.2% in the last 6 hours: near-term weakness.
Only 1.2% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~14.4 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
A random in-game drop (562 dropped). It was never sold in the store, so supply is capped by the drop rate.
RSI 25: beaten down and due for a potential bounce.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Down 99% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.
Up 16pts more than the median skin this week: real relative strength.
Trading 37% under our supply/rarity model's estimate; looks cheap versus comparable skins.
Supply is still growing from in-game drops; scarcity is unknowable yet.
The listed price sits 109% above the best standing bid of $0.11; you could not actually sell there right now.
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The 80.2% six-hour drop is the headline, and it lands on an item already sitting in the 5th percentile for 90-day return and the 95th percentile for current drawdown. That collapse is what puts the $0.18 ask 36.6% below the fair-value model and drives the 81/100 value score, but the order book argues for caution: the best standing bid is $0.11, a 48.3% spread, with the listed price floating 109% above real demand. Liquidity scores 7/100 across six listings, and 39 owners hold 562 units, so ownership is concentrated. With fresh-drop status and market-wide fear also flagged, the C grade and 11/100 safety score suggest the discount reflects genuine risk rather than a clean mispricing.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 14h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | +16.1% | 78 | 79 |
| Return (14d) | -10.0% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | +20.0% | 72 | 64 |
| Return (60d) | -10.0% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | -98.5% | 5 | 5 |
| Return (all) | -98.5% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | +15.0% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | -10.5% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | +18.2% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | -10.5% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | -422.4% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -422.4% | — | — |
| High (24h) | — | — | — |
| High (3d) | $0.18 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $0.18 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $0.20 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $0.26 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $0.26 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $12.30 | — | — |
| High (all) | $12.30 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $0.18 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $0.16 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $0.16 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $0.15 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $0.15 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $0.15 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $0.15 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $0.18 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $0.18 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $0.19 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $0.19 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $0.18 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $0.39 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $0.39 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $0.18 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $0.18 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $0.19 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $0.18 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $0.18 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $0.19 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $0.19 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +16.1% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +29.0% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +73.3% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +73.3% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +8096.7% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +8096.7% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 56 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 27 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 27 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 0 | 12 | 11 |
| Position in range (all) | 0 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -10.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -30.8% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -30.8% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -98.5% | 5 | 6 |
| Distance from high (all) | -98.5% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +16.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +16.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +20.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +20.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +20.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +20.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | — | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | +2.4% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | -4.2% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | -6.1% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | -2.6% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | -53.9% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | -53.9% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 5 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 8 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 15 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 15 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 1 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 4 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 13 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 27 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 27 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 100 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 50 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 56 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 38 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 36 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 36 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | -1.4% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | +0.3% | 73 | 71 |
| Trend slope (60d) | +0.2% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | -3.7% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -3.7% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.43× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.01× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.04× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.06× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.06× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 5.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +6.7% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +9.3% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +11.0% | 44 | 43 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +8.5% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +25.6% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +25.6% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +7.8% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +6.0% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +18.1% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +40.4% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +40.4% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +98.8% | 95 | 91 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +98.8% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +98.5% | 95 | 94 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +98.5% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 85d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 85d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | 0.18× | 63 | 62 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | -0.17× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 2.39 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | -2.3 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 10.24 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 14.01 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | +16.1% | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +16.1% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +48.6% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +48.6% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +48.6% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | — | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +22.5% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +22.5% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +22.5% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +85.9% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +1.2% | 32 | 34 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 12 | 32 | 34 |
| Listings on book | 7 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +48.3% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +1.3% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +4.3% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +11.5% | 78 | 74 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +34.5% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +410.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d)n/s | +2.6% | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d)n/s | +0.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d)n/s | +0.0% | 50 | 50 |
| Owner growth (60d)n/s | +25.8% | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d)n/s | +1200.0% | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 1.17 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 2 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | 191d | — | — |
| Copies per ownern/s | 14.41× | 81 | 84 |
| Top-1 holder sharen/s | +1.8% | 30 | 35 |
| Top-10 holder sharen/s | +4.6% | 12 | 15 |
| HHI (top-10)n/s | 4.12 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5)n/s | 1 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d)n/s | -11.5% | 9 | 15 |
| Absorption (60d)n/s | -8.7% | — | — |
| Absorption (90d)n/s | +790.0% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | needs a release date | — | — |
| Days since fixationn/s | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | — | — | — |
| Store-price ratio | — | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | -36.8% | 31 | 27 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.00× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +38.9% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $0.11 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 47 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | +16.2% | 78 | 79 |
| Momentum pillar | 54 | 66 | 65 |
| Scarcity pillar | 62 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 8 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 81 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 12 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 50 | 64 | 66 |
| Data completeness | +75.3% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | 0.09× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | -0.25× | 27 | 26 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | 0.20× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | 0.05× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | -0.11× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | 0.09× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | -5.4% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | +11.4% | 72 | 65 |
| Return vs market (90d) | -73.4% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 2 | 70 | 75 |
| Spike days (60d) | 2 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 2 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 1 | 25 | 25 |
| Dump days (60d) | 2 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 10 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | -1.9% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | -1.9% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | -1.9% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | 1 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | 0 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | -8 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.