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The dedicated S&box cosmetics market tracker. Live prices, drops and supply for every sbox skin on the Steam Community Market.

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Back to Fleece Jacket Blue

Fleece Jacket Bluefull analytics

Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 84%.

Overall rating

?Fresh drop
Insight Engine v2
39/ 100
D†
Momentum62
Scarcity64
Liquidity5
Value56
Risk11

Recomputed each sync: last updated Nov 10, 12:02 AM.

Signal narrative

Bullish
Holders are holding !!

Only 0.7% of supply listed: low sell pressure.

Concentrated ownership

~16.4 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.

Item drop !!

A random in-game drop (540 dropped). It was never sold in the store, so supply is capped by the drop rate.

Overbought (RSI) !!

RSI 76: stretched to the upside and prone to a pullback.

High volatility

Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.

Below modelled fair value !!

Trading 72% under our supply/rarity model's estimate; looks cheap versus comparable skins.

Fresh drop

Supply is still growing from in-game drops; scarcity is unknowable yet.

Phantom price !!

The median sale price sits 100% above the best standing bid of $0.50; you could not actually sell there right now.

Bids accumulating !!

Order-book support has been building (accumulation score 81/100), with bid depth, value and floor all rising over the past week.

Signals are informational only: not financial advice.

Signal Analysis

Insight Engine

The headline here is structural, not directional: with liquidity scored at 5/100, a 56.1% bid/ask spread and a median sale price sitting 100% above the best standing bid of $0.50, the $0.89 ask is a thin number rather than a clearing one. The model reads the item 70.5% below fair value, and 90d return, 30d trend slope and 30d Sortino all sit in the 95th percentile, but those arrive alongside an overbought RSI print, a fresh-drop flag and a risk/safety score of 11/100. Against 540 total units and a 42/100 C grade, the +3.2% 7d move still trails the market median by 8.4%, and bids are reported accumulating beneath a $0.15 cumulative floor.

AI-generated from live market data Β· updated 8h ago Β· Not financial advice β€” automated analysis for informational purposes only.

Price action

107/113 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Return (24h)+0.0%β€”β€”
Return (3d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Return (7d)-11.0%
17
19
Return (14d)-11.0%β€”β€”
Return (30d)+368.4%
95
94
Return (60d)+256.0%β€”β€”
Return (90d)+394.4%
95
95
Return (all)-69.2%β€”β€”
Log return (24h)+0.0%β€”β€”
Log return (3d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Log return (7d)-11.7%β€”β€”
Log return (14d)-11.7%β€”β€”
Log return (30d)+154.4%β€”β€”
Log return (60d)+127.0%β€”β€”
Log return (90d)+159.8%β€”β€”
Log return (all)-117.8%β€”β€”
High (24h)$0.89β€”β€”
High (3d)$0.89β€”β€”
High (7d)$1.00β€”β€”
High (14d)$1.00β€”β€”
High (30d)$1.00β€”β€”
High (60d)$1.00β€”β€”
High (90d)$1.00β€”β€”
High (all)$2.89β€”β€”
Low (24h)$0.89β€”β€”
Low (3d)$0.89β€”β€”
Low (7d)$0.89β€”β€”
Low (14d)$0.89β€”β€”
Low (30d)$0.19β€”β€”
Low (60d)$0.11β€”β€”
Low (90d)$0.11β€”β€”
Low (all)$0.11β€”β€”
Mean price (24h)$0.89β€”β€”
Mean price (3d)$0.89β€”β€”
Mean price (7d)$0.92β€”β€”
Mean price (14d)$0.96β€”β€”
Mean price (30d)$0.57β€”β€”
Mean price (60d)$0.42β€”β€”
Mean price (90d)$0.35β€”β€”
Mean price (all)$0.35β€”β€”
Median price (24h)$0.89β€”β€”
Median price (3d)$0.89β€”β€”
Median price (7d)$0.89β€”β€”
Median price (14d)$1.00β€”β€”
Median price (30d)$0.32β€”β€”
Median price (60d)$0.25β€”β€”
Median price (90d)$0.24β€”β€”
Median price (all)$0.24β€”β€”
Range % (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Range % (3d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Range % (7d)+12.4%β€”β€”
Range % (14d)+12.4%β€”β€”
Range % (30d)+426.3%β€”β€”
Range % (60d)+809.1%β€”β€”
Range % (90d)+809.1%β€”β€”
Range % (all)+2527.3%β€”β€”
Position in range (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Position in range (3d)β€”β€”β€”
Position in range (7d)β€”β€”β€”
Position in range (14d)0β€”β€”
Position in range (30d)86β€”β€”
Position in range (60d)88β€”β€”
Position in range (90d)88
90
88
Position in range (all)28β€”β€”
Distance from high (24h)+0.0%β€”β€”
Distance from high (3d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Distance from high (7d)-11.0%β€”β€”
Distance from high (14d)-11.0%β€”β€”
Distance from high (30d)-11.0%β€”β€”
Distance from high (60d)-11.0%β€”β€”
Distance from high (90d)-11.0%
82
80
Distance from high (all)-69.2%β€”β€”
Distance from low (24h)+0.0%β€”β€”
Distance from low (3d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Distance from low (7d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Distance from low (14d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Distance from low (30d)+368.4%β€”β€”
Distance from low (60d)+709.1%β€”β€”
Distance from low (90d)+709.1%β€”β€”
Distance from low (all)+709.1%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (24h)+0.0%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (3d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (7d)-3.0%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (14d)-7.2%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (30d)+55.1%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (60d)+113.9%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (90d)+157.7%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (all)+154.8%β€”β€”
Up days (24h)0β€”β€”
Up days (3d)0β€”β€”
Up days (7d)0β€”β€”
Up days (14d)0β€”β€”
Up days (30d)6β€”β€”
Up days (60d)9β€”β€”
Up days (90d)13β€”β€”
Up days (all)23β€”β€”
Down days (24h)0β€”β€”
Down days (3d)0β€”β€”
Down days (7d)2β€”β€”
Down days (14d)2β€”β€”
Down days (30d)3β€”β€”
Down days (60d)9β€”β€”
Down days (90d)15β€”β€”
Down days (all)32β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (3d)β€”β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (7d)0β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (14d)0β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (30d)67β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (60d)50β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (90d)46β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (all)42β€”β€”
Up-day streak0.0dβ€”β€”

Trend

26/38 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
SMA (7)$0.92β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (7)-3.0%β€”β€”
SMA (14)$0.96β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (14)-7.2%β€”β€”
SMA (21)$0.73β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (21)+21.4%β€”β€”
SMA (30)$0.57β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (30)+55.1%β€”β€”
SMA (50)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (50)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (90)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (90)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (100)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (100)β€”β€”β€”
EMA (7)$0.92β€”β€”
Price vs EMA (7)-3.0%β€”β€”
EMA (14)$0.96β€”β€”
Price vs EMA (14)-7.2%β€”β€”
EMA (30)$0.57β€”β€”
Price vs EMA (30)+55.1%β€”β€”
RSI (7)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (14)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (21)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (30)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (50)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (100)β€”β€”β€”
Trend slope (14d)-1.2%β€”β€”
Trend slope (30d)+6.3%
95
95
Trend slope (60d)+3.6%β€”β€”
Trend slope (90d)+2.4%β€”β€”
Trend slope (all)+0.4%β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (14d)0.75Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (30d)0.74Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (60d)0.55Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (90d)0.46Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (all)0.03Γ—β€”β€”
SMA 7/30 cross+59.9%β€”β€”
Days since trend flip7.0dβ€”β€”

Volatility & risk

31/33 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Return stdev (7d)+3.5%β€”β€”
Return stdev (14d)+2.5%β€”β€”
Return stdev (30d)+21.1%
68
68
Return stdev (60d)+19.6%β€”β€”
Return stdev (90d)+17.6%β€”β€”
Return stdev (all)+20.9%β€”β€”
Downside deviation (30d)+2.7%β€”β€”
Downside deviation (60d)+13.3%β€”β€”
Downside deviation (90d)+10.8%β€”β€”
Max drawdown (30d)+11.0%β€”β€”
Max drawdown (60d)+57.7%β€”β€”
Max drawdown (90d)+63.3%
61
61
Max drawdown (all)+96.2%β€”β€”
Current drawdown (90d)+11.0%
14
20
Current drawdown (all)+69.2%β€”β€”
Drawdown duration (90d)13dβ€”β€”
Drawdown duration (all)133dβ€”β€”
Sortino ratio (30d)3.25Γ—
95
89
Sortino ratio (90d)0.37Γ—β€”β€”
Return skew (30d)5.17β€”β€”
Return skew (90d)5.76β€”β€”
Excess kurtosis (30d)27.33β€”β€”
Excess kurtosis (90d)39.28β€”β€”
Largest up day (7d)β€”β€”β€”
Largest up day (14d)β€”β€”β€”
Largest up day (30d)+203.0%β€”β€”
Largest up day (60d)+203.0%β€”β€”
Largest up day (90d)+203.0%β€”β€”
Largest down day (7d)+8.2%β€”β€”
Largest down day (14d)+8.2%β€”β€”
Largest down day (30d)+8.2%β€”β€”
Largest down day (60d)+45.0%β€”β€”
Largest down day (90d)+45.0%β€”β€”

Liquidity

5/20 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Turnover %β€”β€”β€”
On-market %+0.7%
30
29
Days to clear listingsβ€”β€”β€”
Lifetime sales / dayneeds provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime salesβ€”β€”
Liquidity score7
33
32
Listings on book4β€”β€”
Amihud illiquidity (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Amihud illiquidity (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Amihud illiquidity (90d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Zero-sale-day share (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Zero-sale-day share (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Zero-sale-day share (90d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (7d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (14d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Bid-ask spread %+56.1%β€”β€”
Near-mid bid imbalanceβ€”β€”β€”
Bid-depth trend (7d)β€”β€”β€”
Bid-floor migration (7d)+55.6%β€”β€”

Supply & ownership

13/21 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Supply growth (7d)+0.4%β€”β€”
Supply growth (14d)+1.1%β€”β€”
Supply growth (30d)+10.5%
79
76
Supply growth (60d)+30.2%β€”β€”
Supply growth (90d)+44.5%β€”β€”
Owner growth (7d)n/sβ€”β€”β€”
Owner growth (14d)n/sβ€”β€”β€”
Owner growth (30d)n/sβ€”β€”β€”
Owner growth (60d)n/sβ€”β€”β€”
Owner growth (90d)n/sβ€”β€”β€”
Mint rate (7d)0.33β€”β€”
Mint rate (30d)1.76β€”β€”
Supply doubling time209dβ€”β€”
Copies per ownern/s16.36Γ—
92
95
Top-1 holder sharen/s+0.6%
5
5
Top-10 holder sharen/s+3.3%
5
5
HHI (top-10)n/s1.3β€”β€”
Whale count (β‰₯5)n/s0β€”β€”
Absorption (30d)n/sβ€”β€”β€”
Absorption (60d)n/sβ€”β€”β€”
Absorption (90d)n/sβ€”β€”β€”

Lifecycle & value

13/18 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Ageneeds a release dateβ€”β€”
Days since fixationn/sβ€”β€”β€”
Days until leaving storen/sβ€”β€”β€”
Release-price multipleβ€”β€”β€”
Store-price ratioβ€”β€”β€”
Fair-value residual-71.6%
10
9
Price per scarcity point0.01Γ—β€”β€”
Instant-sell discount+43.8%β€”β€”
Bid-floor backing$0.14β€”β€”
Accumulation score81β€”β€”
Market-relative 7d return-9.4%
17
19
Momentum pillar62
87
85
Scarcity pillar64β€”β€”
Liquidity pillar5β€”β€”
Value pillar56β€”β€”
Risk pillar11β€”β€”
Overall rating44
51
54
Data completeness+83.7%β€”β€”

Relative to market

9/9 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Beta vs market (14d)-0.10Γ—β€”β€”
Beta vs market (30d)-0.45Γ—
5
7
Beta vs market (90d)0.14Γ—β€”β€”
Market correlation (14d)-0.16Γ—β€”β€”
Market correlation (30d)-0.08Γ—β€”β€”
Market correlation (90d)0.03Γ—β€”β€”
Return vs market (14d)-9.9%β€”β€”
Return vs market (30d)+231.8%
95
93
Return vs market (90d)+241.9%β€”β€”

Events

12/15 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Spike days (30d)3
75
63
Spike days (60d)4β€”β€”
Spike days (90d)5β€”β€”
Dump days (30d)0
5
5
Dump days (60d)1β€”β€”
Dump days (90d)2β€”β€”
Post-spike reversion (30d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Post-spike reversion (60d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Post-spike reversion (90d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Listing shocks (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listing shocks (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listing shocks (90d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Net spike bias (30d)3β€”β€”
Net spike bias (60d)3β€”β€”
Net spike bias (90d)3β€”β€”

Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. β€œn/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.