Fishermanfull analytics

Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 258 values across 7 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 91%.

Overall rating

?Store · permanent

Insight Engine v2

39/ 100

Momentum73

Scarcity29

Liquidity13

Value39

Risk25

Recomputed each sync: last updated Jul 9, 10:02 PM.

Signal narrative

Bearish

Negative momentum

Price down 3.2% in 24h: a mild downward trend.

Holders are holding !!

Only 3.0% of supply listed: low sell pressure.

Illiquid

No sales in the last 24h; it may be hard to buy or sell at the quoted price.

Concentrated ownership

~5.5 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.

Item drop !!

A random in-game drop (14 dropped). It was never sold in the store, so supply is capped by the drop rate.

Weekly downtrend !!

Average price down 40% over the past week versus the prior week.

Oversold (RSI) !!

RSI 18: beaten down and due for a potential bounce.

Signal Analysis

Insight Engine

Fisherman's headline number this week is the 39.9% seven-day decline, a drop the site's single-regime model treats as a contrarian recovery setup given the pattern of sharp pullbacks reverting in this market. But the supporting data urges caution: only one Steam Market sale executed in the last 24h against 52 active listings, liquidity scores 13/100, and the order book shows an 83.1% bid-ask spread with the best standing bid at just $0.38, well under the $0.92 ask. The listed price also floats 121% above that bid, and the item still prices 125.2% above the fair-value model despite the drawdown, so any recovery read should be weighed against how thin real demand currently looks.

AI-generated from live market data · updated 8h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.

Price action

108/113 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Return (24h)	-3.2%	—	—
Return (3d)	-3.2%	—	—
Return (7d)	-20.0%	26	24
Return (14d)

Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.

Trend

30/38 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
SMA (7)	$0.94	—	—
Price vs SMA (7)	-2.6%	—	—
SMA (14)	$1.26	—	—
Price vs SMA (14)	-26.9%	—	—
SMA (21)	$1.54	—	—
Price vs SMA (21)	-40.1%	—	—
SMA (30)	$1.69	—	—
Price vs SMA (30)	-45.6%	15	17
SMA (50)	$1.83	—	—
Price vs SMA (50)	-49.6%	—	—
SMA (90)	$2.98	—	—
Price vs SMA (90)	-69.1%	—	—
SMA (100)	—	—	—
Price vs SMA (100)	—	—	—
EMA (7)	$0.94	—	—
Price vs EMA (7)	-2.6%	—	—
EMA (14)	$1.26	—	—
Price vs EMA (14)	-26.9%	—	—
EMA (30)	$1.69	—	—
Price vs EMA (30)	-45.6%	—	—
RSI (7)	—	—	—
RSI (14)	—	—	—
RSI (21)	—	—	—
RSI (30)	—	—	—
RSI (50)	—	—	—
RSI (100)	—	—	—
Trend slope (14d)	-6.1%	—	—
Trend slope (30d)	-2.8%	43	44
Trend slope (60d)	-1.5%	—	—
Trend slope (90d)	-1.8%	—	—
Trend slope (all)	-1.7%	—	—
Trend fit R² (14d)	0.82×	—	—
Trend fit R² (30d)	0.78×	—	—
Trend fit R² (60d)	0.64×	—	—
Trend fit R² (90d)	0.86×	—	—
Trend fit R² (all)	0.86×	—	—
SMA 7/30 cross	-44.2%	12	15
Days since trend flip	14d	—	—

Volatility & risk

33/33 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Return stdev (7d)	+10.7%	—	—
Return stdev (14d)	+11.7%	—	—
Return stdev (30d)	+8.3%	23	19
Return stdev (60d)	+8.9%	—	—
Return stdev (90d)	+9.8%	—	—
Return stdev (all)	+9.8%	—	—
Downside deviation (30d)	+9.0%	—	—
Downside deviation (60d)	+8.6%	—	—
Downside deviation (90d)	+8.1%	—	—
Max drawdown (30d)	+60.0%	—	—
Max drawdown (60d)	+77.4%	—	—
Max drawdown (90d)	+86.9%	50	47
Max drawdown (all)	+86.9%	—	—
Current drawdown (90d)	+85.7%	54	51
Current drawdown (all)	+85.7%	—	—
Drawdown duration (90d)	86d	—	—
Drawdown duration (all)	86d	—	—
Sortino ratio (30d)	-0.27×	44	46
Sortino ratio (90d)	-0.19×	—	—
Return skew (30d)	-1.6	—	—
Return skew (90d)	0.21	—	—
Excess kurtosis (30d)	3.51	—	—
Excess kurtosis (90d)	3.53	—	—
Largest up day (7d)	+13.1%	—	—
Largest up day (14d)	+13.1%	—	—
Largest up day (30d)	+13.1%	—	—
Largest up day (60d)	+26.6%	—	—
Largest up day (90d)	+30.1%	—	—
Largest down day (7d)	+17.4%	—	—
Largest down day (14d)	+23.8%	—	—
Largest down day (30d)	+23.8%	—	—
Largest down day (60d)	+29.2%	—	—
Largest down day (90d)	+29.2%	—	—

Liquidity

12/20 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Turnover %	+0.0%	5	5
On-market %	+3.0%	71	62
Days to clear listings	—	—	—
Lifetime sales / day	2.95	—	—
Liquidity score	18	13	11
Listings on book	52	—	—
Amihud illiquidity (30d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Amihud illiquidity (60d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Amihud illiquidity (90d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Zero-sale-day share (30d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Zero-sale-day share (60d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Zero-sale-day share (90d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Listings trend (7d)	+8.3%	—	—
Listings trend (14d)	+2.0%	—	—
Listings trend (30d)	-1.9%	33	28
Listings trend (60d)	-5.5%	—	—
Bid-ask spread %	+175.5%	—	—
Near-mid bid imbalance	—	—	—
Bid-depth trend (7d)	-100.0%	—	—
Bid-floor migration (7d)	-93.6%	—	—

Supply & ownership

21/21 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Supply growth (7d)	+0.3%	—	—
Supply growth (14d)	+0.8%	—	—
Supply growth (30d)	+2.0%	51	50
Supply growth (60d)	+6.5%	—	—
Supply growth (90d)	+62.2%	—	—
Owner growth (7d)n/s	+0.0%	—	—
Owner growth (14d)n/s	+0.0%	—	—
Owner growth (30d)n/s	+0.3%	31	19
Owner growth (60d)n/s	+19.4%	—	—
Owner growth (90d)n/s	+115.4%	—	—
Mint rate (7d)	0.83	—	—
Mint rate (30d)	1.17	—	—
Supply doubling time	1033d	—	—
Copies per ownern/s	5.54×	7	8
Top-1 holder sharen/s	+2.3%	38	40
Top-10 holder sharen/s	+6.4%	28	33
HHI (top-10)n/s	7.3	—	—
Whale count (≥5)n/s	10	—	—
Absorption (30d)n/s	-1.7%	14	18
Absorption (60d)n/s	+12.9%	—	—
Absorption (90d)n/s	+53.2%	—	—

Lifecycle & value

16/18 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Age	575d	—	—
Days since fixationn/s	—	—	—
Days until leaving storen/s	—	—	—
Release-price multiple	0.23×	14	12
Store-price ratio	0.23×	—	—
Fair-value residual	+125.2%	76	85
Price per scarcity point	0.03×	—	—
Instant-sell discount	+93.5%	—	—
Bid-floor backing	$0.06	—	—
Accumulation score	17	—	—
Market-relative 7d return	-29.6%	13	9
Momentum pillar	73	95	95
Scarcity pillar	29	—	—
Liquidity pillar	13	—	—
Value pillar	39	—	—
Risk pillar	25	—	—
Overall rating	38	18	18
Data completeness	+90.9%	—	—

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Spike days (30d)	0	5	5
Spike days (60d)	1	—	—
Spike days (90d)	4	—	—
Dump days (30d)	3	63	63
Dump days (60d)	5	—	—
Dump days (90d)	7	—	—
Post-spike reversion (30d)	—	—	—
Post-spike reversion (60d)	+0.0%	—	—
Post-spike reversion (90d)	-0.1%	—	—
Listing shocks (30d)	0	—	—
Listing shocks (60d)	0	—	—
Listing shocks (90d)	2	—	—
Net spike bias (30d)	-3	—	—
Net spike bias (60d)	-4	—	—
Net spike bias (90d)	-3	—	—