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The dedicated S&box cosmetics market tracker. Live prices, drops and supply for every sbox skin on the Steam Community Market.

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Back to Fisherman Raincoat

Fisherman Raincoatfull analytics

Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 75%.

Overall rating

?Fixed supply
Insight Engine v2
44/ 100
C
Momentum57
Scarcity59
Liquidity8
Value53
Risk28

Recomputed each sync: last updated Oct 4, 7:02 PM.

Signal narrative

Bullish
Negative momentum

Price down 4.9% in 24h: a mild downward trend.

Holders are holding !!

Only 1.3% of supply listed: low sell pressure.

Concentrated ownership

~10.5 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.

Delisted from store !!

No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.

High volatility

Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.

Deep drawdown

Down 52% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.

Fixed supply

Supply is fixed; every new owner must buy on the market.

Phantom price !!

The listed price sits 58% above the best standing bid of $4.19; you could not actually sell there right now.

Signals are informational only: not financial advice.

Signal Analysis

Insight Engine

The defining feature here is the gap between the listed price and real demand: the lowest ask is $6.64 while the best standing bid sits at $4.19, a 45.0% spread that leaves the listing 58% above any actual buyer. That phantom price matters because liquidity scores just 8/100 across 13 active listings, and the quoted $6.64 already runs 24.1% above the fair-value model. The structural side is cleaner: supply is fixed at 1,035 units after delisting, 30d supply and owner growth both sit in the 5th percentile, and 99 owners hold the full float, which is also a concentration warning. With a 24h move of -4.9% and 87th percentile beta, the 7d gain of +3.9% still trails the market median by 4.9%.

AI-generated from live market data Β· updated 4h ago Β· Not financial advice β€” automated analysis for informational purposes only.

Price action

96/113 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Return (24h)-4.9%β€”β€”
Return (3d)β€”β€”β€”
Return (7d)-4.9%
25
30
Return (14d)-5.8%β€”β€”
Return (30d)-8.5%
57
51
Return (60d)-4.0%β€”β€”
Return (90d)-26.1%
63
55
Return (all)-26.1%β€”β€”
Log return (24h)-5.0%β€”β€”
Log return (3d)β€”β€”β€”
Log return (7d)-5.0%β€”β€”
Log return (14d)-6.0%β€”β€”
Log return (30d)-8.9%β€”β€”
Log return (60d)-4.1%β€”β€”
Log return (90d)-30.3%β€”β€”
Log return (all)-30.3%β€”β€”
High (24h)β€”β€”β€”
High (3d)$6.64β€”β€”
High (7d)$6.98β€”β€”
High (14d)$7.05β€”β€”
High (30d)$7.26β€”β€”
High (60d)$11.04β€”β€”
High (90d)$13.92β€”β€”
High (all)$13.92β€”β€”
Low (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Low (3d)$6.64β€”β€”
Low (7d)$6.64β€”β€”
Low (14d)$6.64β€”β€”
Low (30d)$4.38β€”β€”
Low (60d)$4.38β€”β€”
Low (90d)$4.38β€”β€”
Low (all)$4.38β€”β€”
Mean price (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Mean price (3d)$6.64β€”β€”
Mean price (7d)$6.90β€”β€”
Mean price (14d)$6.97β€”β€”
Mean price (30d)$6.74β€”β€”
Mean price (60d)$7.49β€”β€”
Mean price (90d)$7.85β€”β€”
Mean price (all)$7.85β€”β€”
Median price (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Median price (3d)$6.64β€”β€”
Median price (7d)$6.98β€”β€”
Median price (14d)$6.98β€”β€”
Median price (30d)$7.05β€”β€”
Median price (60d)$7.08β€”β€”
Median price (90d)$7.33β€”β€”
Median price (all)$7.33β€”β€”
Range % (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Range % (3d)β€”β€”β€”
Range % (7d)+5.1%β€”β€”
Range % (14d)+6.2%β€”β€”
Range % (30d)+65.8%β€”β€”
Range % (60d)+152.1%β€”β€”
Range % (90d)+217.8%β€”β€”
Range % (all)+217.8%β€”β€”
Position in range (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Position in range (3d)β€”β€”β€”
Position in range (7d)β€”β€”β€”
Position in range (14d)β€”β€”β€”
Position in range (30d)78β€”β€”
Position in range (60d)34β€”β€”
Position in range (90d)24
64
61
Position in range (all)24β€”β€”
Distance from high (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Distance from high (3d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Distance from high (7d)-4.9%β€”β€”
Distance from high (14d)-5.8%β€”β€”
Distance from high (30d)-8.5%β€”β€”
Distance from high (60d)-39.9%β€”β€”
Distance from high (90d)-52.3%
52
55
Distance from high (all)-52.3%β€”β€”
Distance from low (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Distance from low (3d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Distance from low (7d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Distance from low (14d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Distance from low (30d)+51.6%β€”β€”
Distance from low (60d)+51.6%β€”β€”
Distance from low (90d)+51.6%β€”β€”
Distance from low (all)+51.6%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs mean (3d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (7d)-3.7%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (14d)-4.7%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (30d)-1.4%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (60d)-11.4%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (90d)-15.5%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (all)-15.5%β€”β€”
Up days (24h)0β€”β€”
Up days (3d)0β€”β€”
Up days (7d)0β€”β€”
Up days (14d)1β€”β€”
Up days (30d)2β€”β€”
Up days (60d)7β€”β€”
Up days (90d)10β€”β€”
Up days (all)10β€”β€”
Down days (24h)0β€”β€”
Down days (3d)0β€”β€”
Down days (7d)1β€”β€”
Down days (14d)3β€”β€”
Down days (30d)16β€”β€”
Down days (60d)33β€”β€”
Down days (90d)49β€”β€”
Down days (all)49β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (3d)β€”β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (7d)0β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (14d)25β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (30d)11β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (60d)18β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (90d)17β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (all)17β€”β€”
Up-day streak0.0dβ€”β€”

Trend

11/38 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
SMA (7)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (7)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (14)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (14)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (21)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (21)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (30)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (30)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (50)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (50)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (90)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (90)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (100)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (100)β€”β€”β€”
EMA (7)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs EMA (7)β€”β€”β€”
EMA (14)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs EMA (14)β€”β€”β€”
EMA (30)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs EMA (30)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (7)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (14)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (21)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (30)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (50)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (100)β€”β€”β€”
Trend slope (14d)-0.5%β€”β€”
Trend slope (30d)+0.1%
76
72
Trend slope (60d)-0.6%β€”β€”
Trend slope (90d)-0.5%β€”β€”
Trend slope (all)-0.5%β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (14d)0.51Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (30d)0.00Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (60d)0.21Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (90d)0.20Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (all)0.20Γ—β€”β€”
SMA 7/30 crossβ€”β€”β€”
Days since trend flip10dβ€”β€”

Volatility & risk

32/33 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Return stdev (7d)+2.9%β€”β€”
Return stdev (14d)+1.8%β€”β€”
Return stdev (30d)+11.8%
47
52
Return stdev (60d)+16.2%β€”β€”
Return stdev (90d)+17.0%β€”β€”
Return stdev (all)+17.0%β€”β€”
Downside deviation (30d)+5.2%β€”β€”
Downside deviation (60d)+9.0%β€”β€”
Downside deviation (90d)+9.2%β€”β€”
Max drawdown (30d)+39.7%β€”β€”
Max drawdown (60d)+60.3%β€”β€”
Max drawdown (90d)+68.5%
54
50
Max drawdown (all)+68.5%β€”β€”
Current drawdown (90d)+52.3%
47
44
Current drawdown (all)+52.3%β€”β€”
Drawdown duration (90d)77dβ€”β€”
Drawdown duration (all)77dβ€”β€”
Sortino ratio (30d)0.07Γ—
59
59
Sortino ratio (90d)0.12Γ—β€”β€”
Return skew (30d)3.94β€”β€”
Return skew (90d)2.14β€”β€”
Excess kurtosis (30d)18.05β€”β€”
Excess kurtosis (90d)6.72β€”β€”
Largest up day (7d)β€”β€”β€”
Largest up day (14d)+0.4%β€”β€”
Largest up day (30d)+62.8%β€”β€”
Largest up day (60d)+68.6%β€”β€”
Largest up day (90d)+68.6%β€”β€”
Largest down day (7d)+4.9%β€”β€”
Largest down day (14d)+4.9%β€”β€”
Largest down day (30d)+15.3%β€”β€”
Largest down day (60d)+47.3%β€”β€”
Largest down day (90d)+47.3%β€”β€”

Liquidity

5/20 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Turnover %β€”β€”β€”
On-market %+1.3%
38
34
Days to clear listingsβ€”β€”β€”
Lifetime sales / dayneeds provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime salesβ€”β€”
Liquidity score12
38
34
Listings on book13β€”β€”
Amihud illiquidity (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Amihud illiquidity (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Amihud illiquidity (90d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Zero-sale-day share (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Zero-sale-day share (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Zero-sale-day share (90d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (7d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (14d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Bid-ask spread %+45.0%β€”β€”
Near-mid bid imbalanceβ€”β€”β€”
Bid-depth trend (7d)β€”β€”β€”
Bid-floor migration (7d)-0.7%β€”β€”

Supply & ownership

20/21 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Supply growth (7d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Supply growth (14d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Supply growth (30d)+0.0%
5
5
Supply growth (60d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Supply growth (90d)+436.3%β€”β€”
Owner growth (7d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Owner growth (14d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Owner growth (30d)-4.8%
5
5
Owner growth (60d)-1.0%β€”β€”
Owner growth (90d)+312.5%β€”β€”
Mint rate (7d)0β€”β€”
Mint rate (30d)0β€”β€”
Supply doubling timeβ€”β€”β€”
Copies per owner10.45Γ—
40
40
Top-1 holder share+4.9%
67
76
Top-10 holder share+14.9%
60
65
HHI (top-10)39.51β€”β€”
Whale count (β‰₯5)10β€”β€”
Absorption (30d)-4.8%
22
22
Absorption (60d)-1.0%β€”β€”
Absorption (90d)-123.8%β€”β€”

Lifecycle & value

16/18 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Age115dβ€”β€”
Days since fixationβ€”β€”β€”
Days until leaving storen/sβ€”β€”β€”
Release-price multiple1.33Γ—
73
74
Store-price ratio1.33Γ—β€”β€”
Fair-value residual+24.0%
55
58
Price per scarcity point0.11Γ—β€”β€”
Instant-sell discount+36.9%β€”β€”
Bid-floor backing$4.17β€”β€”
Accumulation score45β€”β€”
Market-relative 7d return-4.9%
25
30
Momentum pillar57
77
77
Scarcity pillar59β€”β€”
Liquidity pillar8β€”β€”
Value pillar53β€”β€”
Risk pillar28β€”β€”
Overall rating49
61
54
Data completeness+75.5%β€”β€”

Relative to market

9/9 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Beta vs market (14d)-0.27Γ—β€”β€”
Beta vs market (30d)1.11Γ—
82
87
Beta vs market (90d)-0.67Γ—β€”β€”
Market correlation (14d)-0.54Γ—β€”β€”
Market correlation (30d)0.34Γ—β€”β€”
Market correlation (90d)-0.21Γ—β€”β€”
Return vs market (14d)+1.2%β€”β€”
Return vs market (30d)-2.6%
58
53
Return vs market (90d)-11.7%β€”β€”

Events

12/15 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Spike days (30d)1
25
25
Spike days (60d)3β€”β€”
Spike days (90d)6β€”β€”
Dump days (30d)2
75
75
Dump days (60d)4β€”β€”
Dump days (90d)7β€”β€”
Post-spike reversion (30d)-0.8%β€”β€”
Post-spike reversion (60d)-5.3%β€”β€”
Post-spike reversion (90d)+5.8%β€”β€”
Listing shocks (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listing shocks (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listing shocks (90d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Net spike bias (30d)-1β€”β€”
Net spike bias (60d)-1β€”β€”
Net spike bias (90d)-1β€”β€”

Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. β€œn/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.