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Fisherman Raincoat: Full Analytics | S&box Skins
Back to Fisherman RaincoatEvery indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 77% .
Overall rating ? Fixed supply Insight Engine v2 Recomputed each sync: last updated Aug 20, 6:02 PM.
Signal narrative Neutral Concentrated ownership
~10.2 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
Delisted from store !!
No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.
Weekly uptrend !!
Average price up 55% over the past week versus the prior week.
High volatility
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Above modelled fair value !!
Trading 110% over our supply/rarity model's estimate; richly priced versus comparable skins.
Fixed supply
Supply is fixed; every new owner must buy on the market.
Phantom price !!
The listed price sits 92% above the best standing bid of $5.22; you could not actually sell there right now.
Signal Analysis Insight Engine The most important number here is the gap between the listed price and the real demand: the lowest ask sits at $10.08 while the best standing bid is $5.21, a 63.3% spread that leaves the listing floating 93% above anything a buyer has actually committed to. The model reads the item as 87.5% above fair value, and the 90d position percentile of 95 puts it near the top of its own range. Supply is genuinely fixed at 1,035 units, delisted, with 30d supply growth in the 5th percentile, but only 101 unique owners and a liquidity score of 7 make exits difficult. The +35.6% week reads as fade-risk, not continuation.
AI-generated from live market data Β· updated 1d ago Β· Not financial advice β automated analysis for informational purposes only.
Price action 106/113 populated Indicator Value vs market vs cohort Return (24h) +0.0% β β Return (3d) -0.5% β β Return (7d) -9.1% Return (14d)
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. βn/sβ marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.
Market-wide fear
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
Log return (24h) +0.0% β β
Log return (3d) -0.5% β β
Log return (7d) -9.6% β β
Log return (14d) +35.6% β β
Log return (30d) -11.0% β β
Log return (60d) +10.9% β β
Log return (90d) β β β
Log return (all) +10.9% β β
Mean price (24h) $10.03 β β
Mean price (3d) $10.05 β β
Mean price (7d) $10.54 β β
Mean price (14d) $9.01 β β
Mean price (30d) $8.69 β β
Mean price (60d) $8.73 β β
Mean price (90d) $8.73 β β
Mean price (all) $8.73 β β
Median price (24h) $10.03 β β
Median price (3d) $10.05 β β
Median price (7d) $10.54 β β
Median price (14d) $10.04 β β
Median price (30d) $7.79 β β
Median price (60d) $8.36 β β
Median price (90d) $8.36 β β
Median price (all) $8.36 β β
Range % (14d) +65.3% β β
Range % (30d) +67.7% β β
Range % (60d) +150.8% β β
Range % (90d) +150.8% β β
Range % (all) +150.8% β β
Position in range (24h) β β β
Position in range (3d) β β β
Position in range (7d) β β β
Position in range (14d) 77 β β
Position in range (30d) 74 β β
Position in range (60d) 54 β β
Position in range (90d) 54
Position in range (all) 54 β β
Distance from high (24h) +0.0% β β
Distance from high (3d) -0.5% β β
Distance from high (7d) -9.1% β β
Distance from high (14d) -9.1% β β
Distance from high (30d) -10.4% β β
Distance from high (60d) -27.9% β β
Distance from high (90d) -27.9%
Distance from high (all) -27.9% β β
Distance from low (24h) +0.0% β β
Distance from low (3d) +0.0% β β
Distance from low (7d) +0.0% β β
Distance from low (14d) +50.1% β β
Distance from low (30d) +50.1% β β
Distance from low (60d) +80.7% β β
Distance from low (90d) +80.7% β β
Distance from low (all) +80.7% β β
Price vs mean (24h) +0.0% β β
Price vs mean (3d) -0.2% β β
Price vs mean (7d) -4.8% β β
Price vs mean (14d) +11.3% β β
Price vs mean (30d) +15.4% β β
Price vs mean (60d) +14.9% β β
Price vs mean (90d) +14.9% β β
Price vs mean (all) +14.9% β β
Up-day ratio (24h) β β β
Up-day ratio (14d) 22 β β
Up-day ratio (30d) 14 β β
Up-day ratio (60d) 21 β β
Up-day ratio (90d) 21 β β
Up-day ratio (all) 21 β β
Trend 11/38 populated Indicator Value vs market vs cohort SMA (7) β β β Price vs SMA (7) β β β SMA (14) β β β Price vs SMA (14) β β β SMA (21) β β β Price vs SMA (21) β β β SMA (30) β β β Price vs SMA (30) β β β SMA (50) β β β Price vs SMA (50) β β β SMA (90) β β β Price vs SMA (90) β β β SMA (100) β β β Price vs SMA (100) β β β EMA (7) β β β Price vs EMA (7) β β β EMA (14) β β β Price vs EMA (14) β β β EMA (30) β β β Price vs EMA (30) β β β RSI (7) β β β RSI (14) β β β RSI (21) β β β RSI (30) β β β RSI (50) β β β RSI (100) β β β Trend slope (14d) +4.7% β β Trend slope (30d) +0.3% Trend slope (60d) +0.2% β β Trend slope (90d) +0.2% β β Trend slope (all) +0.2% β β Trend fit RΒ² (14d) 0.57Γ β β Trend fit RΒ² (30d) 0.01Γ β β Trend fit RΒ² (60d) 0.01Γ β β Trend fit RΒ² (90d) 0.01Γ β β Trend fit RΒ² (all) 0.01Γ β β SMA 7/30 cross β β β Days since trend flip 0.0d β β
Volatility & risk 32/33 populated Indicator Value vs market vs cohort Return stdev (7d) +3.8% β β Return stdev (14d) +15.7% β β Return stdev (30d) +11.3% Return stdev (60d) +17.5% β β Return stdev (90d) +17.5% β β Return stdev (all) +17.5% β β Downside deviation (30d) +4.8% β β Downside deviation (60d) +8.5% β β Downside deviation (90d) +8.5% β β Max drawdown (30d) +40.4% β β Max drawdown (60d) +52.0% β β Max drawdown (90d) +52.0% Max drawdown (all) +52.0% β β Current drawdown (90d) +27.9% Current drawdown (all) +27.9% β β Drawdown duration (90d) 33d β β Drawdown duration (all) 33d β β Sortino ratio (30d) 0.06Γ Sortino ratio (90d) 0.23Γ β β Return skew (30d) 4.23 β β Return skew (90d) 2.17 β β Excess kurtosis (30d) 20.64 β β Excess kurtosis (90d) 5.51 β β Largest up day (7d) β β β Largest up day (14d) +64.8% β β Largest up day (30d) +64.8% β β Largest up day (60d) +66.6% β β Largest up day (90d) +66.6% β β Largest down day (7d) +8.3% β β Largest down day (14d) +8.3% β β Largest down day (30d) +17.0% β β Largest down day (60d) +34.0% β β Largest down day (90d) +34.0% β β
Liquidity 2/20 populated Indicator Value vs market vs cohort Turnover % β β β On-market % β β β Days to clear listings β β β Lifetime sales / day needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales β β Liquidity score β β β Listings on book β β β Amihud illiquidity (30d) needs provenance-safe Steam sales history β β Amihud illiquidity (60d) needs provenance-safe Steam sales history β β Amihud illiquidity (90d) needs provenance-safe Steam sales history β β Zero-sale-day share (30d) needs provenance-safe Steam sales history β β Zero-sale-day share (60d) needs provenance-safe Steam sales history β β Zero-sale-day share (90d) needs provenance-safe Steam sales history β β Listings trend (7d) needs provenance-safe Steam listings history β β Listings trend (14d) needs provenance-safe Steam listings history β β Listings trend (30d) needs provenance-safe Steam listings history β β Listings trend (60d) needs provenance-safe Steam listings history β β Bid-ask spread % +63.1% β β Near-mid bid imbalance β β β Bid-depth trend (7d) β β β Bid-floor migration (7d) -9.7% β β
Supply & ownership 17/21 populated Indicator Value vs market vs cohort Supply growth (7d) +0.0% β β Supply growth (14d) +0.0% β β Supply growth (30d) +0.0% Supply growth (60d) +436.3% β β Supply growth (90d) β β β Owner growth (7d) +1.0% β β Owner growth (14d) +1.0% β β Owner growth (30d) +4.1% Owner growth (60d) +320.8% β β Owner growth (90d) β β β Mint rate (7d) 0 β β Mint rate (30d) 0 β β Supply doubling time β β β Copies per owner 10.25Γ Top-1 holder share +4.9% Top-10 holder share +14.8% HHI (top-10) 39.35 β β Whale count (β₯5) 10 β β Absorption (30d) +4.1% Absorption (60d) -115.4% β β Absorption (90d) β β β
Lifecycle & value 16/18 populated Indicator Value vs market vs cohort Age 70d β β Days since fixation β β β Days until leaving store n/s β β β Release-price multiple 2.01Γ Store-price ratio 2.01Γ β β Fair-value residual +109.9% Price per scarcity point 0.19Γ β β Instant-sell discount +48.0% β β Bid-floor backing $5.21 β β Accumulation score 42 β β Market-relative 7d return -2.7% Momentum pillar 58 Scarcity pillar 52 β β Liquidity pillar 0 β β Value pillar 19 β β Risk pillar 32 β β Overall rating 37 Data completeness +76.6% β β
Relative to market 8/9 populated Indicator Value vs market vs cohort Beta vs market (14d) -1.32Γ β β Beta vs market (30d) -0.39Γ Beta vs market (90d) -1.01Γ β β Market correlation (14d) -0.31Γ β β Market correlation (30d) -0.20Γ β β Market correlation (90d) -0.38Γ β β Return vs market (14d) +46.1% β β Return vs market (30d) -11.7% Return vs market (90d) β β β
Events 12/15 populated Indicator Value vs market vs cohort Spike days (30d) 1 Spike days (60d) 3 β β Spike days (90d) 3 β β Dump days (30d) 1 Dump days (60d) 3 β β Dump days (90d) 3 β β Post-spike reversion (30d) +0.0% β β Post-spike reversion (60d) +19.3% β β Post-spike reversion (90d) +19.3% β β Listing shocks (30d) needs provenance-safe Steam listings history β β Listing shocks (60d) needs provenance-safe Steam listings history β β Listing shocks (90d) needs provenance-safe Steam listings history β β Net spike bias (30d) 0 β β Net spike bias (60d) 0 β β Net spike bias (90d) 0 β β