Fisherman Capfull analytics

Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 258 values across 7 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 90%.

Overall rating

?Fixed supply

Insight Engine v2

44/ 100

Momentum61

Scarcity33

Liquidity15

Value64

Risk37

Recomputed each sync: last updated Jul 9, 10:02 PM.

Signal narrative

Bullish

Elevated supply

4,636 total supply: already fairly common, limiting the scarcity premium.

Holders are holding !!

Only 0.7% of supply listed: low sell pressure.

Illiquid

No sales in the last 24h; it may be hard to buy or sell at the quoted price.

Concentrated ownership

~11.2 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.

Delisted from store !!

No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.

Oversold (RSI) !!

RSI 21: beaten down and due for a potential bounce.

Deep drawdown

Down 88% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.

Signal Analysis

Insight Engine

The most notable signal here is the gap between the listed ask and what the order book actually supports: the $4.29 price sits 52% above the best standing bid of $3.00, with a 35.4% bid/ask spread and cumulative bid floor of just $2.42, a textbook phantom-price setup. That disconnect is compounded by thin liquidity, zero units traded in the last 24 hours against 32 active listings, and turnover in the market's 5th percentile. The 7-day price drop of 14.9% (underperforming the market median by 6.5%) has pushed the ask 19.9% above the fair-value model even as fixed supply, a store delisting, and 415 concentrated holders feed bullish long-term signals. With liquidity this low, that fair-value premium may not be easily realized at the current ask.

AI-generated from live market data · updated 6h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.

Price action

108/113 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Return (24h)	-1.1%	—	—
Return (3d)	-5.7%	—	—
Return (7d)	-14.5%	37	42
Return (14d)

Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.

Trend

30/38 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
SMA (7)	$4.66	—	—
Price vs SMA (7)	-7.9%	—	—
SMA (14)	$5.07	—	—
Price vs SMA (14)	-15.3%	—	—
SMA (21)	$5.49	—	—
Price vs SMA (21)	-21.9%	—	—
SMA (30)	$5.84	—	—
Price vs SMA (30)	-26.5%	40	36
SMA (50)	$7.00	—	—
Price vs SMA (50)	-38.7%	—	—
SMA (90)	$12.97	—	—
Price vs SMA (90)	-66.9%	—	—
SMA (100)	—	—	—
Price vs SMA (100)	—	—	—
EMA (7)	$4.66	—	—
Price vs EMA (7)	-7.9%	—	—
EMA (14)	$5.07	—	—
Price vs EMA (14)	-15.3%	—	—
EMA (30)	$5.84	—	—
Price vs EMA (30)	-26.5%	—	—
RSI (7)	—	—	—
RSI (14)	—	—	—
RSI (21)	—	—	—
RSI (30)	—	—	—
RSI (50)	—	—	—
RSI (100)	—	—	—
Trend slope (14d)	-2.4%	—	—
Trend slope (30d)	-1.5%	62	51
Trend slope (60d)	-1.9%	—	—
Trend slope (90d)	-2.1%	—	—
Trend slope (all)	-2.0%	—	—
Trend fit R² (14d)	0.92×	—	—
Trend fit R² (30d)	0.92×	—	—
Trend fit R² (60d)	0.89×	—	—
Trend fit R² (90d)	0.74×	—	—
Trend fit R² (all)	0.75×	—	—
SMA 7/30 cross	-20.2%	48	44
Days since trend flip	58d	—	—

Volatility & risk

33/33 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Return stdev (7d)	+2.8%	—	—
Return stdev (14d)	+4.2%	—	—
Return stdev (30d)	+3.0%	5	5
Return stdev (60d)	+4.9%	—	—
Return stdev (90d)	+13.7%	—	—
Return stdev (all)	+13.7%	—	—
Downside deviation (30d)	+3.0%	—	—
Downside deviation (60d)	+3.8%	—	—
Downside deviation (90d)	+8.0%	—	—
Max drawdown (30d)	+37.5%	—	—
Max drawdown (60d)	+68.4%	—	—
Max drawdown (90d)	+88.5%	58	65
Max drawdown (all)	+88.5%	—	—
Current drawdown (90d)	+88.4%	66	71
Current drawdown (all)	+88.4%	—	—
Drawdown duration (90d)	76d	—	—
Drawdown duration (all)	76d	—	—
Sortino ratio (30d)	-0.52×	22	22
Sortino ratio (90d)	-0.11×	—	—
Return skew (30d)	-2.27	—	—
Return skew (90d)	2.91	—	—
Excess kurtosis (30d)	7.45	—	—
Excess kurtosis (90d)	16.42	—	—
Largest up day (7d)	+0.7%	—	—
Largest up day (14d)	+3.2%	—	—
Largest up day (30d)	+3.2%	—	—
Largest up day (60d)	+17.7%	—	—
Largest up day (90d)	+89.4%	—	—
Largest down day (7d)	+6.2%	—	—
Largest down day (14d)	+12.7%	—	—
Largest down day (30d)	+12.7%	—	—
Largest down day (60d)	+16.7%	—	—
Largest down day (90d)	+43.3%	—	—

Liquidity

11/20 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Turnover %	+0.0%	5	5
On-market %	+0.7%	9	16
Days to clear listings	—	—	—
Lifetime sales / day	20.44	—	—
Liquidity score	22	27	27
Listings on book	32	—	—
Amihud illiquidity (30d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Amihud illiquidity (60d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Amihud illiquidity (90d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Zero-sale-day share (30d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Zero-sale-day share (60d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Zero-sale-day share (90d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Listings trend (7d)	+33.3%	—	—
Listings trend (14d)	-8.6%	—	—
Listings trend (30d)	-17.9%	14	18
Listings trend (60d)	-25.6%	—	—
Bid-ask spread %	+35.4%	—	—
Near-mid bid imbalance	—	—	—
Bid-depth trend (7d)	—	—	—
Bid-floor migration (7d)	+7.1%	—	—

Supply & ownership

20/21 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Supply growth (7d)	+0.0%	—	—
Supply growth (14d)	+0.0%	—	—
Supply growth (30d)	-0.0%	20	24
Supply growth (60d)	-0.0%	—	—
Supply growth (90d)	+0.0%	—	—
Owner growth (7d)	+0.0%	—	—
Owner growth (14d)	+0.0%	—	—
Owner growth (30d)	+1.0%	43	54
Owner growth (60d)	+18.2%	—	—
Owner growth (90d)	+98.6%	—	—
Mint rate (7d)	0	—	—
Mint rate (30d)	-0.03	—	—
Supply doubling time	—	—	—
Copies per owner	11.17×	49	50
Top-1 holder share	+6.5%	76	76
Top-10 holder share	+18.7%	76	76
HHI (top-10)	71.95	—	—
Whale count (≥5)	10	—	—
Absorption (30d)	+1.0%	52	66
Absorption (60d)	+18.3%	—	—
Absorption (90d)	+98.6%	—	—

Lifecycle & value

16/18 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Age	227d	—	—
Days since fixation	—	—	—
Days until leaving storen/s	—	—	—
Release-price multiple	2.16×	80	80
Store-price ratio	2.16×	—	—
Fair-value residual	+19.9%	57	54
Price per scarcity point	0.13×	—	—
Instant-sell discount	+30.1%	—	—
Bid-floor backing	$2.42	—	—
Accumulation score	59	—	—
Market-relative 7d return	-6.5%	38	43
Momentum pillar	61	90	85
Scarcity pillar	33	—	—
Liquidity pillar	15	—	—
Value pillar	64	—	—
Risk pillar	37	—	—
Overall rating	48	57	58
Data completeness	+90.2%	—	—

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Spike days (30d)	0	5	5
Spike days (60d)	1	—	—
Spike days (90d)	6	—	—
Dump days (30d)	0	5	5
Dump days (60d)	1	—	—
Dump days (90d)	7	—	—
Post-spike reversion (30d)	—	—	—
Post-spike reversion (60d)	-9.3%	—	—
Post-spike reversion (90d)	+0.3%	—	—
Listing shocks (30d)	0	—	—
Listing shocks (60d)	1	—	—
Listing shocks (90d)	5	—	—
Net spike bias (30d)	0	—	—
Net spike bias (60d)	0	—	—
Net spike bias (90d)	-1	—	—