Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 78%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Oct 9, 12:02 AM.
2,184 total supply: already fairly common, limiting the scarcity premium.
Only 0.9% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~6.0 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.
Trading within 5% of its lowest recorded price.
Average price down 22% over the past week versus the prior week.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Down 61% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.
25pts behind the median skin this week, underperforming its peers.
Trading 118% over our supply/rarity model's estimate; richly priced versus comparable skins.
Supply is fixed; every new owner must buy on the market.
The listed price sits 255% above the best standing bid of $5.11; you could not actually sell there right now.
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The tension here is between a 5th-percentile position in the 90-day range and a listed price still 118.1% above the model's fair value. A 22.4% weekly drop (25.4% behind the market median) puts the $7.07 ask near all-time lows, and in this single-regime market sharp drops have tended to recover, so the decline reads as a possible recovery setup rather than a trend to extrapolate. The order book argues for patience: the best standing bid is $5.10, leaving the listing 255% above real demand, with a 32.4% spread, 19 live listings and a liquidity score of 12/100. Supply is fixed at 2,184 units across 361 concentrated owners. Grade C, 40/100 overall.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 9h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | -0.8% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | -0.8% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | -29.0% | 10 | 9 |
| Return (14d) | -29.4% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | -53.9% | 12 | 14 |
| Return (60d) | -55.3% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | -61.0% | 22 | 23 |
| Return (all) | -91.0% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | -0.8% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | -0.8% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | -34.3% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | -34.8% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | -77.5% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | -80.5% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | -94.1% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -241.1% | — | — |
| High (24h) | — | — | — |
| High (3d) | $7.13 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $9.96 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $10.01 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $15.35 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $15.93 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $18.32 | — | — |
| High (all) | $105.25 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $7.07 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $7.07 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $7.07 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $7.07 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $7.07 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $7.07 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $7.07 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $7.10 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $7.59 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $8.43 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $9.73 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $11.85 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $13.79 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $29.36 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $7.10 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $7.13 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $7.95 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $10.01 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $11.12 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $15.70 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $18.00 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +0.8% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +40.9% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +41.6% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +117.1% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +125.3% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +159.1% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +1388.7% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 0 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 0 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 0 | 5 | 5 |
| Position in range (all) | 0 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | -0.8% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | -29.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -29.4% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -53.9% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -55.6% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -61.4% | 43 | 46 |
| Distance from high (all) | -93.3% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | — | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | -0.4% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | -6.8% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | -16.1% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | -27.3% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | -40.3% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | -48.7% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | -75.9% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 2 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 5 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 13 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 23 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 45 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 1 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 3 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 4 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 13 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 26 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 37 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 103 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 25 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 33 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 28 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 33 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 38 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 30 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | -5.0% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | -2.1% | 24 | 28 |
| Trend slope (60d) | -1.4% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | -1.0% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -1.4% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.77× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.57× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.77× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.88× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.66× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 8.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +14.9% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +12.8% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +14.9% | 59 | 57 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +11.8% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +9.4% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +10.5% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +11.7% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +9.2% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +8.1% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +53.9% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +55.6% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +61.4% | 40 | 41 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +93.3% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +61.4% | 57 | 54 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +93.3% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 85d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 177d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | -0.20× | 24 | 28 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | -0.09× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 0.7 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 0.71 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 4.51 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 9.06 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | +0.6% | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +13.5% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +43.3% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +43.3% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +43.3% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +28.4% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +28.4% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +32.6% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +32.6% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +32.6% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +0.9% | 21 | 20 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 8 | 21 | 20 |
| Listings on book | 19 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +32.3% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | -34.2% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +0.0% | 5 | 5 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d) | -0.8% | 5 | 5 |
| Owner growth (60d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d) | -1.4% | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | — | — | — |
| Copies per owner | 6.05× | 11 | 9 |
| Top-1 holder share | +4.6% | 64 | 73 |
| Top-10 holder share | +15.8% | 62 | 69 |
| HHI (top-10) | 37.77 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5) | 10 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d) | -0.8% | 24 | 24 |
| Absorption (60d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Absorption (90d) | -1.4% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 530d | — | — |
| Days since fixation | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | 1.42× | 77 | 77 |
| Store-price ratio | 1.42× | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | +118.1% | 76 | 81 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.15× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +27.7% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $5.02 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 39 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | -25.4% | 10 | 9 |
| Momentum pillar | 65 | 85 | 88 |
| Scarcity pillar | 48 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 12 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 40 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 31 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 42 | 29 | 31 |
| Data completeness | +77.7% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | 0.88× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | 0.07× | 38 | 40 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | 0.08× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | 0.31× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | 0.02× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | 0.05× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | -25.5% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | -38.3% | 13 | 15 |
| Return vs market (90d) | -46.3% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 1 | 25 | 25 |
| Spike days (60d) | 3 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 3 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 3 | 83 | 83 |
| Dump days (60d) | 4 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 4 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | -23.4% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | -3.5% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | -3.5% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | -2 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | -1 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | -1 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.