Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 75%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Oct 8, 5:02 AM.
Price down 4.0% in 24h: a mild downward trend.
27,886 total supply: a common item, minimal scarcity premium.
Scarcity score 6/100: abundant and liquid.
Only 1.6% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~23.2 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.
Average price down 31% over the past week versus the prior week.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Down 64% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.
Up 23pts more than the median skin this week: real relative strength.
Trading 72% under our supply/rarity model's estimate; looks cheap versus comparable skins.
Supply is fixed; every new owner must buy on the market.
The listed price sits 194% above the best standing bid of $0.18; you could not actually sell there right now.
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
At 71.5% below the model's fair value, Easter Bunny Nose 2026 screens as the cheapest thing on its own sheet (value score 87/100), but the order book undercuts the headline: the pack flags the listed price floating 179% above the best standing bid of $0.19, with a 19% spread and a cumulative bid floor of $0.18. Supply is the other drag, 27,886 units against 1,200 owners (95th percentile copies per owner) and 463 live listings, scoring 6/100 on scarcity. The 7d move of -32.3% still beat the market median by 4.6%, and in this single-regime market sharp drops have tended to recover, so the -32.3% reads as a drawdown setup rather than a trend to chase. Overall grade C, 46/100.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 1d ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | -4.0% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | — | — | — |
| Return (7d) | +20.0% | 92 | 95 |
| Return (14d) | -14.3% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | -44.2% | 20 | 17 |
| Return (60d) | -14.3% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | -59.0% | 24 | 29 |
| Return (all) | -96.1% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | -4.1% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | — | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | +18.2% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | -15.4% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | -58.3% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | -15.4% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | -89.1% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -324.4% | — | — |
| High (24h) | — | — | — |
| High (3d) | $0.24 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $0.25 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $0.28 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $0.43 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $0.43 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $0.66 | — | — |
| High (all) | $6.70 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $0.24 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $0.20 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $0.20 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $0.20 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $0.20 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $0.20 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $0.20 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $0.24 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $0.24 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $0.25 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $0.34 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $0.33 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $0.40 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $1.24 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $0.24 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $0.25 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $0.25 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $0.37 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $0.33 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $0.37 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $0.70 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | — | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +25.0% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +40.0% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +115.0% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +115.0% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +230.0% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +3250.0% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 17 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 17 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 9 | 43 | 48 |
| Position in range (all) | 1 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | -4.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -14.3% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -44.2% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -44.2% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -63.6% | 42 | 40 |
| Distance from high (all) | -96.4% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +20.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +20.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +20.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +20.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +20.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +20.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | — | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | +2.1% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | -5.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | -30.2% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | -27.7% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | -39.4% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | -80.6% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 2 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 9 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 13 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 45 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 1 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 3 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 12 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 18 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 32 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 87 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 50 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 25 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 14 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 33 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 29 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 34 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | -2.6% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | -3.1% | 17 | 13 |
| Trend slope (60d) | -0.1% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | -1.0% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -1.8% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.35× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.88× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.00× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.53× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.55× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 21d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +14.2% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +13.2% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +9.3% | 32 | 32 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +9.9% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +9.8% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +11.1% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +7.7% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +6.8% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +7.6% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +53.5% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +53.5% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +69.7% | 57 | 59 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +97.0% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +63.6% | 58 | 60 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +96.4% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 81d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 177d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | -0.30× | 16 | 15 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | -0.09× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 0.4 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 0.33 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 5.11 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 2.34 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | +25.0% | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +25.0% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +25.0% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +27.6% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +27.6% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +4.0% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +16.7% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +24.3% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +24.3% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +27.1% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +1.6% | 52 | 54 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 15 | 52 | 54 |
| Listings on book | 457 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +32.6% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | +20.0% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +0.0% | 5 | 5 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +0.2% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d) | +0.3% | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d) | +0.3% | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d) | +0.0% | 21 | 22 |
| Owner growth (60d) | -0.2% | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d) | -0.8% | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | — | — | — |
| Copies per owner | 23.24× | 95 | 95 |
| Top-1 holder share | +2.0% | 33 | 28 |
| Top-10 holder share | +9.1% | 36 | 29 |
| HHI (top-10) | 9.98 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5) | 10 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d) | +0.0% | 41 | 41 |
| Absorption (60d) | -0.2% | — | — |
| Absorption (90d) | -1.1% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 195d | — | — |
| Days since fixation | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | 0.05× | 5 | 5 |
| Store-price ratio | 0.05× | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | -71.8% | 12 | 14 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.04× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +25.0% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $0.18 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 61 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | +22.6% | 92 | 95 |
| Momentum pillar | 47 | 41 | 37 |
| Scarcity pillar | 6 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 16 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 88 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 33 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 43 | 37 | 37 |
| Data completeness | +75.1% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | — | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | -0.02× | 33 | 29 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | 0.01× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | — | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | -0.01× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | 0.00× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | -14.0% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | -29.2% | 20 | 18 |
| Return vs market (90d) | -47.7% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 1 | 25 | 25 |
| Spike days (60d) | 6 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 7 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 2 | 50 | 50 |
| Dump days (60d) | 3 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 5 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | +0.2% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | -0.3% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | -1 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | 3 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | 2 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.