Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 82%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Oct 9, 6:02 PM.
32,202 total supply: a common item, minimal scarcity premium.
Scarcity score 4/100: abundant and liquid.
Only 2.2% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~24.5 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Down 73% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.
32pts behind the median skin this week, underperforming its peers.
Trading 49% under our supply/rarity model's estimate; looks cheap versus comparable skins.
Supply is fixed; every new owner must buy on the market.
The listed price sits 163% above the best standing bid of $0.35; you could not actually sell there right now.
Real buy support at $0.35: cumulative standing bids you could sell a few copies into without the price collapsing.
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The headline number is supply: 32,202 units against just 1,316 unique owners, which puts copies per owner in the 95th percentile and earns a scarcity score of 4/100. That overhang explains why the lowest ask of $0.38 sits 96% below the $10.00 store price and well under the $0.92 median sale, and why the fair-value model reads the item 49.4% cheap (value score 84/100). The offsets are real but modest: supply is fixed after delisting, 30d supply growth sits in the 5th percentile, and bids hold at $0.37 with a $0.35 cumulative floor on a 2.7% spread. Against that, 7d performance of +4.0% trails the market median by 32.3 points, a 5th-percentile cohort result, and the pack flags the listed price as phantom at 149% above the best bid. Overall grade C, 46/100.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 3h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | -9.5% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | -37.7% | 7 | 5 |
| Return (14d) | -7.3% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | -28.3% | 41 | 39 |
| Return (60d) | -61.2% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | -70.4% | 19 | 17 |
| Return (all) | -97.1% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | -10.0% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | -47.3% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | -7.6% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | -33.3% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | -94.7% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | -121.8% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -353.7% | — | — |
| High (24h) | $0.38 | — | — |
| High (3d) | $0.42 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $0.61 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $0.63 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $0.63 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $0.98 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $1.41 | — | — |
| High (all) | $13.06 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | $0.38 | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $0.38 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $0.38 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $0.35 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $0.35 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $0.35 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $0.35 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $0.35 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | $0.38 | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $0.39 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $0.49 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $0.48 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $0.49 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $0.62 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $0.82 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $2.41 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | $0.38 | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $0.38 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $0.48 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $0.42 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $0.50 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $0.58 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $0.71 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $1.38 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +10.5% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +60.5% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +80.0% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +80.0% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +180.0% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +302.9% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +3631.4% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 11 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 11 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 5 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 3 | 30 | 27 |
| Position in range (all) | 0 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | -9.5% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | -37.7% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -39.7% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -39.7% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -61.2% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -73.0% | 28 | 25 |
| Distance from high (all) | -97.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +8.6% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +8.6% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +8.6% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +8.6% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +8.6% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | -3.4% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | -22.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | -20.6% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | -22.7% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | -38.7% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | -53.6% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | -84.2% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 3 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 4 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 8 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 12 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 40 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 1 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 4 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 7 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 13 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 28 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 47 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 112 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 20 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 30 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 24 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 22 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 20 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 26 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | $0.49 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | -22.0% | — | — |
| SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | $0.49 | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | -22.0% | — | — |
| EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | +0.2% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | -0.4% | 59 | 63 |
| Trend slope (60d) | -1.5% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | -1.5% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -1.8% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.00× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.05× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.75× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.86× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.53× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 2.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +17.3% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +20.3% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +14.3% | 57 | 56 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +11.1% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +10.6% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +10.9% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +7.4% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +6.3% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +5.8% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +39.7% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +64.3% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +75.2% | 65 | 66 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +97.3% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +73.0% | 72 | 75 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +97.1% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 83d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 184d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | -0.03× | 49 | 50 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | -0.16× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 2.36 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 2.9 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 8.55 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 13.43 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | +22.9% | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +61.5% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +61.5% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +61.5% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +61.5% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +23.6% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +23.6% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +23.6% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +23.6% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +23.6% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +2.2% | 65 | 65 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 20 | 65 | 65 |
| Listings on book | 703 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +8.2% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | 0.89× | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | +12.9% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +0.0% | 5 | 5 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d) | +0.2% | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d) | +0.2% | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d) | +0.2% | 27 | 28 |
| Owner growth (60d) | -0.2% | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d) | -1.1% | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | — | — | — |
| Copies per owner | 24.47× | 95 | 95 |
| Top-1 holder share | +2.0% | 32 | 28 |
| Top-10 holder share | +9.6% | 38 | 30 |
| HHI (top-10) | 10.91 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5) | 10 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d) | +0.2% | 47 | 41 |
| Absorption (60d) | -0.2% | — | — |
| Absorption (90d) | -1.1% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 197d | — | — |
| Days since fixation | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | 0.04× | 5 | 5 |
| Store-price ratio | 0.04× | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | -49.4% | 26 | 27 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.10× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +7.9% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $0.35 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 53 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | -32.3% | 7 | 5 |
| Momentum pillar | 40 | 9 | 5 |
| Scarcity pillar | 4 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 38 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 84 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 46 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 45 | 43 | 40 |
| Data completeness | +82.3% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | 1.33× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | 0.75× | 71 | 71 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | -0.39× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | 0.23× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | 0.19× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | -0.19× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | +2.9% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | -7.1% | 45 | 45 |
| Return vs market (90d) | -49.5% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 3 | 95 | 95 |
| Spike days (60d) | 3 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 4 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 2 | 50 | 50 |
| Dump days (60d) | 3 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 4 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | -3.5% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | -3.5% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | -2.8% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | 1 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | 0 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | 0 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.