Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 77%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Oct 8, 8:02 AM.
3,514 total supply: already fairly common, limiting the scarcity premium.
Only 1.0% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~8.8 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.
Average price up 30% over the past week versus the prior week.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Down 70% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.
10pts behind the median skin this week, underperforming its peers.
Trading 66% over our supply/rarity model's estimate; richly priced versus comparable skins.
Supply is fixed; every new owner must buy on the market.
The listed price sits 162% above the best standing bid of $2.62; you could not actually sell there right now.
Order-book support has been building (accumulation score 67/100), with bid depth, value and floor all rising over the past week.
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The 30.3% weekly gain is the headline, but in this single-regime market sharp spikes have tended to fade, and the supporting structure is thin: the $4.27 ask sits 66% above modelled fair value and 127% above the best standing bid of $3.03, with a 34% spread and a liquidity score of 11/100. That phantom-price gap matters more than the momentum pillar's 91st-percentile reading, especially since the 7d return still trails the market median by 21.1% (11th percentile in cohort). Supply is fixed at 3,514 units across 399 owners after delisting, and bids are accumulating toward a $2.65 floor, so patience for a print nearer real bid support looks better supported than chasing the move. Overall grade C, 43/100.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 17h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | +0.2% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | +0.2% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | -13.0% | 25 | 25 |
| Return (14d) | +25.2% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | -15.4% | 56 | 50 |
| Return (60d) | -43.2% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | -54.7% | 28 | 27 |
| Return (all) | -93.2% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | +0.2% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | +0.2% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | -14.0% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | +22.5% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | -16.7% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | -56.6% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | -79.2% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -269.3% | — | — |
| High (24h) | — | — | — |
| High (3d) | $4.27 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $4.91 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $5.63 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $5.63 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $7.71 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $14.12 | — | — |
| High (all) | $70.35 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $4.26 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $3.28 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $3.28 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $3.28 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $3.28 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $3.28 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $3.28 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $4.27 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $4.20 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $4.34 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $4.08 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $5.05 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $6.94 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $17.86 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $4.27 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $4.27 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $4.27 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $3.95 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $5.05 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $5.81 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $10.62 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +0.2% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +49.7% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +71.6% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +71.6% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +135.1% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +330.5% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +2044.8% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 42 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 22 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 9 | 44 | 42 |
| Position in range (all) | 1 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | -13.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -24.2% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -24.2% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -44.6% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -69.8% | 32 | 35 |
| Distance from high (all) | -93.9% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +0.2% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +30.2% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +30.2% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +30.2% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +30.2% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +30.2% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +30.2% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | — | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | +0.1% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | +1.7% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | -1.6% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | +4.8% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | -15.4% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | -38.4% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | -76.1% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 2 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 3 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 3 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 7 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 14 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 37 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 2 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 5 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 18 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 31 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 50 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 118 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | 100 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 50 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 38 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 14 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 18 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 22 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 24 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 2.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | +0.2% | 75 | 70 |
| Trend slope (60d) | -1.7% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | -1.7% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -1.6% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.00× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.01× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.66× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.81× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.69× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 1.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +22.6% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +24.7% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +15.0% | 60 | 59 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +12.2% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +11.5% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +10.5% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +6.9% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +6.8% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +6.5% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +41.7% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +57.5% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +76.8% | 68 | 63 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +95.3% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +69.8% | 67 | 64 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +93.9% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 81d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 178d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | 0.06× | 64 | 59 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | -0.06× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 2.76 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 2.48 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 9.74 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 10.89 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | +29.9% | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +66.1% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +66.1% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +66.1% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +66.1% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +23.4% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +23.4% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +23.4% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +23.4% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +23.4% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +1.0% | 26 | 26 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 9 | 26 | 27 |
| Listings on book | 34 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +47.0% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | +20.2% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +0.0% | 5 | 5 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d) | +0.5% | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d) | +0.8% | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d) | +0.3% | 26 | 27 |
| Owner growth (60d) | +1.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d) | +1.3% | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | — | — | — |
| Copies per owner | 8.79× | 28 | 26 |
| Top-1 holder share | +6.8% | 80 | 84 |
| Top-10 holder share | +22.5% | 81 | 88 |
| HHI (top-10) | 89.63 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5) | 10 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d) | +0.3% | 49 | 50 |
| Absorption (60d) | +1.0% | — | — |
| Absorption (90d) | +1.3% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 529d | — | — |
| Days since fixation | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | 1.43× | 78 | 78 |
| Store-price ratio | 1.43× | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | +66.1% | 66 | 74 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.12× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +38.6% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $2.62 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 67 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | -10.5% | 25 | 25 |
| Momentum pillar | 64 | 90 | 90 |
| Scarcity pillar | 35 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 6 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 47 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 27 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 41 | 30 | 30 |
| Data completeness | +77.4% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | -2.80× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | -0.58× | 12 | 18 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | -0.19× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | -0.40× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | -0.14× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | -0.09× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | +25.5% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | -0.4% | 56 | 52 |
| Return vs market (90d) | -41.5% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 2 | 75 | 75 |
| Spike days (60d) | 3 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 5 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 2 | 50 | 75 |
| Dump days (60d) | 4 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 5 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | -0.1% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | -0.1% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | +4.8% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | -1 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | 0 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.