Easter Bonnet 2025full analytics

Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 258 values across 7 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 91%.

Overall rating

?Fixed supply

Insight Engine v2

38/ 100

Momentum39

Scarcity33

Liquidity27

Value39

Risk49

Recomputed each sync: last updated Jul 9, 10:02 PM.

Signal narrative

Bullish

Elevated supply

3,514 total supply: already fairly common, limiting the scarcity premium.

Holders are holding !!

Only 1.0% of supply listed: low sell pressure.

Concentrated ownership

~8.9 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.

Delisted from store !!

No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.

High volatility

Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.

Deep drawdown

Down 86% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.

Outperforming the market !!

Up 34pts more than the median skin this week: real relative strength.

Signal Analysis

Insight Engine

Trading well above the model's fair-value estimate, the Easter Bonnet 2025 sits at a $9.52 ask against a fair-value gap of +106.3%, with the wide 43.8% bid/ask spread (best bid $6.10) underscoring how thin the order book is. Liquidity is scarce: only 35 units are listed out of 3,514 in existence, and just 1 traded in the last 24h. The 7d return of -1.6% still beats the broader market by 33.8%, placing it in the 90th percentile for market-relative return, and dump days are rare (5th percentile), suggesting holders are largely sitting still since the item delisted from the store. With supply fixed and ownership concentrated among 394 owners, the current ask looks stretched relative to the model, warranting caution about entries at these levels.

AI-generated from live market data · updated 6h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.

Price action

108/113 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Return (24h)	+0.0%	—	—
Return (3d)	-0.7%	—	—
Return (7d)	+26.8%	90	86
Return (14d)

Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.

Trend

30/38 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
SMA (7)	$8.34	—	—
Price vs SMA (7)	+14.1%	—	—
SMA (14)	$8.41	—	—
Price vs SMA (14)	+13.2%	—	—
SMA (21)	$9.00	—	—
Price vs SMA (21)	+5.7%	—	—
SMA (30)	$9.83	—	—
Price vs SMA (30)	-3.1%	88	87
SMA (50)	$12.37	—	—
Price vs SMA (50)	-23.1%	—	—
SMA (90)	$24.55	—	—
Price vs SMA (90)	-61.2%	—	—
SMA (100)	—	—	—
Price vs SMA (100)	—	—	—
EMA (7)	$8.34	—	—
Price vs EMA (7)	+14.1%	—	—
EMA (14)	$8.41	—	—
Price vs EMA (14)	+13.2%	—	—
EMA (30)	$9.83	—	—
Price vs EMA (30)	-3.1%	—	—
RSI (7)	—	—	—
RSI (14)	—	—	—
RSI (21)	—	—	—
RSI (30)	—	—	—
RSI (50)	—	—	—
RSI (100)	—	—	—
Trend slope (14d)	-0.1%	—	—
Trend slope (30d)	-1.7%	58	61
Trend slope (60d)	-2.1%	—	—
Trend slope (90d)	-2.4%	—	—
Trend slope (all)	-2.4%	—	—
Trend fit R² (14d)	0.00×	—	—
Trend fit R² (30d)	0.70×	—	—
Trend fit R² (60d)	0.82×	—	—
Trend fit R² (90d)	0.84×	—	—
Trend fit R² (all)	0.85×	—	—
SMA 7/30 cross	-15.1%	65	71
Days since trend flip	2.0d	—	—

Volatility & risk

33/33 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Return stdev (7d)	+10.5%	—	—
Return stdev (14d)	+8.3%	—	—
Return stdev (30d)	+8.2%	22	17
Return stdev (60d)	+10.0%	—	—
Return stdev (90d)	+10.5%	—	—
Return stdev (all)	+10.3%	—	—
Downside deviation (30d)	+5.1%	—	—
Downside deviation (60d)	+5.5%	—	—
Downside deviation (90d)	+6.3%	—	—
Max drawdown (30d)	+46.4%	—	—
Max drawdown (60d)	+76.3%	—	—
Max drawdown (90d)	+89.5%	63	60
Max drawdown (all)	+89.5%	—	—
Current drawdown (90d)	+86.5%	57	55
Current drawdown (all)	+86.5%	—	—
Drawdown duration (90d)	89d	—	—
Drawdown duration (all)	89d	—	—
Sortino ratio (30d)	-0.18×	59	62
Sortino ratio (90d)	-0.27×	—	—
Return skew (30d)	1.57	—	—
Return skew (90d)	1.57	—	—
Excess kurtosis (30d)	6.19	—	—
Excess kurtosis (90d)	6.43	—	—
Largest up day (7d)	+28.7%	—	—
Largest up day (14d)	+28.7%	—	—
Largest up day (30d)	+28.7%	—	—
Largest up day (60d)	+50.2%	—	—
Largest up day (90d)	+50.2%	—	—
Largest down day (7d)	+1.1%	—	—
Largest down day (14d)	+10.2%	—	—
Largest down day (30d)	+19.1%	—	—
Largest down day (60d)	+19.1%	—	—
Largest down day (90d)	+30.5%	—	—

Liquidity

12/20 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Turnover %	+0.0%	42	33
On-market %	+1.0%	27	23
Days to clear listings	36d	70	75
Lifetime sales / day	7.99	—	—
Liquidity score	20	19	18
Listings on book	36	—	—
Amihud illiquidity (30d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Amihud illiquidity (60d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Amihud illiquidity (90d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Zero-sale-day share (30d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Zero-sale-day share (60d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Zero-sale-day share (90d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Listings trend (7d)	+0.0%	—	—
Listings trend (14d)	+2.9%	—	—
Listings trend (30d)	-2.8%	32	27
Listings trend (60d)	-18.6%	—	—
Bid-ask spread %	+43.7%	—	—
Near-mid bid imbalance	—	—	—
Bid-depth trend (7d)	—	—	—
Bid-floor migration (7d)	+26.4%	—	—

Supply & ownership

20/21 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Supply growth (7d)	+0.0%	—	—
Supply growth (14d)	+0.0%	—	—
Supply growth (30d)	+0.0%	25	25
Supply growth (60d)	+0.0%	—	—
Supply growth (90d)	+0.0%	—	—
Owner growth (7d)	+0.0%	—	—
Owner growth (14d)	+0.8%	—	—
Owner growth (30d)	+2.3%	51	50
Owner growth (60d)	+26.7%	—	—
Owner growth (90d)	+130.4%	—	—
Mint rate (7d)	0	—	—
Mint rate (30d)	0	—	—
Supply doubling time	—	—	—
Copies per owner	8.92×	29	30
Top-1 holder share	+6.8%	77	77
Top-10 holder share	+22.1%	85	85
HHI (top-10)	88.75	—	—
Whale count (≥5)	10	—	—
Absorption (30d)	+2.3%	59	53
Absorption (60d)	+26.7%	—	—
Absorption (90d)	+130.4%	—	—

Lifecycle & value

16/18 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Age	440d	—	—
Days since fixation	—	—	—
Days until leaving storen/s	—	—	—
Release-price multiple	3.18×	89	88
Store-price ratio	3.18×	—	—
Fair-value residual	+106.3%	74	80
Price per scarcity point	0.29×	—	—
Instant-sell discount	+35.9%	—	—
Bid-floor backing	$6.04	—	—
Accumulation score	64	—	—
Market-relative 7d return	+33.8%	90	85
Momentum pillar	39	28	25
Scarcity pillar	33	—	—
Liquidity pillar	27	—	—
Value pillar	39	—	—
Risk pillar	49	—	—
Overall rating	42	29	26
Data completeness	+91.0%	—	—

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Spike days (30d)	2	75	75
Spike days (60d)	4	—	—
Spike days (90d)	6	—	—
Dump days (30d)	1	25	5
Dump days (60d)	3	—	—
Dump days (90d)	5	—	—
Post-spike reversion (30d)	-9.9%	—	—
Post-spike reversion (60d)	-4.8%	—	—
Post-spike reversion (90d)	-4.6%	—	—
Listing shocks (30d)	0	—	—
Listing shocks (60d)	0	—	—
Listing shocks (90d)	0	—	—
Net spike bias (30d)	1	—	—
Net spike bias (60d)	1	—	—
Net spike bias (90d)	1	—	—