Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 77%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Oct 8, 10:02 AM.
346 total supply: a relatively rare item.
Only 1.2% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~5.5 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.
Average price up 19% over the past week versus the prior week.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Down 40% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.
Trading 141% over our supply/rarity model's estimate; richly priced versus comparable skins.
Unique owners up 11% this week; new holders are arriving.
Supply is fixed (delisted Sep 7, 2026); every new owner must buy on the market.
The listed price sits 98% above the best standing bid of $10.54; you could not actually sell there right now.
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The headline number here is the gap between paper and reality: the $21.23 ask sits 102% above the best standing bid of $10.51, with a 67.5% bid/ask spread and a cumulative bid floor of $8.51, the same neighbourhood as the $8.50 store price. Fundamentals are genuinely tight (346 units across 63 owners, 5th percentile supply growth, 95th percentile absorption, supply fixed since delisting), but the price is 139.9% above modelled fair value and the 7d gain of +24.1% reads as fade-risk in this single-regime market. With liquidity at 8/100 and only four listings, the C grade (46/100) reflects a thin book rather than confirmed demand.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 18h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | -1.9% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | -1.4% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | -1.6% | 64 | 67 |
| Return (14d) | +6.4% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | -40.3% | 23 | 22 |
| Return (60d) | -35.7% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | — | — | — |
| Return (all) | -35.7% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | -1.9% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | -1.4% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | -1.6% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | +6.2% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | -51.7% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | -44.1% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | — | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -44.1% | — | — |
| High (24h) | $20.83 | — | — |
| High (3d) | $21.23 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $21.23 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $21.23 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $34.92 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $34.92 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $34.92 | — | — |
| High (all) | $34.92 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | $20.83 | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $20.83 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $20.83 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $19.55 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $12.93 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $12.93 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $12.93 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $12.93 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | $20.83 | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $21.06 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $21.11 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $20.52 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $19.42 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $19.92 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $19.92 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $19.92 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | $20.83 | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $21.12 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $21.16 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $20.83 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $19.78 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $20.26 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $20.26 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $20.26 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +1.9% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +1.9% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +8.6% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +170.1% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +170.1% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +170.1% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +170.1% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 76 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 36 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 36 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 36 | 78 | 81 |
| Position in range (all) | 36 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | -1.9% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | -1.9% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -1.9% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -40.3% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -40.3% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -40.3% | 75 | 77 |
| Distance from high (all) | -40.3% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +6.5% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +61.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +61.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +61.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +61.1% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | -1.1% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | -1.3% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | +1.5% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | +7.3% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | +4.6% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | +4.6% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | +4.6% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 4 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 6 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 7 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 7 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 7 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 1 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 2 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 3 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 13 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 13 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 13 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 13 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | 50 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 33 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 57 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 32 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 35 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 35 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 35 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | +0.9% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | -0.4% | 60 | 64 |
| Trend slope (60d) | -0.9% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | -0.9% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -0.9% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.70× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.01× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.06× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.06× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.06× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 16d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +0.9% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +2.1% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +14.5% | 58 | 57 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +14.3% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +14.3% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +14.3% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +11.3% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +11.3% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +11.3% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +63.0% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +63.0% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +63.0% | 43 | 45 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +63.0% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +40.3% | 25 | 23 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +40.3% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 29d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 29d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | -0.10× | 37 | 34 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | -0.07× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 1.47 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 1.39 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 9.2 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 9.07 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | +0.5% | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +6.0% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +52.7% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +52.7% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +52.7% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +1.9% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +1.9% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +35.1% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +35.1% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +35.1% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +1.2% | 33 | 34 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 11 | 33 | 34 |
| Listings on book | 4 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +65.6% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | -34.1% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +0.0% | 5 | 5 |
| Supply growth (60d) | — | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d) | +10.5% | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d) | +16.7% | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d) | +18.9% | 85 | 83 |
| Owner growth (60d) | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d) | — | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | — | — | — |
| Copies per owner | 5.49× | 9 | 9 |
| Top-1 holder share | +4.9% | 68 | 62 |
| Top-10 holder share | +23.1% | 83 | 79 |
| HHI (top-10) | 69.83 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5) | 9 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d) | +18.9% | 95 | 95 |
| Absorption (60d) | — | — | — |
| Absorption (90d) | — | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 50d | — | — |
| Days since fixation | 30d | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | -30d | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | — | — | — |
| Store-price ratio | 2.45× | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | +140.5% | 78 | 78 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.28× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +49.4% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $10.51 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 35 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | +1.9% | 64 | 67 |
| Momentum pillar | 64 | 89 | 85 |
| Scarcity pillar | 75 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 8 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 26 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 28 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 48 | 58 | 56 |
| Data completeness | +77.0% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | 0.08× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | 1.03× | 79 | 81 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | 1.03× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | 0.15× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | 0.27× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | 0.30× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | +6.7% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | -25.4% | 23 | 22 |
| Return vs market (90d) | — | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 1 | 25 | 25 |
| Spike days (60d) | 1 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 1 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 2 | 50 | 50 |
| Dump days (60d) | 2 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 2 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | -1.0% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | -1.0% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | -1.0% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | -1 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | -1 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | -1 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.