Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 83%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Oct 18, 12:02 PM.
Price down 13.1% in 24h: significant selling pressure.
Only 1.3% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~11.7 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.
Average price up 88% over the past week versus the prior week.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Up 137pts more than the median skin this week: real relative strength.
Trading 58% over our supply/rarity model's estimate; richly priced versus comparable skins.
Supply is fixed (delisted Jul 27, 2026); every new owner must buy on the market.
Order-book support has been building (accumulation score 100/100), with bid depth, value and floor all rising over the past week.
The broader S&box market is in greedy territory right now: buyers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The $15.90 ask sits 105.6% above the best standing bid of $4.91 and more than double the $7.54 median sale, a phantom-price structure where the listed floor floats 54% clear of real demand. That gap is the dominant fact here: the model reads the item 104.4% above fair value, and the liquidity score of 3/100 offers little to close it. The +42.1% week (and +164.1% versus the market median) is already rolling over, down 6.4% in 24h and 5.5% in the last six hours, and with RSI overbought in a market where sharp spikes have tended to fade, the weekly uptrend reads as fade-risk. Fixed supply post-delisting and 1,378 units across 117 owners support scarcity at 60/100, but ownership sits in the 95th percentile for both top-1 and top-10 concentration. Overall grade D, 35/100. Anyone weighing entry here might reasonably want the ask closer to the $4.22 cumulative bid floor first.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 1d ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | -13.1% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | -24.8% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | +201.9% | 85 | 83 |
| Return (14d) | +119.2% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | +55.1% | 47 | 44 |
| Return (60d) | +217.8% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | -38.3% | 20 | 13 |
| Return (all) | -38.3% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | -14.1% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | -28.5% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | +110.5% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | +78.5% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | +43.9% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | +115.6% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | -48.2% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -48.2% | — | — |
| High (24h) | $12.65 | — | — |
| High (3d) | $16.82 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $16.99 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $16.99 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $16.99 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $16.99 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $20.49 | — | — |
| High (all) | $20.49 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | $12.65 | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $12.65 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $4.19 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $4.19 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $4.19 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $3.08 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $3.08 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $3.08 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | $12.65 | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $14.68 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $10.62 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $8.76 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $7.50 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $6.62 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $6.69 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $6.69 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | $12.65 | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $14.56 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $12.65 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $5.66 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $5.91 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $5.66 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $4.97 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $4.97 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +33.0% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +305.5% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +305.5% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +305.5% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +451.6% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +565.3% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +565.3% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 66 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 66 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 69 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 55 | 49 | 47 |
| Position in range (all) | 55 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | -24.8% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | -25.5% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -25.5% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -25.5% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -25.5% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -38.3% | 39 | 31 |
| Distance from high (all) | -38.3% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +201.9% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +201.9% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +201.9% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +310.7% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +310.7% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +310.7% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | -13.8% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | +19.1% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | +44.4% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | +68.6% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | +91.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | +89.2% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | +89.2% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 2 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 2 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 4 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 8 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 12 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 12 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 2 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 3 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 7 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 13 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 31 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 48 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 48 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 40 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 22 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 24 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 21 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 20 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 20 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | $10.62 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | +19.1% | — | — |
| SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | $10.62 | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | +19.1% | — | — |
| EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | +13.3% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | +3.4% | 74 | 73 |
| Trend slope (60d) | +1.4% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | +0.1% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | +0.1% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.53× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.20× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.15× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.00× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.00× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 3.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +52.9% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +42.0% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +28.5% | 79 | 78 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +28.4% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +32.4% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +32.4% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +7.2% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +8.8% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +14.6% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +48.6% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +69.0% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +85.0% | 82 | 86 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +85.0% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +38.3% | 61 | 69 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +38.3% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 83d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 83d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | 1.11× | 79 | 75 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | 0.38× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 4.52 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 3.6 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 20.87 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 14.34 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | +245.3% | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +245.3% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +245.3% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +245.3% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +245.3% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +13.4% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +15.7% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +21.9% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +29.5% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +68.8% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | +0.1% | 33 | 37 |
| On-market % | +1.3% | 56 | 58 |
| Days to clear listings | 18d | 67 | 63 |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 7 | 33 | 35 |
| Listings on book | 18 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +86.7% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | +80.7% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +0.0% | 5 | 5 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +414.2% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d) | +1.7% | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d) | +4.4% | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d) | +5.4% | 51 | 55 |
| Owner growth (60d) | +7.3% | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d) | +594.1% | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | — | — | — |
| Copies per owner | 11.68× | 61 | 61 |
| Top-1 holder share | +14.7% | 95 | 95 |
| Top-10 holder share | +42.7% | 95 | 95 |
| HHI (top-10) | 423.61 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5) | 10 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d) | +5.4% | 68 | 72 |
| Absorption (60d) | +7.3% | — | — |
| Absorption (90d) | +179.9% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 91d | — | — |
| Days since fixation | 83d | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | -83d | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | — | — | — |
| Store-price ratio | 5.06× | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | +58.4% | 61 | 63 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.24× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +60.5% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $4.86 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 100 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | +136.7% | 85 | 83 |
| Momentum pillar | 45 | 52 | 54 |
| Scarcity pillar | 53 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 5 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 31 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 36 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 41 | 49 | 55 |
| Data completeness | +82.6% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | 2.23× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | 2.15× | 87 | 83 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | 0.40× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | 0.31× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | 0.35× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | 0.06× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | +5.9% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | -46.1% | 48 | 44 |
| Return vs market (90d) | -176.7% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 2 | 50 | 25 |
| Spike days (60d) | 4 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 5 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 2 | 75 | 75 |
| Dump days (60d) | 5 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 8 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | +122.2% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | +57.8% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | +46.3% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | -1 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | -3 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.