Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 75%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Oct 4, 3:02 PM.
Down 85.3% in the last 6 hours: near-term weakness.
Only 0.8% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~10.1 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.
Average price up 41% over the past week versus the prior week.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Down 85% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.
Up 31pts more than the median skin this week: real relative strength.
Trading 50% over our supply/rarity model's estimate; richly priced versus comparable skins.
Supply is fixed; every new owner must buy on the market.
The listed price sits 51% above the best standing bid of $3.48; you could not actually sell there right now.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The $7.54 ask is doing most of the work here, and it is not well supported: it sits 50% above the model's fair value, 51% above the best standing bid of $3.48, and well clear of the $5.26 median sale, with the bid/ask spread at 73.7%. That is a phantom price on a thin book of 9 listings and a liquidity score of 5/100. The +41.1% week (30.7% ahead of the market median) reads as fade-risk rather than continuation, reinforced by the 85.3% six-hour drop and a 90th-percentile dump-day count. Fixed supply at 1161 units and 5th-percentile supply growth are the durable positives; ownership is concentrated across just 115 holders. Grade C, 46/100.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 20m ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | — | — | — |
| Return (7d) | +30.7% | 78 | 77 |
| Return (14d) | +2.0% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | -7.4% | 59 | 63 |
| Return (60d) | -32.9% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | -3.0% | 82 | 91 |
| Return (all) | -3.0% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | — | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | +26.8% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | +2.0% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | -7.7% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | -39.9% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | -3.0% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -3.0% | — | — |
| High (24h) | — | — | — |
| High (3d) | $7.54 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $7.54 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $7.54 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $8.14 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $11.24 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $49.92 | — | — |
| High (all) | $49.92 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $7.54 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $5.72 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $5.72 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $3.36 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $3.36 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $3.36 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $3.36 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $7.54 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $6.20 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $6.77 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $6.11 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $7.84 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $9.13 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $9.13 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $7.54 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $5.77 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $7.29 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $5.77 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $7.95 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $8.56 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $8.56 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | — | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +31.8% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +31.8% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +142.3% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +234.5% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +1385.7% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +1385.7% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 87 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 53 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 9 | 39 | 39 |
| Position in range (all) | 9 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -7.4% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -32.9% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -84.9% | 17 | 16 |
| Distance from high (all) | -84.9% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +31.8% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +31.8% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +124.4% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +124.4% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +124.4% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +124.4% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | — | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | +21.6% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | +11.4% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | +23.5% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | -3.8% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | -17.4% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | -17.4% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 3 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 11 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 19 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 19 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 1 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 4 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 15 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 31 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 46 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 46 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 50 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 20 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 17 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 26 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 29 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 29 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 1.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | -2.3% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | -0.5% | 64 | 68 |
| Trend slope (60d) | -1.4% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | -1.2% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -1.2% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.21× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.02× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.59× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.19× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.19× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 4.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +16.2% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +14.8% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +20.6% | 78 | 76 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +15.5% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +34.8% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +34.8% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +7.6% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +7.2% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +13.1% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +58.7% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +70.1% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +93.3% | 87 | 87 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +93.3% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +84.9% | 83 | 83 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +84.9% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 78d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 78d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | 0.28× | 80 | 83 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | 0.79× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 3.74 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 8.14 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 15.65 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 68.82 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | +31.8% | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +31.8% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +119.9% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +119.9% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +843.7% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +0.9% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +20.9% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +22.8% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +22.8% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +78.6% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +0.8% | 16 | 19 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 7 | 16 | 19 |
| Listings on book | 9 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +73.7% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | +9.4% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +0.0% | 5 | 5 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +416.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d) | +1.8% | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d) | +1.8% | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d) | +0.0% | 50 | 50 |
| Owner growth (60d) | +1.8% | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d) | +296.6% | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | — | — | — |
| Copies per owner | 10.10× | 37 | 37 |
| Top-1 holder share | +4.4% | 63 | 59 |
| Top-10 holder share | +18.1% | 72 | 67 |
| HHI (top-10) | 49.62 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5) | 10 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d) | +0.0% | 75 | 75 |
| Absorption (60d) | +1.8% | — | — |
| Absorption (90d) | -119.4% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 157d | — | — |
| Days since fixation | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | 1.89× | 86 | 85 |
| Store-price ratio | 1.89× | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | +50.0% | 61 | 62 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.13× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +53.8% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $3.48 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 48 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | +30.7% | 78 | 77 |
| Momentum pillar | 49 | 47 | 46 |
| Scarcity pillar | 60 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 5 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 51 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 27 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 46 | 52 | 53 |
| Data completeness | +75.1% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | — | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | -0.27× | 19 | 18 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | 1.93× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | — | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | -0.04× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | 0.11× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | +9.1% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | -1.5% | 60 | 64 |
| Return vs market (90d) | +11.4% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 2 | 75 | 50 |
| Spike days (60d) | 3 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 6 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 3 | 90 | 90 |
| Dump days (60d) | 7 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 11 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | +0.1% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | -21.8% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | -1 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | -4 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | -5 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.