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Back to Dino Backpack

Dino Backpackfull analytics

Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 80%.

Overall rating

?Fixed supply
Insight Engine v2
50/ 100
C
Momentum57
Scarcity60
Liquidity18
Value59
Risk45

Recomputed each sync: last updated Oct 29, 4:02 AM.

Signal narrative

Bullish
Holders are holding !!

Only 1.8% of supply listed: low sell pressure.

Concentrated ownership

~7.5 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.

Delisted from store !!

No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.

High volatility

Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.

Below modelled fair value !!

Trading 30% under our supply/rarity model's estimate; looks cheap versus comparable skins.

Fixed supply

Supply is fixed (delisted Aug 3, 2026); every new owner must buy on the market.

Signals are informational only: not financial advice.

Signal Analysis

Insight Engine

The standout tension here is a 32.9% bid/ask spread: the lowest ask sits at $7.75 while the best standing bid is $5.56 and the median sale has cleared at $5.49, so the quoted price and the price buyers actually pay are not the same number. Against that, the model reads Dino Backpack as 27.9% below fair value, with supply fixed at 839 units post-delisting (30d supply growth in the 5th percentile) and 386 lifetime store buyers behind a $3.50 launch price. The caution is execution: one sale in the last 24h and a liquidity score of 12/100, with bid support flagged as withdrawing and 7d at -3.5%. A discount only matters if it can be exited, and 14 active listings into that volume argues for patience over urgency.

AI-generated from live market data Β· updated 13h ago Β· Not financial advice β€” automated analysis for informational purposes only.

Price action

108/113 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Return (24h)-1.6%β€”β€”
Return (3d)-1.8%β€”β€”
Return (7d)-1.7%
54
68
Return (14d)-3.5%β€”β€”
Return (30d)+41.8%
31
35
Return (60d)-13.8%β€”β€”
Return (90d)+23.0%
53
56
Return (all)+23.0%β€”β€”
Log return (24h)-1.6%β€”β€”
Log return (3d)-1.8%β€”β€”
Log return (7d)-1.7%β€”β€”
Log return (14d)-3.6%β€”β€”
Log return (30d)+34.9%β€”β€”
Log return (60d)-14.8%β€”β€”
Log return (90d)+20.7%β€”β€”
Log return (all)+20.7%β€”β€”
High (24h)$7.63β€”β€”
High (3d)$7.77β€”β€”
High (7d)$7.79β€”β€”
High (14d)$8.20β€”β€”
High (30d)$8.21β€”β€”
High (60d)$8.85β€”β€”
High (90d)$10.64β€”β€”
High (all)$10.64β€”β€”
Low (24h)$7.63β€”β€”
Low (3d)$7.63β€”β€”
Low (7d)$7.63β€”β€”
Low (14d)$7.63β€”β€”
Low (30d)$5.38β€”β€”
Low (60d)$5.38β€”β€”
Low (90d)$4.64β€”β€”
Low (all)$4.64β€”β€”
Mean price (24h)$7.63β€”β€”
Mean price (3d)$7.72β€”β€”
Mean price (7d)$7.75β€”β€”
Mean price (14d)$7.95β€”β€”
Mean price (30d)$7.53β€”β€”
Mean price (60d)$7.20β€”β€”
Mean price (90d)$7.10β€”β€”
Mean price (all)$7.10β€”β€”
Median price (24h)$7.63β€”β€”
Median price (3d)$7.75β€”β€”
Median price (7d)$7.77β€”β€”
Median price (14d)$7.85β€”β€”
Median price (30d)$7.79β€”β€”
Median price (60d)$7.56β€”β€”
Median price (90d)$7.47β€”β€”
Median price (all)$7.47β€”β€”
Range % (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Range % (3d)+1.8%β€”β€”
Range % (7d)+2.1%β€”β€”
Range % (14d)+7.5%β€”β€”
Range % (30d)+52.6%β€”β€”
Range % (60d)+64.5%β€”β€”
Range % (90d)+129.3%β€”β€”
Range % (all)+129.3%β€”β€”
Position in range (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Position in range (3d)β€”β€”β€”
Position in range (7d)β€”β€”β€”
Position in range (14d)0β€”β€”
Position in range (30d)80β€”β€”
Position in range (60d)65β€”β€”
Position in range (90d)50
42
53
Position in range (all)50β€”β€”
Distance from high (24h)+0.0%β€”β€”
Distance from high (3d)-1.8%β€”β€”
Distance from high (7d)-2.1%β€”β€”
Distance from high (14d)-7.0%β€”β€”
Distance from high (30d)-7.1%β€”β€”
Distance from high (60d)-13.8%β€”β€”
Distance from high (90d)-28.3%
52
56
Distance from high (all)-28.3%β€”β€”
Distance from low (24h)+0.0%β€”β€”
Distance from low (3d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Distance from low (7d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Distance from low (14d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Distance from low (30d)+41.8%β€”β€”
Distance from low (60d)+41.8%β€”β€”
Distance from low (90d)+64.4%β€”β€”
Distance from low (all)+64.4%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (24h)+0.0%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (3d)-1.1%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (7d)-1.6%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (14d)-4.0%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (30d)+1.3%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (60d)+5.9%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (90d)+7.5%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (all)+7.5%β€”β€”
Up days (24h)0β€”β€”
Up days (3d)0β€”β€”
Up days (7d)1β€”β€”
Up days (14d)3β€”β€”
Up days (30d)8β€”β€”
Up days (60d)12β€”β€”
Up days (90d)17β€”β€”
Up days (all)17β€”β€”
Down days (24h)0β€”β€”
Down days (3d)2β€”β€”
Down days (7d)4β€”β€”
Down days (14d)7β€”β€”
Down days (30d)12β€”β€”
Down days (60d)30β€”β€”
Down days (90d)47β€”β€”
Down days (all)47β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (3d)0β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (7d)20β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (14d)30β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (30d)40β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (60d)29β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (90d)27β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (all)27β€”β€”
Up-day streak0.0dβ€”β€”

Trend

19/38 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
SMA (7)$7.75β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (7)-1.6%β€”β€”
SMA (14)$7.95β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (14)-4.0%β€”β€”
SMA (21)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (21)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (30)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (30)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (50)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (50)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (90)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (90)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (100)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (100)β€”β€”β€”
EMA (7)$7.75β€”β€”
Price vs EMA (7)-1.6%β€”β€”
EMA (14)$7.95β€”β€”
Price vs EMA (14)-4.0%β€”β€”
EMA (30)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs EMA (30)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (7)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (14)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (21)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (30)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (50)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (100)β€”β€”β€”
Trend slope (14d)-0.5%β€”β€”
Trend slope (30d)+0.6%
18
20
Trend slope (60d)+0.1%β€”β€”
Trend slope (90d)+0.2%β€”β€”
Trend slope (all)+0.2%β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (14d)0.62Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (30d)0.20Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (60d)0.01Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (90d)0.05Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (all)0.05Γ—β€”β€”
SMA 7/30 crossβ€”β€”β€”
Days since trend flip6.0dβ€”β€”

Volatility & risk

33/33 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Return stdev (7d)+0.7%β€”β€”
Return stdev (14d)+1.9%β€”β€”
Return stdev (30d)+9.0%
17
19
Return stdev (60d)+9.6%β€”β€”
Return stdev (90d)+14.4%β€”β€”
Return stdev (all)+14.4%β€”β€”
Downside deviation (30d)+4.9%β€”β€”
Downside deviation (60d)+6.5%β€”β€”
Downside deviation (90d)+7.6%β€”β€”
Max drawdown (30d)+22.3%β€”β€”
Max drawdown (60d)+39.2%β€”β€”
Max drawdown (90d)+49.4%
27
24
Max drawdown (all)+49.4%β€”β€”
Current drawdown (90d)+28.3%
48
44
Current drawdown (all)+28.3%β€”β€”
Drawdown duration (90d)72dβ€”β€”
Drawdown duration (all)72dβ€”β€”
Sortino ratio (30d)0.38Γ—
34
38
Sortino ratio (90d)0.18Γ—β€”β€”
Return skew (30d)2.73β€”β€”
Return skew (90d)3.11β€”β€”
Excess kurtosis (30d)11.12β€”β€”
Excess kurtosis (90d)13.8β€”β€”
Largest up day (7d)+0.4%β€”β€”
Largest up day (14d)+3.7%β€”β€”
Largest up day (30d)+42.0%β€”β€”
Largest up day (60d)+42.0%β€”β€”
Largest up day (90d)+84.7%β€”β€”
Largest down day (7d)+1.5%β€”β€”
Largest down day (14d)+5.3%β€”β€”
Largest down day (30d)+17.2%β€”β€”
Largest down day (60d)+26.7%β€”β€”
Largest down day (90d)+32.7%β€”β€”

Liquidity

5/20 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Turnover %β€”β€”β€”
On-market %+1.8%
74
69
Days to clear listingsβ€”β€”β€”
Lifetime sales / dayneeds provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime salesβ€”β€”
Liquidity score16
75
72
Listings on book15β€”β€”
Amihud illiquidity (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Amihud illiquidity (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Amihud illiquidity (90d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Zero-sale-day share (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Zero-sale-day share (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Zero-sale-day share (90d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (7d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (14d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Bid-ask spread %+31.6%β€”β€”
Near-mid bid imbalanceβ€”β€”β€”
Bid-depth trend (7d)β€”β€”β€”
Bid-floor migration (7d)+2.4%β€”β€”

Supply & ownership

12/21 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Supply growth (7d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Supply growth (14d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Supply growth (30d)+0.0%
5
5
Supply growth (60d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Supply growth (90d)+80.0%β€”β€”
Owner growth (7d)β€”β€”β€”
Owner growth (14d)β€”β€”β€”
Owner growth (30d)β€”β€”β€”
Owner growth (60d)β€”β€”β€”
Owner growth (90d)β€”β€”β€”
Mint rate (7d)0β€”β€”
Mint rate (30d)0β€”β€”
Supply doubling timeβ€”β€”β€”
Copies per owner7.49Γ—
18
17
Top-1 holder share+3.1%
50
43
Top-10 holder share+17.5%
68
64
HHI (top-10)35.22β€”β€”
Whale count (β‰₯5)10β€”β€”
Absorption (30d)β€”β€”β€”
Absorption (60d)β€”β€”β€”
Absorption (90d)β€”β€”β€”

Lifecycle & value

17/18 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Age94dβ€”β€”
Days since fixation86dβ€”β€”
Days until leaving storen/s-86dβ€”β€”
Release-price multipleβ€”β€”β€”
Store-price ratio2.18Γ—β€”β€”
Fair-value residual-30.0%
35
39
Price per scarcity point0.13Γ—β€”β€”
Instant-sell discount+27.3%β€”β€”
Bid-floor backing$5.12β€”β€”
Accumulation score39β€”β€”
Market-relative 7d return+0.9%
54
68
Momentum pillar57
69
63
Scarcity pillar60β€”β€”
Liquidity pillar18β€”β€”
Value pillar59β€”β€”
Risk pillar45β€”β€”
Overall rating55
90
89
Data completeness+80.4%β€”β€”

Relative to market

9/9 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Beta vs market (14d)0.20Γ—β€”β€”
Beta vs market (30d)0.32Γ—
32
28
Beta vs market (90d)0.14Γ—β€”β€”
Market correlation (14d)0.54Γ—β€”β€”
Market correlation (30d)0.25Γ—β€”β€”
Market correlation (90d)0.05Γ—β€”β€”
Return vs market (14d)-52.0%β€”β€”
Return vs market (30d)-142.3%
29
34
Return vs market (90d)-114.3%β€”β€”

Events

12/15 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Spike days (30d)2
25
25
Spike days (60d)4β€”β€”
Spike days (90d)7β€”β€”
Dump days (30d)1
25
50
Dump days (60d)3β€”β€”
Dump days (90d)6β€”β€”
Post-spike reversion (30d)-0.2%β€”β€”
Post-spike reversion (60d)-0.9%β€”β€”
Post-spike reversion (90d)-3.9%β€”β€”
Listing shocks (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listing shocks (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listing shocks (90d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Net spike bias (30d)1β€”β€”
Net spike bias (60d)1β€”β€”
Net spike bias (90d)1β€”β€”

Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. β€œn/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.