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The dedicated S&box cosmetics market tracker. Live prices, drops and supply for every sbox skin on the Steam Community Market.

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Back to Dino Backpack

Dino Backpackfull analytics

Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 74%.

Overall rating

?Fixed supply
Insight Engine v2
44/ 100
C
Momentum61
Scarcity58
Liquidity13
Value44
Risk30

Recomputed each sync: last updated Sep 13, 3:02 AM.

Signal narrative

Slightly bullish
Holders are holding !!

Only 2.0% of supply listed: low sell pressure.

Concentrated ownership

~8.1 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.

Delisted from store !!

No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.

High volatility

Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.

Fixed supply

Supply is fixed (delisted Aug 3, 2026); every new owner must buy on the market.

Phantom price !!

The listed price sits 57% above the best standing bid of $4.73; you could not actually sell there right now.

Market-wide fear

The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.

Signals are informational only: not financial advice.

Signal Analysis

Insight Engine

The headline here is structural, not directional: the $7.44 ask sits 43% above the best standing bid of $5.20, and the 35.4% bid/ask spread confirms that the listed price is floating rather than clearing. Liquidity scores 15/100 across 15 active listings, so the phantom-price signal carries real weight, and the cumulative bid floor of $4.66 marks where genuine demand actually sits. Supply is fixed at 839 units post-delisting (30d supply growth in the 5th percentile) with 104 unique owners, which explains the concentrated-ownership warning. Against that, price is 24.3% above the fair-value model while trailing the market median by 10.0% over 7 days. Grade C, 46/100 overall: the scarcity case is intact, but entry near the ask means paying the spread.

AI-generated from live market data Β· updated 12h ago Β· Not financial advice β€” automated analysis for informational purposes only.

Price action

98/113 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Return (24h)+0.0%β€”β€”
Return (3d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Return (7d)-10.3%
25
24
Return (14d)-15.9%β€”β€”
Return (30d)+26.5%
77
82
Return (60d)+19.9%β€”β€”
Return (90d)β€”β€”β€”
Return (all)+19.9%β€”β€”
Log return (24h)+0.0%β€”β€”
Log return (3d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Log return (7d)-10.8%β€”β€”
Log return (14d)-17.4%β€”β€”
Log return (30d)+23.5%β€”β€”
Log return (60d)+18.2%β€”β€”
Log return (90d)β€”β€”β€”
Log return (all)+18.2%β€”β€”
High (24h)β€”β€”β€”
High (3d)$7.44β€”β€”
High (7d)$8.29β€”β€”
High (14d)$8.85β€”β€”
High (30d)$10.64β€”β€”
High (60d)$10.64β€”β€”
High (90d)$10.64β€”β€”
High (all)$10.64β€”β€”
Low (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Low (3d)$7.44β€”β€”
Low (7d)$7.44β€”β€”
Low (14d)$6.99β€”β€”
Low (30d)$5.47β€”β€”
Low (60d)$4.64β€”β€”
Low (90d)$4.64β€”β€”
Low (all)$4.64β€”β€”
Mean price (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Mean price (3d)$7.44β€”β€”
Mean price (7d)$7.63β€”β€”
Mean price (14d)$8.09β€”β€”
Mean price (30d)$8.27β€”β€”
Mean price (60d)$7.28β€”β€”
Mean price (90d)$7.28β€”β€”
Mean price (all)$7.28β€”β€”
Median price (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Median price (3d)$7.44β€”β€”
Median price (7d)$7.49β€”β€”
Median price (14d)$8.37β€”β€”
Median price (30d)$8.45β€”β€”
Median price (60d)$7.50β€”β€”
Median price (90d)$7.50β€”β€”
Median price (all)$7.50β€”β€”
Range % (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Range % (3d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Range % (7d)+11.4%β€”β€”
Range % (14d)+26.6%β€”β€”
Range % (30d)+94.5%β€”β€”
Range % (60d)+129.3%β€”β€”
Range % (90d)+129.3%β€”β€”
Range % (all)+129.3%β€”β€”
Position in range (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Position in range (3d)β€”β€”β€”
Position in range (7d)β€”β€”β€”
Position in range (14d)24β€”β€”
Position in range (30d)38β€”β€”
Position in range (60d)47β€”β€”
Position in range (90d)47
92
95
Position in range (all)47β€”β€”
Distance from high (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Distance from high (3d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Distance from high (7d)-10.3%β€”β€”
Distance from high (14d)-15.9%β€”β€”
Distance from high (30d)-30.1%β€”β€”
Distance from high (60d)-30.1%β€”β€”
Distance from high (90d)-30.1%
92
94
Distance from high (all)-30.1%β€”β€”
Distance from low (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Distance from low (3d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Distance from low (7d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Distance from low (14d)+6.4%β€”β€”
Distance from low (30d)+36.0%β€”β€”
Distance from low (60d)+60.3%β€”β€”
Distance from low (90d)+60.3%β€”β€”
Distance from low (all)+60.3%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs mean (3d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (7d)-2.5%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (14d)-8.0%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (30d)-10.0%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (60d)+2.2%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (90d)+2.2%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (all)+2.2%β€”β€”
Up days (24h)0β€”β€”
Up days (3d)0β€”β€”
Up days (7d)0β€”β€”
Up days (14d)1β€”β€”
Up days (30d)4β€”β€”
Up days (60d)6β€”β€”
Up days (90d)6β€”β€”
Up days (all)6β€”β€”
Down days (24h)0β€”β€”
Down days (3d)0β€”β€”
Down days (7d)3β€”β€”
Down days (14d)8β€”β€”
Down days (30d)18β€”β€”
Down days (60d)25β€”β€”
Down days (90d)25β€”β€”
Down days (all)25β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (3d)β€”β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (7d)0β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (14d)11β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (30d)18β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (60d)19β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (90d)19β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (all)19β€”β€”
Up-day streak0.0dβ€”β€”

Trend

11/38 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
SMA (7)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (7)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (14)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (14)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (21)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (21)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (30)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (30)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (50)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (50)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (90)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (90)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (100)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (100)β€”β€”β€”
EMA (7)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs EMA (7)β€”β€”β€”
EMA (14)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs EMA (14)β€”β€”β€”
EMA (30)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs EMA (30)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (7)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (14)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (21)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (30)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (50)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (100)β€”β€”β€”
Trend slope (14d)-1.3%β€”β€”
Trend slope (30d)+0.0%
57
66
Trend slope (60d)+1.6%β€”β€”
Trend slope (90d)+1.6%β€”β€”
Trend slope (all)+1.6%β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (14d)0.35Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (30d)0.00Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (60d)0.40Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (90d)0.40Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (all)0.40Γ—β€”β€”
SMA 7/30 crossβ€”β€”β€”
Days since trend flip2.0dβ€”β€”

Volatility & risk

32/33 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Return stdev (7d)+4.9%β€”β€”
Return stdev (14d)+10.3%β€”β€”
Return stdev (30d)+21.6%
75
75
Return stdev (60d)+18.6%β€”β€”
Return stdev (90d)+18.6%β€”β€”
Return stdev (all)+18.6%β€”β€”
Downside deviation (30d)+9.6%β€”β€”
Downside deviation (60d)+8.7%β€”β€”
Downside deviation (90d)+8.7%β€”β€”
Max drawdown (30d)+48.6%β€”β€”
Max drawdown (60d)+48.6%β€”β€”
Max drawdown (90d)+48.6%
11
9
Max drawdown (all)+48.6%β€”β€”
Current drawdown (90d)+30.1%
8
6
Current drawdown (all)+30.1%β€”β€”
Drawdown duration (90d)25dβ€”β€”
Drawdown duration (all)25dβ€”β€”
Sortino ratio (30d)0.37Γ—
77
78
Sortino ratio (90d)0.28Γ—β€”β€”
Return skew (30d)2.36β€”β€”
Return skew (90d)2.67β€”β€”
Excess kurtosis (30d)5.97β€”β€”
Excess kurtosis (90d)8.45β€”β€”
Largest up day (7d)β€”β€”β€”
Largest up day (14d)+23.5%β€”β€”
Largest up day (30d)+84.7%β€”β€”
Largest up day (60d)+84.7%β€”β€”
Largest up day (90d)+84.7%β€”β€”
Largest down day (7d)+9.5%β€”β€”
Largest down day (14d)+20.6%β€”β€”
Largest down day (30d)+32.7%β€”β€”
Largest down day (60d)+32.7%β€”β€”
Largest down day (90d)+32.7%β€”β€”

Liquidity

5/20 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Turnover %β€”β€”β€”
On-market %+2.0%
60
61
Days to clear listingsβ€”β€”β€”
Lifetime sales / dayneeds provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime salesβ€”β€”
Liquidity score18
61
62
Listings on book17β€”β€”
Amihud illiquidity (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Amihud illiquidity (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Amihud illiquidity (90d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Zero-sale-day share (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Zero-sale-day share (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Zero-sale-day share (90d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (7d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (14d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Bid-ask spread %+44.5%β€”β€”
Near-mid bid imbalanceβ€”β€”β€”
Bid-depth trend (7d)β€”β€”β€”
Bid-floor migration (7d)+1.3%β€”β€”

Supply & ownership

14/21 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Supply growth (7d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Supply growth (14d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Supply growth (30d)+0.0%
5
5
Supply growth (60d)β€”β€”β€”
Supply growth (90d)β€”β€”β€”
Owner growth (7d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Owner growth (14d)+1.0%β€”β€”
Owner growth (30d)+5.1%
71
76
Owner growth (60d)β€”β€”β€”
Owner growth (90d)β€”β€”β€”
Mint rate (7d)0β€”β€”
Mint rate (30d)0β€”β€”
Supply doubling timeβ€”β€”β€”
Copies per owner8.07Γ—
21
21
Top-1 holder share+3.2%
51
47
Top-10 holder share+17.2%
67
61
HHI (top-10)34.83β€”β€”
Whale count (β‰₯5)10β€”β€”
Absorption (30d)+5.1%
91
93
Absorption (60d)β€”β€”β€”
Absorption (90d)β€”β€”β€”

Lifecycle & value

17/18 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Age48dβ€”β€”
Days since fixation40dβ€”β€”
Days until leaving storen/s-40dβ€”β€”
Release-price multipleβ€”β€”β€”
Store-price ratio2.13Γ—β€”β€”
Fair-value residual+24.2%
57
58
Price per scarcity point0.13Γ—β€”β€”
Instant-sell discount+36.4%β€”β€”
Bid-floor backing$4.66β€”β€”
Accumulation score34β€”β€”
Market-relative 7d return-8.7%
25
24
Momentum pillar61
78
77
Scarcity pillar58β€”β€”
Liquidity pillar13β€”β€”
Value pillar44β€”β€”
Risk pillar30β€”β€”
Overall rating48
48
49
Data completeness+73.6%β€”β€”

Relative to market

8/9 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Beta vs market (14d)-0.62Γ—β€”β€”
Beta vs market (30d)-0.85Γ—
10
9
Beta vs market (90d)-0.09Γ—β€”β€”
Market correlation (14d)-0.26Γ—β€”β€”
Market correlation (30d)-0.13Γ—β€”β€”
Market correlation (90d)-0.02Γ—β€”β€”
Return vs market (14d)-33.9%β€”β€”
Return vs market (30d)+21.2%
77
82
Return vs market (90d)β€”β€”β€”

Events

12/15 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Spike days (30d)3
90
90
Spike days (60d)4β€”β€”
Spike days (90d)4β€”β€”
Dump days (30d)3
83
83
Dump days (60d)4β€”β€”
Dump days (90d)4β€”β€”
Post-spike reversion (30d)-8.1%β€”β€”
Post-spike reversion (60d)-6.1%β€”β€”
Post-spike reversion (90d)-6.1%β€”β€”
Listing shocks (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listing shocks (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listing shocks (90d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Net spike bias (30d)0β€”β€”
Net spike bias (60d)0β€”β€”
Net spike bias (90d)0β€”β€”

Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. β€œn/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.