Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 74%.
Overall rating
?Fresh drop
Insight Engine v2
48/ 100
C†
Momentum51
Scarcity56
Liquidity23
Value84
Risk17
Recomputed each sync: last updated Aug 16, 9:02 AM.
Signal narrative
Bullish
6-hour surge !!
Up 20.5% in the last 6 hours and accelerating.
Early supply reading
463 units so far, but the drop is still active — today's count understates final supply.
Holders are holding !!
Only 3.9% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
Concentrated ownership
~12.5 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
Item drop !!
A random in-game drop (463 dropped). It was never sold in the store, so supply is capped by the drop rate.
Weekly downtrend !!
Average price down 51% over the past week versus the prior week.
High volatility
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Signal Analysis
Insight Engine
Curly Moustache is down 50.9% on the week yet still 126.2% ahead of the market median, a 95th percentile 7d return, and the fact pack reads that drop as a possible recovery setup rather than a trend to extrapolate. The +20.5% move over six hours and a price 59.3% below modelled fair value support the cheap read, and the value score of 84 backs it. The counterweight is execution: 17 live listings, a liquidity score of 22, and a listed price sitting 377% above the best bid of $0.13 on a 125.7% spread. With 462 units held by 37 owners and a risk score of 16, the discount comes with concentration and a bid side that has not yet met the ask.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 18h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
Price action
99/113 populated
Indicator
Value
vs market
vs cohort
Return (24h)
-1.7%
—
—
Return (3d)
-1.7%
—
—
Return (7d)
+128.0%
95
95
Return (14d)
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.
Deep drawdown
Down 83% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.
Outperforming the market !!
Up 131pts more than the median skin this week: real relative strength.
Below modelled fair value !!
Trading 61% under our supply/rarity model's estimate; looks cheap versus comparable skins.
Fresh drop
Supply is still growing from in-game drops; scarcity is unknowable yet.
Phantom price !!
The listed price sits 377% above the best standing bid of $0.13; you could not actually sell there right now.
Market-wide fear
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.