Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 85%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Nov 13, 3:02 AM.
Price down 23.2% in 24h: significant selling pressure.
Only 1.9% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~12.4 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
A random in-game drop (742 dropped). It was never sold in the store, so supply is capped by the drop rate.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Down 40% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.
Up 15pts more than the median skin this week: real relative strength.
Trading 77% under our supply/rarity model's estimate; looks cheap versus comparable skins.
Supply is still growing from in-game drops; scarcity is unknowable yet.
The median sale price sits 155% above the best standing bid of $0.20; you could not actually sell there right now.
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The order book is the story here: a 110.1% bid/ask spread, with the lowest ask at $0.55 against a best standing bid of $0.20 and a cumulative bid floor of $0.19. The median sale price of $0.51 sits 155% above that best bid, so the displayed price is floating well clear of real demand, and with one Steam sale in the last 24h liquidity scores 7/100. That context tempers the -77.3% discount to modelled fair value (5th percentile in cohort). The -20.3% six-hour and -15.4% seven-day moves read as a possible recovery setup in this single-regime market, but at 741 units, grade D and 11/100 on safety, the discount may simply be untradeable.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 11h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | -23.2% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | +3.9% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | +12.8% | 86 | 83 |
| Return (14d) | -13.1% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | +23.3% | 58 | 62 |
| Return (60d) | +103.8% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | +15.2% | 49 | 50 |
| Return (all) | -84.5% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | -26.4% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | +3.8% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | +12.0% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | -14.1% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | +20.9% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | +71.2% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | +14.2% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -186.5% | — | — |
| High (24h) | $0.53 | — | — |
| High (3d) | $0.69 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $0.69 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $0.74 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $0.89 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $0.89 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $0.89 | — | — |
| High (all) | $3.42 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | $0.53 | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $0.51 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $0.47 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $0.47 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $0.43 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $0.18 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $0.18 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $0.18 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | $0.53 | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $0.58 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $0.53 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $0.57 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $0.65 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $0.47 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $0.44 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $0.49 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | $0.53 | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $0.53 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $0.51 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $0.51 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $0.61 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $0.47 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $0.38 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $0.38 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +35.3% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +46.8% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +57.4% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +107.0% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +394.4% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +394.4% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +1800.0% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 22 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 22 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 49 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 49 | 48 | 58 |
| Position in range (all) | 11 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | -23.2% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | -23.2% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -28.4% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -40.4% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -40.4% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -40.4% | 44 | 47 |
| Distance from high (all) | -84.5% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +3.9% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +12.8% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +12.8% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +23.3% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +194.4% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +194.4% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +194.4% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | -8.1% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | -0.5% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | -6.4% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | -17.9% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | +11.9% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | +21.5% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | +7.5% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 2 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 3 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 7 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 13 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 20 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 30 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 1 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 1 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 3 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 11 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 17 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 28 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 51 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | 50 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 67 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 50 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 39 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 43 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 42 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 37 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | $0.53 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | -0.5% | — | — |
| SMA (14) | $0.57 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | -6.4% | — | — |
| SMA (21) | $0.58 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | -8.2% | — | — |
| SMA (30) | $0.65 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | -17.9% | 22 | 24 |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | $0.53 | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | -0.5% | — | — |
| EMA (14) | $0.57 | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | -6.4% | — | — |
| EMA (30) | $0.65 | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | -17.9% | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | -1.8% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | -1.7% | 18 | 23 |
| Trend slope (60d) | +1.9% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | +1.2% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -0.2% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.16× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.37× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.38× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.30× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.01× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | -17.4% | 17 | 23 |
| Days since trend flip | 3.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +18.2% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +17.4% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +17.7% | 66 | 67 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +15.9% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +17.0% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +32.9% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +10.4% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +9.8% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +10.5% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +47.2% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +47.2% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +64.0% | 62 | 58 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +94.7% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +40.4% | 57 | 53 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +84.5% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 23d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 128d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | 0.23× | 56 | 59 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | 0.16× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 2.46 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 1.88 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 9.64 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 6.33 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | +35.3% | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +35.3% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +86.0% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +86.0% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +86.0% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +23.2% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +32.9% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +32.9% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +32.9% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +35.5% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +1.9% | 69 | 67 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 17 | 71 | 68 |
| Listings on book | 14 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +90.4% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +0.4% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +1.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +9.9% | 80 | 85 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +28.4% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +60.4% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (60d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 0.5 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 2.31 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | 219d | — | — |
| Copies per ownern/s | 12.37× | 63 | 62 |
| Top-1 holder sharen/s | +1.8% | 29 | 24 |
| Top-10 holder sharen/s | +5.0% | 12 | 8 |
| HHI (top-10)n/s | 4.56 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5)n/s | 2 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Absorption (60d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Absorption (90d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | needs a release date | — | — |
| Days since fixationn/s | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | — | — | — |
| Store-price ratio | — | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | -77.4% | 7 | 5 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.01× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +62.3% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $0.19 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 49 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | +14.8% | 86 | 83 |
| Momentum pillar | 40 | 13 | 17 |
| Scarcity pillar | 56 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 12 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 74 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 13 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 45 | 56 | 53 |
| Data completeness | +84.9% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | 0.87× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | 1.51× | 87 | 81 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | 0.86× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | 0.18× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | 0.33× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | 0.27× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | -7.3% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | -33.0% | 55 | 61 |
| Return vs market (90d) | -122.9% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 4 | 95 | 95 |
| Spike days (60d) | 6 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 10 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 3 | 90 | 90 |
| Dump days (60d) | 4 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 9 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | -5.8% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | -3.1% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | -0.2% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | 1 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | 2 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | 1 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.