The dedicated S&box cosmetics market tracker. Live prices, drops and supply for every sbox skin on the Steam Community Market.
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Crash Test Dummy: Full Analytics | S&box Skins
Back to Crash Test DummyEvery indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 77% .
Overall rating ? Fixed supply Insight Engine v2 Recomputed each sync: last updated Aug 2, 8:02 AM.
Signal narrative Bullish Elevated supply
3,168 total supply: already fairly common, limiting the scarcity premium.
Holders are holding !!
Only 1.4% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
Concentrated ownership
~9.2 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
Delisted from store !!
No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.
Oversold (RSI) !!
RSI 28: beaten down and due for a potential bounce.
Deep drawdown
Down 60% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.
Above modelled fair value !!
Trading 178% over our supply/rarity model's estimate; richly priced versus comparable skins.
Signal Analysis Insight Engine The clearest signal here is valuation: at $10.28 the lowest ask sits 172.6% above the model's fair value, which is hard to reconcile with a C grade and a 45/100 overall score. Supply is fixed at 3168 units following delisting, but only 346 unique owners hold them and 45 sell listings are live, which helps explain the 27/100 liquidity score and a wide 15.9% bid/ask spread against a best standing bid of $8.70. Price action is soft rather than broken: down 1.1% on the day and 1.7% over the week, trailing the market median by 10.1%, with the +6.2% six-hour move too small a window to read as direction.
AI-generated from live market data Β· updated 1d ago Β· Not financial advice β automated analysis for informational purposes only.
Price action 100/113 populated Indicator Value vs market vs cohort Return (24h) +0.0% β β Return (3d) +0.0% β β Return (7d) -4.5% Return (14d)
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. βn/sβ marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.
Fixed supply
Supply is fixed; every new owner must buy on the market.
Market-wide fear
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
Log return (24h) +0.0% β β
Log return (3d) +0.0% β β
Log return (7d) -4.6% β β
Log return (14d) -2.4% β β
Log return (30d) -26.2% β β
Log return (60d) -87.6% β β
Log return (90d) -52.9% β β
Log return (all) -52.9% β β
Mean price (24h) β β β
Mean price (3d) $10.00 β β
Mean price (7d) $10.25 β β
Mean price (14d) $10.90 β β
Mean price (30d) $11.74 β β
Mean price (60d) $14.29 β β
Mean price (90d) $15.01 β β
Mean price (all) $15.01 β β
Median price (24h) β β β
Median price (3d) $10.00 β β
Median price (7d) $10.29 β β
Median price (14d) $10.47 β β
Median price (30d) $11.99 β β
Median price (60d) $13.08 β β
Median price (90d) $14.53 β β
Median price (all) $14.53 β β
Range % (14d) +20.2% β β
Range % (30d) +29.9% β β
Range % (60d) +147.9% β β
Range % (90d) +147.9% β β
Range % (all) +147.9% β β
Position in range (24h) β β β
Position in range (3d) β β β
Position in range (7d) β β β
Position in range (14d) 0 β β
Position in range (30d) 0 β β
Position in range (60d) 0 β β
Position in range (all) 0 β β
Distance from high (24h) β β β
Distance from high (3d) +0.0% β β
Distance from high (7d) -4.5% β β
Distance from high (14d) -16.8% β β
Distance from high (30d) -23.0% β β
Distance from high (60d) -59.7% β β
Distance from high (90d) -59.7%
Distance from high (all) -59.7% β β
Distance from low (24h) β β β
Distance from low (3d) +0.0% β β
Distance from low (7d) +0.0% β β
Distance from low (14d) +0.0% β β
Distance from low (30d) +0.0% β β
Distance from low (60d) +0.0% β β
Distance from low (90d) +0.0% β β
Distance from low (all) +0.0% β β
Price vs mean (24h) β β β
Price vs mean (3d) +0.0% β β
Price vs mean (7d) -2.5% β β
Price vs mean (14d) -8.2% β β
Price vs mean (30d) -14.8% β β
Price vs mean (60d) -30.0% β β
Price vs mean (90d) -33.4% β β
Price vs mean (all) -33.4% β β
Up-day ratio (24h) β β β
Up-day ratio (3d) β β β
Up-day ratio (14d) 25 β β
Up-day ratio (30d) 20 β β
Up-day ratio (60d) 19 β β
Up-day ratio (90d) 31 β β
Up-day ratio (all) 31 β β
Trend 11/38 populated Indicator Value vs market vs cohort SMA (7) β β β Price vs SMA (7) β β β SMA (14) β β β Price vs SMA (14) β β β SMA (21) β β β Price vs SMA (21) β β β SMA (30) β β β Price vs SMA (30) β β β SMA (50) β β β Price vs SMA (50) β β β SMA (90) β β β Price vs SMA (90) β β β SMA (100) β β β Price vs SMA (100) β β β EMA (7) β β β Price vs EMA (7) β β β EMA (14) β β β Price vs EMA (14) β β β EMA (30) β β β Price vs EMA (30) β β β RSI (7) β β β RSI (14) β β β RSI (21) β β β RSI (30) β β β RSI (50) β β β RSI (100) β β β Trend slope (14d) -1.0% β β Trend slope (30d) -0.9% Trend slope (60d) -1.3% β β Trend slope (90d) -0.6% β β Trend slope (all) -0.6% β β Trend fit RΒ² (14d) 0.25Γ β β Trend fit RΒ² (30d) 0.76Γ β β Trend fit RΒ² (60d) 0.81Γ β β Trend fit RΒ² (90d) 0.42Γ β β Trend fit RΒ² (all) 0.42Γ β β SMA 7/30 cross β β β Days since trend flip 4.0d β β
Volatility & risk 32/33 populated Indicator Value vs market vs cohort Return stdev (7d) +1.3% β β Return stdev (14d) +5.4% β β Return stdev (30d) +3.9% Return stdev (60d) +4.5% β β Return stdev (90d) +6.2% β β Return stdev (all) +6.2% β β Downside deviation (30d) +3.3% β β Downside deviation (60d) +3.2% β β Downside deviation (90d) +3.7% β β Max drawdown (30d) +23.0% β β Max drawdown (60d) +59.7% β β Max drawdown (90d) +59.7% Max drawdown (all) +59.7% β β Current drawdown (90d) +59.7% Current drawdown (all) +59.7% β β Drawdown duration (90d) 57d β β Drawdown duration (all) 57d β β Sortino ratio (30d) -0.26Γ Sortino ratio (90d) -0.11Γ β β Return skew (30d) -0.21 β β Return skew (90d) 1.65 β β Excess kurtosis (30d) 4.49 β β Excess kurtosis (90d) 6.48 β β Largest up day (7d) β β β Largest up day (14d) +9.4% β β Largest up day (30d) +9.4% β β Largest up day (60d) +15.4% β β Largest up day (90d) +30.2% β β Largest down day (7d) +2.7% β β Largest down day (14d) +12.5% β β Largest down day (30d) +12.5% β β Largest down day (60d) +12.5% β β Largest down day (90d) +13.5% β β
Liquidity 6/20 populated Indicator Value vs market vs cohort Turnover % β β β On-market % +1.4% Days to clear listings β β β Lifetime sales / day needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales β β Liquidity score 13 Listings on book 45 β β Amihud illiquidity (30d) needs provenance-safe Steam sales history β β Amihud illiquidity (60d) needs provenance-safe Steam sales history β β Amihud illiquidity (90d) needs provenance-safe Steam sales history β β Zero-sale-day share (30d) needs provenance-safe Steam sales history β β Zero-sale-day share (60d) needs provenance-safe Steam sales history β β Zero-sale-day share (90d) needs provenance-safe Steam sales history β β Listings trend (7d) needs provenance-safe Steam listings history β β Listings trend (14d) needs provenance-safe Steam listings history β β Listings trend (30d) needs provenance-safe Steam listings history β β Listings trend (60d) needs provenance-safe Steam listings history β β Bid-ask spread % +10.7% β β Near-mid bid imbalance 0.67Γ β β Bid-depth trend (7d) β β β Bid-floor migration (7d) +2.1% β β
Supply & ownership 20/21 populated Indicator Value vs market vs cohort Supply growth (7d) +0.0% β β Supply growth (14d) +0.0% β β Supply growth (30d) +0.0% Supply growth (60d) +67.3% β β Supply growth (90d) +230.3% β β Owner growth (7d) +0.0% β β Owner growth (14d) +0.0% β β Owner growth (30d) -0.6% Owner growth (60d) +65.9% β β Owner growth (90d) +336.7% β β Mint rate (7d) 0 β β Mint rate (30d) 0 β β Supply doubling time β β β Copies per owner 9.18Γ Top-1 holder share +1.1% Top-10 holder share +5.4% HHI (top-10) 3.66 β β Whale count (β₯5) 10 β β Absorption (30d) -0.6% Absorption (60d) -1.4% β β Absorption (90d) +106.4% β β
Lifecycle & value 16/18 populated Indicator Value vs market vs cohort Age 94d β β Days since fixation β β β Days until leaving store n/s β β β Release-price multiple 0.67Γ Store-price ratio 0.67Γ β β Fair-value residual +177.8% Price per scarcity point 0.34Γ β β Instant-sell discount +12.9% β β Bid-floor backing $8.71 β β Accumulation score 50 β β Market-relative 7d return -0.3% Momentum pillar 62 Scarcity pillar 29 β β Liquidity pillar 31 β β Value pillar 40 β β Risk pillar 62 β β Overall rating 50 Data completeness +77.0% β β
Relative to market 9/9 populated Indicator Value vs market vs cohort Beta vs market (14d) -0.06Γ β β Beta vs market (30d) 0.04Γ Beta vs market (90d) 0.12Γ β β Market correlation (14d) -0.07Γ β β Market correlation (30d) 0.10Γ β β Market correlation (90d) 0.16Γ β β Return vs market (14d) -25.1% β β Return vs market (30d) -27.8% Return vs market (90d) +22.5% β β
Events 11/15 populated Indicator Value vs market vs cohort Spike days (30d) 0 Spike days (60d) 1 β β Spike days (90d) 4 β β Dump days (30d) 0 Dump days (60d) 0 β β Dump days (90d) 0 β β Post-spike reversion (30d) β β β Post-spike reversion (60d) -6.3% β β Post-spike reversion (90d) +1.1% β β Listing shocks (30d) needs provenance-safe Steam listings history β β Listing shocks (60d) needs provenance-safe Steam listings history β β Listing shocks (90d) needs provenance-safe Steam listings history β β Net spike bias (30d) 0 β β Net spike bias (60d) 1 β β Net spike bias (90d) 4 β β