Cowboy Hatfull analytics

Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 258 values across 7 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 90%.

Overall rating

?Store · permanent

Insight Engine v2

40/ 100

Momentum52

Scarcity27

Liquidity19

Value40

Risk46

Recomputed each sync: last updated Jul 9, 10:02 PM.

Signal narrative

Bullish

Elevated supply

2,774 total supply: already fairly common, limiting the scarcity premium.

Holders are holding !!

Only 2.6% of supply listed: low sell pressure.

Illiquid

No sales in the last 24h; it may be hard to buy or sell at the quoted price.

Concentrated ownership

~7.2 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.

Item drop !!

A random in-game drop (22 dropped). It was never sold in the store, so supply is capped by the drop rate.

Oversold (RSI) !!

RSI 18: beaten down and due for a potential bounce.

Deep drawdown

Down 80% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.

Signal Analysis

Insight Engine

The standout figure here is the +300% gap between the current $1.10 ask and the fair-value model, a level flagged as trading above fair value even as the item posts a 7-day decline of -7.0% and sits 3.0% behind the broader market median. Liquidity is thin enough to temper any reading of that gap: only 71 units are listed against 2,774 in existence, held by just 383 owners, and 24h trading shows a single executed sale against a 34.0% bid-ask spread (best bid $0.78, floor $0.71). Oversold and deep-drawdown signals suggest the recent slide has been sharp, and holders are largely staying put, but permanent mintability and elevated supply keep the C grade (42/100) and low liquidity score (19/100) as the more binding constraints.

AI-generated from live market data · updated 6h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.

Price action

108/113 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Return (24h)	-0.5%	—	—
Return (3d)	-0.9%	—	—
Return (7d)	-9.8%	46	49
Return (14d)

Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.

Trend

30/38 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
SMA (7)	$1.16	—	—
Price vs SMA (7)	-4.8%	—	—
SMA (14)	$1.20	—	—
Price vs SMA (14)	-8.3%	—	—
SMA (21)	$1.24	—	—
Price vs SMA (21)	-11.4%	—	—
SMA (30)	$1.35	—	—
Price vs SMA (30)	-18.5%	60	51
SMA (50)	$1.53	—	—
Price vs SMA (50)	-28.2%	—	—
SMA (90)	$2.40	—	—
Price vs SMA (90)	-54.2%	—	—
SMA (100)	—	—	—
Price vs SMA (100)	—	—	—
EMA (7)	$1.16	—	—
Price vs EMA (7)	-4.8%	—	—
EMA (14)	$1.20	—	—
Price vs EMA (14)	-8.3%	—	—
EMA (30)	$1.35	—	—
Price vs EMA (30)	-18.5%	—	—
RSI (7)	—	—	—
RSI (14)	—	—	—
RSI (21)	—	—	—
RSI (30)	—	—	—
RSI (50)	—	—	—
RSI (100)	—	—	—
Trend slope (14d)	-1.0%	—	—
Trend slope (30d)	-1.5%	63	51
Trend slope (60d)	-1.5%	—	—
Trend slope (90d)	-1.7%	—	—
Trend slope (all)	-1.7%	—	—
Trend fit R² (14d)	0.72×	—	—
Trend fit R² (30d)	0.84×	—	—
Trend fit R² (60d)	0.67×	—	—
Trend fit R² (90d)	0.86×	—	—
Trend fit R² (all)	0.87×	—	—
SMA 7/30 cross	-14.4%	68	62
Days since trend flip	6.0d	—	—

Volatility & risk

32/33 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Return stdev (7d)	+3.8%	—	—
Return stdev (14d)	+2.7%	—	—
Return stdev (30d)	+3.2%	5	5
Return stdev (60d)	+8.5%	—	—
Return stdev (90d)	+8.3%	—	—
Return stdev (all)	+8.2%	—	—
Downside deviation (30d)	+3.5%	—	—
Downside deviation (60d)	+8.0%	—	—
Downside deviation (90d)	+6.9%	—	—
Max drawdown (30d)	+36.4%	—	—
Max drawdown (60d)	+69.1%	—	—
Max drawdown (90d)	+80.0%	27	26
Max drawdown (all)	+80.0%	—	—
Current drawdown (90d)	+80.0%	35	38
Current drawdown (all)	+80.0%	—	—
Drawdown duration (90d)	89d	—	—
Drawdown duration (all)	89d	—	—
Sortino ratio (30d)	-0.43×	27	25
Sortino ratio (90d)	-0.21×	—	—
Return skew (30d)	-1.98	—	—
Return skew (90d)	-0.08	—	—
Excess kurtosis (30d)	3.73	—	—
Excess kurtosis (90d)	6.31	—	—
Largest up day (7d)	—	—	—
Largest up day (14d)	+1.6%	—	—
Largest up day (30d)	+2.3%	—	—
Largest up day (60d)	+32.3%	—	—
Largest up day (90d)	+32.3%	—	—
Largest down day (7d)	+9.0%	—	—
Largest down day (14d)	+9.0%	—	—
Largest down day (30d)	+11.2%	—	—
Largest down day (60d)	+32.2%	—	—
Largest down day (90d)	+32.2%	—	—

Liquidity

11/20 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Turnover %	+0.0%	5	5
On-market %	+2.6%	63	69
Days to clear listings	—	—	—
Lifetime sales / day	5.12	—	—
Liquidity score	21	22	22
Listings on book	71	—	—
Amihud illiquidity (30d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Amihud illiquidity (60d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Amihud illiquidity (90d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Zero-sale-day share (30d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Zero-sale-day share (60d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Zero-sale-day share (90d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Listings trend (7d)	+2.9%	—	—
Listings trend (14d)	+4.4%	—	—
Listings trend (30d)	+18.3%	52	62
Listings trend (60d)	+14.5%	—	—
Bid-ask spread %	+43.1%	—	—
Near-mid bid imbalance	—	—	—
Bid-depth trend (7d)	—	—	—
Bid-floor migration (7d)	-24.7%	—	—

Supply & ownership

21/21 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Supply growth (7d)	+0.1%	—	—
Supply growth (14d)	+0.5%	—	—
Supply growth (30d)	+1.9%	51	75
Supply growth (60d)	+7.4%	—	—
Supply growth (90d)	+73.1%	—	—
Owner growth (7d)n/s	-0.8%	—	—
Owner growth (14d)n/s	-0.8%	—	—
Owner growth (30d)n/s	+0.3%	30	47
Owner growth (60d)n/s	+19.7%	—	—
Owner growth (90d)n/s	+121.4%	—	—
Mint rate (7d)	0.5	—	—
Mint rate (30d)	1.83	—	—
Supply doubling time	1078d	—	—
Copies per ownern/s	7.24×	17	15
Top-1 holder sharen/s	+1.9%	34	27
Top-10 holder sharen/s	+5.7%	25	16
HHI (top-10)n/s	5.9	—	—
Whale count (≥5)n/s	10	—	—
Absorption (30d)n/s	-1.7%	14	11
Absorption (60d)n/s	+12.3%	—	—
Absorption (90d)n/s	+48.3%	—	—

Lifecycle & value

16/18 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Age	539d	—	—
Days since fixationn/s	—	—	—
Days until leaving storen/s	—	—	—
Release-price multiple	0.32×	21	22
Store-price ratio	0.32×	—	—
Fair-value residual	+300.0%	95	95
Price per scarcity point	0.04×	—	—
Instant-sell discount	+35.5%	—	—
Bid-floor backing	$0.70	—	—
Accumulation score	69	—	—
Market-relative 7d return	-3.0%	44	48
Momentum pillar	52	71	68
Scarcity pillar	27	—	—
Liquidity pillar	19	—	—
Value pillar	40	—	—
Risk pillar	46	—	—
Overall rating	42	30	34
Data completeness	+90.1%	—	—

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Spike days (30d)	0	5	5
Spike days (60d)	1	—	—
Spike days (90d)	3	—	—
Dump days (30d)	0	5	5
Dump days (60d)	3	—	—
Dump days (90d)	4	—	—
Post-spike reversion (30d)	—	—	—
Post-spike reversion (60d)	-21.6%	—	—
Post-spike reversion (90d)	-7.9%	—	—
Listing shocks (30d)	0	—	—
Listing shocks (60d)	1	—	—
Listing shocks (90d)	3	—	—
Net spike bias (30d)	0	—	—
Net spike bias (60d)	-2	—	—
Net spike bias (90d)	-1	—	—