Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 77%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Oct 8, 11:02 PM.
Price up 12.7% in 24h: significant bullish movement.
2,804 total supply: already fairly common, limiting the scarcity premium.
Scarcity score 12/100: abundant and liquid.
Only 2.2% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~7.3 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
Trading at a 82% discount to the store price.
Down 44% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.
Up 10pts more than the median skin this week: real relative strength.
Trading 199% over our supply/rarity model's estimate; richly priced versus comparable skins.
Permanently in the store at $3.50 — anyone can mint another at that price forever, so there's no scarcity premium and limited upside above the store price.
The listed price sits 278% above the best standing bid of $0.23; you could not actually sell there right now.
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The headline number is the order book: a 91.8% bid/ask spread with the best standing bid at $0.23 against a $0.62 ask, leaving the listed price floating 278% above real demand. That phantom structure undercuts the +12.7% 24h move, which in this single-regime market reads as fade-risk rather than continuation, particularly with the 7d change at -5.0% and the price sitting 199% above modelled fair value. Supply is the other constraint: 2,804 units against 385 owners, 63 live listings, and a scarcity score of 12/100 on a permanent store item. The 32/100 overall rating (5th percentile in cohort) is consistent with that picture, and the +10.5% 7d outperformance does little to offset it.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 7h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | +12.7% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | +12.7% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | +6.9% | 84 | 85 |
| Return (14d) | +1.6% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | -4.6% | 72 | 76 |
| Return (60d) | -39.8% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | -43.1% | 44 | 49 |
| Return (all) | -88.3% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | +12.0% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | +12.0% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | +6.7% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | +1.6% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | -4.7% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | -50.8% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | -56.4% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -214.8% | — | — |
| High (24h) | — | — | — |
| High (3d) | $0.62 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $0.62 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $0.62 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $0.66 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $1.03 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $1.10 | — | — |
| High (all) | $5.49 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $0.55 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $0.55 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $0.50 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $0.50 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $0.50 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $0.50 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $0.50 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $0.59 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $0.58 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $0.57 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $0.61 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $0.74 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $0.85 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $1.79 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $0.59 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $0.58 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $0.58 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $0.63 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $0.69 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $0.93 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $1.24 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +12.7% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +12.7% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +24.0% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +32.0% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +106.0% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +120.0% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +998.0% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 100 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 75 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 23 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 20 | 61 | 65 |
| Position in range (all) | 2 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -6.1% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -39.8% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -43.6% | 70 | 73 |
| Distance from high (all) | -88.7% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +12.7% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +12.7% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +24.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +24.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +24.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +24.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +24.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | — | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | +6.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | +6.5% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | +9.2% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | +1.9% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | -15.8% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | -27.2% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | -65.3% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 2 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 4 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 5 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 10 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 36 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 1 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 3 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 7 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 18 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 28 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 68 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | 100 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 50 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 40 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 36 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 22 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 26 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 35 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 1.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | +0.6% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | -0.8% | 51 | 52 |
| Trend slope (60d) | -1.4% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | -1.0% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -1.3% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.06× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.53× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.90× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.90× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.79× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 2.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +7.3% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +8.9% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +5.6% | 11 | 11 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +5.0% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +4.9% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +6.9% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +4.4% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +4.2% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +4.3% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +24.2% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +51.5% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +54.5% | 26 | 24 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +90.9% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +43.6% | 30 | 27 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +88.7% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 84d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 178d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | -0.01× | 51 | 53 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | -0.15× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 0.96 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 0.57 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 4.46 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 6.65 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | +12.7% | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +16.0% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +16.0% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +16.0% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +18.5% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +5.2% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +13.8% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +13.8% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +14.9% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +15.6% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +2.2% | 67 | 67 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 20 | 67 | 67 |
| Listings on book | 63 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +91.8% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | +5.6% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +0.1% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +0.1% | 50 | 51 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +0.3% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +1.1% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d)n/s | +0.3% | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d)n/s | +0.3% | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d)n/s | -0.3% | 16 | 16 |
| Owner growth (60d)n/s | +0.3% | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d)n/s | +0.5% | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 0.14 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | 14566d | — | — |
| Copies per ownern/s | 7.28× | 18 | 18 |
| Top-1 holder sharen/s | +1.6% | 27 | 20 |
| Top-10 holder sharen/s | +5.6% | 17 | 10 |
| HHI (top-10)n/s | 4.72 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5)n/s | 10 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d)n/s | -0.4% | 30 | 30 |
| Absorption (60d)n/s | -0.1% | — | — |
| Absorption (90d)n/s | -0.6% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 313d | — | — |
| Days since fixationn/s | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | 0.18× | 17 | 20 |
| Store-price ratio | 0.18× | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | +198.9% | 83 | 83 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.05× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +62.9% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $0.19 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 52 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | +10.5% | 84 | 85 |
| Momentum pillar | 43 | 20 | 17 |
| Scarcity pillar | 12 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 14 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 32 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 32 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 32 | 7 | 5 |
| Data completeness | +77.3% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | -0.36× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | -0.08× | 29 | 26 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | -0.09× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | -0.15× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | -0.06× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | -0.10× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | +2.0% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | +10.3% | 70 | 74 |
| Return vs market (90d) | -31.5% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 1 | 25 | 25 |
| Spike days (60d) | 1 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 2 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 0 | 5 | 5 |
| Dump days (60d) | 0 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 1 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | 1 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | 1 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | 1 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.