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The dedicated S&box cosmetics market tracker. Live prices, drops and supply for every sbox skin on the Steam Community Market.

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Not affiliated with Facepunch Studios or Valve Corporation. S&box is a trademark of Facepunch Studios. Market data may be delayed.

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Back to Cow Onesie

Cow Onesiefull analytics

Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 82%.

Overall rating

?Fixed supply
Insight Engine v2
37/ 100
D
Momentum51
Scarcity49
Liquidity9
Value37
Risk29

Recomputed each sync: last updated Sep 20, 1:02 PM.

Signal narrative

Bullish
Strong upward momentum !!!

Price up 17.1% in 24h: significant bullish movement.

Holders are holding !!

Only 1.4% of supply listed: low sell pressure.

Concentrated ownership

~8.9 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.

Delisted from store !!

No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.

High volatility

Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.

Deep drawdown

Down 66% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.

Outperforming the market !!

Up 10pts more than the median skin this week: real relative strength.

Above modelled fair value !!

Trading 150% over our supply/rarity model's estimate; richly priced versus comparable skins.

Fixed supply

Supply is fixed; every new owner must buy on the market.

Phantom price !!

The listed price sits 83% above the best standing bid of $5.92; you could not actually sell there right now.

Market-wide fear

The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.

Signals are informational only: not financial advice.

Signal Analysis

Insight Engine

The sharpest tension here is that Cow Onesie sits at the 5th percentile of its 90-day range yet still trades 116.9% above the model's fair value, so the "near all-time low" framing is doing less work than it appears. The order book explains much of it: the $7.59 ask floats 84% above the best standing bid of $5.91, with a 24.9% spread and a cumulative bid floor at $5.00. Supply is fixed at 1,614 units across 181 owners, which supports the scarcity case, but liquidity scores 21/100 with only 25 active listings. Down 11.8% over seven days and 6.8% behind the market median, the oversold reading may deserve confirmation from real bids before it means much.

AI-generated from live market data Β· updated 22h ago Β· Not financial advice β€” automated analysis for informational purposes only.

Price action

108/113 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Return (24h)+17.1%β€”β€”
Return (3d)+16.7%β€”β€”
Return (7d)+3.9%
78
92
Return (14d)-10.9%β€”β€”
Return (30d)-15.2%
53
46
Return (60d)-32.5%β€”β€”
Return (90d)-64.3%
46
75
Return (all)-64.3%β€”β€”
Log return (24h)+15.8%β€”β€”
Log return (3d)+15.5%β€”β€”
Log return (7d)+3.8%β€”β€”
Log return (14d)-11.6%β€”β€”
Log return (30d)-16.5%β€”β€”
Log return (60d)-39.3%β€”β€”
Log return (90d)-103.0%β€”β€”
Log return (all)-103.0%β€”β€”
High (24h)$8.89β€”β€”
High (3d)$8.89β€”β€”
High (7d)$9.00β€”β€”
High (14d)$9.98β€”β€”
High (30d)$10.73β€”β€”
High (60d)$13.17β€”β€”
High (90d)$26.34β€”β€”
High (all)$26.34β€”β€”
Low (24h)$8.89β€”β€”
Low (3d)$7.59β€”β€”
Low (7d)$7.59β€”β€”
Low (14d)$7.59β€”β€”
Low (30d)$7.59β€”β€”
Low (60d)$7.59β€”β€”
Low (90d)$7.59β€”β€”
Low (all)$7.59β€”β€”
Mean price (24h)$8.89β€”β€”
Mean price (3d)$8.03β€”β€”
Mean price (7d)$8.52β€”β€”
Mean price (14d)$8.94β€”β€”
Mean price (30d)$9.63β€”β€”
Mean price (60d)$10.68β€”β€”
Mean price (90d)$12.14β€”β€”
Mean price (all)$12.14β€”β€”
Median price (24h)$8.89β€”β€”
Median price (3d)$7.62β€”β€”
Median price (7d)$8.89β€”β€”
Median price (14d)$9.00β€”β€”
Median price (30d)$9.96β€”β€”
Median price (60d)$10.50β€”β€”
Median price (90d)$12.21β€”β€”
Median price (all)$12.21β€”β€”
Range % (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Range % (3d)+17.1%β€”β€”
Range % (7d)+18.6%β€”β€”
Range % (14d)+31.5%β€”β€”
Range % (30d)+41.4%β€”β€”
Range % (60d)+73.5%β€”β€”
Range % (90d)+247.0%β€”β€”
Range % (all)+247.0%β€”β€”
Position in range (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Position in range (3d)β€”β€”β€”
Position in range (7d)β€”β€”β€”
Position in range (14d)54β€”β€”
Position in range (30d)41β€”β€”
Position in range (60d)23β€”β€”
Position in range (90d)7
54
71
Position in range (all)7β€”β€”
Distance from high (24h)+0.0%β€”β€”
Distance from high (3d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Distance from high (7d)-1.2%β€”β€”
Distance from high (14d)-10.9%β€”β€”
Distance from high (30d)-17.1%β€”β€”
Distance from high (60d)-32.5%β€”β€”
Distance from high (90d)-66.2%
49
68
Distance from high (all)-66.2%β€”β€”
Distance from low (24h)+0.0%β€”β€”
Distance from low (3d)+17.1%β€”β€”
Distance from low (7d)+17.1%β€”β€”
Distance from low (14d)+17.1%β€”β€”
Distance from low (30d)+17.1%β€”β€”
Distance from low (60d)+17.1%β€”β€”
Distance from low (90d)+17.1%β€”β€”
Distance from low (all)+17.1%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (24h)+0.0%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (3d)+10.7%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (7d)+4.4%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (14d)-0.6%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (30d)-7.7%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (60d)-16.7%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (90d)-26.8%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (all)-26.8%β€”β€”
Up days (24h)0β€”β€”
Up days (3d)1β€”β€”
Up days (7d)2β€”β€”
Up days (14d)2β€”β€”
Up days (30d)7β€”β€”
Up days (60d)14β€”β€”
Up days (90d)21β€”β€”
Up days (all)21β€”β€”
Down days (24h)0β€”β€”
Down days (3d)1β€”β€”
Down days (7d)4β€”β€”
Down days (14d)10β€”β€”
Down days (30d)16β€”β€”
Down days (60d)32β€”β€”
Down days (90d)53β€”β€”
Down days (all)53β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (3d)50β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (7d)33β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (14d)17β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (30d)30β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (60d)30β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (90d)28β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (all)28β€”β€”
Up-day streak1.0dβ€”β€”

Trend

15/38 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
SMA (7)$8.52β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (7)+4.4%β€”β€”
SMA (14)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (14)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (21)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (21)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (30)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (30)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (50)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (50)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (90)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (90)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (100)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (100)β€”β€”β€”
EMA (7)$8.52β€”β€”
Price vs EMA (7)+4.4%β€”β€”
EMA (14)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs EMA (14)β€”β€”β€”
EMA (30)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs EMA (30)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (7)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (14)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (21)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (30)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (50)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (100)β€”β€”β€”
Trend slope (14d)-1.7%β€”β€”
Trend slope (30d)-1.0%
41
22
Trend slope (60d)-0.7%β€”β€”
Trend slope (90d)-0.8%β€”β€”
Trend slope (all)-0.8%β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (14d)0.61Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (30d)0.66Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (60d)0.88Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (90d)0.65Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (all)0.65Γ—β€”β€”
SMA 7/30 crossβ€”β€”β€”
Days since trend flip10dβ€”β€”

Volatility & risk

33/33 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Return stdev (7d)+10.5%β€”β€”
Return stdev (14d)+7.6%β€”β€”
Return stdev (30d)+7.2%
23
14
Return stdev (60d)+5.1%β€”β€”
Return stdev (90d)+5.6%β€”β€”
Return stdev (all)+5.6%β€”β€”
Downside deviation (30d)+5.2%β€”β€”
Downside deviation (60d)+3.9%β€”β€”
Downside deviation (90d)+4.8%β€”β€”
Max drawdown (30d)+29.3%β€”β€”
Max drawdown (60d)+42.4%β€”β€”
Max drawdown (90d)+71.2%
48
29
Max drawdown (all)+71.2%β€”β€”
Current drawdown (90d)+66.2%
51
32
Current drawdown (all)+66.2%β€”β€”
Drawdown duration (90d)88dβ€”β€”
Drawdown duration (all)88dβ€”β€”
Sortino ratio (30d)-0.07Γ—
42
22
Sortino ratio (90d)-0.22Γ—β€”β€”
Return skew (30d)0.56β€”β€”
Return skew (90d)-0.35β€”β€”
Excess kurtosis (30d)3β€”β€”
Excess kurtosis (90d)5.92β€”β€”
Largest up day (7d)+17.1%β€”β€”
Largest up day (14d)+17.1%β€”β€”
Largest up day (30d)+18.6%β€”β€”
Largest up day (60d)+18.6%β€”β€”
Largest up day (90d)+18.6%β€”β€”
Largest down day (7d)+15.3%β€”β€”
Largest down day (14d)+15.3%β€”β€”
Largest down day (30d)+15.9%β€”β€”
Largest down day (60d)+15.9%β€”β€”
Largest down day (90d)+22.3%β€”β€”

Liquidity

6/20 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Turnover %β€”β€”β€”
On-market %+1.4%
39
28
Days to clear listingsβ€”β€”β€”
Lifetime sales / dayneeds provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime salesβ€”β€”
Liquidity score13
39
28
Listings on book23β€”β€”
Amihud illiquidity (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Amihud illiquidity (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Amihud illiquidity (90d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Zero-sale-day share (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Zero-sale-day share (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Zero-sale-day share (90d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (7d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (14d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Bid-ask spread %+40.1%β€”β€”
Near-mid bid imbalanceβ€”β€”β€”
Bid-depth trend (7d)-100.0%β€”β€”
Bid-floor migration (7d)-23.2%β€”β€”

Supply & ownership

20/21 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Supply growth (7d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Supply growth (14d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Supply growth (30d)+0.0%
5
5
Supply growth (60d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Supply growth (90d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Owner growth (7d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Owner growth (14d)-1.6%β€”β€”
Owner growth (30d)-2.2%
5
6
Owner growth (60d)-3.2%β€”β€”
Owner growth (90d)+23.1%β€”β€”
Mint rate (7d)0β€”β€”
Mint rate (30d)0β€”β€”
Supply doubling timeβ€”β€”β€”
Copies per owner8.92Γ—
27
27
Top-1 holder share+3.1%
50
73
Top-10 holder share+15.7%
63
72
HHI (top-10)30.22β€”β€”
Whale count (β‰₯5)10β€”β€”
Absorption (30d)-2.2%
25
51
Absorption (60d)-3.2%β€”β€”
Absorption (90d)+23.1%β€”β€”

Lifecycle & value

16/18 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Age96dβ€”β€”
Days since fixationβ€”β€”β€”
Days until leaving storen/sβ€”β€”β€”
Release-price multiple0.74Γ—
55
88
Store-price ratio0.74Γ—β€”β€”
Fair-value residual+150.4%
81
72
Price per scarcity point0.18Γ—β€”β€”
Instant-sell discount+33.4%β€”β€”
Bid-floor backing$5.91β€”β€”
Accumulation score27β€”β€”
Market-relative 7d return+10.4%
78
92
Momentum pillar51
41
21
Scarcity pillar49β€”β€”
Liquidity pillar9β€”β€”
Value pillar37β€”β€”
Risk pillar29β€”β€”
Overall rating42
27
23
Data completeness+82.3%β€”β€”

Relative to market

9/9 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Beta vs market (14d)-0.07Γ—β€”β€”
Beta vs market (30d)-0.17Γ—
31
26
Beta vs market (90d)0.17Γ—β€”β€”
Market correlation (14d)-0.05Γ—β€”β€”
Market correlation (30d)-0.10Γ—β€”β€”
Market correlation (90d)0.21Γ—β€”β€”
Return vs market (14d)-8.9%β€”β€”
Return vs market (30d)-17.3%
52
46
Return vs market (90d)-23.0%β€”β€”

Events

12/15 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Spike days (30d)2
75
25
Spike days (60d)2β€”β€”
Spike days (90d)2β€”β€”
Dump days (30d)2
63
50
Dump days (60d)2β€”β€”
Dump days (90d)3β€”β€”
Post-spike reversion (30d)-3.0%β€”β€”
Post-spike reversion (60d)-3.0%β€”β€”
Post-spike reversion (90d)-3.0%β€”β€”
Listing shocks (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listing shocks (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listing shocks (90d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Net spike bias (30d)0β€”β€”
Net spike bias (60d)0β€”β€”
Net spike bias (90d)-1β€”β€”

Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. β€œn/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.