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Back to Construct Tshirt

Construct Tshirtfull analytics

Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 77%.

Overall rating

?Fresh drop
Insight Engine v2
30/ 100
D†
Momentum32
Scarcity44
Liquidity14
Value49
Risk14

Recomputed each sync: last updated Aug 24, 10:02 PM.

Signal narrative

Bullish
Strong upward momentum !!!

Price up 33.3% in 24h: significant bullish movement.

Holders are holding !!

Only 2.2% of supply listed: low sell pressure.

Concentrated ownership

~12.6 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.

Item drop !!

A random in-game drop (1,339 dropped). It was never sold in the store, so supply is capped by the drop rate.

High volatility

Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.

Deep drawdown

Down 97% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.

Outperforming the market !!

Up 29pts more than the median skin this week: real relative strength.

Signal Analysis

Insight Engine

The clearest signal here is structural, not directional: the $0.18 ask sits 100% above the best standing bid of $0.12, with a 66.7% bid/ask spread and a cumulative bid floor down at $0.08. That phantom-price setup, paired with a liquidity score of 14 and 30 active listings against 106 unique owners of 1338 units, means the quoted price is thin cover rather than a cleared market. The model reads it 9.2% rich to fair value even as the median sale sits at $0.24, and the 7d move of -2.8% trails the market median by 3.7 points. As a fresh in-game drop with a risk score of 14, waiting for bids to firm toward the ask would give a cleaner read than the listing price currently offers.

AI-generated from live market data Β· updated 7h ago Β· Not financial advice β€” automated analysis for informational purposes only.

Price action

104/113 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Return (24h)+33.3%β€”β€”
Return (3d)β€”β€”β€”
Return (7d)+26.3%
91
90

Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. β€œn/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.

Above modelled fair value !!

Trading 68% over our supply/rarity model's estimate; richly priced versus comparable skins.

Fresh drop

Supply is still growing from in-game drops; scarcity is unknowable yet.

Phantom price !!

The listed price sits 100% above the best standing bid of $0.12; you could not actually sell there right now.

Market-wide fear

The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.

Signals are informational only: not financial advice.

Return (14d)
+41.2%
β€”
β€”
Return (30d)-11.1%
66
72
Return (60d)-65.7%β€”β€”
Return (90d)-96.8%
9
7
Return (all)-97.1%β€”β€”
Log return (24h)+28.8%β€”β€”
Log return (3d)β€”β€”β€”
Log return (7d)+23.4%β€”β€”
Log return (14d)+34.5%β€”β€”
Log return (30d)-11.8%β€”β€”
Log return (60d)-107.0%β€”β€”
Log return (90d)-345.5%β€”β€”
Log return (all)-353.9%β€”β€”
High (24h)$0.24β€”β€”
High (3d)$0.24β€”β€”
High (7d)$0.24β€”β€”
High (14d)$0.24β€”β€”
High (30d)$0.28β€”β€”
High (60d)$0.70β€”β€”
High (90d)$7.60β€”β€”
High (all)$8.26β€”β€”
Low (24h)$0.24β€”β€”
Low (3d)$0.24β€”β€”
Low (7d)$0.18β€”β€”
Low (14d)$0.17β€”β€”
Low (30d)$0.17β€”β€”
Low (60d)$0.12β€”β€”
Low (90d)$0.12β€”β€”
Low (all)$0.12β€”β€”
Mean price (24h)$0.24β€”β€”
Mean price (3d)$0.24β€”β€”
Mean price (7d)$0.20β€”β€”
Mean price (14d)$0.20β€”β€”
Mean price (30d)$0.22β€”β€”
Mean price (60d)$0.26β€”β€”
Mean price (90d)$1.13β€”β€”
Mean price (all)$1.21β€”β€”
Median price (24h)$0.24β€”β€”
Median price (3d)$0.24β€”β€”
Median price (7d)$0.19β€”β€”
Median price (14d)$0.18β€”β€”
Median price (30d)$0.24β€”β€”
Median price (60d)$0.25β€”β€”
Median price (90d)$0.27β€”β€”
Median price (all)$0.27β€”β€”
Range % (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Range % (3d)β€”β€”β€”
Range % (7d)+33.3%β€”β€”
Range % (14d)+41.2%β€”β€”
Range % (30d)+64.7%β€”β€”
Range % (60d)+483.3%β€”β€”
Range % (90d)+6229.2%β€”β€”
Range % (all)+6783.3%β€”β€”
Position in range (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Position in range (3d)β€”β€”β€”
Position in range (7d)β€”β€”β€”
Position in range (14d)100β€”β€”
Position in range (30d)64β€”β€”
Position in range (60d)21β€”β€”
Position in range (90d)2
44
41
Position in range (all)1β€”β€”
Distance from high (24h)+0.0%β€”β€”
Distance from high (3d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Distance from high (7d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Distance from high (14d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Distance from high (30d)-14.3%β€”β€”
Distance from high (60d)-65.7%β€”β€”
Distance from high (90d)-96.8%
13
13
Distance from high (all)-97.1%β€”β€”
Distance from low (24h)+0.0%β€”β€”
Distance from low (3d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Distance from low (7d)+33.3%β€”β€”
Distance from low (14d)+41.2%β€”β€”
Distance from low (30d)+41.2%β€”β€”
Distance from low (60d)+100.0%β€”β€”
Distance from low (90d)+100.0%β€”β€”
Distance from low (all)+100.0%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (24h)+0.0%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (3d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (7d)+21.5%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (14d)+22.8%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (30d)+7.0%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (60d)-9.3%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (90d)-78.8%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (all)-80.2%β€”β€”
Up days (24h)0β€”β€”
Up days (3d)0β€”β€”
Up days (7d)1β€”β€”
Up days (14d)4β€”β€”
Up days (30d)8β€”β€”
Up days (60d)19β€”β€”
Up days (90d)27β€”β€”
Up days (all)27β€”β€”
Down days (24h)0β€”β€”
Down days (3d)0β€”β€”
Down days (7d)1β€”β€”
Down days (14d)3β€”β€”
Down days (30d)11β€”β€”
Down days (60d)22β€”β€”
Down days (90d)42β€”β€”
Down days (all)43β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (3d)β€”β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (7d)50β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (14d)57β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (30d)42β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (60d)46β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (90d)39β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (all)39β€”β€”
Up-day streak1.0dβ€”β€”

Trend

11/38 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
SMA (7)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (7)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (14)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (14)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (21)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (21)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (30)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (30)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (50)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (50)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (90)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (90)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (100)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (100)β€”β€”β€”
EMA (7)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs EMA (7)β€”β€”β€”
EMA (14)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs EMA (14)β€”β€”β€”
EMA (30)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs EMA (30)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (7)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (14)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (21)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (30)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (50)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (100)β€”β€”β€”
Trend slope (14d)+1.9%β€”β€”
Trend slope (30d)-1.3%
48
54
Trend slope (60d)-1.4%β€”β€”
Trend slope (90d)-4.1%β€”β€”
Trend slope (all)-4.1%β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (14d)0.18Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (30d)0.37Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (60d)0.33Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (90d)0.61Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (all)0.59Γ—β€”β€”
SMA 7/30 crossβ€”β€”β€”
Days since trend flip3.0dβ€”β€”

Volatility & risk

33/33 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Return stdev (7d)+18.4%β€”β€”
Return stdev (14d)+20.5%β€”β€”
Return stdev (30d)+15.5%
63
55
Return stdev (60d)+20.5%β€”β€”
Return stdev (90d)+23.5%β€”β€”
Return stdev (all)+23.3%β€”β€”
Downside deviation (30d)+9.1%β€”β€”
Downside deviation (60d)+12.6%β€”β€”
Downside deviation (90d)+12.8%β€”β€”
Max drawdown (30d)+39.3%β€”β€”
Max drawdown (60d)+82.9%β€”β€”
Max drawdown (90d)+98.4%
89
89
Max drawdown (all)+98.5%β€”β€”
Current drawdown (90d)+96.8%
87
86
Current drawdown (all)+97.1%β€”β€”
Drawdown duration (90d)89dβ€”β€”
Drawdown duration (all)90dβ€”β€”
Sortino ratio (30d)0.08Γ—
66
60
Sortino ratio (90d)-0.09Γ—β€”β€”
Return skew (30d)0.67β€”β€”
Return skew (90d)1.98β€”β€”
Excess kurtosis (30d)0.54β€”β€”
Excess kurtosis (90d)8.03β€”β€”
Largest up day (7d)+33.3%β€”β€”
Largest up day (14d)+33.3%β€”β€”
Largest up day (30d)+33.3%β€”β€”
Largest up day (60d)+120.8%β€”β€”
Largest up day (90d)+120.8%β€”β€”
Largest down day (7d)+5.3%β€”β€”
Largest down day (14d)+25.0%β€”β€”
Largest down day (30d)+25.0%β€”β€”
Largest down day (60d)+53.8%β€”β€”
Largest down day (90d)+53.8%β€”β€”

Liquidity

5/20 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Turnover %β€”β€”β€”
On-market %+2.2%
57
56
Days to clear listingsβ€”β€”β€”
Lifetime sales / dayneeds provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime salesβ€”β€”
Liquidity score19
57
57
Listings on book29β€”β€”
Amihud illiquidity (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Amihud illiquidity (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Amihud illiquidity (90d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Zero-sale-day share (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Zero-sale-day share (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Zero-sale-day share (90d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (7d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (14d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Bid-ask spread %+66.7%β€”β€”
Near-mid bid imbalanceβ€”β€”β€”
Bid-depth trend (7d)β€”β€”β€”
Bid-floor migration (7d)-27.3%β€”β€”

Supply & ownership

21/21 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Supply growth (7d)+0.9%β€”β€”
Supply growth (14d)+1.7%β€”β€”
Supply growth (30d)+6.9%
62
57
Supply growth (60d)+34.7%β€”β€”
Supply growth (90d)+82.5%β€”β€”
Owner growth (7d)n/s+3.9%β€”β€”
Owner growth (14d)n/s+5.0%β€”β€”
Owner growth (30d)n/s+12.8%
73
71
Owner growth (60d)n/s+47.2%β€”β€”
Owner growth (90d)n/s+130.4%β€”β€”
Mint rate (7d)2β€”β€”
Mint rate (30d)2.97β€”β€”
Supply doubling time313dβ€”β€”
Copies per ownern/s12.63Γ—
69
71
Top-1 holder sharen/s+0.3%
5
5
Top-10 holder sharen/s+1.9%
5
5
HHI (top-10)n/s0.38β€”β€”
Whale count (β‰₯5)n/s0β€”β€”
Absorption (30d)n/s+5.9%
77
75
Absorption (60d)n/s+12.5%β€”β€”
Absorption (90d)n/s+47.9%β€”β€”

Lifecycle & value

13/18 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Ageneeds a release dateβ€”β€”
Days since fixationn/sβ€”β€”β€”
Days until leaving storen/sβ€”β€”β€”
Release-price multipleβ€”β€”β€”
Store-price ratioβ€”β€”β€”
Fair-value residual+67.6%
69
75
Price per scarcity point0.01Γ—β€”β€”
Instant-sell discount+50.0%β€”β€”
Bid-floor backing$0.08β€”β€”
Accumulation score39β€”β€”
Market-relative 7d return+28.8%
91
90
Momentum pillar32
5
5
Scarcity pillar44β€”β€”
Liquidity pillar14β€”β€”
Value pillar49β€”β€”
Risk pillar14β€”β€”
Overall rating35
6
10
Data completeness+77.3%β€”β€”

Relative to market

9/9 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Beta vs market (14d)1.35Γ—β€”β€”
Beta vs market (30d)0.32Γ—
78
71
Beta vs market (90d)0.30Γ—β€”β€”
Market correlation (14d)0.27Γ—β€”β€”
Market correlation (30d)0.14Γ—β€”β€”
Market correlation (90d)0.09Γ—β€”β€”
Return vs market (14d)+44.4%β€”β€”
Return vs market (30d)-27.5%
64
72
Return vs market (90d)-43.7%β€”β€”

Events

12/15 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Spike days (30d)4
95
95
Spike days (60d)6β€”β€”
Spike days (90d)12β€”β€”
Dump days (30d)4
89
75
Dump days (60d)9β€”β€”
Dump days (90d)18β€”β€”
Post-spike reversion (30d)-13.3%β€”β€”
Post-spike reversion (60d)-10.8%β€”β€”
Post-spike reversion (90d)-11.9%β€”β€”
Listing shocks (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listing shocks (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listing shocks (90d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Net spike bias (30d)0β€”β€”
Net spike bias (60d)-3β€”β€”
Net spike bias (90d)-6β€”β€”