Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 75%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Oct 8, 10:02 PM.
Only 0.9% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~14.2 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Trading 107% over our supply/rarity model's estimate; richly priced versus comparable skins.
Unique owners up 11% this week; new holders are arriving.
Supply is fixed (delisted Sep 21, 2026); every new owner must buy on the market.
The listed price sits 178% above the best standing bid of $3.70; you could not actually sell there right now.
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The headline here is structural, not directional: the $10.36 ask sits 184% above the best standing bid of $3.65, with a 95.8% bid/ask spread and a liquidity score of 6 out of 100. That is a phantom price, and the fair-value model agrees, flagging the item 104.3% rich. The supply picture is genuinely tight (983 units fixed after delisting, 69 unique owners, only 9 active listings, and a holder base that is widening), which is why momentum and scarcity score 58 and 62. But at a 95th percentile reading for distance from high and a 24 out of 100 value score, the quoted level looks like an artifact of thin listings rather than cleared demand, and anyone anchoring to $10.36 may be anchoring to a price no bid currently supports.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 1d ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | -0.8% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | -1.1% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | -2.7% | 56 | 51 |
| Return (14d) | +0.5% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | -14.3% | 58 | 53 |
| Return (60d) | — | — | — |
| Return (90d) | — | — | — |
| Return (all) | -14.3% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | -0.8% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | -1.1% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | -2.7% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | +0.5% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | -15.5% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | — | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | — | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -15.5% | — | — |
| High (24h) | $10.28 | — | — |
| High (3d) | $10.39 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $10.56 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $11.00 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $12.00 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $12.00 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $12.00 | — | — |
| High (all) | $12.00 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | $10.28 | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $10.28 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $10.28 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $9.25 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $9.25 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $9.25 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $9.25 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $9.25 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | $10.28 | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $10.34 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $10.41 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $10.43 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $10.54 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $10.54 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $10.54 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $10.54 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | $10.28 | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $10.36 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $10.41 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $10.43 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $10.43 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $10.43 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $10.43 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $10.43 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +1.1% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +2.7% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +18.9% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +29.7% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +29.7% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +29.7% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +29.7% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 59 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 37 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 37 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 37 | 79 | 75 |
| Position in range (all) | 37 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | -1.1% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | -2.7% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -6.5% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -14.3% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -14.3% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -14.3% | 95 | 93 |
| Distance from high (all) | -14.3% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +11.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +11.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +11.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +11.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +11.1% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | -0.6% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | -1.2% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | -1.4% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | -2.5% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | -2.5% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | -2.5% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | -2.5% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 1 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 2 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 5 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 9 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 11 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 11 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 11 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 11 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 10 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 8 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 8 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 8 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 8 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | +0.1% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | -0.4% | 62 | 56 |
| Trend slope (60d) | -0.4% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | -0.4% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -0.4% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.01× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.07× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.07× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.07× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.07× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 2.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +0.4% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +6.8% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +7.5% | 22 | 24 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +7.5% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +7.5% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +7.5% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +4.6% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +4.6% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +4.6% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +22.9% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +22.9% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +22.9% | 5 | 5 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +22.9% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +14.3% | 5 | 7 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +14.3% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 17d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 17d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | -0.22× | 22 | 27 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | -0.22× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 1.24 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 1.24 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 4.74 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 4.74 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | — | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +18.9% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +18.9% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +18.9% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +18.9% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +1.1% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +9.6% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +14.0% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +14.0% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +14.0% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +0.9% | 23 | 24 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 9 | 23 | 24 |
| Listings on book | 9 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +94.2% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | +3.7% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | — | — | — |
| Supply growth (60d) | — | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d) | +11.3% | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d) | +16.9% | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d) | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (60d) | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d) | — | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 33.9 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | — | — | — |
| Copies per owner | 14.25× | 84 | 86 |
| Top-1 holder share | +2.1% | 36 | 47 |
| Top-10 holder share | +9.5% | 37 | 44 |
| HHI (top-10) | 12.47 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5) | 10 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d) | — | — | — |
| Absorption (60d) | — | — | — |
| Absorption (90d) | — | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 50d | — | — |
| Days since fixation | 17d | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | -17d | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | — | — | — |
| Store-price ratio | 2.94× | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | +107.0% | 75 | 79 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.17× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +64.0% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $3.63 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 56 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | +0.9% | 56 | 51 |
| Momentum pillar | 58 | 74 | 76 |
| Scarcity pillar | 62 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 6 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 25 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 28 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 42 | 29 | 30 |
| Data completeness | +74.7% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | -0.49× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | -0.55× | 14 | 17 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | -0.55× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | -0.26× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | -0.27× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | -0.27× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | +4.3% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | -7.0% | 44 | 43 |
| Return vs market (90d) | — | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 1 | 25 | 25 |
| Spike days (60d) | 1 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 1 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 0 | 5 | 5 |
| Dump days (60d) | 0 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 0 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | -1.0% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | -1.0% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | -1.0% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | 1 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | 1 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | 1 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.