Chef Shirtfull analytics

Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 258 values across 7 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 91%.

Overall rating

?Store · permanent

Insight Engine v2

32/ 100

Momentum36

Scarcity29

Liquidity15

Value37

Risk36

Recomputed each sync: last updated Jul 9, 10:02 PM.

Signal narrative

Bullish

Strong upward momentum !!!

Price up 56.5% in 24h: significant bullish movement.

Elevated supply

2,153 total supply: already fairly common, limiting the scarcity premium.

Holders are holding !!

Only 3.1% of supply listed: low sell pressure.

Illiquid

No sales in the last 24h; it may be hard to buy or sell at the quoted price.

Concentrated ownership

~6.2 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.

Item drop !!

A random in-game drop (11 dropped). It was never sold in the store, so supply is capped by the drop rate.

High volatility

Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.

Signal Analysis

Insight Engine

The Chef Shirt's 24h price jump of 56.5% stands out most, but the broader data suggests treating it cautiously: this market's history shows sharp spikes tend to fade rather than extend, and the ask now sits 108.6% above the modelled fair-value estimate. Liquidity is thin, with only 2 units traded and a single Steam Market sale in the last 24 hours, against 67 active listings and a wide 69.2% bid/ask spread (best bid $0.35 versus a $0.72 ask). The 7d change is essentially flat at -0.2%, so the spike is very recent and narrow. Ownership is concentrated among 348 holders across 2153 units, and the item scores just 36/100 overall, with liquidity scored at 15/100, reinforcing that this move has not been confirmed by depth.

AI-generated from live market data · updated 6h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.

Price action

107/113 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Return (24h)	+56.5%	—	—
Return (3d)	+0.0%	—	—
Return (7d)	+41.2%	93	92
Return (14d)

Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.

Trend

30/38 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
SMA (7)	$0.65	—	—
Price vs SMA (7)	+11.5%	—	—
SMA (14)	$0.65	—	—
Price vs SMA (14)	+11.4%	—	—
SMA (21)	$0.72	—	—
Price vs SMA (21)	+0.5%	—	—
SMA (30)	$0.76	—	—
Price vs SMA (30)	-5.6%	85	84
SMA (50)	$0.95	—	—
Price vs SMA (50)	-24.5%	—	—
SMA (90)	$1.39	—	—
Price vs SMA (90)	-48.2%	—	—
SMA (100)	—	—	—
Price vs SMA (100)	—	—	—
EMA (7)	$0.65	—	—
Price vs EMA (7)	+11.5%	—	—
EMA (14)	$0.65	—	—
Price vs EMA (14)	+11.4%	—	—
EMA (30)	$0.76	—	—
Price vs EMA (30)	-5.6%	—	—
RSI (7)	—	—	—
RSI (14)	—	—	—
RSI (21)	—	—	—
RSI (30)	—	—	—
RSI (50)	—	—	—
RSI (100)	—	—	—
Trend slope (14d)	+0.0%	—	—
Trend slope (30d)	-1.5%	64	68
Trend slope (60d)	-1.2%	—	—
Trend slope (90d)	-1.7%	—	—
Trend slope (all)	-1.7%	—	—
Trend fit R² (14d)	0.00×	—	—
Trend fit R² (30d)	0.54×	—	—
Trend fit R² (60d)	0.53×	—	—
Trend fit R² (90d)	0.77×	—	—
Trend fit R² (all)	0.79×	—	—
SMA 7/30 cross	-15.3%	65	70
Days since trend flip	3.0d	—	—

Volatility & risk

33/33 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Return stdev (7d)	+26.3%	—	—
Return stdev (14d)	+19.1%	—	—
Return stdev (30d)	+12.9%	55	53
Return stdev (60d)	+13.3%	—	—
Return stdev (90d)	+12.6%	—	—
Return stdev (all)	+12.5%	—	—
Downside deviation (30d)	+7.1%	—	—
Downside deviation (60d)	+9.1%	—	—
Downside deviation (90d)	+8.2%	—	—
Max drawdown (30d)	+55.9%	—	—
Max drawdown (60d)	+71.5%	—	—
Max drawdown (90d)	+89.6%	64	60
Max drawdown (all)	+89.6%	—	—
Current drawdown (90d)	+81.7%	40	38
Current drawdown (all)	+81.7%	—	—
Drawdown duration (90d)	87d	—	—
Drawdown duration (all)	87d	—	—
Sortino ratio (30d)	0.01×	84	85
Sortino ratio (90d)	-0.10×	—	—
Return skew (30d)	4.03	—	—
Return skew (90d)	2.18	—	—
Excess kurtosis (30d)	20.34	—	—
Excess kurtosis (90d)	11.91	—	—
Largest up day (7d)	+75.6%	—	—
Largest up day (14d)	+75.6%	—	—
Largest up day (30d)	+75.6%	—	—
Largest up day (60d)	+75.6%	—	—
Largest up day (90d)	+75.6%	—	—
Largest down day (7d)	+19.6%	—	—
Largest down day (14d)	+21.9%	—	—
Largest down day (30d)	+21.9%	—	—
Largest down day (60d)	+36.7%	—	—
Largest down day (90d)	+36.7%	—	—

Liquidity

12/20 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Turnover %	+0.0%	5	5
On-market %	+3.1%	72	63
Days to clear listings	—	—	—
Lifetime sales / day	3.63	—	—
Liquidity score	20	18	17
Listings on book	67	—	—
Amihud illiquidity (30d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Amihud illiquidity (60d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Amihud illiquidity (90d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Zero-sale-day share (30d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Zero-sale-day share (60d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Zero-sale-day share (90d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Listings trend (7d)	-5.6%	—	—
Listings trend (14d)	-10.7%	—	—
Listings trend (30d)	+0.0%	37	31
Listings trend (60d)	-8.2%	—	—
Bid-ask spread %	+69.2%	—	—
Near-mid bid imbalance	—	—	—
Bid-depth trend (7d)	-100.0%	—	—
Bid-floor migration (7d)	-22.0%	—	—

Supply & ownership

21/21 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Supply growth (7d)	+0.2%	—	—
Supply growth (14d)	+0.3%	—	—
Supply growth (30d)	+1.4%	51	50
Supply growth (60d)	+4.4%	—	—
Supply growth (90d)	+53.1%	—	—
Owner growth (7d)n/s	+0.0%	—	—
Owner growth (14d)n/s	+0.0%	—	—
Owner growth (30d)n/s	-0.3%	17	10
Owner growth (60d)n/s	+19.6%	—	—
Owner growth (90d)n/s	+103.5%	—	—
Mint rate (7d)	0.67	—	—
Mint rate (30d)	1	—	—
Supply doubling time	1533d	—	—
Copies per ownern/s	6.19×	10	11
Top-1 holder sharen/s	+1.2%	24	27
Top-10 holder sharen/s	+6.2%	27	32
HHI (top-10)n/s	4.31	—	—
Whale count (≥5)n/s	10	—	—
Absorption (30d)n/s	-1.7%	14	18
Absorption (60d)n/s	+15.2%	—	—
Absorption (90d)n/s	+50.4%	—	—

Lifecycle & value

16/18 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Age	591d	—	—
Days since fixationn/s	—	—	—
Days until leaving storen/s	—	—	—
Release-price multiple	0.36×	25	21
Store-price ratio	0.36×	—	—
Fair-value residual	+108.6%	75	81
Price per scarcity point	0.02×	—	—
Instant-sell discount	+51.4%	—	—
Bid-floor backing	$0.32	—	—
Accumulation score	25	—	—
Market-relative 7d return	+48.7%	93	92
Momentum pillar	36	22	20
Scarcity pillar	29	—	—
Liquidity pillar	15	—	—
Value pillar	37	—	—
Risk pillar	36	—	—
Overall rating	36	15	15
Data completeness	+90.9%	—	—

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Spike days (30d)	1	25	25
Spike days (60d)	5	—	—
Spike days (90d)	7	—	—
Dump days (30d)	2	50	50
Dump days (60d)	6	—	—
Dump days (90d)	11	—	—
Post-spike reversion (30d)	+0.0%	—	—
Post-spike reversion (60d)	+4.5%	—	—
Post-spike reversion (90d)	+0.9%	—	—
Listing shocks (30d)	0	—	—
Listing shocks (60d)	2	—	—
Listing shocks (90d)	5	—	—
Net spike bias (30d)	-1	—	—
Net spike bias (60d)	-1	—	—
Net spike bias (90d)	-4	—	—