Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 79%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Oct 8, 10:02 PM.
Price down 18.9% in 24h: significant selling pressure.
2,174 total supply: already fairly common, limiting the scarcity premium.
Scarcity score 12/100: abundant and liquid.
Only 2.3% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~6.2 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
Trading at a 79% discount to the store price.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Down 40% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.
15pts behind the median skin this week, underperforming its peers.
Trading 81% over our supply/rarity model's estimate; richly priced versus comparable skins.
Permanently in the store at $2.00 — anyone can mint another at that price forever, so there's no scarcity premium and limited upside above the store price.
The listed price sits 157% above the best standing bid of $0.28; you could not actually sell there right now.
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
Chef Shirt dropped 18.9% in 24 hours while flat over the last six, leaving the lowest ask at $0.43 against a $0.72 median sale and a $2.00 original store price. The contrarian read on that decline is a possible recovery setup, since sharp drops in this single-regime market have tended to retrace, and the holders-are-holding signal supports that. The structural picture is weaker: the ask sits 81% above modelled fair value and 157% above the best standing bid of $0.28, a 42.3% spread, with 49 listings against 2,174 units and 350 owners. Scarcity scores 12 and liquidity 14, placing the 27/100 overall rating in the 5th percentile.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 7h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | -18.9% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | -18.9% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | -18.9% | 20 | 16 |
| Return (14d) | -10.4% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | -10.4% | 64 | 57 |
| Return (60d) | -27.1% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | -40.3% | 48 | 41 |
| Return (all) | -86.0% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | -20.9% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | -20.9% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | -20.9% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | -11.0% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | -11.0% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | -31.6% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | -51.5% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -196.6% | — | — |
| High (24h) | $0.43 | — | — |
| High (3d) | $0.53 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $0.53 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $0.53 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $0.53 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $0.59 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $0.72 | — | — |
| High (all) | $3.93 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | $0.43 | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $0.43 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $0.43 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $0.40 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $0.40 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $0.38 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $0.38 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $0.38 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | $0.43 | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $0.48 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $0.51 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $0.50 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $0.49 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $0.51 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $0.58 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $1.07 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | $0.43 | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $0.48 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $0.53 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $0.52 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $0.48 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $0.52 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $0.57 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $0.72 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +23.3% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +23.3% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +32.5% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +32.5% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +55.3% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +89.5% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +934.2% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 23 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 23 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 24 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 15 | 53 | 52 |
| Position in range (all) | 1 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | -18.9% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | -18.9% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -18.9% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -18.9% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -27.1% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -40.3% | 75 | 70 |
| Distance from high (all) | -89.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +7.5% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +7.5% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +13.2% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +13.2% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +13.2% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | -10.4% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | -15.7% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | -13.8% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | -11.8% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | -16.2% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | -25.5% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | -59.9% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 2 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 4 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 6 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 8 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 35 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 1 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 1 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 2 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 4 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 11 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 18 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 63 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 50 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 50 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 35 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 31 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 36 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | -0.2% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | +0.2% | 76 | 71 |
| Trend slope (60d) | -0.4% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | -0.7% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -1.2% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.00× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.05× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.36× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.77× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.70× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +10.5% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +15.7% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +10.0% | 37 | 36 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +10.5% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +9.6% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +11.3% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +11.1% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +11.1% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +10.1% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +23.1% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +35.6% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +47.2% | 14 | 19 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +90.3% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +40.3% | 25 | 30 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +89.1% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 89d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 177d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | -0.00× | 53 | 50 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | -0.03× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 0.87 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 0.83 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 6.51 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 8.33 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | — | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +32.5% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +32.5% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +36.8% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +36.8% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +18.9% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +23.1% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +23.1% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +33.3% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +33.3% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +2.3% | 67 | 66 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 20 | 67 | 66 |
| Listings on book | 49 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +60.0% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | +3.7% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +0.0% | 5 | 5 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +0.1% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +1.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d)n/s | +0.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d)n/s | -0.3% | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d)n/s | -1.1% | 5 | 5 |
| Owner growth (60d)n/s | -0.6% | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d)n/s | +0.3% | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | — | — | — |
| Copies per ownern/s | 6.21× | 12 | 10 |
| Top-1 holder sharen/s | +1.2% | 18 | 25 |
| Top-10 holder sharen/s | +6.7% | 25 | 29 |
| HHI (top-10)n/s | 4.87 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5)n/s | 10 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d)n/s | -1.1% | 22 | 24 |
| Absorption (60d)n/s | -0.7% | — | — |
| Absorption (90d)n/s | -0.7% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 681d | — | — |
| Days since fixationn/s | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | 0.22× | 25 | 12 |
| Store-price ratio | 0.21× | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | +81.0% | 69 | 76 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.04× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +34.9% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $0.28 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 52 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | -15.3% | 20 | 16 |
| Momentum pillar | 48 | 36 | 37 |
| Scarcity pillar | 12 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 14 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 40 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 25 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 28 | 5 | 5 |
| Data completeness | +79.3% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | 2.66× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | 1.00× | 79 | 79 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | -0.08× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | 0.75× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | 0.44× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | -0.06× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | -6.6% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | +7.5% | 65 | 61 |
| Return vs market (90d) | -25.6% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 1 | 25 | 25 |
| Spike days (60d) | 2 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 3 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 2 | 50 | 50 |
| Dump days (60d) | 3 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 4 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | -1 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | -1 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | -1 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.