Chef Hatfull analytics

Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 258 values across 7 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 91%.

Overall rating

?Store · permanent

Insight Engine v2

53/ 100

Momentum59

Scarcity28

Liquidity36

Value61

Risk51

Recomputed each sync: last updated Jul 9, 10:02 PM.

Signal narrative

Slightly bearish

Elevated supply

2,553 total supply: already fairly common, limiting the scarcity premium.

Holders are holding !!

Only 2.8% of supply listed: low sell pressure.

Illiquid

No sales in the last 24h; it may be hard to buy or sell at the quoted price.

Concentrated ownership

~6.6 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.

Item drop !!

A random in-game drop (8 dropped). It was never sold in the store, so supply is capped by the drop rate.

Weekly downtrend !!

Average price down 18% over the past week versus the prior week.

Oversold (RSI) !!

RSI 29: beaten down and due for a potential bounce.

Signal Analysis

Insight Engine

Chef Hat is down 17.7% over the past week, lagging the broader market by 21.6% over the same span, yet the model still reads it as trading 30.9% below fair value, and the setup counts as a contrarian recovery candidate given this market's tendency for sharp drops to bounce back. Liquidity remains thin, with only 2 units traded in the last 24h and 72 of 2553 total units listed, so the 0.0% six-hour move and the 13.7% bid-ask spread (best bid $0.34 against a $0.39 ask) reflect a shallow book rather than settled conviction. Ownership is concentrated among 385 holders, and the item remains permanently mintable via in-game drops, both flagged as caps on any durable re-rating even if the fair-value gap narrows.

AI-generated from live market data · updated 6h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.

Price action

108/113 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Return (24h)	+2.6%	—	—
Return (3d)	+0.0%	—	—
Return (7d)	-29.1%	19	21
Return (14d)

Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.

Trend

30/38 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
SMA (7)	$0.46	—	—
Price vs SMA (7)	-15.0%	—	—
SMA (14)	$0.51	—	—
Price vs SMA (14)	-23.2%	—	—
SMA (21)	$0.53	—	—
Price vs SMA (21)	-26.5%	—	—
SMA (30)	$0.55	—	—
Price vs SMA (30)	-29.1%	34	31
SMA (50)	$0.62	—	—
Price vs SMA (50)	-37.2%	—	—
SMA (90)	$1.37	—	—
Price vs SMA (90)	-71.4%	—	—
SMA (100)	—	—	—
Price vs SMA (100)	—	—	—
EMA (7)	$0.46	—	—
Price vs EMA (7)	-15.0%	—	—
EMA (14)	$0.51	—	—
Price vs EMA (14)	-23.2%	—	—
EMA (30)	$0.55	—	—
Price vs EMA (30)	-29.1%	—	—
RSI (7)	—	—	—
RSI (14)	—	—	—
RSI (21)	—	—	—
RSI (30)	—	—	—
RSI (50)	—	—	—
RSI (100)	—	—	—
Trend slope (14d)	-3.1%	—	—
Trend slope (30d)	-1.1%	76	69
Trend slope (60d)	-1.8%	—	—
Trend slope (90d)	-2.5%	—	—
Trend slope (all)	-2.6%	—	—
Trend fit R² (14d)	0.75×	—	—
Trend fit R² (30d)	0.59×	—	—
Trend fit R² (60d)	0.49×	—	—
Trend fit R² (90d)	0.80×	—	—
Trend fit R² (all)	0.80×	—	—
SMA 7/30 cross	-16.7%	60	54
Days since trend flip	11d	—	—

Volatility & risk

33/33 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Return stdev (7d)	+11.4%	—	—
Return stdev (14d)	+8.5%	—	—
Return stdev (30d)	+7.3%	15	25
Return stdev (60d)	+13.6%	—	—
Return stdev (90d)	+12.4%	—	—
Return stdev (all)	+12.2%	—	—
Downside deviation (30d)	+6.8%	—	—
Downside deviation (60d)	+11.6%	—	—
Downside deviation (90d)	+10.1%	—	—
Max drawdown (30d)	+38.7%	—	—
Max drawdown (60d)	+81.8%	—	—
Max drawdown (90d)	+91.5%	74	79
Max drawdown (all)	+91.5%	—	—
Current drawdown (90d)	+91.3%	77	80
Current drawdown (all)	+91.3%	—	—
Drawdown duration (90d)	89d	—	—
Drawdown duration (all)	90d	—	—
Sortino ratio (30d)	-0.20×	56	50
Sortino ratio (90d)	-0.20×	—	—
Return skew (30d)	-1	—	—
Return skew (90d)	-1.37	—	—
Excess kurtosis (30d)	2.45	—	—
Excess kurtosis (90d)	5.9	—	—
Largest up day (7d)	+5.5%	—	—
Largest up day (14d)	+7.8%	—	—
Largest up day (30d)	+14.0%	—	—
Largest up day (60d)	+24.0%	—	—
Largest up day (90d)	+24.0%	—	—
Largest down day (7d)	+20.7%	—	—
Largest down day (14d)	+20.7%	—	—
Largest down day (30d)	+20.7%	—	—
Largest down day (60d)	+53.1%	—	—
Largest down day (90d)	+53.1%	—	—

Liquidity

12/20 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Turnover %	+0.0%	5	5
On-market %	+2.7%	66	72
Days to clear listings	—	—	—
Lifetime sales / day	4.28	—	—
Liquidity score	20	19	19
Listings on book	70	—	—
Amihud illiquidity (30d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Amihud illiquidity (60d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Amihud illiquidity (90d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Zero-sale-day share (30d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Zero-sale-day share (60d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Zero-sale-day share (90d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Listings trend (7d)	+1.4%	—	—
Listings trend (14d)	+7.5%	—	—
Listings trend (30d)	-10.0%	22	29
Listings trend (60d)	-4.0%	—	—
Bid-ask spread %	+13.7%	—	—
Near-mid bid imbalance	0.73×	—	—
Bid-depth trend (7d)	—	—	—
Bid-floor migration (7d)	+0.0%	—	—

Supply & ownership

21/21 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Supply growth (7d)	+0.0%	—	—
Supply growth (14d)	+0.2%	—	—
Supply growth (30d)	+1.0%	50	65
Supply growth (60d)	+3.7%	—	—
Supply growth (90d)	+43.2%	—	—
Owner growth (7d)n/s	-0.3%	—	—
Owner growth (14d)n/s	-0.5%	—	—
Owner growth (30d)n/s	-1.0%	5	7
Owner growth (60d)n/s	+20.7%	—	—
Owner growth (90d)n/s	+116.3%	—	—
Mint rate (7d)	0.17	—	—
Mint rate (30d)	0.86	—	—
Supply doubling time	2113d	—	—
Copies per ownern/s	6.63×	13	11
Top-1 holder sharen/s	+2.7%	44	39
Top-10 holder sharen/s	+11.2%	49	38
HHI (top-10)n/s	18.91	—	—
Whale count (≥5)n/s	10	—	—
Absorption (30d)n/s	-2.0%	10	10
Absorption (60d)n/s	+17.0%	—	—
Absorption (90d)n/s	+73.1%	—	—

Lifecycle & value

16/18 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Age	597d	—	—
Days since fixationn/s	—	—	—
Days until leaving storen/s	—	—	—
Release-price multiple	0.16×	5	8
Store-price ratio	0.16×	—	—
Fair-value residual	+30.9%	59	55
Price per scarcity point	0.01×	—	—
Instant-sell discount	+12.8%	—	—
Bid-floor backing	$0.34	—	—
Accumulation score	50	—	—
Market-relative 7d return	-21.6%	19	21
Momentum pillar	59	86	82
Scarcity pillar	28	—	—
Liquidity pillar	36	—	—
Value pillar	61	—	—
Risk pillar	51	—	—
Overall rating	53	78	78
Data completeness	+90.9%	—	—

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Spike days (30d)	0	5	5
Spike days (60d)	3	—	—
Spike days (90d)	4	—	—
Dump days (30d)	3	63	75
Dump days (60d)	7	—	—
Dump days (90d)	10	—	—
Post-spike reversion (30d)	—	—	—
Post-spike reversion (60d)	-2.2%	—	—
Post-spike reversion (90d)	-1.6%	—	—
Listing shocks (30d)	0	—	—
Listing shocks (60d)	1	—	—
Listing shocks (90d)	2	—	—
Net spike bias (30d)	-3	—	—
Net spike bias (60d)	-4	—	—
Net spike bias (90d)	-6	—	—