Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 83%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Nov 3, 4:02 PM.
5,451 total supply: already fairly common, limiting the scarcity premium.
Only 0.6% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~12.4 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
22pts behind the median skin this week, underperforming its peers.
Trading 129% over our supply/rarity model's estimate; richly priced versus comparable skins.
The median sale price sits 77% above the best standing bid of $1.61; you could not actually sell there right now.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The headline number here is valuation: Cat Balaclava trades 110.3% above the model's fair value, and the order book does not support the displayed price. The median sale of $2.85 sits 77% above the best standing bid of $1.61, with a 31.0% bid/ask spread and a cumulative bid floor of $1.51, which marks this as a phantom price rather than a cleared one. Liquidity scores 11/100 and the overall grade is D (24/100). The 7d move of -1.6% lags the market median by 21.4%, placing it in the 5th percentile of its cohort for weekly return. Supply is broad at 5,451 units against 2,587 lifetime buyers, with concentrated ownership flagged as a warning.
AI-generated from live market data Β· updated 1d ago Β· Not financial advice β automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | -0.5% | β | β |
| Return (3d) | -0.5% | β | β |
| Return (7d) | -23.2% | 13 | 11 |
| Return (14d) | -24.0% | β | β |
| Return (30d) | +33.5% | 34 | 24 |
| Return (60d) | +68.5% | β | β |
| Return (90d) | -2.7% | 33 | 22 |
| Return (all) | -21.2% | β | β |
| Log return (24h) | -0.5% | β | β |
| Log return (3d) | -0.5% | β | β |
| Log return (7d) | -26.3% | β | β |
| Log return (14d) | -27.4% | β | β |
| Log return (30d) | +28.9% | β | β |
| Log return (60d) | +52.2% | β | β |
| Log return (90d) | -2.7% | β | β |
| Log return (all) | -23.9% | β | β |
| High (24h) | $2.19 | β | β |
| High (3d) | $2.20 | β | β |
| High (7d) | $2.85 | β | β |
| High (14d) | $2.88 | β | β |
| High (30d) | $2.91 | β | β |
| High (60d) | $2.91 | β | β |
| High (90d) | $2.91 | β | β |
| High (all) | $6.42 | β | β |
| Low (24h) | $2.19 | β | β |
| Low (3d) | $2.19 | β | β |
| Low (7d) | $2.19 | β | β |
| Low (14d) | $1.75 | β | β |
| Low (30d) | $1.64 | β | β |
| Low (60d) | $1.28 | β | β |
| Low (90d) | $1.28 | β | β |
| Low (all) | $1.28 | β | β |
| Mean price (24h) | $2.19 | β | β |
| Mean price (3d) | $2.20 | β | β |
| Mean price (7d) | $2.42 | β | β |
| Mean price (14d) | $2.48 | β | β |
| Mean price (30d) | $2.33 | β | β |
| Mean price (60d) | $1.90 | β | β |
| Mean price (90d) | $1.91 | β | β |
| Mean price (all) | $2.55 | β | β |
| Median price (24h) | $2.19 | β | β |
| Median price (3d) | $2.20 | β | β |
| Median price (7d) | $2.20 | β | β |
| Median price (14d) | $2.64 | β | β |
| Median price (30d) | $2.46 | β | β |
| Median price (60d) | $1.65 | β | β |
| Median price (90d) | $1.69 | β | β |
| Median price (all) | $2.61 | β | β |
| Range % (24h) | β | β | β |
| Range % (3d) | +0.5% | β | β |
| Range % (7d) | +30.1% | β | β |
| Range % (14d) | +64.6% | β | β |
| Range % (30d) | +77.1% | β | β |
| Range % (60d) | +127.0% | β | β |
| Range % (90d) | +127.0% | β | β |
| Range % (all) | +401.6% | β | β |
| Position in range (24h) | β | β | β |
| Position in range (3d) | β | β | β |
| Position in range (7d) | β | β | β |
| Position in range (14d) | 39 | β | β |
| Position in range (30d) | 43 | β | β |
| Position in range (60d) | 56 | β | β |
| Position in range (90d) | 56 | 52 | 50 |
| Position in range (all) | 18 | β | β |
| Distance from high (24h) | +0.0% | β | β |
| Distance from high (3d) | -0.5% | β | β |
| Distance from high (7d) | -23.2% | β | β |
| Distance from high (14d) | -24.0% | β | β |
| Distance from high (30d) | -24.6% | β | β |
| Distance from high (60d) | -24.6% | β | β |
| Distance from high (90d) | -24.6% | 59 | 50 |
| Distance from high (all) | -65.9% | β | β |
| Distance from low (24h) | +0.0% | β | β |
| Distance from low (3d) | +0.0% | β | β |
| Distance from low (7d) | +0.0% | β | β |
| Distance from low (14d) | +25.1% | β | β |
| Distance from low (30d) | +33.5% | β | β |
| Distance from low (60d) | +71.1% | β | β |
| Distance from low (90d) | +71.1% | β | β |
| Distance from low (all) | +71.1% | β | β |
| Price vs mean (24h) | +0.0% | β | β |
| Price vs mean (3d) | -0.3% | β | β |
| Price vs mean (7d) | -9.6% | β | β |
| Price vs mean (14d) | -11.7% | β | β |
| Price vs mean (30d) | -6.1% | β | β |
| Price vs mean (60d) | +15.3% | β | β |
| Price vs mean (90d) | +14.9% | β | β |
| Price vs mean (all) | -14.1% | β | β |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | β | β |
| Up days (3d) | 0 | β | β |
| Up days (7d) | 0 | β | β |
| Up days (14d) | 2 | β | β |
| Up days (30d) | 8 | β | β |
| Up days (60d) | 16 | β | β |
| Up days (90d) | 20 | β | β |
| Up days (all) | 50 | β | β |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | β | β |
| Down days (3d) | 1 | β | β |
| Down days (7d) | 3 | β | β |
| Down days (14d) | 6 | β | β |
| Down days (30d) | 9 | β | β |
| Down days (60d) | 15 | β | β |
| Down days (90d) | 31 | β | β |
| Down days (all) | 82 | β | β |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | β | β | β |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | 0 | β | β |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 0 | β | β |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 25 | β | β |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 47 | β | β |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 52 | β | β |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 39 | β | β |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 38 | β | β |
| Up-day streak | 0.0d | β | β |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | $2.42 | β | β |
| Price vs SMA (7) | -9.6% | β | β |
| SMA (14) | $2.48 | β | β |
| Price vs SMA (14) | -11.7% | β | β |
| SMA (21) | $2.53 | β | β |
| Price vs SMA (21) | -13.4% | β | β |
| SMA (30) | β | β | β |
| Price vs SMA (30) | β | β | β |
| SMA (50) | β | β | β |
| Price vs SMA (50) | β | β | β |
| SMA (90) | β | β | β |
| Price vs SMA (90) | β | β | β |
| SMA (100) | β | β | β |
| Price vs SMA (100) | β | β | β |
| EMA (7) | $2.42 | β | β |
| Price vs EMA (7) | -9.6% | β | β |
| EMA (14) | $2.48 | β | β |
| Price vs EMA (14) | -11.7% | β | β |
| EMA (30) | β | β | β |
| Price vs EMA (30) | β | β | β |
| RSI (7) | β | β | β |
| RSI (14) | β | β | β |
| RSI (21) | β | β | β |
| RSI (30) | β | β | β |
| RSI (50) | β | β | β |
| RSI (100) | β | β | β |
| Trend slope (14d) | -1.8% | β | β |
| Trend slope (30d) | +1.1% | 33 | 22 |
| Trend slope (60d) | +1.7% | β | β |
| Trend slope (90d) | +0.4% | β | β |
| Trend slope (all) | -0.4% | β | β |
| Trend fit RΒ² (14d) | 0.19Γ | β | β |
| Trend fit RΒ² (30d) | 0.16Γ | β | β |
| Trend fit RΒ² (60d) | 0.61Γ | β | β |
| Trend fit RΒ² (90d) | 0.10Γ | β | β |
| Trend fit RΒ² (all) | 0.33Γ | β | β |
| SMA 7/30 cross | β | β | β |
| Days since trend flip | 2.0d | β | β |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +6.7% | β | β |
| Return stdev (14d) | +20.2% | β | β |
| Return stdev (30d) | +16.3% | 47 | 31 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +12.5% | β | β |
| Return stdev (90d) | +10.7% | β | β |
| Return stdev (all) | +11.6% | β | β |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +12.8% | β | β |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +10.2% | β | β |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +7.8% | β | β |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +39.8% | β | β |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +39.8% | β | β |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +43.1% | 14 | 5 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +80.1% | β | β |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +24.6% | 42 | 50 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +65.9% | β | β |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 16d | β | β |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 152d | β | β |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | 0.19Γ | 23 | 21 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | 0.07Γ | β | β |
| Return skew (30d) | 1.74 | β | β |
| Return skew (90d) | 2.41 | β | β |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 6.52 | β | β |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 14.48 | β | β |
| Largest up day (7d) | β | β | β |
| Largest up day (14d) | +60.6% | β | β |
| Largest up day (30d) | +60.6% | β | β |
| Largest up day (60d) | +60.6% | β | β |
| Largest up day (90d) | +60.6% | β | β |
| Largest down day (7d) | +13.7% | β | β |
| Largest down day (14d) | +38.6% | β | β |
| Largest down day (30d) | +38.6% | β | β |
| Largest down day (60d) | +38.6% | β | β |
| Largest down day (90d) | +38.6% | β | β |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | β | β | β |
| On-market % | +0.6% | 26 | 25 |
| Days to clear listings | β | β | β |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | β | β |
| Liquidity score | 6 | 30 | 24 |
| Listings on book | 35 | β | β |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | β | β |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | β | β |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | β | β |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | β | β |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | β | β |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | β | β |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | β | β |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | β | β |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | β | β |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | β | β |
| Bid-ask spread % | +30.5% | β | β |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | β | β | β |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | β | β | β |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | +18.0% | β | β |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +0.0% | β | β |
| Supply growth (14d) | +0.0% | β | β |
| Supply growth (30d) | +0.0% | 5 | 5 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +0.0% | β | β |
| Supply growth (90d) | +0.0% | β | β |
| Owner growth (7d)n/s | β | β | β |
| Owner growth (14d)n/s | β | β | β |
| Owner growth (30d)n/s | β | β | β |
| Owner growth (60d)n/s | β | β | β |
| Owner growth (90d)n/s | β | β | β |
| Mint rate (7d) | 0 | β | β |
| Mint rate (30d) | 0 | β | β |
| Supply doubling time | β | β | β |
| Copies per ownern/s | 12.45Γ | 66 | 69 |
| Top-1 holder sharen/s | +4.4% | 62 | 81 |
| Top-10 holder sharen/s | +17.6% | 68 | 78 |
| HHI (top-10)n/s | 45.47 | β | β |
| Whale count (β₯5)n/s | 10 | β | β |
| Absorption (30d)n/s | β | β | β |
| Absorption (60d)n/s | β | β | β |
| Absorption (90d)n/s | β | β | β |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 188d | β | β |
| Days since fixationn/s | β | β | β |
| Days until leaving storen/s | β | β | β |
| Release-price multiple | 0.88Γ | 47 | 44 |
| Store-price ratio | 0.88Γ | β | β |
| Fair-value residual | +128.6% | 79 | 51 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.07Γ | β | β |
| Instant-sell discount | +26.5% | β | β |
| Bid-floor backing | $1.51 | β | β |
| Accumulation score | 56 | β | β |
| Market-relative 7d return | -21.8% | 13 | 11 |
| Momentum pillar | 62 | 89 | 94 |
| Scarcity pillar | 30 | β | β |
| Liquidity pillar | 11 | β | β |
| Value pillar | 18 | β | β |
| Risk pillar | 32 | β | β |
| Overall rating | 30 | 11 | 22 |
| Data completeness | +83.3% | β | β |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | -0.71Γ | β | β |
| Beta vs market (30d) | 0.46Γ | 41 | 40 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | 0.42Γ | β | β |
| Market correlation (14d) | -0.09Γ | β | β |
| Market correlation (30d) | 0.21Γ | β | β |
| Market correlation (90d) | 0.22Γ | β | β |
| Return vs market (14d) | -23.6% | β | β |
| Return vs market (30d) | -107.5% | 37 | 25 |
| Return vs market (90d) | -128.0% | β | β |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 2 | 50 | 25 |
| Spike days (60d) | 4 | β | β |
| Spike days (90d) | 5 | β | β |
| Dump days (30d) | 1 | 25 | 14 |
| Dump days (60d) | 1 | β | β |
| Dump days (90d) | 2 | β | β |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | +1.3% | β | β |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | -0.9% | β | β |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | -1.0% | β | β |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | β | β |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | β | β |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | β | β |
| Net spike bias (30d) | 1 | β | β |
| Net spike bias (60d) | 3 | β | β |
| Net spike bias (90d) | 3 | β | β |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. βn/sβ marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.