Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 77%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Sep 19, 11:02 AM.
5,451 total supply: already fairly common, limiting the scarcity premium.
Only 0.9% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~12.7 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
Trading at a 48% discount to the store price.
Trading within 5% of its lowest recorded price.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Down 73% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.
Trading 44% over our supply/rarity model's estimate; richly priced versus comparable skins.
The listed price sits 133% above the best standing bid of $1.20; you could not actually sell there right now.
Real buy support at $1.20: cumulative standing bids you could sell a few copies into without the price collapsing.
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
Cat Balaclava's $1.29 lowest ask sits well below its $2.50 store price, yet the fair-value model still rates it 34.9% expensive. The $2.80 median sale overstates real demand, standing 133% above the $1.20 best bid, although that bid floor looks solid and the spread is a tight 7.2%. The price fell 9.1% over seven days, still 4.7% better than the market median. The structural concerns are ownership and trading activity. The 5,451 units are held by just 430 owners, and both liquidity and 30-day trend slope rank in the 5th percentile. With market-wide fear also flagged, a drift toward the $1.20 bid might offer a firmer entry than the current ask.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 1d ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | -3.4% | 59 | 86 |
| Return (14d) | -0.8% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | -32.1% | 30 | 15 |
| Return (60d) | -32.8% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | -58.1% | 56 | 85 |
| Return (all) | -53.6% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | -3.4% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | -0.8% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | -38.7% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | -39.8% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | -87.0% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -76.8% | — | — |
| High (24h) | — | — | — |
| High (3d) | $1.29 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $1.35 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $1.55 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $1.90 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $3.12 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $4.81 | — | — |
| High (all) | $6.42 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $1.29 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $1.28 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $1.28 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $1.28 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $1.28 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $1.28 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $1.28 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $1.29 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $1.31 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $1.36 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $1.49 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $1.99 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $2.39 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $2.68 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $1.29 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $1.29 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $1.34 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $1.46 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $2.02 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $2.26 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $2.66 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +5.5% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +21.1% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +48.4% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +143.8% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +276.2% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +401.6% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 4 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 2 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 1 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 0 | 25 | 30 |
| Position in range (all) | 0 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | -4.4% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -16.8% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -32.1% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -58.7% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -73.2% | 39 | 57 |
| Distance from high (all) | -79.9% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +0.8% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +0.8% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +0.8% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +0.8% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +0.8% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +0.8% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | — | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | -1.2% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | -4.9% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | -13.5% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | -35.1% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | -46.1% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | -51.9% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 2 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 4 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 7 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 12 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 19 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 38 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 1 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 3 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 11 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 27 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 47 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 70 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 67 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 57 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 39 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 31 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 29 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 35 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | -1.2% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | -1.3% | 31 | 9 |
| Trend slope (60d) | -1.6% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | -1.2% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -0.6% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.38× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.61× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.85× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.83× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.41× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 5.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +2.6% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +7.1% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +7.5% | 25 | 17 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +7.6% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +11.3% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +10.8% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +5.4% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +4.3% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +6.8% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +32.6% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +59.0% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +73.4% | 53 | 33 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +80.1% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +73.2% | 61 | 43 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +79.9% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 83d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 106d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | -0.23× | 23 | 14 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | -0.05× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 0.55 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 2.55 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 1.9 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 13.08 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | +1.1% | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +18.5% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +18.5% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +38.4% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +69.5% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +5.2% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +12.9% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +15.9% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +15.9% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +28.3% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +0.9% | 17 | 5 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 8 | 17 | 5 |
| Listings on book | 47 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +7.2% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | 0.93× | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | -28.6% | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | -3.2% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +0.0% | 5 | 5 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +1.9% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d)n/s | +0.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d)n/s | +0.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d)n/s | +0.0% | 39 | 25 |
| Owner growth (60d)n/s | +0.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d)n/s | +0.7% | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | — | — | — |
| Copies per ownern/s | 12.68× | 67 | 82 |
| Top-1 holder sharen/s | +0.5% | 5 | 5 |
| Top-10 holder sharen/s | +1.7% | 5 | 5 |
| HHI (top-10)n/s | 0.41 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5)n/s | 10 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d)n/s | +0.0% | 62 | 71 |
| Absorption (60d)n/s | +0.0% | — | — |
| Absorption (90d)n/s | -1.2% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 143d | — | — |
| Days since fixationn/s | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | 0.52× | 46 | 46 |
| Store-price ratio | 0.52× | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | +44.2% | 64 | 49 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.06× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +7.0% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $1.20 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 43 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | +2.6% | 59 | 86 |
| Momentum pillar | 54 | 42 | 12 |
| Scarcity pillar | 23 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 30 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 57 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 45 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 44 | 30 | 25 |
| Data completeness | +77.3% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | 0.66× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | 0.43× | 64 | 56 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | -0.03× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | 0.50× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | 0.25× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | -0.02× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | -5.0% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | -38.7% | 30 | 15 |
| Return vs market (90d) | -27.8% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 2 | 75 | 50 |
| Spike days (60d) | 4 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 7 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 1 | 50 | 25 |
| Dump days (60d) | 1 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 5 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | -0.6% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | +7.9% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | -0.6% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | 1 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | 3 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | 2 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.