Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 77%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Oct 9, 3:02 AM.
2,407 total supply: already fairly common, limiting the scarcity premium.
Only 2.0% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~4.1 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.
Down 47% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.
Trading 300% over our supply/rarity model's estimate; richly priced versus comparable skins.
Supply is fixed; every new owner must buy on the market.
The listed price sits 125% above the best standing bid of $45.55; you could not actually sell there right now.
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The standout number here is the fair-value residual: at +300% above the model, Cardboard King sits in the 95th percentile of the market, and the order book backs that up rather than contradicting it. The lowest ask of $64.13 floats 124% above the best standing bid of $45.78, with a cumulative bid floor of $45.55 and a 33.4% spread across 48 live listings. The 7d gain of +7.9% still trails the market median by 2.9%, so the recent move is not item-specific strength. Fixed supply post-delisting, 5th percentile copies per owner and 588 owners across 2407 units are genuinely supportive, but liquidity at 18/100 means that printed ask is unlikely to clear near where it is listed.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 12h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | -0.5% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | -0.5% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | -6.5% | 43 | 48 |
| Return (14d) | +8.7% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | -18.6% | 52 | 54 |
| Return (60d) | -30.3% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | -47.0% | 36 | 43 |
| Return (all) | -80.0% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | -0.5% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | -0.5% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | -6.7% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | +8.3% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | -20.6% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | -36.1% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | -63.4% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -160.7% | — | — |
| High (24h) | — | — | — |
| High (3d) | $64.46 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $68.58 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $68.58 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $85.00 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $92.00 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $120.89 | — | — |
| High (all) | $558.94 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $64.13 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $64.13 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $55.85 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $55.85 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $55.85 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $55.85 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $55.85 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $64.29 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $65.54 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $62.05 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $64.64 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $70.37 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $82.55 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $173.33 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $64.29 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $65.01 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $64.13 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $63.13 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $68.21 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $77.74 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $114.71 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +0.5% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +6.9% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +22.8% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +52.2% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +64.7% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +116.5% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +900.8% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 65 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 28 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 23 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 13 | 50 | 53 |
| Position in range (all) | 2 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | -0.5% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | -6.5% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -6.5% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -24.6% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -30.3% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -47.0% | 64 | 66 |
| Distance from high (all) | -88.5% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +14.8% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +14.8% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +14.8% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +14.8% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +14.8% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | — | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | -0.3% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | -2.2% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | +3.4% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | -0.8% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | -8.9% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | -22.3% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | -63.0% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 2 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 5 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 11 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 19 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 58 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 1 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 5 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 7 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 16 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 35 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 53 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 109 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 22 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 24 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 24 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 26 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 35 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | +1.4% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | -0.7% | 51 | 53 |
| Trend slope (60d) | -0.6% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | -0.9% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -1.3% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.48× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.21× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.45× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.82× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.72× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 5.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +1.4% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +5.6% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +5.9% | 13 | 12 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +5.4% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +5.7% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +9.0% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +3.5% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +3.2% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +3.7% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +34.3% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +39.3% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +53.8% | 25 | 22 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +90.0% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +47.0% | 36 | 34 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +88.5% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 88d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 177d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | -0.19× | 24 | 24 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | -0.17× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 0.94 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 0.77 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 2.09 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 2.33 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | — | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +16.2% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +16.2% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +17.2% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +17.2% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +3.7% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +4.4% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +12.2% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +12.2% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +14.6% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +2.0% | 61 | 62 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 18 | 62 | 62 |
| Listings on book | 49 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +23.2% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +0.0% | 5 | 5 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d) | +1.2% | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d) | +1.2% | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d) | +0.5% | 30 | 35 |
| Owner growth (60d) | -0.5% | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d) | -1.2% | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | — | — | — |
| Copies per owner | 4.09× | 5 | 5 |
| Top-1 holder share | +1.3% | 22 | 15 |
| Top-10 holder share | +10.1% | 40 | 32 |
| HHI (top-10) | 10.75 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5) | 10 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d) | +0.5% | 52 | 53 |
| Absorption (60d) | -0.5% | — | — |
| Absorption (90d) | -1.2% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 247d | — | — |
| Days since fixation | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | 0.64× | 51 | 53 |
| Store-price ratio | 0.64× | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | +300.0% | 95 | 95 |
| Price per scarcity point | 2.21× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +29.0% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $45.00 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 49 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | -2.9% | 43 | 48 |
| Momentum pillar | 45 | 27 | 25 |
| Scarcity pillar | 29 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 25 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 35 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 46 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 39 | 18 | 14 |
| Data completeness | +77.4% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | 0.73× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | 0.28× | 50 | 49 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | 0.05× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | 0.48× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | 0.17× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | 0.05× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | +12.5% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | -3.0% | 53 | 56 |
| Return vs market (90d) | -28.5% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 1 | 25 | 25 |
| Spike days (60d) | 2 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 3 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 0 | 5 | 5 |
| Dump days (60d) | 0 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 0 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | -3.7% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | +2.2% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | +1.4% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | 1 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | 2 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | 3 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.