Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 77%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Oct 8, 4:02 PM.
Only 1.7% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~13.0 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
A random in-game drop (1,090 dropped). It was never sold in the store, so supply is capped by the drop rate.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Down 62% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.
Trading 86% under our supply/rarity model's estimate; looks cheap versus comparable skins.
Supply is still growing from in-game drops; scarcity is unknowable yet.
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The standout number is the 86.3% discount to modelled fair value, which drives a 89/100 value score against an overall C grade of 54. Support is thin: liquidity scores 11/100, with 19 active listings and a 40% bid/ask spread between the $0.10 best bid and the $0.15 lowest ask, so the $0.10 median sale sits at the bid floor rather than the ask. Price is flat over 6h and 24h after +6.2% on the week, 3.6 points above the market median. Spike days rank in the 95th percentile, and this is a fresh in-game drop (1,090 units, 84 owners) amid market-wide fear, so the discount may persist before it closes.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 1h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | +0.0% | 75 | 75 |
| Return (14d) | +15.4% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | -37.5% | 25 | 25 |
| Return (60d) | -21.1% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | -25.0% | 68 | 63 |
| Return (all) | -99.8% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | +14.3% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | -47.0% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | -23.6% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | -28.8% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -630.4% | — | — |
| High (24h) | $0.15 | — | — |
| High (3d) | $0.15 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $0.15 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $0.15 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $0.24 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $0.28 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $0.39 | — | — |
| High (all) | $82.02 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | $0.15 | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $0.15 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $0.15 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $0.13 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $0.12 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $0.12 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $0.10 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $0.10 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | $0.15 | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $0.15 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $0.15 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $0.14 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $0.15 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $0.17 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $0.21 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $1.13 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | $0.15 | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $0.15 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $0.15 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $0.14 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $0.15 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $0.16 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $0.19 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $0.23 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +15.4% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +100.0% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +133.3% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +290.0% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +81920.0% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 100 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 25 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 19 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 17 | 57 | 54 |
| Position in range (all) | 0 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -37.5% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -46.4% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -61.5% | 43 | 46 |
| Distance from high (all) | -99.8% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +15.4% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +25.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +25.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +50.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +50.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | +7.1% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | -0.7% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | -12.3% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | -28.1% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | -86.8% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 4 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 8 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 17 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 26 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 6 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 16 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 25 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 49 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 100 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 40 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 33 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 40 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 35 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | +1.8% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | -1.2% | 43 | 41 |
| Trend slope (60d) | -0.6% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | -0.9% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -3.8% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.76× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.19× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.12× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.32× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.04× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 7.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +4.3% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +13.9% | 56 | 54 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +14.3% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +22.4% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +28.3% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +11.4% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +8.4% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +14.6% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +50.0% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +57.1% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +69.2% | 55 | 52 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +99.9% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +61.5% | 57 | 54 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +99.8% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 76d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 136d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | -0.10× | 37 | 40 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | 0.15× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | -0.14 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 2.6 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 2 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 12.83 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | — | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +15.4% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +29.2% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +86.7% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +140.0% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | — | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | — | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +33.3% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +33.3% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +58.3% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +1.7% | 54 | 50 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 16 | 54 | 50 |
| Listings on book | 19 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +40.0% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +0.6% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +1.2% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +2.1% | 57 | 54 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +4.3% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +7.9% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d)n/s | +3.7% | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d)n/s | +5.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d)n/s | +5.0% | 58 | 56 |
| Owner growth (60d)n/s | +5.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d)n/s | +15.1% | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 1.17 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 0.76 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | 1020d | — | — |
| Copies per ownern/s | 12.98× | 75 | 75 |
| Top-1 holder sharen/s | +0.5% | 5 | 5 |
| Top-10 holder sharen/s | +2.7% | 5 | 5 |
| HHI (top-10)n/s | 0.83 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5)n/s | 2 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d)n/s | +2.9% | 71 | 69 |
| Absorption (60d)n/s | +0.7% | — | — |
| Absorption (90d)n/s | +7.1% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | needs a release date | — | — |
| Days since fixationn/s | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | — | — | — |
| Store-price ratio | — | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | -86.3% | 5 | 6 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.00× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +33.3% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $0.10 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 50 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | +3.6% | 75 | 75 |
| Momentum pillar | 50 | 45 | 48 |
| Scarcity pillar | 51 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 11 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 89 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 27 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 54 | 79 | 79 |
| Data completeness | +76.9% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | -0.00× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | -0.40× | 18 | 20 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | -0.08× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | -0.00× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | -0.10× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | -0.02× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | +15.7% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | -22.6% | 25 | 26 |
| Return vs market (90d) | -25.9% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 3 | 95 | 90 |
| Spike days (60d) | 5 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 10 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 3 | 75 | 78 |
| Dump days (60d) | 3 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 9 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | +1.1% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | +0.6% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | -3.2% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | 2 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | 1 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.